Busy as hell around here (though I know it has been coming). Spring is in the air and for one old man, two deck plans and a generator shed plus greenhouse repairs, plus… well, to the column, huh? VIX, Volatility, and CFNAI We figure another hard down (or blow-off rally) will happen this week. Because … Read More
With our Presidents Day activities (getting a scalar prototype out the door this week_) most of today will be devoted to work in Ure’s Old Man Lab. I don’t talk about it much – people’s eyes tend to glaze over, but it’s a very well-appointed place to hang out and do work on the fringe-stuff … Read More
With the strong rally in the stock market Thursday, the markets had the “look and feel” (to us) of getting into a “Buy the Rumor, Sell the News” mode ahead of today’s Retail Sales numbers and the Fed Industrial Production data shortly. The Fed has already taken away the punch bowl with the appearances of … Read More
With inflation back *(as we explained in the Peoplenomics report Wednesday), you’d naturally expect PPI to jump and that’s not even taking in tariffs: “The Producer Price Index for final demand increased 0.4 percent in January, seasonally adjusted, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Final demand prices rose 0.5 percent in December 2024 … Read More
I apologize for not approving comments Monday – I was simply so immersed in AI working on tomorrow’s Peoplenomics report, that I literally lost track of time. OK, so what’s so interesting? Well, there are two articles in the works. The first one – tomorrow – is titled “40 More Years from AI.” In it, I show … Read More
We will be getting a lot of work done here this weekend: With most of America distracted by competing delusions. First is the hysteria over Elon Musk, who is trying to get a handle on “Where’s all the money been going?” The left (and slow-motion Marxist insurrection) is going absolutely crazy because the Deep State … Read More
Super short column this morning, as I have been hip-deep in (stuff) around here. Doctor appointment for usual blood draws – I may live a while longer, lol. Comments on safety of Zetia are welcome in Comments…. Job Cuts Markets had a good day Wednesday, but we are becoming concerned (with DeepSeek and all the foam … Read More
Market futures were down following yesterday’s rally at an unusual time. In our Aggregate markets view, the Tech sector had continued to lag and could not reach a “necessary kiss” at overhead resistance. When we look at our Aggregate Index (an index of indices of U.S. markets), we are just now “walking resistance higher”. In … Read More
Legal Scholars will have their hands full: As a final insult to America on his way out the door, Biden pardons Fauci, Milley, and members of the Jan. 6 committee | AP News. We aren’t sure this is legal because crimes have not been charged. So we put the question to A.I. Yes, a president … Read More
Damn. This is one of those glorious news days. When all I need to do is write an intro line to each item in a whole stack of important news releases. So, while we wait for “what goes up” (to run the retail shorts ahead of options and wait for the inevitable downturn), here’s today’s … Read More
My friend, the Economic Fractalist, believes Monday could be an interesting one in Markets. While the take over on his site is largely based on fractal economics, the secular news flow is also loaded for firing. And it may not be just rock salt. Jobs for Sheeple OK – super weak November jobs report from ADP … Read More
Cold enough people’s brains freeze, is how we figure it. One of our 3806 ham radio cohorts (“coffee good…” John) works for one of the Big Box stores here in Texas. And going to work Sunday, you could almost make out the “concern” in his voice. People go a bit nuts when Big Snow or … Read More
Early today, the Futures were pricing in a good-sized decline. Dow Futures at 7 AM Eastern were down about 170 and it looked like the S&P and NASDAQ were on similar pathing for four-tenths of a percent drops. Meanwhile, after hitting $106,490 Tuesday, Bitcoins had fallen to the mid $95,000’s. While the market continues to … Read More