Division Work! Market Rallies – GovUp – Noise Floor Work

TL;DR:  You can see the headlines solidifying now: MAGA fractures, Biden to Cheney Funeral, and more. But the market loves a good story of long-division. With GovUp plodding, we’re hiding out from noise.

Long-Division Time

In the mid 1960s, I was part of the original New Math kids.  The Russian launch of Sputnik a few years earlier that informed America that our Math Skills would need improvement.  The School Mathematics Study Group published curriculum to address this void.  And I found myself tossed into advanced math classes – off and on – from seventh grade up.

I learned a lot – which is why electronics came so easily; vesicae and asymmetries aren’t so challenging – and actually expand thinking skills – when learned early.  I bounced in and out of the classes – much more interested in building linear amplifiers in early high school than reading some damn math book.

Besides – the new math, while good, wasn’t great for someone like me.  In fact, just today I picked up a copy of David Pimm’s “Symbols and Meanings in School Mathematics.”  Because once you know the symbols (you can forget a few at 77) reading math becomes like reading anything else.  It’s a series of visual concepts triggered by words and the symbols are mere operations and manipulations on Symbols.

To us?  …looks like America is trying to rediscover her center — the arithmetic mean of politics, if you will. And history says that when political extremes contract, markets expand. That’s your macro-math lesson for the morning.  Let see how the rubber hits the road.

Long-Division in News

With today’s Core Framer on the board, we can set the table with a bit of context.

America has been bouncing off its guard rails of late.  Democrats go too far left, MAGA gone to “high-Q” and the once solid support of Donald Trump is fracturing. Last week’s election returns weren’t the disaster the GOP had been pimping in advance.  In fact, the Dems:

  • Swept key races in states such as Virginia and New Jersey.
  • For example, Mikie Sherrill (D) was elected Governor of New Jersey.

To the the old-timers, it looks like America is trying to rediscover “her center.”  Which – as you’ve no doubt jumped ahead to figure – is how we get to the topics of “symbol-savy” amidst “long division.”

Now hand me that can of ground coffee, would you?

The News Nose

The coffee – if you didn’t know – is what perfumers use to “clear their sense of smell.  Try it sometime – especially before a gourmet meal – really adds to the experience of fine dining, though I doubt bean-sniffing will make it to the WH Grand Ballroom, any time soon…

Tuned up, let’s survey the wreckage headlines.

Our first focus is on Dick Cheney funeral: Biden to attend, Bush to deliver tribute.  Biden going to the Dick Cheney funeral? A dem?  Is this an olive branch or a formality?  Inquiring minds want to know.

But the internal fracturing of the GOP was on full display this week as House blocks GOP Rep. Nancy Mace’s censure effort against fellow Republican Cory Mills..

But, going the other direction, Trump to meet with New York Mayor-elect Mamdani at White House on Friday.  Again, formality or olive branch?

Nope.  Just a great Ship of State righting itself: Congress is finally standing up to Trump – and it’s not just about Epstein. I’ve seen this rodeo before…

We also sniff a soft-affront to the hardcore ultra-right as Trump Backs 28 Point Peace Plan as Washington Seeks New Path to End the Ukraine War.  Toss in the Trump-backed Gaza peace plan, and suddenly American centrism is coming around.

And the stock market loves it.  Even Bitcoin, which was going Coriolis at $88,828 is back over $91,000 this morning.  Inflation springs eternal in the hearts of capitalists…

Readers Down = Markets Up

I told you a few days back that a Big Rally might be lurking.  Today, early futures are up strongly.  Dow Futures up 250 312 and the S&P up 80 87.  But the smoker?  NASDAQ future’s up 1.8 percent – +450  – helped along by nVidia’s upside earnings pop. Monday’s column felt stupid Tuesday, but we’re often early to the party. That was laid out in the Peoplenomics ChartPack Wednesday.

But there’s one other thing ahead of what we think (without being financial advice) is ahead between now and turkey:  Urban Readership was down Wednesday. Down 23 percent Wednesday, compared with the previous week.  Being a pack of contrarians, when our readers leave the room if usually means the markets have been moved onto the launch pad.

With the government shutdown over, and agencies getting back to work, the only question is which news voids will fill and how good will the rocket fuel test.

GovUp Survey

7:30 Central and government news releases had been scheduled today – but this-here note from BLS was useful:

“Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTS)
BLS will not publish a September 2025 Job Openings and Labor Turnover news release. Data from the Job Openings and Labor Turnover survey for September 2025 will be published with the October 2025 data.

Employment Situation
BLS will not publish an October 2025 Employment Situation news release. Establishment survey data from the Current Employment Statistics survey for October 2025 will be published with the November 2025 data. Household survey data from the Current Population Survey could not be collected for the October 2025 reference period due to a lapse in appropriations. The household survey data is not able to be retroactively collected. The collection period for November 2025 data will be extended for both surveys, and extra processing time will be added.”

UI Filing Data Returns

Philly Fed Down:  We also notice the Philly Fed Manufacturing number…down ut markets are likely to ignore.

“The diffusion index for current general activity increased 11 points to -1.7 in November after a sharp decline in October (see Chart). The share of responses indicating decreases (31 percent) narrowly exceeded the share indicating increases (29 percent); 40 percent reported no change. The new orders and shipments indexes both declined and turned negative. The new orders index fell 27 points to -8.6, its lowest reading since April, and the shipments index dropped 15 points to -8.7, its first negative reading since May.

Texas takes the lead: Muslim Brotherhood Declared Foreign Terrorist Organizations in Texas by Gov Greg Abbott [WATCH]

“Maiden Voyage”, anyone? This should be easy: Herbie Hancock’s version or this one: Chinese Navy Continues To Grow And Improve – Armed Forces Press

Maraschinos

Yeah, the war on social media is ramping – which is why we don’t: You Won’t Believe This One – modernity

Pre-emptive censorship? Google Censored Vaccine Info Long Before COVID — Could It Have Anything To Do With Parent Company Alphabet’s Deep Pharma Ties? – The Manhattan

And care to match this? Swedish Man Sets Record By Shoving 81 Matches In His Nose — Have World Records Jumped The Shark?

Around the Ranch: Noise Floor Work

Elaine and I had a conversation last night you may find interesting:  It was about reducing our personal “noise floors” further.  See, one of the joys of living a “rural minimalist” lifestyle, with everything paid for, no bills, and a focus on good health, is worry levels tend to be low.  The lower you can make internal noise the more you can read the universe.

Statistically, you haven’t read my book Mind Amplifiers, yet. But one chapter deals with “dithering.” That’s a technique in digital [everything] where noise is deliberately added to a system to make signal more apparent.  What people do is similar:  (I write some of the best unpopular books in the world...)

Some folks are ditherers.  You may know a few – people who have to turn on noise in order to study.  We are both total quiet people.  We go into trance-like “direct absorption mode” when learning.  Even a gust of wind can break the magic upload.

Elaine – being an extreme visual person – also can’t sit near a window.  Her peripheral vision is so good that a bird flying by 300-feet away – out at the road in front of the ranch – draws her eye away from what she’s reading.

The other day, I came in from the office building and she was 1/3rd of the way through a book.  Normally, for the amount of time, she’d be a dozen – maybe two – pages in.  Then I noticed the detail:  She was in the e-Spa chair (wrote about that in a ShopTalk column long ago) and the drapes were pulled.  She couldn’t see out – which meant she could read undisracted.

With earlier nightfall this time of the year, we’re planning one or two TV-free nights a week.  We both still love to read.  Sure, love car chases and fictional adventures.  But the real job of World Observers is to learn a lot here because knowledge fed up to Higher Self is the true Durable Wealth you can take with you when the Earth Ride’s over.

Perception management is a cornerstone to knowledge expansion, in case you missed the memo.

Stiks’ Arrives in Oz!

From the Iridium: Safe and in swimming distance!  O

“All yesterday we had sweet 16-18, 21 gusts as we closed the last waypoint and set course across the final bay.

Water is no longer deep blue, buy green gray and shallow. Stowed the fishing gear, readied the anchor, got out dock lines, cleaned and ordered down below, and took in the dawn after a spectacular full night of no moon and a zillion stars.

Dawn came with the tiniest sliver of the moon and a pink glow that slowly wiped the Southern Cross out of the morning sky. As we entered the channel into the river, friends we haven’t seen for twenty five years came out of the harbor on their Leopard 45 cat to give us a proper ‘G’day!’ And we carried full sail until right in front of the ‘Q’ dock, came around head to wind, dropped the sail, switched on the motor and were alongside in two minutes under power.

Then came the ‘officiousness’ of border patrol and customs, no search, all documents, passports in order etc.. then we had to wait on board in the Q lockup until bio-security showed up and that was much more officious and stringent. She took literally everything ‘living’, including ‘seeds’ (rice, quinoa, millet, cardamon, cloves, flax, chia) and that we had on board including our friend the orchid that had been with us for 8000 miles.

Paid a big fee (513 AUD), got all the right approvals after a thorough ‘wood inspection’ down below (not much of that on this composite creature), and she then unlocked the Q gate and gave us the go ahead to take down the yellow flag and become temporary residents of the Land Down Under. We have heard that this port was the loosest for clearing of any on the East coast. Would hate to have experienced anything more than the hour of that which we did.

So that’s it. The ashes of our loyal Australian Red Cloud Kelpie of sixteen years are now back to her birth dirt, the wife is joyous about that, and returning to what had been her home with family and friends for almost thirty years.
Fortunately the moat is still in place and should be for my duration if there is choice about that. The floating here was an epic that will have to be repeated just because…
~Stiks
P.s… just met Darrel down the dock. He’s eighty and has a nice 44′. Has no use for living anywhere but afloat. He said the three best things in life are (1) orgasm (2) seeing the boat float out of the lift slings after a boatyard work week (3) sheeting in and turning off the motor. Sentiment I can agree with.

Countdown to Turkey

For the Day Planner:

  • Today: Make a list. If not the Ures, complete a HELOC app for Black Friday.
  • Friday: Doctor visit for labs, weigh-in, blood pressures, lube, oil, and filter.
  • Saturday: Liquor store run. Install zerk fitting on mouse.
  • Sunday: Quality check the liquor purchases.
  • Monday: Get turkey out of freezer and into fridge.
  • Tuesday: Fresh veggies run for The Big Day.
  • Wednesday: Eat light. Roaster on the roll-around cook station.
  • Thursday: Gobble, gobble, gobble. Grease mouse for Black Friday. Gooble….
  • Friday: Tryptophan recovery, Short Column 1/2 day in markets.
  • Saturday: Charts only in Peoplenomics.
  • Sunday: ShopTalk annual SST Sandwich column.
  • Monday: Weigh-out and repentance.  Liquor store run for refills. Cyber-Monday.
  • Tuesday: WTF? Did I really order all this shit?
  • Wednesday: Huh? More boxes of crap?

Yeah, seems like a plan.  Anything we can do to help.

Maybe this holiday I’ll finally finish writing my new children’s book, “Woke Adventures of Hansel and Griddle: A Witches Cookbook.”

Write when you weigh in…

George@ure.net

Older articles are here, the Visitor Center over this way.  Now send an email to 2.6 million of your closest friends and tell them how much fun this has been.

 

57 thoughts on “Division Work! Market Rallies – GovUp – Noise Floor Work”

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  1. Who else here heard Sputnik? Clear beeps on my S20R with 100′ long wire. Quite the intro to the Space Age!

    • Beeps? Hell! I’ve talked to live astronauts aboard the ISS… twice! If you can find the 2022 Field Day NASA photo of Commander Kjell Lindgren operating the ham radio… he is talking to ME in that photo. And I can prove it! George can verify it from the bottom of my QRZ.com web page.

  2. Yo G,

    Dam Dude – Ure last idea was Ure best..write Childrens books and let Ure G-ness flow. You can do it, ya lazy bastard.

    I know – thats why give work to busy People, assured they will complete the F-ing mission!

    Okay, 1st thing this morning I go down to office, power everybody up, flick on the Boob tube to CNBC, and set up rack on the Narraganset (9ft cutdown snooker table) faciong the Boobtube. The legendary Ray Dalio was AR Sorkins’ and Rebbecas’ guest this morning. I would recommend you review the transcript from this mornings show.

    Most Excellent discussion on Wealth versus Money, and how all these wealthy F’s have no clue that when they go to Sell Wealth to raise CASH, that no one will be Buying their Wealth..happens EVERY time there is puncture in the market.
    Discussed a Gold & Bond portfolio for getting thru troubled markets, profitably. Discussed Bitcoin – very interesting takes, Dalio admitted to 10-20% of portfolio being in BTC. Yerp it was all about MONEY and the new ways we think about it.
    Dalio is one of the good guys and a very sharp cookie, like laser sharps.

    • Heads up Fin whiz peeps, learned of a new hedge today. It was sitting right in front of my face, yet I never realized…

      Lets say Ure his Mathness and you are LONG Bitcoin..a One Billion Dollar Long BITCOINS position.

      How pray tell do you HEDGE a Billion dollar BTC long ?

      There just are not enough Calls out there to Sell against Ure Long BTC position..See a real Conundrum indeed.

      ???

      Bueller ?

      The correct answer, for youse Homegamerz and Hg groupies is STRATEGY.

      Fin news You can use – Sell Calls, MSTR, against Ure Long BTC for protection and prophets. An almost perfect BTC hedge..

      just like jumping Jack Flash said..
      “Its a GAS” – https://youtu.be/PDGThyiSSe8?si=c8A-dcYun7yObr3c

      • re: “Division Work”
        feat: turtles & their zones of convergence

        BCP,
        Yes, I’m sure George would make a fantastic childrens’ storyteller, and help us forget about a now-retired childrens’ author, the ex of Mr. Mountbatten-Windsor. May I address antipodes of Summer? I didn’t realize that Hollywood’s Edward Norton is a direct descendant of Virginia’s Pocahontas. Today is the anniversary of the wide release of his 1998 movie. Previously Pocahontas went to see King James I and met up with a Gravesend burial.

        Four hundred years later, Grok recalls an Australian Aboriginal Dreamtime story memorialized in the place of Neergabby (au: “place of the little turtles”; eng: “crying baby”), Australia. Gabby the turtle ended up with a long, thin neck from a Rainbow Serpent because of greediness playing with fire. Nowadays, little long-necked turtles guard precious freshwater pools about the region.

        Welcome to the Bermuda Triangle. As chance would have it, about 20,000 km. (3,600 leagues) distant lies Neergabby’s antipodal point near to Smith Tribe (Parish), Bermuda. It’s named after Sir Thomas Smith, treasurer of the Virginia Company whose machinations perhaps helped lead to the Great Massacre of 1622 and company demise in 1625. (A company co-founder, Gorge, is descended from a soldier of William the Conquerer and his coat of arms is a blue whirlpool.) Within parish boundaries lies a popular saltwater sinkhole (now closed?) attended by green turtles, and is best named Neptune’s Grotto around young ears. Adult audiences apparently call it Devil’s Hole. According to “The Bermudian”, Australian swimmer Annette Kellerman starred in the 1914 hit movie “Neptune’s Daughter” which was partially filmed at Neptune’s Grotto. Supposedly it became the first movie to bring in one million dollars. Here is a film poster of the period courtesy of “The Bermudian”:

        https://www.thebermudian.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/01/Horst-Augustinovic019.jpg.

        Who can forget the childrens “Alice in Wonderland” story of fantasy and its House of Cards? Unfortunately missing years of Mr. Dodgson’s diary prevent scholars from determining fact from fiction regarding Miss Liddell, Alice’s purported child model. The still-extant public social media account profile page of the late Virginia Roberts (‘rising11’) promises that “…the elites…are going down – the house of cards will begin to fall.” Tucked behind last in a final post gallery is an image of a “silent theory” brand attired family photo from happier times while vacationing in Rome. The outlook locale might be at Capitoline Hill from the Altar of the Fatherland. Centered in the image frame background stands the city’s tallest point, Michelangelo’s Dome atop St. Peter’s Basilica. A next earlier gallery sequence includes a black male chicken. As chance would have it, the image type may be associated with Dr. Hannibal Lecter’s chianti. A preceding post is a colorful statue portraying an Aboriginal Rainbow Serpent in Perth.

        Turning back another page, the poster pulls a rabbit out of the hat. An original of the image can be found on page 18 of the 1898 Victorian era edition of Lewis Carroll’s “Alice in Wonderland”. Alice has already jumped down the hole chasing after rabbit. Now in chapter 2, “The Pool of Tears”, little Alice almost drowns in a torrent of tears. Mentions of a serpent as well as William the Conquerer appear in later chapters. The following is an “Internet Archive” link to an image of Alice looking out towards rabbit on page 18 of “Alice in Wonderland” fairytale’s 1898 edition:

        https://archive.org/details/carroll-1898-alice-in-wonderland/Carroll_1898_Alice_in_Wonderland/page/18/mode/1up

        Pocahontas is commemorated at St. George’s Church, Gravesend, UK with a replica statue cast from the American original standing in Jamestown, Virginia. Her exact cause of death remains unknown.

        • Dude,

          WTF have youse tapped into ? One word, and only one word..TURTLES.

          Anywho – the picture you linked from 1898 edition had already been changed out by 1901 edition. Very similar pose of Alice – cept her hair is “colored” or shaded in darker, and the view/perspective is different. Yerp I am looking at page 18 of the 1901 edition..was my Grandmothers’. I had to double check the date/edition..was hoping for 1st ed. but alas not this storybook.

        • I Like that .. The allegory of the house of cards…
          Like Alice’s fragile House of Cards, today’s society is built on illusions of wealth and division. The dream of the best neighborhoods once inspired the common, and the middle class aspired to rise from the lower end. But unfiltered desire for more erased the goals themselves.
          THEN it happened….
          Employers, started chasing unlimited growth,and forgot the needs of their work families. The average laborer became the forgotten undesirable, while the poorest—the elderly and disabled—were branded “worthless eaters.” The higher echelons crowned themselves as the Queen of Hearts, ruling with optics and excess, while the struggling raced like the White Rabbit, forever late, forever behind reality. Without once contemplating that its those worthless eaters that allows them their position..
          The silent theory is clear: when growth is demanded without balance, when dignity is stripped from labor, the house of cards will fall. The elites may believe themselves untouchable, but their wealth rests on the backs of those they dismiss. And when the foundation crumbles, the tower….The wildest irony is that those at the top rarely pause to consider that their status rests on the very “worthless eaters” they dismiss. Programs designed as Good Samaritan hand?ups in times of catastrophe have been twisted into wage adjustments, tools for industry to balance its books on the backs of laborers.For those forced to seek these programs, the humiliation is doubled. The caretakers, social workers, and office clerks who manage the paper trail often amplify the shame, reminding the already broken that they are burdens. Yet without the respiration of these workers in times of need, those jobs would not exist at all.I have seen it in their eyes, heard it in their voices—the heartbreak of souls who never asked for help, except a few who did. Most were driven there by circumstance, not choice. Their dignity stripped, their spirit fractured, they carry the silent cost of a system that forgets its foundation. The hand up became a hand that pressed them down. great post Jester…a deep thinker.. those going through the toughest times are like the seriously abused..their souls broken and many times the tend to believe the deserve it..the quietest.. couple years ago now I was at a gas station..seen a young woman peeking in her purse hoping she had forgotten a dollar..no gas to get to work.. I filled her tank for her she started to cry.. she never asked for a dime.. it was the look I took her bags of groceries ..in her place there were huge holes in her floorboards because of a plumbing leak.. kids all wanting .. or the two little girls that the dad escaped the hood in Seattle.. grilling out hot dogs and I could see the hunger in their eyes they didn’t ask or geg.. I offered you could see the relief instantly..then the youngest..said it was the only thing they had to eat all week..out of the mouths of babes..some asshole dropped a months worth of groceries off at their door in the night..

    • BCP,
      ps: It just struck me that your mention of the Stones’ “Jumping Jack Flash” tune appears on their ‘Hot Rocks’ album kind of in parallel of sorts to the hot rocks of Gabby the Turtle from Neergabby.

      pps: As an aside, perhaps the publisher of this fine platform still has souvenirs of a Cayman Airways mascot, “Sir Turtle”?

      • Ohhh shitski Jester !

        This Turtle thing is starting to bug me out !

        Let it be knowns that I am a self admitted crazed Turtle collector. I have been collecting Turtles seems my entire life. When I workt for PA Fish & Boat as WCO – I was always knee deep in Turtles and other Turtley things.
        Ancient symbols of Longevity – not to mention the incredible significance ancients gave to Turtles, specially in ancient Slavic cultures =2 of 4 spokes of the Left turning Swastika, other 2 spokes represent the 2 ancient Germanic cultures – The White Root Races of planet Earth.

        Yeah a Turtle freak..now ya know.

        * Beware Turtles this holiday season -https://youtu.be/DIsgBAXQxR4?si=OGSqe1JttPBRK9pJ

  3. Hi George,

    I found this comment interesting: ” Down 23 percent Wednesday, compared with the previous week. Being a pack of contrarians, when our readers leave the room if usually means the markets have been moved onto the launch pad.”

    I am curious as to the why you think this is.

    Thanks

    • G.A. STEWART: Can the American people trust anything being released by both Democrats and Republicans?

      November 18, 2025
      Jeffrey Epstein’s Brother Claims He Heard ‘from a Pretty Good Source’ That Epstein Files Are Being Scrubbed of Republican Names…

      That is where the world is at today, and it matches perfectly what I first published in The Age of Desolation in 2007 and on this website on December 10th, 2007. The Global Elite will start World War III before they will sit before Congress.

      This is an Extinction Level Event.

      https://theageofdesolation.com/nostradamus/2025/11/20/the-divided-line/

    • Scott : most interesting part was if His Mathness is running site diagnostics to generate models of any kind. I ran data set *interpretation* for two sites. This was just for Principal discussion, business planning (never selling anything). The first was long form bookkeeping crunched for non-mathers. The second was largely server side generated. It was _stunning_ what one could “know” about site visitors. Stunning. ~ E ~

  4. Welcome ashore Stiks! Dry Land. Hard to walk on with sea legs :0)

    It’s better than most land though. The Down Unders are … different.

    irt : #3 the best part of every day is shutting down a diesel. Cush, cush.

    While in NZL the sun and stars made no sense. Loved the S. Cross …

    So, good news all round then!
    Leaving on that note.
    Always, E

  5. seems the “war” stress has eased up somewhat … “peace” deals all over the place …. so the story the sheep are eating up

    and a big wee hee … DOJ to release “the files” ……. the Black Marker teams working a bunch of overtime for next 30 days, got to black out those names out (again) … .LOL ……. as sad as it gets … only in the Land of Oz …. but who cares, markets up, beer and football weekend …. rise and repeat … good luck all

    “it just doesn’t matter” …………..

  6. My daughter accidently recieved a Thanksgiving sandwich at Arby’s with her take out order, which was a generous amount of sliced turkey, tons of mayo, stuffing, and cranberry sauce. I’m curious to find out what yours will be.

    I had a rare, painful drug reaction this week to the RA drug Rinvoq (optical myositis) which might never fully go away, so I am temporarily off all drugs. I decided to eat whatever I want for a few days. i had old fashioned Quaker whole oats with a dash of sea salt and a half teaspoon of butter. Wow, it was amazing. No sugar, no fruit, no milk, just delightful. As a kid I always added 2 tablespoons of brown sugar to my oatmeal, but I didn’t need it.

    • OMG! You just revived a childhood memory. Mom always made oatmeal on cold winter mornings. I got my steaming hot bowl with a generous pat of butter melting on it. I added the sugar and milk. But I haven’t thought of hot, buttered oatmeal for decades! Thank You! Can’t wait till tomorrow morning.

      • My Dad’s cousin who’s in his late 90’s says how he enjoys oatmeal with unsweetened applesauce for his breakfast.

  7. nvidia has a company song sung to the tune of flipper the tv series . everyone loves the king of the ponzis , forcing companies to buy its chips , the ones it acquired with plenty of debt , they call him nvidia, nvidia king of the ponzi . never pay dividend drowning in debt . you gotta have rocks in your head it has got the kingfisher effect . nvidia nvidia king of the ponzi

    • Shades of Ken Lay and Bernie Ebbers … ah the echos of their siren songs to the market sound so familiar.

  8. Yesterday “The Mrs.” wanted to go to the store.. She knew we didn’t really need anything., but just wanted to get out., and buy a bar of soap, or something! So.., off we went.

    As we were going in, we ran across one of my local trade-partners – hadn’t seen, or spoken to him all Summer long.
    He didn’t know who I was.
    His wife, looking rather run-down and tired, mouthed – “Call me.”
    I knew something was very wrong., so I said something like: Great to see you again., and we parted. She mouthed – “Thank you.”
    An hour after we got home from the store I called. [ We did buy a bottle of Chianti., yes – with the straw bottom.]
    He has an aggressive form of Alzheimer’s.., started in Feb-March. He is losing his memory at a rapid pace. I offered., but she has plenty of help and people waiting in the wings. So, not much I can do there. [ Not sure how I would have helped right now, either.]
    He was a great guy. Horrible to see him fade away like that.
    .., damn !
    * * *
    This morning I withdrew my name as a bidder on a 48foot sailboat. There were only five people that have pre-qualified, and two of them are sketchy. Beautiful live-aboard boat.
    That half-plan / half-dream is sadly.., now, forever gone.
    [ Ahh., but to dream ! What other animal can accomplish such a feat ?”]
    .., damn !!
    * * *
    We spent the afternoon making a couple of dozen Spring Rolls. [ I think I am addicted to those things, now.] Worked out very well. “The Mrs” had one.., then half a glass of Chianti.., then went for a nap.
    I cleaned up.., had half a glass of Chianti as I stared out the kitchen window. “Ahh., but to dream ….,”
    * * *
    “Stay Frosty ! “

    • “Ahh., but to dream ! What other animal can accomplish such a feat ?”

      Well, Dog’s feats move like they are dreaming…

    • A fiasco is a type of bottle. It is bulb-shaped and wrapped in straw that both protects the glass from breakage and keeps the rounded-bottom vessel from tipping over. Back in the day, if you spotted a fiasco you knew instantly what was inside: a tasty medium-bodied Italian wine that probably wouldn’t break the bank when you hit the check-out counter.

      Fiasco meant Chianti, which along with Lambrusco and Valpolicella, was the easily recognizable popular face of Italian red wine here in the U.S.

      https://wineeconomist.com/2023/11/28/fiasco/

    • good on yah mate .. when you come out of the hell you been just sit back and enjoy good things all day with your missus . cheers

      • Amen…. people wonder why I bake bread.. the mrs.’s likes fresh bread…and why I make wine.. when I was extremely sick and the wife had a TIA stroke..the company to bounce us off the insurance let her go..it is the business model.. well I got better.. since she had her whole life and all the years of dedication dashed in one swoop.. she would casually mention…I wish I had a little wine.. what good is the knowledge from all the reading I do if I can’t at least give my sweetie a little wine..and fresh bread..
        not sure how it will work..but I am going to try it.. on A show there was a guy baking bread but..instead of forming the loaf.. he would roll it then coat it with butter.. then fold it then form it.. on tv it looked amazing so I will try it.. had the DON show interest in KOJI.. ( she’s a kitchen gadget gal ) so I gave her the beginning starter spores and starter instructions lol..picked up several shifts..trying to be smart about it so I don’t get sick again.. sucked when they said I was dust in the wind lol.
        oh hey kansas..
        https://youtu.be/tH2w6Oxx0kQ?si=lrPBaX_fKGu2nuTy
        All I can do is…
        https://youtu.be/9uDf3K7Yg3o?si=aqPJiBI_WWpvfyOm
        and nothing is going to…
        https://youtu.be/B4c_SkROzzo?si=lWW7Unyftv1pU7yi
        the kids are giving me crap..they are afraid.. I pointed out what choices do you have.. one grandsons house payment is four grand a month..he makes 18 an hour.. new math old math use any math you wish..on an 2080 hour work year.. considering the old rule that housing is a quarter of your take home income.. what does he have to earn per hour?
        I see him going into the same pattern. .https://youtu.be/B4c_SkROzzo?si=lWW7Unyftv1pU7yi. the economy’s outlook..if that is common nobody’s gonna save you or the economy its up to your own ability. now what does that say about the presenting economic outlook.m this is common..the big beautiful bill is only optics as we transcend into the abyss..time to head out..
        oh I am going to fashion my own Riesling.. been contemplating what flavors will be good together..

    • Great news dLynn, glad for you both. A good bud, whose wife was already friends with my Mrs., sailed out of DYC (Detroit Yacht Club). As we opened the 1980s they invited us to share a 45-ish sloop on charter in the Caribbean. We continued chartering since it was a way to have all the best and none of the worst. Try it! At the end of the week you debrief what’s broken / breaking and hand the keys (there are no keys, but) to the Fleet YachtMeister.

      We came very close to buying a yacht together and putting it in the charter fleets. Then watched series of Canes wipe fleets. And some bases had poorly trained dock hands so boats went to shite. Decided it would be best to pass. I live on water and the other fella has a oceanic capable sloop sailing out of Bristol, RI. I got the better deal. We sail with that couple every couple years on their yacht.

      So, hang in there Frosty!
      Always, E

    • ‘The French Paradox refers to the notion that drinking wine may explain the relatively low rates of heart disease among the French, despite their fondness for cheese and other rich, fatty foods.’
      https://www.health.harvard.edu/blog/is-red-wine-good-actually-for-your-heart-2018021913285

      What cleans up fat better? Do the experiment, put fat on a surface, then wipe/scrub with dish detergent. Note results on the ‘control’ (detergent).

      Wipe the same amount of fat with alcohol, my observations concluded that alcohol worked better. Same effect in your arteries, it seems.

  9. Wednesday’s column took me longer time than usual to get through. Maybe some readers put off taking the time to read it yesterday.
    PS I’m still waiting for your feedback on my Mind Amplifiers review, so I can post it.

  10. I am between to-dos and thought to “park” this link in the clear, since the chat will soon become Fed-centric.

    How The Fed Deals Liquidity: The Monetary Toolbox
    By Michael Lebowitz via RealInvestmentAdvice.com

    source
    https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/how-fed-deals-liquidity-monetary-toolbox

    extra credit reading, go to Atlanta Fed GDPNow
    Latest estimate: 4.2 percent — November 19, 2025

    “… GDPNow is not an official forecast of the Atlanta Fed. Rather, it is best viewed as a running estimate of real GDP growth based on available economic data for the current measured quarter. There are no subjective adjustments made to GDPNow—the estimate is based solely on the mathematical results of the model. …”

    source
    https://www.atlantafed.org/cqer/research/gdpnow

    YFMV (your Fed may vary)
    E

    • Hmm Shot .. now casting and the USA economic outlook….The latest nowcasting signals are flashing red. Household data points—like a $4,000 monthly mortgage of my grandsons against his $18/hour wage—illustrate the widening gap between income and shelter. When housing consumes more than 100% of gross earnings, before accounting for food, childcare, transportation, and taxes, the model projects not resilience but collapse.
      GDPNow and similar trackers show growth estimates wobbling as consumer debt rises and discretionary spending evaporates. This imbalance mirrors the early warning signs of past crises: wages stagnant, costs spiraling, families forced into unsustainable positions.Leaving the vast majority of laborers in A situation of OSWN…. ( Oh shut what Now) and their ability to keep the noodle moving across the table.If this situation is left unchecked, the trajectory resembles the abyss of Weimar—where currency and household budgets lost all tether to reality. The spark of growth cannot survive when the hearth of affordability is extinguished. The nowcast is not prophecy, but pulse—and today’s pulse is weak. What I find that’s totally insane is how top tier of society and our political leaders cannot see it…The so?called big beautiful bill is not a foundation, but a façade. In the near?term, nowcasting models show it keeps the noodle moving—stimulus flowing, accounts appearing strong, and top?tier positions secure. Yet beneath the surface, wages stagnate while housing, childcare, and daily costs spiral upward.This imbalance is unsustainable. Workers, whose labor props up the accounts of the elite, are stretched beyond affordability. Their strain is the early warning pulse of the upcoming collapse and the very things that they held sacred destroyed. As GDPNow and other trackers absorb data on retail sales, housing starts, and disposable income, the trajectory points not toward resilience but toward the abyss.The irony is clear from my perspective: the very bill designed to preserve the top tier will eventually erode it and destroy the very business model they have been fighting so hard to keep in place.. just like our grid and how fragile it is..solar towers is the ultimate answer and handing out grid tie systems to keep it strong and resilient but it doesn’t fit the business model… When households can no longer sustain consumption and the economy erodes beyond the tipping point then,the the accounts of the elite implode. The workers allow those at the top to have their positions—but when the hearth flickers, the tower falls. The nowcast is not prophecy, but pulse, and today’s pulse is weak.

      • “Household data points—like a $4,000 monthly mortgage of my grandsons against his $18/hour wage—illustrate the widening gap between income and shelter.”

        Around the turn of the Century, Congress passed a series of seemingly innocuous Democrat-sponsored bills, ostensibly designed to make it easier for minorities to buy houses. What they really did was cause the “housing bubble,” as lending restrictions were blown-up and millions of people who could not qualify for a home loan and had no hope of ever repaying one, suddenly became mortgage-eligible.

        Before 2003, your grandson would have been allowed, by a bank or even a loan shark, to purchase a house, the total cost (P+I+Escrow for taxes and insurance) of which could not exceed 28% of his monthly income, or $750. Not only that, but the $750 home he could afford would have been a decent house in a decent neighborhood — not great, but decent. By going away, that one little rule made it so any financial institution could loan any amount of money using real property as collateral.

        The banks and sellers ate this up because sellers could ask stupid amounts of money for their property, and banks could loan it, with the expectation that most loans would fail and they would greatly expand their real estate portfolios at little cost & effort to themselves.

        It was this one silly little rule, the abolition of which caused the housing market to go to shit.

        Unintended consequences…

        • What’s funny..is I visit daily an area..every house in this development is betwe Ed n 475,000.00 to 675,000.00 .. they are building them at a house every three days.. the house will have a for sale sign and be sold in less than a week.. A month after being sold the vast majority of them will then go up for sale again..( my guess is they discover that in reality the wage structure here doesn’t support the cost of the home) what I get is one hour client what I make after travel and expenses is a five dollar bill for the visit….
          we got into a conversation this afternoon.. an old coworker and I et..I had an appointment and the lady said dam you look familiar.. we got talking and our paths definitely have crossed.. then she said..I don’t know how these kids do it..her daughter got one of those homes..the economic structure doesn’t support the costs..one of the managers at a large retail store.. made a comment.. most of the carts are nearly empty..except for the carts of refugees whose carts represent carts five years ago..at a food giveaway center they are seeing a huge increase..on the news right now is the story where parents can’t find or afford daicare.. one of my friends can’t get medical treatment because of finances and lack of health insurance due to a freak accident.. they are going to another country where a sibling got an appointment for them…the only thing keeping things afloat is credit and its fading fast.The latest nowcasting signals reveal a troubling divergence. Housing starts remain strong, yet resales falter as buyers discover wages cannot sustain the debt. Retail sales appear hollowed out, with carts half-empty and consumption shrinking. Credit balances rise, but the reliance on borrowing is unsustainable. Food insecurity grows, and healthcare flight underscores systemic cracks.
          The “big beautiful bill” may keep the noodle moving for a time, but it is scaffolding , not structure to keep an illusion alive until the next administration walks in. Beneath the surface, fragility deepens. When workers cannot afford the homes they build, the carts they push, or the care they need, the accounts of the top tier will eventually implode and the price of a loaf of bread explodes.. while ledgers appear strong they are actually losing the increases that are seen are being taken on the other end. Their wealth is tethered to the spending power of those below, and when the foundation crumbles, the tower cannot stand. The pulse of the economy is weak, and the abyss draws closer.Weimar here we come..

  11. “…I found myself tossed into advanced math classes – off and on – from seventh grade up.”
    “– much more interested in building linear amplifiers in early high school than reading some damn math book.”

    Yep. Blew through four years of math in three years of High School. In my senior year somebody had tipped off the electronics shop teacher about me. He stopped me in the hallway and inquired why I hadn’t taken his electronics class. I had to bluntly tell him I already knew everything he was teaching. It would have been an easy ‘A’ for me, but I had other electives that I needed for college prep. But the advanced math program stumbled in my senior year. We had completed everything for graduation, but they declined to introduce us to Calculus. We did silly stuff like statistics. So now in my Freshman year at the university I was again put into the advanced math class… which endeavored to shove us thru the advanced algebra that Newton had used to DERIVE Calculus! Not having any foundation in what Calculus was or was used for, I was completely lost. Failed that class. Got my First Class Radiotelephone license, quit college, and went to work in broadcast engineering. No diploma and no regrets. And no student loans to pay off!

  12. Dear Mr. Ure,, thanks as always,, I was one of those guinea pigs that got SMSG in 5th grade in San Diego (1959),, one of the original 7 schools.. All I ever knew was ‘new math’.

    Our school was next door to the ‘Board of Ed’,, so our class ,(one of 3 at our grade level) (was composed of kids from all over the central part of SD)(32 of us),, was ‘immersed’ and experimented on.. learned to ‘touch type’ and early Spanish in 4th grade.. lot’s of guest lecturers,, guys from Stanford w/clipboards…

    Don’t know if it did any good or not??? Surrounded by stellar minds (we all thought we were just kids?) Some went on to great success. Others just floated around the stratosphere– It’s always been an interesting view from up here,, ha ha.. and now I just hide in a tiny city in Kansas.. (with fiber internet, and a gaping mind),,
    Thanks for being a nexus for a great group. (all of you)

  13. OK.., I did it. I have gone and joined up.

    I figured I had better get with it – so I got a smart phone.

    .., damn – there is so much “crap” on these things !!

    Just how many ‘things’ can I disable – or – delete ?

    .., oh well. It’s needed now.
    .
    “Stay Frosty !”

    • I have always considered my “smart” phone to be a personal digital assistant… business desk and shop tool… in my pocket. I don’t load it up with crap. But there are some apps that are damn useful at times. GPS… Compass…. inclinometer…. morse code generator… noise level dB meter… etc. And I threw out my antiquated digital SLR. The Phone camera does a better job. My prime rule though is I do NOTHING financial on my phone! And I don’t access the web either unless it’s an urgent emergency. But it is my personal phone book with a lot of good features. No social media. It is not a small screen addiction to bury a ‘phone face’ into like the kids do as they walk inattentive into traffic.

      • https://copilot.microsoft.com/shares/EJk1uNcTUfxTPaYqQDiTn

        Phew well Hank here’s my thought laid out on solar towers..finally got co pilot to draw what I vision in my mind..a solar tower nothing fancy each tower working as a mini grid each home a supporting node to the system working as a cooperating unit.. The business model everyone wants is one placed to be a control over everyone not a unit comprised of many..sixty foot by three hundred or one hundred feet high.. The purpose of the solar tower is to act as a mini grid.. A grid tie system has to detect power in the line otherwise it shuts down for safety reasons..so technicians don’t get electrocuted the tower only activates the grid tie units in its cycle..the strength isn’t in o e massive tower as a centralized unit like the Mojave dessert that took up miles of land..this takes up a small portion at every substation..then hundreds of miles of homes each having grid tie solar system..for I don’t know why after me saying this for over fifty years this is the first time I got a visual of what I have been saying..I need to win the lottery so I can get one made.. My dream where the strength of the grid in unity.. The Indian reservation is doing similar a friend is overseeing it but even he doesn’t get the triangle tower..no one can see what I have in visions in my Mind..this is the first time.. Phew
        A solar tower with three 60-foot-wide faces and a height of 300 feet could generate approximately 1 to 1.5 megawatts (MW) of peak power, depending on panel efficiency and sun exposure. That’s enough to power 300–500 homes under optimal conditions.Now..Hank is correct..the sun doesn’t shine all the time as is the wind doesn’t blow all the time..the idea is where one isn’t the other is in a hive power generation system. China sees this and is building power systems all over in the event one fails the other picks up the slack. If one part is damaged.. That part can be isolated for repairs while the remaining continues in opefation. USA is addicted to control not unity..for profit not survival and that’s why the estimates in all studies suggest the extinction of the mass of the population..
        Surface Area Calculation
        Each triangular face: 60 ft wide × 300 ft tall = 9,000 ft²

        Three faces: 9,000 ft² × 3 = 27,000 ft² total panel area

        Solar Panel Output per Square Foot
        Average solar panel output: 15–20 watts per square foot

        Total potential output:

        Low estimate: 27,000 ft² × 15 W = 405,000 watts (405 kW)

        High estimate: 27,000 ft² × 20 W = 540,000 watts (540 kW)

        Accounting for Efficiency and Grid Tie Cycles
        With system losses (inverters, wiring, temperature): assume 75–85% efficiency

        Realistic peak output: 300–450 kW per tower

        If towers are placed at substations and cycle to activate grid-tie systems, they act as mini-grid initiators, not just generators.The strength is in the unity of the population..to work as a unit in teamwork to provide power. The need for the main generation systems would remain but the stress during peek power periods would be eliminated..the power companies would still be able to control production by installing activated high power shut offs similar to the ones they suggest today to cut usage during peek power demands..anyway I’ve been harping this since I was a teenager..this is the first time I’ve actually got an image that represents the image in my minds eye..I just would have to win the lottery to be able to oversee one to be constructed.. Build it and they will see..

    • Depends on what kind of phone and what operating system you bought. Typically the things come wide open for everyone in the world to know where you are, what you are doing, and serve up your data to anyone who is paying for it. Location and microphone privilege should only be given to a few apps. Look for an online tutorial. The only apps I pay extra for are security apps. Read reviews before you select a virus scanner and web security app. Next item to consider is a VPN. Again, read reviews.
      If you already have security apps on a PC, you may be able to get mobile apps for free off those licenses. My one MS OneDrive license provides all manner of PC and mobile apps. I have PC and mobile off the same security and VPN licenses.

    • That sux. I did it a few years ago because the phone provided a better viewscreen for my drones than the available monitor.

      Tain’t a thing wrong with my full-armored Kyocera flip-phone, and I’m absolutely not afraid to “recommission” it, should the need arise.

      My daughter has invested probably 40 hours, deleting BS, crap, and garbage apps from the phone she got last Spring. Every app that is installed on your phone, including all the ones you never use, occupy memory and draw resources, by default, just like “background applications” on your computer. Many can not be completely turned off, regardless their “settings,” and virtually all are security leaks of one kind or another. They ALL give your GPS location (default is 200′, hi-def is 2′), many “listen in,” (to focus targeted advertising) and most of the ones on my phone can not be completely “unsnoopified” unless the app is completely deleted.

      I do not have passwords on my phone.
      I do not make transactions with it.
      I do not have ANY financial apps on my phone, nor do I EVER use it to access my bank accounts.
      I do not have “Facebook Messager” or any other messaging app, except for “Signal” and the phone’s default texting app.

      You can install any of a number of browsers on a smartphone. My default browsers are Opera, DDG, and Tor, but I have Brave, Vivaldi, and the Startpage and Yandex browsers installed, for various, non-hacking, non-phreaking situations which might arise or searches which might need to be made.

      ALWAYS make a backup before you start jacking with settings or deleting garbage, even if you have to jot down settings (with pad & pencil) or backup to the cloud. You can always download apps you’d need, if you delete the wrong one.

      If you strip the phone before you add things like your phone contacts, you’ll only be backing up your settings. The settings should be generic, but that doesn’t mean you can’t delete a file your phone requires. You SHOULD add your phone contacts. You should also make a vow to never answer a call from someone not in your contact list.

      Initiate calls, don’t respond to them.

      When you respond, if the caller is a crank, you’ve just given him(her) a valid phone number they can sell, and they will. Everyone forgets this rule. When I forget (’bout once a year), I generally receive between 20-200 calls before the bots take my number off their lists.

      You may be able to find an online forum for your specific phone, where the members will have already done the work for you. My phone is latest-gen and came with a four-page manual that’s the size of a postage stamp.

      ALSO, you may not be able to get rid of everything. Daughter has a Samsung, which allowed her to delete the MANY DOZENS of games which came pre-installed. I have a OnePlus, which won’t allow me to delete the damn’ games.

      The most-important thing to remember is anything you do on that phone, or even just in its vicinity, may be identified, logged, and intelligently extrapolated to provide your location and an amazing amount of information you are not accustomed to providing, to a huge number of entities whose interests do not coincide with yours, and who have no regard whatsoever for either your privacy or well-being.

      Always, be aware…

      and “Stay Frosty.”

    • Not mentioned. Go out and Google how to REALLY TURN OFF your phone.

      Nope the power button on the phone WON’T do it and one can no longer take the battery out.

      It will be a complicted procedure but do it a few times so you get comfortable with the gyrations you have to go through to actually TOTALLY SHUT OFF the phone.

      OH … and over time as they “update” the phone’s security software or the operating software guess what? They CHANGE how you can fully shut down YOUR phone!! I know with my Motorolla they have changed the procecure on how one does an actual HARD SHUTDOWN twice since I bought my phone. Evil Fockers.

        • I gave air tags to a friend..her husband had a head injury.. and will wander iff..see a house and just walk in.. can’t afford long term care.. can’t afford a job either.. ive been bringing food when I can..kids that age have never had to dance with the devil in healthcare collections..its a whole new world to experience..been there done that lol.. the good thing today is their collection agents can only harass and take..they can’t walk in and lay a gun on the table li ok e they did with me when I owed hundreds of thousands lol..

  14. George,

    Ongoing appears to be a 2025 daily SPX fractal replay of the 1929 incipient crash with its peak valuation on 3 Sept 1929 …

    7 April 2025 1st Fractal 53 days X’ composed of a
    10/25/20 day ::x/2.5x/2x 3-phase fractal series and ending 23 June 2025

    23 June 2nd Fractal 2.5x 132-133 days expected ending 31 Dec 2025

    Composed of quantum fractal growth:

    4 sequential 3-phase growth fractals series:
    29 days: 5/13/13 days :: x/2.5x/2.5x
    22 days 5/11/8 days :: x/2-2.5x/1.6x
    29 days 6/12/13 days :: x/2x/2-2.5x
    14 days 3/7/6 days with an intraday peak valuation on 29 Oct 2025

    And composed of interpolated Fractal Decay:

    Incipient Decay begins in terminal growth on 27 Oct 2025 and ends on 31 December 2025 with a
    7/17-18/14/10 day :: y/2-2.5y/2xy/1.5y 4 phase decay crash fractal series with lows on days 7, 17-18, and day 14 on the respective 1st, 2d, and 4th fractals and a lower lower final high on day 14 of the 3rd fractal where y = xy and xy denotes a 3rd fractal lower lower high final peak.

    In 1929 the 3 Sept peak valuation was contained in the 8 day 3rd fractal of a 12 Aug 1929 3-phase 5/11/8 day :: x/2-2.5x/1.6x days terminal growth series. The 30 Aug 1929 terminal 8 day third growth fractal became the incipient base 1st fractal of a 8/19/16/12 day fractal series ending 13 Nov 1929 following the same y/2-2.5y/2xy/1.5y 4 phase decay crash fractal series pattern.

    Tomorrow is day 14 of day 17-18 of the 2nd fractal should begin with a gap lower valuation at the start of the trading day ….

  15. “In the mid 1960s, I was part of the original New Math kids…
    …I found myself tossed into advanced math classes – off and on – from seventh grade up.
    I learned a lot…
    …the new math, while good, wasn’t great for someone like me.

    I didn’t like the “new math.” I liked the old math — specifically, that math developed by an old Jew who created it in an effort to keep himself alive and relevant in one of Hitler’s internment camps…

    I taught myself the Trachtenberg System in the 5th Grade…

  16. “Our first focus is on Dick Cheney funeral: Biden to attend, Bush to deliver tribute. Biden going to the Dick Cheney funeral? A dem? Is this an olive branch or a formality?”

    Neither. Cheney was a neocon. IOW they were both on the same side of the aisle…
    ________________________________

    “But the internal fracturing of the GOP was on full display this week as House blocks GOP Rep. Nancy Mace’s censure effort against fellow Republican Cory Mills..”

    That I know of, we’re still “innocent until proven guilty” in this country. I like Mace, but she was out of line. Mills should be investigated, not censured. Plaskett should probably be censured, since Epstein was texting her questions to use on someone being grilled by Congress, but she’s a “non-voting member” and so, IMO shouldn’t be on any committee, anyway.
    ________________________________

    “But, going the other direction, Trump to meet with New York Mayor-elect Mamdani at White House on Friday. Again, formality or olive branch?”

    Again, neither.

    Trump will meet with any political leader who requests an audience. Note, Mamdani requested the meeting, not Trump, despite the way the article was framed. I guess some of us are more susceptible to subliminal suggestion than others…
    __________________________________

    “And care to match this? Swedish Man Sets Record By Shoving 81 Matches In His Nose — Have World Records Jumped The Shark?”

    You should see where he shoved the candles…

    • I can hear the tribute to him already…ashes to ashes dust to dust. now lets get the he’ll out of here, before our cars star to rust..

  17. “But there’s one other thing ahead of what we think (without being financial advice) is ahead between now and turkey: Urban Readership was down Wednesday. Down 23 percent Wednesday, compared with the previous week.”

    Or, it could be some of us blew out our shoulder (again) and are trying to play “hard catch-up” with a world in which we currently can’t keep up…

  18. Cultured milk products..
    we all know yogurt sour cream etc.. but butter!
    yup and for tool sluts a cheap paint stirrer in A gallon jar lid.. culture your gallon of cream ( fresh cream) with buttermilk.. let it stand at room temp or in your proofing bag or on a seed starting mat for a good day..

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