Reliving 1929: Scariest Chart – Ever!

We’ll get right to the chart our Peoplenomics.com subscribers see updated twice a week. This is based on work we have doggedly pursued since 2000 when the Internet Bubble was imploding.  After which, a funny thing happened.  The stock-sellers on Wall Street simply glossed over $5-7 TRILLION in losses.  The bait-and-switchers began talking about “blue chips” … Read More

Listening for the Tumblers

Trying to “crack the safe” in the investment world, are you?  Years ago, an outfit that made saw-sharpening and locksmithing gear, Foley-Belsaw – had a dandy locksmithing course. Turned out, it was a lot more feel and less touch than cartoons had made it seem to a young feller. Point is, in really unlocking investments, … Read More

Transitory Madness: Trade and Dim Prospects

C.O.M.S.   (Crazy old man story – a nice wrap-up of the week.) Elaine and I watched a marvelous doc on Netflix last night about “How Cat’s Think.”  Well worth Ure’s time. Especially because Elaine calls me The Dog (all men really are dogs, after all).  And I call her The Cat (lithe, graceful, slinky and quiet…).  … Read More

Outlook from the ’29 Replay Model

Odds appear to be increasing that we are entering the larger Wave 3 down in markets.  Not that we won’t rally first; of course we will. But consider where our Aggregate Index work was on November 8, 2021:  41,953.86 .  Based on the close Tuesday, it had rallied from a low of 30,870.04 June 16th … Read More

Turnaround Tuesday? Half Off by Christmas

My consigliere called Monday.  Up scouting the slopes at Beaver Creek in Colorado.  Forgot to ask if he was wearing a gray Fedora with a black band. The reason for the call?  Most people – when you give them a set of numbers, and ask for a chart, will promptly open Excel and build a chart.  Others … Read More

Fall’s OPTEMPO

Short for “Operations Tempo” it’s the kind of thing military commanders coordinate.  One flank moves at a certain speed while another moves at something else.  Between, an enemy is “herded” into a disadvantageous position. In markets, there is an OPTEMPO, as well. Sometimes sector moves are fast, or at other times, painfully slow. This morning … Read More

Statistical Dating and Markets – Turn Week? Empire State

“So, this guy is walking down the street and turns into a market…”  That’s where our “philosophy of trading” discussion picks up this morning. With Ure taking a look back at something he quietly pioneered long before meeting Elaine. Statistical Dating (& Investing) This is really key to internalizing our crackpot theory of Aggregate market … Read More

The Bad News – and Worse

Two stories headline our Saturday morning thinking:  Our previously “unthinkably bad Elliott Count has been validated.  And some comments from a retired senior Air Force contributor shine an embarrassing Light of Truth on crooked political assassination efforts. Either one is bad.  Combined, they can be taken as a sure sign of more troubles and stress … Read More

CCEO Training

Let’s start with Collapse-Capable Electronics Operator training and why it’s a different cut of cloth than a ham radio operator.  Nothing against hams – finest people in the world. And I’m an Extra Class (AC7X) who’s been “Banging brass” for 60-some years, now. Everyone can benefit from a ham license – no Morse code required … Read More

The Wave Count We Hope is Wrong

There is a chance now, that within a year, stock prices will have fallen to half of present levels – and maybe lower.  The pieces are just now sliding into place.  But, when you consider some of the data – and the flow of world events – it has become an undeniable possibility. This isn’t … Read More

OMG-AB

“Oh my God- Another Book” begins the morning with the first chapters of yet-another book I’m thinking about writing.  Well, maybe more than thinking about. This one is all about the coming Digital Dark Age.   The one that follows deteriorating relations with China, Iran, Russia and whoever else holds a grudge.  As they all gang … Read More

Hold Your Breath in August and September

We are coming into a period when the term “high risk” could mean more than any other in our lifetimes.  We are literally living in a “powder keg” world which could “go Archduke Ferdinand” at any second. Plus with our ChartPack – and a market that has soared (as of mid-session Friday) more than nine … Read More

Confessions of a Market Agnostic

Yes.  It’s true.  I play both long (going up) positions and short (going down) plays. Remarkably, I make money either way things run. It’s kinda like being a banker:  If things go well, they make money on interest.  If things go badly, they repossess assets and sell them off – oftentimes billing for any shortfalls, … Read More