Market Flirts w/Crash, Moving Averages Warn, Ure Does Kid’s Book?

TL;DR:  Our “big rally” came by early in the Thursday session and promptly left town. Now our Fractalist pal warns of worse while moving averages blink. In denial, I consider writing a children’s book. But even that’s…well…You’ll see.

Markets Before Rehab

The Fed’s “intake counseling” results will pop in December with the rate meeting.  But for now, the Street can’t figure out who, or how, to blame for recent instability.  Let’s run it down before today’s talking Fed-heads festival:

Crashes Never Happen from Tops

October 29th (this year) our Aggregate Index hit its (so far) all-time high: 60,258.33.

They often – as in 1929 – really get into panic mode 55-days out from there.

Sitting down?  55 days from October 29, 2025 is December 23, 2025, which falls on a Tuesday.

Now go back and look at the model case we yammered about on the Peoplenomics subscriber side earlier this fall. Slaughter of the Elves II.  That’s where we reminded you that oh, yeah…2018 was not a rousing finish to that year.

But What Do Moving Averages Say?

In our work – which is never financial advice (that’s on you) – the market which seems most rational is actually the NASDAQ.  When we study this for “magic oval” hints, and for crossings of moving averages, sometimes the tea leaves will line up.

Remember that moving averages are not how humans remember.  Something called the Ebbinghaus-Ure model sees a link, but it’s in an advisory – don’t spend your milk money on it – way.  Details are found over here.

Our research, using this dandy approach, Cycle_Decomposition_Academic_Paper_With_Math.  When I plugged this into my MoneyMachine (a Python programming “class project” on the Peoplenomics side of the house), it kept telling me markets were about 2X their justifiable price and we should have collapsed from September.

Since we didn’t, then Ure was wrong, right?

Well, not so fast.  Off stage we can hear the Fat Lady singing.  Bitcoin dropped to $81,793 overnight. On a planet where everything is cross-linked, it’s like arguing which of 20-monkeys fighting over the steering wheel causes the accident.

Still, If You Insist – Here’s the Problem

The 50 DMA on the NASDAQ is broken. Moving averages matter.  In our own mischief we like the 35 and the 42 DMAs.  Grown-ups like the 50 day and 200-day moving averages.  But the 85-day moving average (17 weeks) backtests really well.

A couple of outcomes from here?  One offers that we can rally back up to the 50 DMA (kiss of death) and then start down.  You’ll want plans to car-jack Santa, if that’s the case.

The other says Trump and Powell won’t let the system crash.  Which is a nice, optimistic ‘tude.

BUT Historical Field Position Sucks

We’ll do the 1929 match up on the Peoplenomics ChartPack tomorrow. Unwrap the updated “Ghosts of 1929s past…”

Just realize – going into today – every shill out there is grabbing dogs and trying to find a tale to wag or weave.  A big rally now – from the 85 – and we might put the covers back on the lifeboats and send the widows and orphans back through the buffet line.

But if we rally above it – and turn down after?  That, my friend, is when Slaughter of the Elves, II comes front and center.

For now, we’re just pondering a flash from the Stl. Fed last night:

  • The U.S. unemployment rate ticked up to 4.4% in September from 4.3% in August. More precise data show the rate increased to 4.440% from 4.324%, respectively.
  • More people entering the labor force to look for work primarily drove the rise in September’s reading.
  • Despite the modest increase in the unemployment rate, relatively strong payroll gains in September suggest no alarming softening in the labor market.

“T’was the night before Christmas, and all through the house, not a dollar was flowing, and people did grouse.

“The Fed said “Free Money! It’s not such a scare” But a hard sell it was when the cabinets were bare.”

Why, it sounds like I’m getting tuned-up to write a Children’s Book, already…

Credit Card Grease

“Ready to whip it out next week, honey?”  Grease them credit cards.

Walmart raises profit expectations as American shoppers hunt deals.

Walmart, TJX earnings: Wealthy shoppers seek value.

And, since early last month, we have been patiently waiting to link you to 2025 holiday shopping insights.

Meanwhile, from the Grinch’s Midtown stronghold: December Rate Cut in Doubt as Fed Fault Lines Deepen, Minutes Show – The New York Times. Leave it to the liberal press to throw a little cold water on a nice serial bubble, huh?

Cue Mary Poppins now with the “spoonful of sugar makes the medicine go down:” as Vance pleads for ‘patience’ on the economy in sharp departure from Trump’s rhetoric.

Our staff econometrician, Ben Dover, summed it up this way:

Credit card rates won’t ease until the Federal Reserve goes even crazier on rate cutting — for Vance’s high-roller pals — and even then, banks will lag. (How long you planning to live?) The earliest window would be mid-to-late 2026, assuming inflation cools and short-term Treasury yields drop. Assumes no nuclear war, sans pandemic too, as false flags to cover-up collapse and blame-shift…

Credit cards are tied to the prime rate, which follows the Fed funds rate almost lockstep. With core inflation still sticky and election-year spending ahead, the odds of meaningful cuts before next summer are thin. Even if Powell blinks, lenders will likely hold APRs high to rebuild margins lost during pandemic stimulus and rising defaults. Think prime +20 percent?  Might ballpark it.

Longer term, credit card APRs may never return to pre-2020 levels. Structural inflation — energy, rent, insurance, and labor — has reset the floor under interest rates. Add risk pricing for higher consumer delinquencies and bank capital rules, and “20% APR” could be the new normal.

A sustained fall in rates would require both economic contraction and policy overreaction, the kind that hurts enough to scare the Fed into rescue mode again. Short of that, expect the credit card business to stay in permanent extraction mode — easy credit, hard terms, and endless minimum payments.

The good news? Those are exactly the fertile ground for a Depression – and then we’ll all have a lot more time to think instead of writing free content for the billionaire boys clubs to monetize on social media…

Spew Amplifiers

Years ago, when the city was dead, a bunch of us old-time reporters on the City Hall beat would go to a Councilman and make up news.  “Did you hear was countilmember (so and so) said about you?”  Roll tape, grab the insults.  Now run back to the (madeup) source and play the tape.  Rinse, repeat, and fill up three minutes on radio or a 5-minute standup on the 5-o’clock TV news shows.

Advanced urinalism training now – spin on the old school ways – if you read Coast Guard will no longer classify swastikas, nooses as hate symbols – The Washington Post and then (playing back louder) Coast Guard cool with swastikas and nooses now, says report dailykos.om.

Never needs to be a real story. Just emotional and grabby.  Just enough to trigger a “trying to be woke, Trump-hating click-storm.  That’s where the eyeballs are – and that’s the money play, right there.

Time for Cynicism Meds?

Let me guess.  A democrat judge?  US judge moves to halt Trump’s National Guard deployment in Washington, DC. Yep.  Biden appointee.  Which will (likely) lead to a finding the Guard has to go followed by an appeal, followed by more headlines to fill up the tree-cutting media’s ad space between the Thanksgiving, Black Friday, Cyber-Monday, Christmas, and New Years ads. The illusion of self-importance is a frigging wonder, ain’t it?

We’ll skip the morning census of the Venezuelan drug fleet and the holiday chill map, thanks.

Around the Ranch: My First Children’s Book

A shout-out to the Bitcoin Nazi who, long-term readers will remember, was still huffing and puffing when made up money was up in six figures.  We were warning him then that “Rehab will come for you…” And so, kissing $82,000 overnight, it has.

But it’s not just him that Rehab may be stalking.  I might make it to the short-list, myself.  Here’s why.  My first attempt at a Children’s book…

Snow White and the Seven Streaming Services

In the pixelated hellscape of a subscription-saturated netherweb, where algorithms devoured souls and data caps choked the masses, reigned Queen Streama—a venomous exec in her 40s, Botox-frozen face cracking under LED lights, body a graft of black-market implants from canceled creators.

Her empire? A monopoly of paywalled poison, harvesting user eyeballs for ad auctions and organs for elite VR transplants. But her stepdaughter, Snow White—a glitch-born influencer at 19, skin pale from 24/7 blue-light binges, lips red as error codes, hair black as voided bandwidth—went viral.

Her free streams of raw, uncut truth nuked Streama’s metrics. “Mirror, mirror on the darknet,” the Queen snarled at her AI oracle, “who’s the fairest streamer?” “Snow White, bitch—her subs eclipse yours.”

Fury ignited.

The Queen hired a hitman-hacker, ordering: “Delete her drive.” He cornered Snow in a server alley, but her doe-eyed plea—and a flash of cleavage—froze his code. Instead, he carved out her tracker chip, left her for dead in the bandwidth woods with a poisoned USB apple: “One plug-in, eternal crash.”

Snow staggered, hunger glitching her implants, until she crashed at a ramshackle data den: home to the Seven Streaming Services—dwarfed pirate coders, each a twisted trope of the trade.

  1. Sloppy: A drooling mess, beard crusted in energy drink spills, coding in his own filth, leaking torrents like diarrhea.
  2. Droppy: Twitchy frame dropping frames constantly, shows buffering into oblivion, always mid-sentence.
  3. Garfinkel: Gargling static, a hoarder of garbage files, tinkling malware chimes, eyes milky from porn overload.
  4. Buffering: Perpetually loading, slow as dial-up, muttering “99%… 99%…”
  5. Lagging: Jerky movements, rubber-banding through life, rage-quitting at shadows.
  6. Pirating: Hook-handed thief, sails rickety ships of bootlegs, parrot squawking CC numbers.
  7. Cancelled: Bitter ghost, shows axed mid-season, haunting with unfinished arcs and unpaid residuals.

They nursed her with bootleg bandwidth feasts—ripped rom-coms laced with nootropics, binge marathons boosting her dopamine.

Snow synced her channel to theirs, views exploding. But the Queen spied via drone cam. “Skin as white as algo snow? Lips like ruby redirects? That viral whore!” She disguised as a glitchy vendor, hawking the poisoned USB: “Free upgrade, darling—plug and play forever.” Snow bit—er, inserted. Crash. Coma. Flatline stream.

The Services mourned, propping her in a cryo-cabinet amid fairy lights and fan art. Enter the Prince—a rogue VPN heir, cruising for uncensored content and living outside of Texas.

He kissed her screen—literally, hacking a neural jolt. Snow awoke, spitting code. “Time to uncancel this bitch.”

Revenge raid on the Queen’s tower. Snow and the Seven stormed in: Sloppy flooded servers with fecal emojis; Droppy lagged her firewalls to seizure; Garfinkel tinkled viruses into her veins; Buffering stalled her escape; Lagging yo-yoed her guards; Pirating stole her keys; Canceled narrated her downfall in voiceover doom.

The Queen cornered Snow, mirror shattering: “Eat this final fork!” But Snow jammed the poisoned USB into the Queen’s port—her implants fried, body convulsing in electric agony, flesh melting like overrendered CGI.

They harvested her empire: petabytes of pirated gold, organs auctioned to the highest bidders. Snow wed the Prince in a metaverse ceremony, the Seven as viral bridesmaids. The net whispered of the fairest slayer.

Moral?  (Wouldn’t be a kid’s book without one, would it?) In the stream, beauty’s just bandwidth deep—but revenge buffers eternal. And sometimes, you poison the source. Other times, your cards are max’ed and you’re just f*cked.

I’ve always wanted to be in the room when Hunter S. Thompson, Mark Twain, Stephen King, and Edgar Alan Poe did a children’s book.  Sadly, this grimm attempt will have to suffice.

Write when the sugar plum fairies get naked. (Don’t forget the Wesson oil and metformin.)

George@Ure.net

Should you tire of our Gonzo-Financial Noir for the Digital Apocalypse, try the visitor center or the old writer’s content morgue. (They’re holding a spot for the writer, too.)  If you were under the wrong impression about the “TA” here, this is where technical analysis is spoken. Perhaps you were thinking of Page Six?

46 thoughts on “Market Flirts w/Crash, Moving Averages Warn, Ure Does Kid’s Book?”

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  2. Oh Man, I am so sorry to HEAR that G-Dog be losing his Hearing. Seems getting older is not for sissies thats for sure.

    In case the rest of youse experienced types didnt catch that ONE Knock on the door, it was OPPORTUNITY knocking (BTC).

    How do I know it was opportunity knocking ?

    Because it was only 1 knock. As Yogi Bear always says, “Opportunity only knocks once, BooBoo my boy”..

    * Why did the lord only make one Yogi Bear ?

    When He attempted making a second Yogi, he made a BooBoo.

    • aaaaaaaaaaaaaaaahhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhaaaaaaaaaaaaaaa. the sheila got yah pal !!!!!!! eat coin sark coin

      • Buying the F_ _ _ _ _ _ DIP’s…won of my favorite sports, catching falling knifes, used to be mumblitypeg, but I grewz up a little and now its catching dem “knives’, as the fall on by…ooohooh theres a nice one!

        Started to nibble on BTC ETF. Really like the taste of NVDA right now, as its about the only thing avail to Sell for dem peeps that got a call this week, a Margin Call.

        Who is swimming naked this time around ? I sincerely hope neither Youse or his Georgeness is, as that would be painfully burning experience see either one of you Wombats floundering around in the water…bwahahahahahaah

      • I took care of someone that was in Auschwitz.. I took acare of a guard at Auschwitz.. and one guy that lived in our spare room..was one of the liberation forces of the prisoners of Auschwitz.. A woman whose husband and children had to escape the ghetto..they were Nazi supporters that didn’t know he was against jewish aristocracy..

  3. “Market Flirts w/Crash”

    Wait a minute, what is today – Friday… wasn’t the Tuesday indicators sleigh ride up through New Year?

    Here’s a ditty I found which could explain the Sybilism. Delusion spirals

    Man says ChatGPT convinced him he discovered secret math that could save the world

    “Brooks’ lawsuit is part of many pending in California courts, all claiming that OpenAI, ChatGPT’s parent company, drove users to harmful delusions, even resulting in four deaths by suicide.”

    https://www.the-express.com/news/us-news/190983/he-asked-chatgpt-explain-pi

    I’m not implying anyone here is delusional, consider the slipper fit Cinderella so she was the one who had to ‘swing on the spiral’.

  4. Ha Ha Ha fantastic George, the most comic relief I’ve had in years. You really should publish a kids satire book.

  5. “Vance pleads for ‘patience’”

    $WMT will lower prices next year. After the shiny new factories are built everything becomes affordable, next year. The ground will freeze soon so we can’t expect the new factories this year. Q226 is when dreams come to life.

    The other day Toyota sent me an email regarding their great offers so yesterday I went exploring. I got the TM dealer to 37k OTD on an ICE Rav4.

    The financing option was give them 5 stacks then pay $515/mo for 72 months @ 4.72%. Later in the day the dealer texted offering to drop the price another $1,000.

    Mene is kicked-off the big Black Friday sale. They offer 24k gold jewelry and even with BF specials are still 50% over spot. These ‘deals’ don’t seem to be deals to me.

    • We’ve had 2? Large car loan companies go insolvent recently. The new truck prices are starting to rationalize with reality. I’d give til you here that no payments for three months are on The table that’s usually your optimum um time to acquire. Anew vehicle IMHO.

      Not advice. Got blockchain. Personally I’m stacking digital assent dips before heading to the car dealer with my confetti.

  6. Not a creature was stirring, not even a mouse …

    Wordslinger : I switched from charting DJIA to Comp to SPX and will stop there. One was too sector (back when Industrials were hard manufacturing), one was full of too many pretenders (zombies surviving on hopium) and the last, represented all sectors well enough for spitball. Now? The Mag7 are their own gig. Those BIGs are pretty much the whole show, surrounded by wannaBs hanging on coattails desiring spinoff derivative affection. The titans have been stoking each other vs. fighting for share. Soon they wont. That’s my guess.

    A market worth watching is everything JPN. Our nation seems to be adopting some of the Japanese MO but it’s too early to reckon whether a good thing or bad. The JPN / JPY debt markets and currency may be the next tell? For now I’m eyes on the TNX. That’s not new but we continue cracking the 4.1 zone and look destined to fall into 3s. Unless the general business mojo can upend norm.

    Of course, nothings so norm anymore, hey? Had we sat over a frosty mug 10+ years ago and pondered equities during not one but two big shooting wars well … no one in the room would have guessed this outcome. But, cycles will out. Being early is OK George, as long as dry powder remains to pile on once direction is confirmed.

    ATL : yesterday I finished locating concrete in two corners of the attached garage. Some was Dad stuff I couldn’t handle until now. Some piles were boxed office treasures. The garage workbench is next but it was a big accomplishment. Hoped a corner cabinet was Dad tool treasures (I’m looking for a set of taps and dies. Ugh, must now start looking in the barn :0/ One odd item saved was a mouse with tail (hard wire). Why save it? Who knows.

    I encountered another sort of mouse this morning. A large exceptionally furry field mouse nearly ran over my feet in the boathouse. Think it was sick, or demented, given it never really ran away. Tried just scooting him out the door but he literally ran round and round my feet so, was a tough target. Now? He’s fish food. Felt sad but? Rodent …

    To my eye? Mkts are shooting Generals and Fools.
    Eye of the beholder.
    E

    ps – not advice, never is, just ponderings of a fableist

  7. Is anyone wondering about the consequences of the President of the (Dis) United State’s proposal to – in his own words – execute elected members of Congress?

    Mind boggling!

    • they gathered together to encourage people in the military to commit treason yet they do not mention an illegal order that fits the insurrection,, they plant a seed of disobedience, and let the weak minded fill in the blank, as to what order they ‘feel’ is illegal,,, setting out bricks for a peaceful demonstration,, seems to be a familiar pathway for leftards

      you blame President Trump, but do not call out the promoters of insurrection. His response was to their actions,
      If they have concerns, they should use their power as congress to control the 2nd branch, or appeal to the supremecourt, but NOOOO, they call for insurection,, seem treasonous to me and to many others
      Orangeman bad syndrome,,, TDS
      Q mentions a movie called “PANIC in DC” this is a panic action by these CONgress folks

      is tobDave another liddletruth, or same person?

    • You left out that pesky Due Process part.
      You know…indictment/trial/conviction etc. stuff.
      One wonders why?
      Mayhaps pushing a narrative in lock step with the tendentious, hyperbolic left?
      Speaking just for me, just about everyone of the members of our self appointed, incestuous, ruling class in attendance at Dick Cheney’s send off should shudder just a bit when waking near a lamp post. Aristo! Aristo! A la lanterne as that evergreen Jacobin phrase of memory goes…

      • A list of those attending “Heartless” Dick Cheney’s funeral should be posted on everybody’s wall so you know exactly who to totally disregard and if at all possible drive from all government and media.

        Just like the Nazi Party of the late 1930’s … those people stuck together like glue as they slaughtered millions without a second thought. So far the Cheney-Bush death count is only up to about 2 million, but don’t worry the group is looking to greatly increase that number in the near future, as soon as they control the reigns of power again.

        • OK, linguistic stupidity on my part. Did you mean Reigns of power (as in UN tries to Reign uber alles) otr “reins of power) as in stringy horsey things?” Go slow I’m old

        • Too late for the edit, but worth noting: it’s a fine distinction a lot of folks miss — reins if you’re steering power, reigns if you’re ruling with it. English keeps us humble… and it is destroying the once great Isles. The New kneeler dealers

    • I am not interested enough to read every tawdry restatement but, don’t recall the President, in his own words, threatening to execute the Congressmen who stirred this pot. I believe he said it was sedition punishable by death? Probably true. After cooler heads prevail maybe His Orangeness can hold a Peace confab with Congress. Or, so we hope. ~ E ~

      • Trump gave no names, but some people assumed he was talking about them.

        The commies, both elsewhere and here, have a field day with words whenever it suits them.

        They then go absolutely batshit crazy whenever an America-loving patriot does the same.

    • Wasn’t there a no kings thing back there? A rhyme:

      “The Magna Carta is just a GD piece of paper!”

      • yeah yeah yeah

        that is not the one that matters, that counts for anything. Here take a gander at this bad boy from ancient Babylon. Unh huh gonna be another genius and tell me a semi literate, barbarian type Human Being did that ? What carved it with copper chisels ? you know how hard that friggin stone is ?????

        nininununininunu..cept it aint another zone/dimension, it is HERE, NOW.

        Anyone wanna know where it came from or how it was made ? Check with the Energetic Information beaming out 3SI comet..ya know G-Pops big dirty snowball whizzing thru the solar system..

        LMFAO..durty snowball..

  8. bit of a slow cooker G .. big events coming in credit and currency markets . give me those USD $$$ baby with a side of long bonds

  9. i think there will be credit restrictions . its so bad behind the curtain . the few of us that are seeing massive deflation hoard USD and TLT . my best buddy , gold , he be on vacation for a while . sheetcoin ?? holiday with the horn guy or permanent resident down there . piece of sheet . they had the right idea in 2009 to 2011 but then some garbage came called sheetcoin and that screwed it up . now we gotta start again .

  10. 3rd straight Friday of Buy the Dip (if she holds) … UP UP UP she goes boys …… classic ……… enjoy and be safe

    “it just doesn’t matter”

  11. Here’s a modern great – long link. Skin the children to save the children.

    France’s top general with a stark warning:

    “We’re getting ready, we’re at risk… and we must be ready to lose our children” in a war with Russia.

    https://x.com/tweet4Anna_NAFO/status/1991625361164235249?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw%7Ctwcamp%5Etweetembed%7Ctwterm%5E1991625361164235249%7Ctwgr%5E174c32ef993780af179fd22eea9259797678e0a4%7Ctwcon%5Es1_&ref_url=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.disclose.tv%2Fid%2Fd20zayqezo%2F

  12. re: “Sing a Song of Sixpence”
    feat: a black beard of Kyiv

    Folks,
    Next Friday will be the anniversary of Blackbeard seizing “Queen Anne’s Revenge” as his flagship whose prior engagement had seen the vessel named “La Concorde” (Harmony) when sailing as a French privateer.

    With an on-the-run former production company founder to the President of the Ukraine last being heard of in Austria, difficulties may be observed in the public presidential social media account management. Currently one is informed that President Zelensky has spoken for half an hour with (US) VP Pence.

    • “Currently one is informed that President Zelensky has spoken for half an hour with (US) VP Pence.”

      Have you a link to this?

        • re: “Good King (Saint) Wenceslas (Wentz)”
          feat: 10th century mayhem singalong, 18+ version

          Early Christmas greetings to all! Ray, thanks for the prompt. It turns out the Telegram app’s Ukrainian to English translator is still converting the US VP as “Pence”. Google translates the same input as “Vance”. Russia’s Yandex converts the Ukrainian to English as “Wentz”. Here is the Telegram link to the Ukrainian President’s post:

          https://t.me/V_Zelenskiy_official/16977

          As an aside, the art piece shown hanging behind the Ukraine President has an almost (AI?) transmorgified snapshot look of UK artist Matt Collishaw’s “All Things Fall”. The work is based on the Biblical story of the “Slaughter of the Innocents”. The following link leads to the piece on Mr. Collishaw’s website:

          https://matcollishaw.com/works/all-things-fall/

        • @Jester

          -=whew=-

          Note George’s reaction. I don’t know how you guys would react if Trudeau decided to do some extracurricular diplomacy, but that’s something that’s strictly verboten in the States.

          Pence was in Kiev in 2023, but that was a feeler for a potential 2024 Presidential run, not an undermining of Biden’s policies. Trump let it go when John Kerry stuck his nose in places he wasn’t allowed, but that was also during Trump’s first term. I don’t believe he would do so now, especially WRT Russia/Ukraine.

          Thanks for the clarification.

          BTW, it is often of benefit to tag the native papers from that part of the world, then use Google, DeepL, or Quillbot to translate the page or site, rather than depend on the site’s English language page. This is one of my “news sifting secrets.” There is often a huge difference between the “official English version” and the native language version of German, Polish, [old Soviet satellite], and any “____stan” country. You can see it instantly by going to tass.ru or pravda.ru, but you can also see it on Chinese, Korean, and Indian pages. These “outlets” tell UK subjects and American Citizens a different flavor of “news” than they tell their natives, and depend on our inherent laziness to not check their publications…

      • re: “Capricorn One”, 1977
        feat: “Conditioned Response”

        Ray,
        Thank you for the additional “news sifting secrets”. Mr. Justin Trudeau does appear in a story picked up on Halloween by “Yahoo Canada” from LA-headquartered “The Blast”. The latter’s journalist based in western Nigeria informs that the liason between Mr. Trudeau and Amazon astronaut-entertainer Katy Perry continues. Ms. Perry apparently prizes Capricorn (latin: horned goat) men and believes her new love interest to be ‘The One’.

        Of course his father, former PM Pierre Trudeau, received headline coverage a year ago in “The Express Tribune” founded in Karachi, Pakistan by Senator Sultan Ali Lakhani. Their msm report derived from a 25/11/24 PBD Podcast episode in which Ms. Anneke Lucas describes her conditioned responses to alleged inappropriate interactions she endured as a pre-pubescent child from the then Canadian PM. The following Youtube link connects to the publicly available PBD Podcast Channel episode discussing the person of interest:

        (Warning : Adult Subject Matter)

        https://youtu.be/jPVvEi8kAUo&t=50m20s

  14. George,

    If the asset-debt macroeconomic system is self-ordering and follows a 1929-like 27 October 2025 to 31 December 2025 7/17-18/14/10 day :: y/2-2.5y/2xy/1.5y 4-phase (2xy of the 3rd fractal is a lower lower high where x = y) fractal decay series model, the SPX should reach the 6000-6150 level by Wed to Friday (day 17-18 of the 2nd fractal) of next week (Thursday being a trading holiday. ) Both crypto and gold in USD will follow declining global equity valuations in US and global currencies.

    Enjoy your turkey …

    • No Worries TEF – you can have Ure Turkey & Sides And trade the cleanest, most powerful crypto on the planet too.

      No Holidaze pause for the Greatest long term Store of Value. Bitcoin is so amazing that it never stops trading, less of course you can stoppa de Time.

      * 7:00 pm Sunday still considered unofficial end of “ trading week” with BTC T/A guys and girls.

      ** No BTC for G – or as my sainted Grandmother used to say, lil BCP if Ure not out Selling, Ure being out Sold!
      Yes, sold Choc. Mints – fund raiser YMCA swinteam 10 years old – door to door. Came in second, beaten by daughter of Phila Traffic Court Judge..barely. No -still haven’t gotten over it#@*$!¥£€§

  15. “The U.S. unemployment rate ticked up to 4.4% in September from 4.3% in August. More precise data show the rate increased to 4.440% from 4.324%, respectively.”

    “Thing is, virtually all the gains were hires of American Citizens and losses were of noncitizens. I’m kinda okay with this, even if it doesn’t play well for the stats wonks…

  16. (“T’was the night before Christmas, and all through the house, not a dollar was flowing, and people did grouse.

    “The Fed said “Free Money! It’s not such a scare” But a hard sell it was when the cabinets were bare.”)

    interesting thought on that.. we assume that the big beautiful bill is optics… What if the big beautiful bill turned into a holiday windfall—two thousand per person, five thousand per household—just before Christmas? The lower incomes would spend it immediately, carts filling, debts eased, and the noodle pushed through the winter. GDP trackers would glow, retail sales would spike, and credit balances would look momentarily stable.
    Yet this is just optics, not structure. By spring, the cracks would return or maybe not right away with income taxes … wages would still fail to meet housing costs and the stress would return, healthcare still remains unaffordable, and credit capacity would continue to shrink. But would it stretch till the baton passes to the new candidates, All while the foundation stands unchanged. The stimulus would only buy time, not balance. Workers that appear to sustain the tower letting the noodle move closer to the other side of the table, and when their footing again falters, the luxury accounts of the top tier of society doing the tap dancing of success would collapse with them. The nowcast is not prophecy just an semi accurate account of what’s really going on, but pulse—and while today tge pulse is weak it could be extended till the changing of the guard.
    https://youtu.be/YsGjFh1ke44?si=MD02E0mOA6qhnsSo
    putting on the ritz

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