News

You may (or may not, who knows?) have seen my note yesterday about how we “ought to see a rally” in markets – and it could be a smoker today.  Because Retail Sales will drop Monday.  Which could (in our delusional view) trigger the Fed to actually raise – not lower – rates on a short-term “emergency basis” … Read More

I only ask because the market has been screaming what seems to be an emerging future that will go something like this (not advice, just a dice roll, of course…): Gold will hit $2,400 overnight – Silver will hit $29 onite. Close today is a sucker deal for Bears – we expect the Dow to … Read More

Remember the lyrics that matter today?  (Cue Led Zeppelin, Stairway to Heaven) That’s because Retail Sales will be reported Monday morning. Sure, we have minor stuff now (Producer Prices and fresh U.I. filings in a sec. if you like looking up the supply chain’s hiney) and tomorrow we get some import-export numbers.  But it all … Read More

Wanted you to see how Minor 1, micro 2 turns into Minor 1, micro 3 down.   With this, our overnight trade which cleared in the extended session was up 3.978 percent overnight. Good thing we don’t do advice and I only mention my personal trades and then after the fact.  Though figuring out the … Read More

Ever wonder why miracles and woo-woo don’t happen more often? And what this might have to do with how we make a buck in stocks and other investments? OK, so it’s a longish ramble and lots of stats discussed conceptually.  But all triggered by a case of materializing silverware in our household. Woo-woo stuff. Much … Read More

With a huge nothingburger served up by the eclipse Monday, we had to wonder what would be moving in the following day to fill the “information void” that is an industry unto itself, anymore. Not much, turns out. Back when Mark Twain was (famously) editing an agricultural paper, “the news” not “dog bite man” but … Read More

Never let a good hysteria go to waste, we figure.  And with the Big Eclipse today, what the heck.  Counting Lemmings, anyone? Huge crowds await a total solar eclipse in North America. Our whole day is being planned around this event.  Even though it’s cloudy and unlikely to be seen.  No Sun? No problem!  None … Read More

With markets closed, we’re just marking time until we get through the eclipse window.  With rain in the forecast for zip 75803, it promises to be a non-event. Just in case, the UGSG website where you can find near real-time data on quakes is here:  https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/map/ Please make a note of it. When you get … Read More

It’s nothing new – an update on our long-standing “Threat Board.” But it’s a good morning for a super-quick “keep it together” walk-through.  Especially because there is an unreal amount of eclipse talk (hype) underway. For us, though, a more measured view of life helps with the blood pressure, attitude, and keeps the trigger finger … Read More

Although you have read it many times here, lately. Fed may need to raise if nothing catastrophic happens to goose the economy.  See Fed Governor Bowman says additional rate hike could be needed if inflation stays high (cnbc.com) for the primer. Risks and Uncertainty in Monetary Policy: Current and Past Considerations Governor Michelle W. Bowman … Read More

I have to stop eating lunch.  And this time it’s not just the scale speaking. See, what happened was I looked at the market Thursday, thought (based on method) “This is a cheeseburger set-up!” and promptly laid in 1,300 shares of my favorite short index 3X ETF.  In other words, head went into the noose … Read More

Up at 3 AM because that Big Stock Brokerage merger in 2023 resulted in a change to our Schedule D which means (in an abundance of caution) filing an amended 1040 to get the new Schedule D into the IRS system for TY2024.  God, to I know how to kick off and have a fun … Read More

You know a society is on the verge of collapse when people’s brains start falling into disuse.  It’s right there in Diamond and Tainter, if you read anything, anymore. But here’s a (we don’t write on Wednesday) note that screams will are dying from within: Seattle closes gifted and talented schools because they had too … Read More