Welcome to 2023 – Personal Notes

A lot going on this week and so no “ShopTalk Sunday” until next week. With the papal passing, we were dealing with our own loss locally.  Our beloved Zeus the Cat passed quietly last night after a long illness.  He was 96 in people years.  A good run for a feral cat lucky enough to find … Read More

Closing the Books on 2023: Not Very Good

A little “mood setting” is in order. Too many years as a rock & roll (and country) newscaster doing mainly mornings, teaches music first, then news. Perhaps “Wrap it Up” by Sam & Dave would work?  Or, perhaps, the “Long and Winding Road” would be better?  Well, to each their own. For us, Abba is more … Read More

Year-end Mini Rally – Reasonable Outlook for 2023

The market today will be starting (based on early futures) with a modest upside bias.  Which is due after the “downstroke” of the M that we posited earlier. Our outlook continues to expect a major decline in over-priced housing over the next six-months. Not to Be Conspiratorial But… My consigliere and I are both very worried … Read More

Housing Rollover Slowballs

As we’ve been telling you, with Housing loan rates in the 7.9 to 8.1 percent range (depending on military service, credit scores, lenders and yada, yada, we know that net cash to sellers is going down.  So, it’s only reasonable that prices would be along in kind. “NEW YORK, DECEMBER 27, 2022:  S&P Dow Jones Indices (S&P … Read More

Decoding an M Week?

This might turn into an “M” week. That is, up at the open today (if futures hold – housing will pop first) but then petering out after the commercials get back from stuffing presents.  That may lead to the “downstroke” of the M’s middle around tomorrow and into Thursday.  But a pre-holiday frosting rally can’t … Read More

Breaking Insanity: Too Scary to Contemplate

With the WEF promoting their global corporate-communism style agenda – buzz worded as “stakeholder capitalism“ (where corporations extend the evil concepts of the Citizens United case worldwide), the failure of the Ultra Rich con to ramp Covid into Global Governance under corporate auspices failing, the next Big Fear Sell is edging toward nuclear war. Someone’s … Read More

2023: Our Post-Civilization Planner

Since I’ll be on Coast-to-Coast with George Noory, and since markets in the U.S. are taking this Boxing Day off, what better time to sit back with a fresh cup of coffee and ponder the three major agenda items that all 8-billion humans face a week from now when New Year’s Eve shows itself. The CLOCK IS … Read More

ShopTalk Sunday: Cold Weather Lessons

Well, it all worked out: Styrofoam covers over the foundation vents.  These will come off when the weather warms to keep radon accumulation now. The “grow room greenhouse” worked great and even when it was on the backside of 8F for a few hours, we were holding over 40 in the greenhouse.  Tomatoes will still … Read More

Silpidity, Chill, Slide, Durables & Incomes – Whee!

It was a chilly 9° F when I began my commute to the palatial UrbanSurvival office today. The cross-country commute (65-feet from the greenhouse to shop door) was not quite as miserably cold as up north of us: My 74-years-in-the-making “news nose” did find one angle on the cold I haven’t read before:  The CO2 … Read More

Christmasy? GDP Figures, Dueling War Stats, Winds of Cold

The (super) early Futures pricing wasn’t showing much oomph prior to the GDP figures and the Chicago Fed data just out.  GDP first: “Real gross domestic product (GDP) increased at an annual rate of 3.2 percent in the third quarter of 2022, in contrast to a decrease of 0.6 percent in the second quarter. The … Read More

Housing Data and Christmas Horror Ahead?

We are beginning to wind down into the holidays. Tomorrow, though, a very useful Peoplenomics report on estimating small house/microhome projects complete with spreadsheet to do the heavy lifting, As a “mood setter” for this kind of project (son G2’s planning his build this spring) it’s useful to look at three things. Overall direction of the … Read More

America’s “Silver Bullet Syndrome” – Can Santa Save Us?

I don’t know where the idea of the “Silver Bullet” came from.  Perhaps, it was the Lone Ranger in the youth of Boomers. There was a lot of “silver” in that teevee series.  Lemme see: Jay Silver Heels played the BF Tonto. The original masker rode the (high-ho of Hi-Yo, or “Hi ho’”) Silver four-legged vehicle. … Read More

ShopTalk Sunday: Red-necking Winter, User Dark Theme

Detailed User Note and Follow up first:  User Theme is now adjustable.  That little “crescent moon and stars thing” in the lower right of the screen.  If that icon is black background, you are in Normal (light) theme.  If the icon is white background, then you are in dark mode. People like me who have … Read More