Future Spotting: Avalanche School

Several reader Comments have been getting to the idea of “slow, then building, soon.”  Examples are seen in remarks from William of the Radio Ranch and Stephen2.  And its really useful context for what’s going on now. Seems this spring will be a find time for even non-Christians to be thinking about Psalm 121, 1-2:  … Read More

Living on $10,000 a Year – Now

A final book chapter, Fed testimony, fresh job numbers, and crypto crazies means a biggish report today.  Which  we will pick up and play through starting with the jobs picture. Oh, and not anything especially shocking about the election results in Super Tuesday, to speak of. Two cupper, for sure though because many puzzle pieces … Read More

Double Top and Flop? Spirit Phone Rings

With Bitcoin nearing or over the old highs – though we might quibble a bit on this – there is little question but that markets are at least doing a Double Top – or higher – technical formation. If you are new to investing (as I am, even after 55-years in and out) a review … Read More

Magic Monday, Manic Markets, Ham Radio Notes

“OK, what’s so “magical” about Monday.  Did you miss the they suck memo?” Heavens no.  But over the weekend, if you were paying attention, the fairy dust of modern media fell on Switzerland.  How so? Swiss Voters Back Higher Pensions, Reject Working Longer. See how it works?  As the world becomes addicted to Free Lunch (inflationomics) the … Read More

Sunday Reader Note

Over on my Ultra-Make website today: The Electronic Detective’s RTFM Case, Pallet Shed Plans. Most important news story of the day: Intercepted German communications claim ‘US and UK soldiers on the ground in Ukraine. Changing poliical landscape: Biden Laundering Billions in Taxpayer Funds Through NGOs to Traffic Illegal Migrants to United States (trendingpoliticsnews.com) and Donald … Read More

From Crisis, Another Book?

A reader poll on whether a new book (serialized first on Peoplenomics before general release) is of any interest.  This, as a result of Elaine’s healthcare crisis this week. Which got both of us seriously refocused on Aging, the point of living Life, and how to live our important roles to the fullest. In the … Read More

When to Short a Darkening Future

Other than more Fed-Speak today – and a PMI number just after the open – a large chunk of mental processor clicks is being devoted to solving the unknowable.  Namely, when to short this bloated pig of a market. Our consigliere thinks we may have until sometime after Labor Day.  Because a gigantic “fall in the … Read More

Fairytale Thursday, Lemmings, Enviro-Reality

With Income Taxes filed, and part-way through updating our tree farm management plan, it’s comic relief to read the headlines and try to sense what could possibly be next.   Very much like going to the circus (Ringling Brothers) as a kid.  Except seems to have a lot more than three rings, peanut allergies, and that … Read More

The Changing Style of War

Wherein we describe a movement of warfare toward “Tainter Point Wars.”  Which we set about describing with plenty of historical references. From there, we jump into Ure’s world of woo-woo dreams and get a glimpse of where the “new styles” of warfare seem to be leading us. As one colleague in the review loop for … Read More

Housing: Up 5.5 Percent in 2023

The price of homes has been holding steadily higher, in the Case-Shiller/S&P numbers just out. But will the latest numbers be enough to get the Fed to back down rates a bit? YEAR-OVER-YEAR The S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller U.S. National Home Price NSA Index, covering all nine U.S. census divisions, reported a 5.5% annual gain in … Read More

DDT (*Data Dump Tuesday) & TurboTax Solved

Yes, a lot going on today.  Not the least of which is some data (Durable Goods. and Housing) which we will get to in a second.  But around here? The best news story of the week is what? Tax Troubles Solved Let me begin with a hearty “Thanks!” to TurboTax and E-Trade/Morgan for getting my … Read More

Meandering Monday, Taiwan Tickles

Markets are setting up, in our view (but not financial advice) as making a slight bounce around the open, then continuing down for perhaps an hour, or two early.  But then we’ll see how things move in advance of news events to come this week. As you know, we differ significantly with those who say … Read More

Focus on The Ides and Oddballs

As we wrap up February next week, The Ides of March loom large. Not that Julius Caesar will be assassinated again, but the World could be on a hard boil by then as global events remind us of an old Talking Heads song – “Lifetime Piling Up.” The good news, such as it can be … Read More