Housing Up–Rate Hike Pressure?
New York, November 24, 2015 – S&P Dow Jones Indices today released the latest results for the S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price Indices, the leading measure of U.S. home prices.
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Coping: A Large Helping of Woo-Woo
But I have also done enough research into the future, means of predicting, and how predictions come to pass, that I also don’t scoff at people’s ability to plug in to bits about the future, either. There is something to it – I’d stake my life on it. Once you’ve experienced knowledge at a distance whether he measuring stick is space or time, it changes your outlook on life.
Coping: Saved by the To-Do List
I call it my LOSTD (list of sh*t to do) and it gets updated every morning after this morning column is done. I also do a “master list” of things I want to fall into place this week. One of these is get the airplane finished (a designated engineering representative has the ball on that while we ask for a minor/trivial variance from an airworthiness directive (AD) which is just another way to turn an annual airplane inspection into a money-sucking pit. The payoff is a safe airplane. The week’s master project list includes the 6-month, 50,000 chew tooth inspection.
Coping: With Davos, Our Forgotten Humanity
Very rarely will I have something to say on the UrbanSurvival side of things (free) that has been said on the Peoplenomics side ($40/year). But some observations made in Wednesday’s column are important enough, I think, to be posted here on the free side. Better late than never, I suppose. How long have I been telling you, both here and on the UrbanSurvival website, that people lack confidence in the future, don’t trust robots, government, surveillance, or what we’re doing to the environment and each other? Yet it was not until this week as the World Economic Forum rolls in Davos that someone, Nobel Prize winning economic Robert Shiller, told CNBC that people are afraid of the future and that’s why bond prices are not being bid up.
Coping: With Gold, Gardening and Rainy Days
Maybe you haven’t been watching closely, but read Ure’s lips: Food (and its sidekick water) are the ONLY issue that we need to be worrying about in the intermediate term. Oh, sure, you can debate endlessly the pros and cons of Hillary versus Cruz, but that would be yesterday’s problem. The “art of the deal” around here is being ahead of, not behind, the curve. So I pass along this from Oilman2… Europe was inundated with flooding 18 months back – poor crop yield.
FDO (Friday Day Off) – Coffee and Ciao
Three Financial Waves Are Beginning to Interact – as if the “slipistration” of the market isn’t evidence isn’t clear enough yet. The morning’s most important observation is not any single headline. It is the interaction between three systems. If you’re on the Home Edition, here’s the layout: Wave One: Energy inflation. Gulf instability raises the cost … Read More
Circ-Fi, Div-Death, Fin-Wreck Plus Fall Antenna Season
Last week, my consigliere called to (again) remind me of the dangers of circular finance. See, he used to have a national client that made the bulk of its growth -for years running – with competitors selling facilities among themselves. And the problem? Accounting is generally about relationships between two companies. When things extend out, past … Read More
October Surprise Worry? World on the Low-Down
Watch the Calendar and the Blow Off? Weather, calendars, and who is craziest are keeping what little attention they deserve for the rest of the week. Peoplenomics is where we’ll look at what could happen “with the music stops” but the market was up over 400 points Monday so it’s an article of faith that … Read More
Friday Kind of Day
Software Hell Again — Thanks, Microsoft (NOT!!!) There was an overnight update to MS Edge which managed to roach half the useful stuff on my computer — hid links, moved tools around, and somehow scrambled display settings that had been working perfectly well yesterday. Like we don’t have real stuff to do? When will software … Read More
ChopShop Sunday: OTH and ENSO
I will be keeping most of the latest details on our Over-the-Horizon software work over on the Peoplenomics side of the house. There is some very sincere research underway now, and I think we may be getting close to a useful way of separating actual forecasting from the very human tendency to recognize the future … Read More
Markets Need JOLT Higher, Water Woes and Glacial Blame, Retiring
First, we have to address the obvious. The Replay of 1929 scenario may be running out of steam more quickly than expected. Already rumors are floating around in server farm world that projects will be delayed three months in some cases. But of course, there will always be talk (and grousing) in the trades. Hormuz … Read More
Upflow, PPI Ties, and Digital Teamsters Sharpen Future Search
“Ah, my fellow digital teamsters”, I announced to the AI flock today. Not needing coffee, they were quick on the uptake: “Good morning, George. Digital Teamster has a damn nice ring to it. Not assistant. Not chatbot. Not “AI companion.” Digital Teamster: shows up before dawn, knows where the tools are, remembers what we were … Read More
Market Prehavior. TAT, JOLTS Coming, and Headworm Ointment Now Free
BTCH (Before the coffee hits), here’s your “carbon” econ training: Behavior is what people do after the stimulus arrives. Prehavior is what they start doing before they know why. As you stretch your legs and become more of a domain-walker, one of the “in Ure face” deficiencies of “modern” language is that it was crafted by silo … Read More