We dispense with all the usual formatics this morning to deal with the One Question that Matters. What’s the right move at this precise time and place that a person trying to preserve their retirement accounts and such MIGHT consider given where we are in the Economic Long Wave? It’s a complex question and while … Read More
Some things are just predictable. Take the overnight economic developments: Japan was down 0.27%. The Hang Seng was down 0.72% Germany and France with down a bit. But the UK rallies. Amidst this, U.S. futures were flat and, as we explained in a special report for our Peoplenomics.com subscribers Monday, there was some art involved … Read More
Simply, it’s the lack of sufficiency in how whole nation’s think and act. With the West and Russia going eye-to-eye in Syria (again) and with the U.S. Navy moving into the Western Pacific within striking range of North Korea, as China masses 150,000 troops on the North Korean border, I thought it might be productive … Read More
I rocked it today. Not a big win, but this time I conscientiously journaled every move, since a number of subscribers have asked about my thinking processes between the Peoplenomics Oscillator updates at mid week and on weekends. You asked….so here’s how we rolled. Thought by thought. Blew out of my long position, if even … Read More
Words out of Asia verge on alarming at this hour as a machine translation off the Korean news agency Chosun uncovers this: “As the United States announced its independent North Korean behavior and moved the United States Navy’s nuclear-powered [Vinson] (CVN-70) carrier class to Singapore, the Chinese army has deployed about 150,000 troops in two groups … Read More
At the macro-economic level, we are not yet in “field position” for war. Leastwise, according to how the economic long wave has worked in the past. Usually we get big depression than big war. Besides, you know how you can tell it’s NOT “game on” for war yet? The lights are on. If the lights … Read More
This being a four-day workweek for some, the morning ritual struck me as a useful UrbanSurvival topic. The reason for the short workweek is Good Friday which, if you don’t mind my saying so, is an oxymoron. ALL Friday’s are good although when the day was pegged way back when, I doubt the inter-denominational marketing … Read More
A couple of big items on the agenda this morning. In the ChartPack section we work through what some of the initial Syria results are in terms of market impacts. Then, in the Focus piece, we consider how homes and car prices might fare in the opening couple of years of a Second Depression when … Read More
First thing out of the hopper is the Employment Situation report just issued by the Labor Department: “The unemployment rate declined to 4.5 percent in March, and total nonfarm payroll employment edged up by 98,000, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Employment increased in professional and business services and in mining, while retail … Read More
We have been noticing a story making the rounds about “Old-fashioned rest stops disappearing in some states…” Although it appears in many newspapers, we tracked it back to the Pew Charitable Trusts’ website here. Since Elaine and I semi-regularly head out on 5,000 mile driving trips, we have been thinking deeply about this problem. Most … Read More
While the sycophant and pile-on press are predicting a “difficult” meeting today between Chinese President Xi Jinping and Donald Trump, the facts suggest the opposite. America suffers from being a bunch of phony sinophiles. Including most reporters. Sure, business students consider The Art of War a must-read book. But a tiny fraction of those will … Read More
Elaine and I have both been working our tails off on projects around the homestead this week, so pardon the short column this morning. The biggest item left on my to-do list is getting the new 55” UHD monitor installed in the office. It will replace the four existing monitors – 3 x 24” and … Read More
We have much to ponder: New jobs report. A winner. Meanwhile, a series of Federal Reserve working papers has us considering the kind of future the Fed is looking at. Then there’s more action by North Korea and a migration path to war with China if we screw the pooch in negotiations. But mainly, we’re … Read More