There is a really neat way of apprehending the nuances of futuring (watching for Observer expectations) that we kicked around Monday.
It involves using a basic Boolean “truth table” to figure out where the odds are.
If you want to skip this part, the bottom line (as of futures prices at 4:35 AM) looked like the Fed decision hasn’t been leaked OR it hasn’t been made. IoW: No Consensus yet at the Observer State level.
One further idea here – and it’s both subtle and useful – is that the closer the binary odds of influencing a future event are, the less energy (Observer emotional state) is required to put a lock on an outcome.
Now the details.
A Boolean “Truth Table” is not a particularly difficult concept to grasp. It’s closely related to propositional calculus which is more complicated, but both are forms of propositional logic.
I first got interested in Boolean-thinking when a fellow who was a genius-level accountant referred me to a (*then new) book: The Delphi Method, Linstone and Turoff, 1975.
If spending $187 bucks for a paperback(!) there are higher-end and lower end Delphi books.
[Going Deeper: For someone like reader Mark in San Francisco, for example, a good reading choice might be USING THE DELPHI METHOD AS A DECISION-MAKING AID FOR A SMALL REAL ESTATE COMPANY, ($250). For people less immersed in an aspect of business, a more general read might be The Refractive Thinker®: Volume II: Research Methodology: The Delphi Primer which is $10-bucks for Kindle.]
I know; “Which has what to do with day trading?”
I think it was Michael Crichton’s novel Timeline where the description of “future solidifying out of quantum foam” made for a dandy description of how the future shows up. Essentially, all it takes (down at the quantum level) is one key Observer state to begin to change things.
Which is why people get prayer all wrong. Because they “pray on a problem” AFTER the quantum-level event has already locked-in. See how this works? There is not enough intending and talking to God‘ing in the world to put the genie of Future back in the bottle once it has “locked.”
Which is what Charles Capps brilliantly nails in his small (and inexpensive – $1.99) book “Calling Things That Are Not” is all about. Prayer is simply the local way for each of us to begin manipulating quantum potentials without the building of a CERN or pissing away billions. See, anyone can study how prayer works AND how quantum physics (and reality) works. You line up the data on how both are approached, consider the timelines, and then own your Observer State that “calls Future” closest to Source and enjoy a dandy Life.
It only works well if you buff-up your INTENT because an iron will intent puts you in the front seat with God/Universe/Source as a kind of under-study. A third level down student whose learning style is almost as in the Sorcerer’s Apprentice manner. Get a few pieces, screw it up, learn, re-try and level-up. Life is school.
Capps, unlike most Believers, gets much, much closer to the Source which is the energy and expectation level of Creator, if you’re following. Because Capps’ is working “up the timeline” prior to this moment’s events. The closer you can get to Source, especially “pre-lock” – then the bigger the influence of an energetic Observer becomes. Such that once you “see” a future – that very act of seeing, quantum physics assures us – locks, or at least biases, Future toward a specific (intended) outcome.
The Boolean Part
Oh – that. Trivial really.
We take what’s “observable” (like the market decline Monday) and project today’s action and lay it out like a “pay-off table” but it’s really just a Boolean truth table. Which as Wikipedia lays out:
“A truth table has one column for each input variable (for example, P and Q), and one final column showing all of the possible results of the logical operation that the table represents (for example, P XOR Q). Each row of the truth table contains one possible configuration of the input variables (for instance, P=true Q=false), and the result of the operation for those values. See the examples below for further clarification. Ludwig Wittgenstein is generally credited with inventing and popularizing the truth table in his Tractatus Logico-Philosophicus, which was completed in 1918 and published in 1921. Such a system was also independently proposed in 1921 by Emil Leon Post. An even earlier iteration of the truth table has also been found in unpublished manuscripts by Charles Sanders Peirce from 1893, antedating both publications by nearly 30 years.”
Blah, blah, blah. The one for this morning looks like this:
As you can see, with the futures pointing (at press time) towards a nicely positive opening, in fact one that just about exactly offsets the Monday losses, we infer the future bias of the Fed decision tomorrow has not been detected.
At the end of the day (prior to the close so we can get to the betting window!) we will assess the bias based on Monday and Tuesday trading and then attempt a judgment (guess) as to which mode we are in (buy or sell the rumor in advance of news) and place a bet (or NOT) according to how our indicators and bias studies align, Ton of workflow to it and Life is not about spending time in repetitive workflows, is it?
Which is nice, because it makes the odds reasonable appearing for us small-fry in the Casino of Wall Street.
Other Financial Notes
BTC was hanging around the $20,600 level earlier. Don’t know if that means more inflation, but Gold was also up $13-bucks early which may be seen as an inflation-case outcome to the Fed. Which could mean a half-assed hike. But, we’ll see.
And as we wait for the Fed decision to materialize (out of the quantum foam of Future) we see the pile-on crowd at the ready: Australia’s central bank says ready to go faster or pause on rate hikes as needed.
“Same as it ever was” advises Talking Heads.
Slop Jar Tuesday
The circus is coming to San Francisco! Suspect in hammer attack on Paul Pelosi due in court in San Francisco.
Joe the dicktater is back: Biden threatens tax hit on ‘war profiteering’ oil giants. Hollow threat if there’s a red wave, ain’t it?
Joe the Brilliant, captivating Orator is back, too:One week to train wreck! All aboard!
Nowhere for things to “roll downhill” to at Twitter: Elon Musk now Twitter CEO after firing entire board.
Need something else to worry about? Astronomers discover ‘planet killer’ asteroid that may one day hit Earth. No one knows what which day – but years out is a guess.
Say, how are Chicago’s gun laws (some of the toughest in the country) working for you? 14 shot, including 3 children, in East Garfield Park
Fed meeting gavels in today. Again, I wasn’t invited (damned if I know why…) Tomorrow the ADP employment report (I’m thinking weak) and the Fed decision tomorrow afternoon.
Should Non-Taxpayers vote? Seriously – shouldn’t only people with skin in the game vote? 40% of households will pay no federal income tax this year. Why that’s good news. That’s mob rule, not a republic.
Discrimination by any other name dept:If race is not a factor, why do schools ask? Sometime bullshit is blatant. Schools either run on merit or they are political instruments. Race is not a merit score. Pretty cut and dry to us.
Race Doesn’t Matter – or does it – dept: Kanye West Compares Himself to Emmett Till in Graphic Post.
Don’t you love what the woke dopes of Social Just Us have done? World’s gone from “What’s for lunch?” to “What’s for lynch?”
Write when you get rich,