Hit: “The Double-Top”

I want to take you back a ways. November 8, 2021.  Dow closed at 36,432.22  while the S&P nailed 4,701.70.  Off to the side the NASDAQ rolled up 15,982.36.  Our Aggregate Index ended the day at 41,953.86.  The Yahoo Finance history notched an adjusted price of $67,566.83 that day, as well. Then there was Monday’s … Read More

How Bitcoin was Stolen by Banksters, Red Finger Madness

What have we told you since BTC was launched? Don’t touch cryptos with a 10-foot pole.   Takes a while for us to be right sometimes. But in the long run, we usually get there.  Now we can pretty clearly see how NY Financiers are stealing the whole Crypto game and will be screwing “little people” … Read More

Sugarplum Incomes, Durables, Giftery & Cookery

OK, so the word “Giftery” doesn’t seem to be in the Oxford Engrish. Uppity damn Brits, anyway. Everyone here knows that giftery is the fine art of giving unto others, so they will give unto you” at well-managed levels both in terms of time and resources. Perplexing no end are the mysteries of giftery that will periodically … Read More

A News “Devaluation” Lesson, Santa’s List

Other than a Biden motorcade incident, drone lobbing, and NATO getting ready for war with Russia (over Ukraine’s aggression/taking of Russian-speaking lands), it’s just another Monday. With a week to shop for Christmas which is a three-day weekend ahead and New Years the week after. Devaluing News I wanted to begin with a simple lesson … Read More

Markets: In a “Fedstyria” Blow-off?

Yeah, the market rallied in a hysterical way Wednesday when the Fed: Did nothing In an unchanging war-crazed world During a domestic political nightmare In an over-crowded, resource constrained world Amidst headlines about stocks hitting “records” Seriously, Bubba?  In reverse order, let’s put some neurons to this, shall we?  In reverse order – because the … Read More

Deadly Downside Day + “Do Quotients”

Although we don’t offer financial advice, we do nevertheless write and opine on both economics in general, the long waves within economics, and some of our own independent research very specifically. Thus, we feel somewhat driven to announce this is likely to be the transition into? Deadly Downside Day We begin in the general economics … Read More

Housing’s Hot, But…

Too hot to keep the odds of another Fed hike at zero? NEW YORK, OCTOBER 31, 2023: S&P Dow Jones Indices (S&P DJI) today released the latest results for the S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller Indices, the leading measure of U.S. home prices. Data released today for August 2023 show that 13 of the 20 major metro … Read More

LW Ugly, OEB, and CFNAI

That small list – three items on today’s agenda – will cover more ground than the evening news will tonight.  The reason has to do with longitudinal versus latitudinal events in the art of “deriving future.”

Contrarian Time Out – Ex-Im Data

Stock Futures were pointing to a weak open, earlier. Buoyed when better than expected import prices data hit.  But this doesn’t mean the downside won’t open over the weekend.   In fact, this weekend could be early. As a result, we’re going to “sit this one out.” An old investing axiom is “The Crowd is usually … Read More

Market Data Screams “Worry!!!”

There is a reason our Peoplenomics report Wednesday focused on the light-up (into World War 3).  Because the waveforms are screaming odds of a replay of 1929 are materializing before us. Consider this view of the pre-Depression Dow and our own Aggregate Index work which is a meta index more suited to widely dispersed modern markets: We … Read More

Another Day of “Resource Wars” – Job Cuts

My consigliere’s concept that “World War 1” is replaying in Ukraine – very much in the tradition of Guns of August – continues to ring true. We can skip the question of whether there will be a third Battle of Tannenberg (read on the seccond one here), but yes, it’s in Poland. And that’s why the escalation … Read More

Huriquakes? Markets Pensive

No, you won’t find “huriquakes” in the O.E.D. But it was something mentioned Saturday morning to our Peoplenomics subscribers: “What not many are aware of is the problem of Earthquakes that can accompany very low-pressure systems. The Los Angeles Times mention, as long ago as 1988 that low pressure could be a driver of earthquakes:  Air … Read More