BR-SN – Muddle-Through Checklist – Working Weather

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TL;DR:  We have a strong sense this could be a “Buy (the) Rumor, Sell (the) News” week.  To help you score, a checklist is provided. Mourning in Michigan but coincidence nags. And Working Weather is here for Fall. Daylight Time is a month off.

BR-SN

Means “Buy the Rumor, Sell the News” which – we think is how this week is kicking off. For example, the early Futures opened with the Dow set to pop a further 190-points to the upside.

What makes this such an interesting open to handicap is that gold and silver are roaring ahead. With Gold Futures up nearly $50 and the odds of $3,900 gold before the month is over (tomorrow) are very serious possibilities. Along with $50 silver.   Even Bitcoin, which has been trounced a bit lately, has come back above the $112,000 level. Is inflation soaring?  Not so fast.

I’ll grant you, it’s an easy time to be misled by headlines.  The reason?  When the purchasing power of the Dollar is reduced, it means it take “more of them” to buy a given item.  “More of them” means prices go up.  No, the intrinsic value of a 2,500 calorie meal – or the intrinsic value of gold – hasn’t changed.  Which leaves the lone prep in the line-up?  “Yeah, that’s him – Falling Dollar value!”

Michigan Murder – Page 17?

The reports are that a Mormon church in Michigan – shot up and a lot of people killed – was the work of a 40-year old Iraq War hero.  The brief follow-up is this: Exclusive | Iraq War veteran Thomas Sanford ID’d as gunman who attacked Grand Blanc LDS church, killing 4 and setting it ablaze on the NY Post website.

But there’s something – and several readers have expressed skepticism – A 40-YO White male NCO?  Stretches belief a bit.  There are two reasonable takes on this; most likely being PTSD might be involved.

BUT the more nefarious would be the timing.  Because often (too often for coincidence, we can’t be sure) we see a “major shock event” right around the top or a market high.

Now let me explain the “page 17 ” reference.  See, back in 1994 some real economic geniuses did a paper and one of the sections demonstrated in computer models, how the placement of major news – at the exact market top, before, or just after, could impact price.  MATLAB graph

In the study of market “waves” (which I’ve been studying for 30-odd years), placement of “major news” just ahead of a significant peak, can change the shape of a curve’s “shoulders.”  Of the four charts clustered on page 17 of the referenced paper, it seemed that “big news” could delay the ultimate market top a bit.  When the top arrived late in modeling, it also didn’t blow so high, either.

Will that figure into how this week rolls out?  Damn-fine question, that.  Let’s line up possible top and shoulder shaping events due this week.

This Week’s Event Checklist

Today is pretty quiet, but the pace begins to rock Tuesday.

Today:

___ Pending Home Sales – 10 AM

___ Dallas Fed numbers 10:30 AM

___ Multiple Fed “talking heads” All Day

Tuesday is our Biggy:

___ Donald Trump is scheduled to be on hand (which means speak – let’s not kid ourselves – at the DoD senior officers meeting at Quantico.  Will it be “warrior ethos” or layoffs or Wunderwaffe disclosures? Uncertainty is high.

___ Two part report here tomorrow – as Case-Shiller Housing drops. Any break in sales tempo will undercut the muddle-through narrative.  Update here about 8:15 AM Central

___ Lots of Treasury bill auctions to watch – Pre-Open

___ Consumer Confidence – 10 AM Eastern

___ Labor JOLTS Report – 10 AM Eastern

___ Treasury Buy-back openings 11 AM Eastern

___ Farm Prices at 3:00 PM Eastern (inflation hints?)

Wednesday’s Keys:

___ ADP Employment numbers

Thursday:

___ Challenger, Gray, Christmas Job Cuts report

___ Unemployment weekly filings – Lots of Treasury action.

___ Factory orders

Friday

___ Federal Employment numbers

___ PMI Global Composite – not huge but interesting.

Next week, we have Jerome Powell reporting in.

Wednesday Budget Disaster Looms

If we sail through Tuesday, it won’t mean we’re out of the woods.  Hold in mind the chance of a government shutdown over the Budget could show up tomorrow night (late). A shutdown will automatically begin at midnight Eastern on October 1 if Congress fails to pass either a continuing resolution or new appropriations. That means as the clock ticks over from September 30, non-essential federal operations could be forced to halt and employees would face furloughs. This timing is set by law: once funding authority expires, the government cannot legally obligate new spending.

Honestly, we haven’t run out how the Treasury buy-back and announcements Thursday will fare if this blows up – but there’s enough orange-hate in DC that we’re in anything can happen waters.  For now look for?

  • Whether Congress passes a continuing resolution (CR) or appropriations bills before the deadline

  • Votes in the Senate — especially cloture votes (60-vote threshold) — on funding legislation

  • Statements or negotiations from leadership in both parties (House, Senate, White House)

  • Memorandums from the Office of Management and Budget (OMB) to agencies about shutdown preparations (furloughs, layoffs)

  • Media reporting on last-minute deal proposals or negotiations

  • Agency shutdown notices or internal guidance to staff (telling them to prepare for nonessential work to halt)

The military and Social Security will continue to be funded. But as we sift down “into the ranks” it could become problematic.

Opportunistic or Probabilistic?

The fall home gamer’s version of American Financial Furballs will not play out just here.

America is still the Big Kahuna on the world stage and lots of people are gunning for that top spot.

China is likely to remain chill:  As for the odds of a surprise invasion of Taiwan this week, the probability is low. An amphibious operation of that scale requires months of visible preparation, with troop staging, logistics, and command readiness that would be difficult to hide. China’s preference remains gradual pressure through gray zone tactics, cyber operations, and diplomatic isolation of Taiwan. That said, if a sudden disruption of U.S. command and control were to occur, it could open a temporary window of increased risk, as Beijing might see an opportunity to test or probe without committing to a full invasion. The most realistic near-term scenarios are escalated military drills, missile launches, or a blockade rehearsal rather than a lightning strike invasion.

Russia will be watching, but may also chill:

Senior defense and foreign policy staffers still work, but political bandwidth shrinks and adversaries know it. Russia watches these moments closely. When Washington looks paralyzed, Moscow may test the edges—probing with stepped-up drone or missile strikes in Ukraine, cyber operations aimed at European targets, or noisy exercises along NATO borders to gauge alliance nerves. These aren’t all-out escalations, but calibrated moves meant to see if resolve wavers while attention is elsewhere.

The odds of Russia trying something dramatic like opening a new front or directly challenging NATO this week remain low. That kind of step risks spiraling out of control, and Moscow is already heavily invested in its Ukraine campaign. What’s more likely is opportunistic pressure—amplified propaganda, saber-rattling near the Baltics, or supply-line disruptions to test European cohesion. If U.S. political theater dominates headlines, Russia will exploit the optics to suggest America is too divided to lead. The week ahead is therefore less about invasion risk and more about psychological maneuvering, with Moscow using the shutdown narrative as cover to push narratives of Western weakness.

All that aside, what about Israel-Iran this week?  Or, does that come later?

Just yesterday, Iran executed a man accused of spying for Israel — a signal both of internal resolve and external messaging. That, coupled with renewed sanctions and Iran’s moves to rebuild missile infrastructure damaged earlier, raises the baseline pressure.

That said, the structural friction is still high: Israel will likely continue deterrent strikes, covert ops, drone/sabotage tactics, and missile probing rather than full scale invasion into Iran. The risk of miscalculation is real, especially if something external distracts Israel or forces a reactive posture. In short: escalation is possible, but the path this week points toward continued shadow warfare, not a full warbreak.

Still – we are on a high level of alert around here.  Because even if the odds of “nothing big” are probably 95 percent, we don’t wish to experience the “5 percent dead” outcome.

Plus we have comet tailings in the next week:

We begin intersecting the debris field of Comet SWAN around October 4 to 6. Astronomers expect the passage to be relatively mild, since this comet is not known for leaving a dense trail. If activity is visible, it would most likely appear as a faint uptick in meteor activity rather than a full storm.

The key factor is how much material the comet shed in earlier passes and how tightly that material stayed bunched along its orbit. In this case, projections suggest a light crossing. Observers might catch a few stray meteors, but the event is more about timing and possibility than a guaranteed sky show.

Sure, again, very low odds.  Even though much lower risk than Russian Roulette with a five-chamber “wheel gun” it’s a good mental exercise (for, oh, a million dollars tax-free cash) to ask “How many chambers would it take to get me to pick it up and pull?”

Any answer below 100,000 means you need to take a statistics class!

If you don’t have time to snag an advanced degree before, oh, lunch, say – try the ShopTalk Sunday prepping notes here.

“Well, um, now that you ask….”

How Could It Get Riskier?

You have questions, we have answers.  The first one is easy:  Lots of ways.

The fight to save New York (from radical socialism) is lost: New York Mayor Eric Adams abandons re-election campaign

Keep an eye open for “cause martyrs” in Oregon this week: Trump authorizes ‘full force’ troop deployment in Portland, Oregon. Martyrs are a proven crowd attractant.

Did someone yell “the Turncoasts are coming!”?? WATCH: Notorious RINO Announces She Might Finally Leave The GOP – Hey! maybe there’s a sell high and buy-in low thing in politics, you think?

No budget movement sighted, yet:  US Democrats, Trump set to face off in budget battle that could trigger gov’t shutdowns.

Sure – since when did corporations need accountability, anyway? US SEC Chair Atkins vows to fast-track scrapping quarterly corporate reports, FT says. Are you kidding?  Foxes hiring henhouse watchers?

Yes, I am “grinder biased.”  I don’t think it’s a BUSINESS sitting on your ass all day playing video games.  Thing is, are my “actual work genes” starting to play out IRL? EA Buyout Talk Highlights Gaming Struggles as Growth Slows.

And how’s this: Another “go woke, go broke” in the works? Retailer Closing 21 Stores, Loses $80 Million After Replacing Shark Survivor Model With Man Pretending to Be Woman.

Around the Ranch: Working Weather

Got up with sniffles to start the week.  Did the 2-hour “speed mow” of the front yard Sunday – a couple of acres – and allergies always follow.

“You didn’t wear a mask, again…”  Wife Elaine pointed out.  But I’m a man of Principles, understand.

“I’m not Antifa and it ain’t Halloween until end of next month.” I snapped.

“Grouch – take some drugs.”

“Don’t mind if I do…”

Work ought to be near-normal in the Southeast this week:

How South Florida can have that much  sketchy weather nearby and still not have the waders on the life preservers at the ready amazes up.

Days like this, the National Weather Service ad slogan gets rewritten.  “Turn around, don’t drown…” Becomes “Turn around, go back to bed.”

Write when I get up,

George@Ure.net

57 thoughts on “BR-SN – Muddle-Through Checklist – Working Weather”

    • ANYTHING with ‘chlorine-dioxide’ is the greatest germ killer there is. Stops infections in hours. Learn about MMS.

  2. Yo G-Pops,

    There is a new Game in town for the whole community to play, you Win..you get an “atta boy or atta girl” depending on Ure pronouns, you lose ? Oh well, better luck next time.

    The Game – Guess who is getting BOMBED by the USA next week ?

    Yerp, fleet of AF Tankers have left the friendly skies of USA and headed on over to the united kingdom of Darkness (Sons of Darkness), this past weekend.

    “I’ll take Iran for $1000, Alex”
    dingding-dingding – its a Daily Doubler !

    All in Alex, everything.

    ? Okay – What keeps G Ure up a night?

    -https://youtu.be/XG3Re60iWUY?si=67sbM5Tc0S6xeWNr

    a) Mommas got a squeez box.

    too early ?

  3. “Michigan”

    Over the weekend a different vet fell off the ledge in North Carolina.

    Police: Deadly shooting in North Carolina was ‘highly premeditated’ and location was ‘targeted’

    “Nigel Edge, 40, was arrested and charged with three counts of first-degree murder.”

    “Authorities said Edge piloted a small boat close to shore, which was lined with bars and restaurants, stopped briefly and fired. He then sped away.”

    https://www.yahoo.com/news/articles/3-killed-8-injured-north-095250867.html

    What’s the options? Reinforce the churches/add snipers but would this prevent the boat attack. G did the report on statistics. Soon one of us/ours will be in the line of fire. Free medical for all w/psychiatric treatment might be a solution.

    “the chance of a government shutdown ”

    Sure. Just like every year. The Big Beautiful Bill just wasn’t enough. Need more.

    • They forced the mentally ill into institutions back in the days, it’s illegal now. The mentally ill now are offered meds, and they refuse it. Can’t force them to take meds . What is your answer?

  4. GU in weekly data summary (well done) :

    Friday

    ___ Federal Employment numbers

    Uhm, by Friday that would be -0- yes?
    Pre-spin ^ for talking heads.
    Buckle up …

    Big kids are buying hedges (insurance).
    Smaller fry? Get small (size).
    Live another day.

    Egor

    ps – none is advice of any kind, ever

  5. (“But there’s something – and several readers have expressed skepticism – A 40-YO White male NCO? Stretches belief a bit. There are two reasonable takes on this; most likely being PTSD might be involved.”)

    AMEN.. to that.. a couple of the guys that lived in our spare bedroom had bad PTSD.. the fourth of july is still not a time to celebrate..they see the fourth as we are at war.. I’ve discovered them hiding in shower stalls or barricaded in the bed room hiding in a closet..War is hell…one wife of an old friend had to kill her husband in defense to save herself from him suffering PTSD if she wouldn’t she would have been the one on the slab..what I fear is if we continue on the present path.. each of us may end up with some form of PTSD..

    • PTSD has many causes, though war is the best known. War is hell and I fail to see why any sane person would want it.

      • “Naturally the common people don’t want war. That is understood. But, after all, it is the leaders of the country who determine the policy and it is always a simple matter to drag the people along, whether it is a democracy, or a fascist dictatorship, or a parliament, or a communist dictatorship.

        Voice or no voice, the people can always be brought to the bidding of the leaders. That is easy. All you have to do is tell them they are being attacked, and denounce the peacemakers for lack of patriotism and exposing the country to danger. It works the same in any country.” Goering https://www.goodreads.com/quotes/33505-why-of-course-the-people-don-t-want-war-why-should

  6. re: “Muddle Through Checklist”
    feat: in touch with The Firm

    Folks,
    Prepping is underway at Forest Lodge mansion in Windsor Great Park for the imminent arrival of the heir to the throne and his family. A high wooden fence guardian structure is almost complete! “LBC” reports that subsequent to a September 8th instruction from Parliament a 150 acre exclusion zone with a 2.3 mile perimeter became effective at 7:00 pm yesterday evening. Trespassing results in immediate arrest under provisions of the 2005 SOCPA (Serious Organized Crime and Police Act) Act.

    “LBC” secured comment from a pedestrian Old Major-type holder of a £110 annual pass to Windsor Great Park for the purpose of walking his fine 4-legged companion identified as “Mr. Brown”. It seems the permanent closure of a public car park and Park access through Cranbourne Gate is creating disquiet amongst guardians of said Animal to the Farm.

    “LBC” is subsidiary to a privately held entity held by an English Peer of Scottish birth, The Right Honourable The Lord Allen of Kensington. He is a past Chair of the Executive Board of the (now-governing) Labour Party. Currently he sits as a member on the Invictus Games Board. The latter of course is led by Prince Harry, the Duke of Sussex, lately of Montecito, Ca.

    As chance would have it according to “Wikipedia”, Lord Allen and his partner Michael purchased their LA mansion from a daughter of the co-founder of Oracle.

    • re: “The Enchanted Tinderbox”, 2024, Moscow
      feat: students of the Uchitelyat

      Folks,
      The dogs of war are such a treat for the children to read about in the 1835 fairytale by Mr. Andersen (not believed to be of The Matrix). An irony shows up in the 2019 Russian tv series “Uchitelyat” (“Teacher”). A protege heroine is said to be instructing her pupils with “non-standard pedagogical methods”. Of perhaps further irony is that another such teacher, Peter Duenov, hails from a suburb of Varna. This would be the Varna of Bulgaria not India. Apparently Varna describes the four groups of society in the latter nation according to Hindu Vedas as quoted by “Wikipedia”.

  8. I am agnostic when it comes to sending in the National Guard to control violence. I see the argument for and in many cases, agree with it, but i also see the danger it can cause to those cities targeted due to their politics that differ from POTUS. Portland is one of those cities that is being unfairly targeted. My son lives in Portland and he and his friends went down to the area around the ICE facility that is causing all the outrage and saw about 12 very low energy “protesters” mostly scrolling on their phones and looking very uninterested in what they were “protesting”. Now let’s look at crime statistics….Portand isn’t even in the top 50 of crime.

    At the top, is Memphis, which is getting its own National Guard deployment. Memphis holds a rate of 2,501 violent crimes per 100,000 people, in a population of about 613,000. Then there is Baltimore, Little Rock, Detroit, Kansas City, New Orleans, St. Louis, Cleveland etc. Most are in red or swing states.

    Portland is sitting at No. 72 with a rate of 720 violent crimes per 100,000 people, in a population of around 623,000, according to the FBI.

    Portland has worked hard to successfully clean up their city and get it back on track. Covid, as it did with many cities, destroyed the soul of Portland and yes, it did get bad from 2020-2022. But since then…and I have been there many times…it’s a whole new and vibrant city …The same goes for San Francisco, which, due to their new moderate mayor, is now one of the safest cities in the country and economically, has a world class GDP rivaling many countries due to the growth of AI here.

    This administration needs to stay focused on the real issues of the problem cities regardless of the states political leanings. Both sides would agree with that strategy.

    • The above seems to have been written by AI and I would say is patently false. Seattle and Portland are probably on par with each other with their lax to no enforcement of the law, which permits the violence: I will not spend another dime in either city. I used to spend a lot of time in both Portland and Seattle in the ’80’s – not anymore.

      The son of my wife’s cousin was knifed outside a bar on Capitol Hill back in June for no other reason than not providing a light for someone’s cigarette. This perp had been arrested multiple times, but seemingly never spent a day in jail; imagine that.

      Keep believing your utopian vision of Seattle, Portland and San Francisco….

      • Back in 2008…

        “Italian police have arrested the last of five suspects accused of beating a man to death in the city of Verona because he refused them a cigarette.”

        http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/europe/7385313.stm

        “Fifty years ago, the streets of Leningrad taught me one rule: if a fight is inevitable you have to strike first.” – Vladimir Putin

        I’m thinking if someone asks me for a cigarette or a light, I’m gonna make the first move and take my chances…

        • breaking news!

          Antifa has issued a statement in reguards to Firebombing Mr Cubes Tour Bus.

          “whoops a daisey. our bad.”

          hahhahahahahahahhahahahahhahahahahahhahahahahahahaha

        • “Fifty years ago, the streets of Leningrad taught me one rule: if a fight is inevitable you have to strike first.” – Vladimir Putin”

          I guess calling Russia a paper tiger is not a very good idea. How many more times can we poke the bear?

        • (““Fifty years ago, the streets of Leningrad taught me one rule: if a fight is inevitable you have to strike first.” – Vladimir Putin”
          I guess calling Russia a paper tiger is not a very good idea. How many more times can we poke the bear?”)

          I have been impressed with his patience.. he begged for over a year for NATO to back off..For decades, the world danced to the rhythm of a single drumbeat—Western dominance cloaked in diplomacy, backed by military reach, and enforced through economic leverage. But the bear waited. Patient, deliberate, and shaped by centuries of survival, Russia watched as NATO crept closer, as promises dissolved into encirclement. Alongside China, whose own memory stretches through dynasties and humiliation, the BRICS alliance emerged not as rebellion, but as rebalancing—a quiet declaration that the planet is no longer unipolar. The age of singular empire is fading, and in its place rises a world of many suns, each burning with its own history, its own gravity, and its own claim to dignity.While We in the West chased profit and spectacle—filling the pockets of corporate warlords and chasing geopolitical geese—an ancient strategy unfolded behind the scenes. Echoing Islamic battlefield wisdom, adversaries like China and Russia moved quietly, apologizing for Western arrogance and forging alliances with nations long dismissed as weak. While empires flexed and distracted, these patient powers signed trade deals, offered respect, and built trust. It wasn’t brute force—it was flanking diplomacy, a maneuver as old as the desert campaigns, where victory came not through confrontation but through winning the hearts behind the lines. Now, with BRICS rising and multi-polarity emerging, the West finds itself out maneuvered—not by tanks, but by timeless strategy and quiet resolve.While the U.S. military is deployed across countless global fronts—chasing proxy wars, guarding distant interests, and feeding the machinery of profit—we’ve left the homeland exposed, like a king lured into a poison pawn trap. Our adversaries, drawing from ancient Islamic strategies, have watched us over extend while they move quietly behind the lines, winning over nations with apologies, respect, and strategic agreements. Meanwhile, our infrastructure—bridges, grids, water systems—decays from neglect, and our focus remains fixed on spectacle rather than resilience. The trap isn’t just military—it’s civilizational. We’ve traded stewardship for dominance, and now the empire stands vulnerable, not from invasion, but from the erosion our politicians refused to work at..instead we sought more for the ones pulling the strings of influence.

      • i did see on the news Antifa Protesters set fire to Ice Cubes Tour Bus because they thought it was a ICE detention bus.

        which is hilarious because ICE Cube wrote the song Fuck the Police. hahahahhaha

        but the crew over at Antifa are so smart they thought because it said ICE the side of Mr Cubes tour bus on it they fire bombed the shit out of it when he was in portland.

        hahhaahhahahahha Brilliant Stratagy!

        i dont know which is funnier. the stupid numbskulls of Antifa fire bombing the wrong bus or that it was Ice Cubes bus because he wrote the hit song fuck the police.

        https://www.newsweek.com/entertainment/ice-cube-tour-bus-firebombed-portland-10796536

        just another sign, its the end of the world.

        hahahhahahahhaa

        one has to wonder if we as a species all die from stupidity or karma?

        hahahhahahahahanaa

    • Hey Mark,,,Last night in Portland
      https://x.com/nickshirleyy/status/1972804622038581644
      the antifa bitches come out at night

      Mark and his boys were in central america while the migration invasion was forming, sharing UNVESO literature, from the damn UN, anti-American,,, Trump brought that out during his last UN speech

      Mark admitted to helping form more than one BLM protest,, those protests provided cover for antifa to mix in and cause violence.

      His boy and friends JUST went to problem zone, to check it out!
      Where they sent to check on the troops?
      Does the FBI and HomeLandSecuriety need to keep an eye on Mark and son? The daytime slow moving antifa was just there on watch, with their contact list, if they see any movement from ICE, the chain of texts gets sent out to other members

      Mark has bragged about how in his realty business, how he is an organizer, he forms the men in to groups and helps them select leaders, and set goals.

      Covid did NOT destroy the soul of portland the demon rat politicans did. the antifa riots were ALLOWED to happen,,by demonrats!

      Mark is a graduate of a school of journalism,, he sure paints a pretty picture with his prose, just the right word stroke to re-aim the mind set,, what a fork in the tongue

      It is the exposure of his activities,, dark to light
      Tom Bodet,, keep a light on

    • “Portland has worked hard to successfully clean up their city and get it back on track.”

      this is hilarious.

      because if you actually have been to Portland, you would know it has more graffiti than any other city i have ever been too. you can even read the freeway signs because there is so much grafiti, and the highways are littered with so much trash and garbage every where its like your on a freeway driving through the jersey dump.

      in all my travels i have never seen any other city covered in so much garbage and graffiti.

      i couldnt even find my exit to go to Seaside oregan because all the grafiti on the signs. i had to pull off on an exit and restart google maps to find my exit. when i pulled off the exit to reset my google maps, i must seen 100 to 200 homeless people wondering around doing that fentynal induced zombie yoga.

      that was less than 6 months ago i was in portland. Portland is giving Oakland california a run for its money as the filthiest city i have ever been through. the whole city is a sesspool IMHO. a petri dish for the next pandemic.

      dont worry, seattle is giving its best shot too. there is so much trash here and grafiti everywhere. and every corner there is someone blasted out of their mind doing that fentynal zombie yoga.

      i only go there for work, when im sent there and to catch a Mariners Game or Seahawks game.

      im always packing when im down there.

      • * Need the Tranq mixed with Fenty to get the “stoop” = bent over at waist, barely moves for hours, some shuffling is about it.

        A very slow and painful way to Suicide .

        *Solution:
        Provide UNLIMITED amounts of Fenty to all in need – OD All of them. = Problem Solved.

        Will need a lot of Pine Boxes to bury all the OD’d Zombies in, but small price to pay to speed up Death process and clear the streets and sidewalks.

        Efficiency is key here – no need to rush – Zombies are addicted to the High and do just about anything to get the next one.

        Anything else I can SOLVE for the Good Citizens ?

        • in philly there is Kensington ave.

          they look demon possessed. just a shell of a human body. its super sad but nobody forced that shit on them.

          i was in spokane a couple years ago for the 4th of july and i walked out late at nigjt to have a smoke at my buddys house. i saw this woman at the park accross the street washing her couchy in a spinkler with dawn dishwashing liquid, and about 20 tweakers in the park doing zombie yoga. one was sitting on the corner with a needle hanging out of her arm.

          i went back inside, packed up my shit and said good to see ya man. im heading back to star valley wyoming where when i step on the porch i see deer and elk not this shit.

          he laughed and said you dont like the Spockompton city lawn ornaments? that is what they call them their. live action lawn ornaments. lol.

          so sad.

      • Back in the early years of the fentynal pandamic one Sheriff had a solution … his deputies would only use Narcan to “save” an individual junkie 3 times … after that the use of Narcan was prohibited (he had no authority over the FD so their medics could continue to save the SAME junkie multiple times)

        Alas the blowback on the Sheriff was severe, so severe he had to withdraw his order.

        This was for the same county where JD Vance grew up and where his mother was a junkie for much of her adult life. Obviously the “drug use” problem there is BAD … though the crime problem there apparently isn’t bad compared to most of the major cities, actually minimal in fact for an urban area of it’s size. (families helping family members who are drug addicts? I don’t know)

        I actually thought the Sheriff’s approach wasn’t all bad.
        Eliminate the “USERS” via the USERS own actions and the drug gang problems and much of the low level street crime (which is used to fund a junkie’s habit) sort of solve themselves since their customers no longer exist.

        • Tough call. I agree, in principle. ‘Problem is, if it were my kid on the needle, I don’t believe I could watch them die. Therefore, I also can not be willing to watch someone else’s kid die…

    • if you go to a place like Idaho State they issue you a $1500 fine for littering. every place i have visited in Idaho, wyoming and montana there is no grafiti and no trash and no whacked out of their mind on fentanyl doing robot zombi yoga on every corner.

      i was trippin when i was in portland. so much graffiti. so much trash.

      i never seen anything like it. i could even read any of the exit signs because they were all, painted with graffiti. it was rediculous. i thought to myself, so this is must be what it will look like when the economy collapses. i couldnt get out of that city fast enough. i felt like there was a big dark spirit or presence over the whole place. like shadow of death over it.

      to hear anyone say anything different is so odd to me. because i live 3 and a half hours away from Portland and everyone i know agrees, portland is a total shit hole.

      its a run down shanti town, a shell of a once great city.

  9. I had mentioned yesterday about having a low temperature sleeping bag in the closet. Wiggy has his low temperature Hunter bags on sale. These are base camp bags. If you get the full zipper, it can be opened up to use as a comforter:

    https://www.wiggys.com/specials/

    The ratings on Wiggys bags is fairly accurate. Can’t see many of you needing the antarctic model, but MN, MI, and AK might be a candidate for a Ultima Thule.
    Wiggy has now got the Barren Grounds parka in Ducksback fabric, which is new. He has it marked down a little, but nothing like the Hunter bags. I have an old style one I wear once every three years. I originally got it for trips to altitude and Northern tier states, but I am more the winter
    homebody these days.
    Having one very cold weather bag for each family member is a very good prep. Same with a cold weather parka.

    • Ahhh Body heat..that is my prep..high temperature Body heat from my better half, keeps me warm on cold winter nights.

      Usually too hot to sleep anywhere near her any other time of year.
      In fact I sleep in boxers, with just thin sheet over top. Winter time I will pull a blankey or two once temps get below freezing.

      Generally speaking, the Nut 2 Butt approach to keeping warm on cold winter nights is fundamental practice…everyone should get involved, specially if youse a 20 something Sidney Sweeney looking cutie on duty in the wilds of Pennsyltucky. Humminahummina

  10. Buy the rumor, or…

    Joe Cocker – “The Letter”

    Give me a ticket for an aeroplane
    I ain’t got time to take no fast train
    Oh, the lonely days are gone
    I’m coming home
    My baby, she wrote me a letter

    I don’t care how much I’ve got to spend
    I’m gonna find my way back home again
    Oh the lonely days are gone
    I’m coming home
    My baby, she wrote me a letter

    https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=hUmXscq9p_s

  11. ALL the Generals, AND the President & Secretary of War gathered in one place. What could possibly go wrong… besides an incoming missile??

    • Black Sabbath – War Pigs

      Generals gathered in their masses
      just like witches at black masses
      evil minds that plot destruction
      sorcerers of death’s construction
      in the fields the bodies burning
      as the war machine keeps turning
      death and hatred to mankind
      poisoning their brainwashed minds, oh lord yeah!

    • Nobody fired a missile at State Farm Stadium when Da Prez, Da VP, a bunch of generals, and over half of Congress was there, a couple Sundays ago. I personally thought that, stupid (the President and VP should never be in the same place at the same time, unless they have almost instant access to a hardened bomb shelter. Say, you don’t suppose…)

  12. ha ha ha ha. “Yes, I am “grinder biased.” I don’t think it’s a BUSINESS sitting on your ass all day playing video games. Thing is, are my “actual work genes” starting to play out IRL?”

    is exactly what i been doing. this is the second day. saturday i sat on a gad main hook up in a fully loaded dumptruck with sand in the box for 10 hours waiting to dump it. i dumped it and then went home. 12 hour day, all over time.

    and today im in seattle, i sat for 2 and a half hours wating to get loaded on the tiniest converyor belt i have ever seen. you could load my dumptruck fast with 3 mexicans with tea spoons.

    and im getting paid really well to so. so i been playing this zombie video game on my phone, pondering life, drinking coffee and listening to music.

    i talked to Mr Visible over at the petri dish this morning. i dont think he cares too much for my imput.

    i will leave him be for a good while.

    i did point out on that that Prophecy of Peter Deunov the first image of a bird reminded me of the ivory bird figurine with an intricate swastika pattern, radiocarbon-dated to approximately 15,000 years ago. some say it is the oldest form of the swastika.

    i said in that bird figurine has the swastika carved on its breast. in thw swastika it holds 4 objects in each of its arms
    now, line of site would reveal that as the bird flew high above in the sky, it would show 4 celestial objects over the earth.

    the second image the one under the bird is my last name. Stone Mountain. an image of a stone mountain. a place for everything and everything in its place. Since Peter Deunov was credited as a Master by the likes of Albert Einstine and former Pope John XXX something or other it would seem everything he wrote including the bird image and the stone mpuntain image was signigicant.

    not just the words on the page. i think 99% people who read his prophecy would ignore the symbols of the bird over the mountain, skipping pass them to get to the meat of the subject which was the end of the world as we know it and the start of the new world. the great seperation and divide yada yada.

    but im not most people. im the fella sitting in a dumptruck, playing vidro games on my phone and getting paid. lol

    well, well, there ya go.

    good chatting with you all. i have a flight to catch!

    It’s All good.

    I Win with God within.

    • Glad to hear you have been back working. As much as I would like to retire, full time work is still good. I hope to keep pounding keys until ’70. I work with a guy who been 78 as long as I have worked with him, which has been a while. There are places for old timers, even ones who are in denial.

  14. One of my local Trading-Partners called last night., with an interesting story.

    Someone knocked at his door., he opened it to find a sergeant with County Sheriff’s office, a plains clothes detective [ county sheriff] and a federal marshal. After introductions, the detective asked to confirm his name and address – they were at the right house.
    They asked permission to search his property – knowing full well that they could get a warrant, especially if a federal marshal was involved., he replied:
    “Before I give my OK., which I do., could you tell me what you’re looking for?”
    Quote: “We have reason to believe that a body may have been buried on this property in 1968.”
    Whoa !
    A little quick math – the house was built in 1965.., very rural at the time. Which he told them., he went on the explain that driveway is right where it’s always been., but the old garage was replace with the new double door metal garage about four years ago. Other than that, nothing has changed since the sixties.
    They stood around for a few moments., talking, looking over the property [ roughly twenty acres of woods and open fields. Nothing spectacular or different than most the other properties around him.
    As they started to leave, he remember something and called out to them.
    He has a local friend that owns a retired cadaver search dog. Would they like him to call and see if the dog can come over and help out? My trading partner said all three of them suddenly perked up and as a chorus said “Yes!”.
    I don’t know if a cadaver dog can hit on such an old, buried body., he doesn’t know either., but well find out. That’s 57 years of dirt and weather. Not sure that it’s possible.
    They will be back tomorrow with a search team., and his friend will bring the cadaver dog [ the owner told him the dog would love it.]
    It’s a Cold Case out of Seattle and the information came from a federal prisoner that just died in Oklahoma federal prison. He tried to get some names, but they stopped short of giving details. Federal prisoner? That explains the federal marshal.

    My trading-partner said he will wrestle the case – names from them when they return on Tuesday. [ If possible.]

    Hhhmmm., some one killed in the Seattle area and driven halfway across the state to dispose of the body., in 1968 ? Interesting indeed.

  15. HOA under control of homos…vrs unfazed by massive spending ability of a blackrock setting your costs to keep “your” house…???? .having to choose one is an HOA memo cause of “never buy or inheirit one…????

  16. Wowski Mr Ure,

    A 5 chamber wheel gun ? Ya mean like a Revolver?

    That my good man is old school, like way old school. Dem dare wheel guns be too slow..even with speed loaders. “I feel the need for Speed!”

    Pleased to inform my American Brothers that there is a newer version of RUSsian Roulette – it is called 5 tube roulette; and works as follows;

    1st Tube – Kinzals
    2nd Tube -Nuke Mole Torpedo’s
    3rd Tube – Oroshniks
    4th Tube – Osina’s
    5th Tube – Empty

    US & Nato on behalf of israhell, will spin this one at least once..Good Luckski!

  17. George, the Timing of the Rhyming …

    Mon, September 29, 2025. .. (closing peak 23 Sept 2025)
    Alexandra Semenova in Bloomberg … Wall Street Warms to a New Normal of Sky-High Equity Valuations …
    near the end of a 1982-2026 13/33 year :: x/2.5x fractal cycle …

    … October 16, 1929 (closing peak 3 Sept 1929 …)
    Irving Fisher in the New York Times “stock prices have reached ‘what looks like a permanently high plateau.”
    ear the end of a 1807-1932 35/90 year :: x/2.5x fractal cycle

  18. Murky Murkowski blocked the 9/10/25 release of the Epstein files..

    https://www.tarapalmeri.com/p/sen-murkowskis-ghislaine-maxwell
    ‘What she uncovered was a tangle of connections between Murkowski, Maxwell, her husband Borgerson, and Anchorage Daily News publisher and political donor Alice Rogoff. Through the Arctic Circle conference circuit, Murkowski repeatedly overlapped with Borgerson, and once with Maxwell herself—a well-known convicted sex offender’s right hand and later a convicted trafficker. For Murkowski, the release of those files isn’t just about Epstein. It’s about reminders of who she chose to share a stage with, and what that signified.’

  20. Stock market did what I expected it to do.., slightly whipsaw back and forth all day and end ‘up’.., just bit. Nothing unexpected.

    It is now.., the next two days we need to watch.

  21. Having recently swearing that he would never perform in the U.S. because of his hatred for Trump -often repeated & loudly – ‘Bad Bunny’ will now be the half time entertainment at the Super Bowl Half time show.
    What does that say about the NFL committee and their view on the country and their fans ??
    .
    We are so divided – this is not going to come back together.

    • “Bad Bunny” apparently is the MOST POPULAR musician in the world right now, based upon number of songs being downloaded. (a dynamic that skews heavily to the younger crowd, not the over 50 crowd like those of us here are)

      The NFL was apparently swayed by his popularity with younger people … and since the NFL now wants to GO GLOBAL (note the games this year that they are playing OUTSIDE of the US), not just be a US sports entity, someone like Bad Bunny gives them that global reach, which a US oriented entertainer would NOT.

      Strictly Business.

      The NFL would sell their own mothers to drug gangs if it increased the NFL’s popularity and made everyone more money!! Anybody who thinks the NFL has any morality in it’s soul needs to go off and think about it for awhile.

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