We like to organize our thinking early Monday. You know, sort out the week of crap ahead, see where the sheep are being led, see “who’s talking their book” on markets, plan for the bumps, and prepare for the chasms. Such orderly thinking leaves additional processor clicks to keep an eye on the exoquartiles of Life.
The Exoquartile Mind
Most people’s thinking is clouded not to much by “the data” but rather now they view the data. We’ll be deeper into this in Peoplenomics Wednesday – though we promise to go light on the math – but there is a very keen point to managing your though processes to be learned here.
Let’s lay out concept of Exoquartile Thinking as a complex mathematically based metric approach to Life. Spock would approve; so would Data.
Let’s Go Gaussian!
Mental Picture #1: Some Gaussian Distributions: (from Wikipedia)
All part of power density functions – which we will pass on – except that fellow Extra Class Hams will immediately recognize this as how IF passbands look (with clean broad spectrum source) when understanding bandwidth.
[ In which case, think of Blue as CW., green as SSB response, while green might represent a wider AM bandwidth, leaving finally orange which approximates to antenna trimmer adjustment, for example….]
This sounds like gibberish, but every news item, stock quote, or conversation is passed through mental filters. At differing “sharpnesses” depending on your interest in the data set.
OK, put this aside as Point 1:
IQR: Questioning Quartiles
Understanding mental input is a distribution on whose central tendencies we are trained (or conditioned) to perceive, we can now look at the IQR – or Interquartile Range.
We create this by looking at that “hump” of data, and then planting vertical lines, like so:
(Again, I used a low-quality screen snag being a high-speed but lazy writer. Who holds to the premise that “The mind is faster than the graphics display in the (Outer World, eh Glaucon?)
The dark blue “middles” of each are the IQR – interquartile ranges.
Most of how you experience Life is in the IQR. Has to be – because of your mental passband tweaks, shopped by you or installed by Others, including down at the (ooooh what a feeling) subliminal range.
Right then. Basic stuff. The Dark Blue is where you’re comfortable.
Difficult Word Choicing
I checked a number of math references, and I could not find one suitable as as an antonym for “interquartile.” So, I chose exoquartile over disinterquartile, although my brain police quickly intervened citing Pearson:
Well, yes, but Pearson reveals bias to labling disinterquartiles as distance, you see? IQR is not a non-dimensioned axis. Thus would apply to any Big Data problem (including how thought works). Dis as the prefix, meaning
“Apart” is misstated at risk of interring a dimensioned axis by selecting the word “distance” which we’ll sort out before lunch…
Roping Your Interquartiles
We have just served for breakfast a large part of today’s thinking. Loving your exoquartile data inputs for Life: In the area of the purple arrows, like so:
What is really cool is to be able to look both at the exoquartiles above, but also within the IQR itself.
Next Problem is Weighting
Depending on your local processing environment, you might be required to live in the IQR headspace. Peal “peaky.”
On the other hand, where Elon Musk is gifted is that he’s most adept at jumping from his interquartile thinking (of very high order) for things like doing Tesla engineering issues on the one hand. While at the other, dropping into exoquartile on the other (for things like doing the Joe Rogan show, for example) when something beyond “Geek” needs to come through.
Key Takeaway 1: People who are quartile jumpers like Musk are “quartile ignorant” to their great credit. People who are habitually locked IQR either increase the diffusion of innovations throughout society (after Rogers).
Key Takeaway 2: Via both Skinnerian operant conditions, and by genetic predisposition, everyone has what I would describe as a Trans Interquartile Friction Coefficient. (TiqrFC).
Humans, being like fish tend to “school-up” therefore, not only in their area of specialization, but also likely clustering by TiqrFC. The fast thinkers don’t usually hang with the super-dense.
Understanding the difficulties of empaths, for example, we see them as spending much higher brain cap utilization in the exo range. Which the extremely narrow subject matter experts (SMEs) then to never leave the absolute peak.
It’s all a useful kind of reductionism that helps map our waking-state minds. You can also now understand who the Gregoc approach to psychological topology mapping gives a great additional tool which, when coupled with TiqrFC), forms a mappable complex computational topology from which additional work in psychology should be along one of these first days.
IN BRIEF: The news editor’s problem is always in trying to guess where today’s U.S. Interquartile Mob is playing. Supplying a required amount of “mid channel” data flow for comfort, yet at the same time, challenging (readers/viewers/listeners) TiqrCF content to properly sort shared life on earth.
P.S. Leave Empaths generally alone; they’re already somewhat dysfunctional from their TiqrFC being too low already. They need either more beliefs installed (to return to more IQR central OR the need to sign up for nunnery or seminary…OR, they need to recenter existing beliefs more mid channel of the IQR.
Peaky middle to the GPiqr (general public interquartile range) has been promoted by the mainstream. In stories like “Mystery as ‘dead’ captain of sunk Russian flagship Moskva filmed at ‘survivors’ parade as hundreds of sailors missing (the-sun.com)”
In this, we have ac expectation distribution (over whether the ship was sunk, or whether grand staging of propaganda is involved. But we can’t derive a useful conclusion yet, because on the war itself, we could still find:
- It’s a Global Government Psy Op – keeps people riled up and paying taxes. This works if you believe all governments of the world merged a decade back and is just “playing us all” while they figure out how to build a tenable IQR to tax, rule, and dominate…,moving to single global currency, too. Wars are financial frictions.
- It’s Values Collision: The EU is doing “Portugal to Vladivostok” (2104, sot Juncker) while Putin argue for a Russia from “Vladivostok to Portuga;” (2022). This is a good fit, depending on your TiqrFC. We know this one to be “still on the table” as part of our Manufacturer’s Resource Wars paradigm developed more than a decade back.
- It’s a Synchronization Battle: The U.S. and West celebrated both Easter and Passover during the past week. But, with Russia’s Easter next weekend, could there be a Neocon’s meet Da Vinci Code kind of plot going on involving “ancient orders?” Replay the green sands of India war, anyone? Still, there’s the ideological “out of synch” issue.
- It’s An Accident! Yes, a bumbling president, bully NATO, 3economic house fire, and a sleeping flock globally and digitally? Of course, this one remains, but it’s less likely being what Propagandist’s use most often when trying to “write broadly” and over the entire exo-inter range. We therefore underweight this in our thinking.
We will play Competing Body Counts until this time tomorrow.
The Daily Plannert…
(Such a feeble attempt at humor linking of Superman’s newspaper and Day-Runner, I’m surprised it slipped by….)
Far too serious; too deep. Feel free to spill some coffee on yourself – I find it braces the mind for what’s next.
Quiet Monday: The stock market did not collapse over the Holiday. Early futures were pointing to a slightly lower open. This will set up a possible rally later. World didn’t end, and our inclination to hold cash over the weekend was instinctually good. You’ll have time to get your coffee burns treated.
Currency Action: Equally important (setting our rally) expectation is that gold is up and the purchasing power of the US dollar vis Euro is declining. Which means (with the dollars less) it will take a larger number of them to “buy the market). Consequently, people will think “Ah Market going up!” which it’s also a function of money’s being worth less.
Tuesday’s Outlook: Since only minor treasury action is set, we will have to await federal housing data tomorrow morning.
Wednesday: Peoplenomics on clearer thinking of “misrepresented data.” But no math to it. A Petroleum Supplies report may light off some hairdo’s mid morning. And the Fed’s Beige Book after lunch.
Thursday: After such a boring week, plan on the market looking to Philly Fed data and weekly jobless filings for excitement. Lots of Treasury auctions, but you don’t bid, do you?
Friday: At last – the weekly finish line is in view but not until after a mid-morning PMI number which is about all she wrote. Coffee burn bandages come off.
STFF: (Short-term Future Forecast)
Not a lot of movement seen in all this…
Except that economic problems from China’s real estate malinvestment are still percolating through the system.As people try to restructure a good pile of debt, some M&A disposal sales might be ahead but not yet. Too early.
Warned of Hitler’s B-Day: Some years back I read a few papers about how clusters of really evil events happened around Hitler’s (April 20) birthday each year. So-warned, be mentally braced for a “pop-fly” from Left Field.
A Soft Data Peak? We haven’t done a paper in a while on the 140-day Murder Cycle, but we’re getting close, it “feels like.” An event very close to April 20 would fill a very small data hole, but the “hit to left field” is not likely to be a “grounder” (*small) event. Pop fly’s are more impacting to Central Tendencies that [whoever] watches.
Be mentally-braced. And good luck managing your TiqrFC. I have a devil of a problem with mine, keeping as much linearity across the spectrum as useable. Wide open, filtering with my personal adaptive DSP analog betwen the ears.
P.S. This is the first day of “No More Power Tools” – trying to kick that addiction.
Write when you get rich, (Or if you’re a psychologist, critiques of the notions herein are welcome in Comments!)
File under: Hierarchical ordination of mental systems as a necessary precursor to judgment engines in A.I. based on human topological mental surfacing theory.
Folder: Cross-metric discrete measurements defining a useable range-mapping construct for advanced emotion-simulations algo design.
Envelope: Things I should have saved for the Peoplenomics side.