News

Deflation is peeking out of the PPI numbers just out: “The Producer Price Index for final demand decreased 0.4 percent in March, seasonally adjusted. In March, over 70 percent of the decrease in the index for final demand can be traced to prices for final demand goods, which fell 0.9 percent. The index for final … Read More

Well, a Lexus in, a Lexus out, huh? Let’s have us a little contest, shall we?   “This Market has more ups and downs than….” Post your entry as a Comment. No prizes only bragging rights. Being old (addled and mentally infirm, too) my entry was: “This Market has more ups and downs than a … Read More

Very short column today.  In the last 24 hours, A.I. and I have been working on a crossover project – part book, part biomedical research – which we will get to in a minute.  First things first. What goes up…going to pull back at the open…at least before the CPI… CPI OK, now we get to … Read More

Seriously, we don’t.  No more than we trust edicts and pronouncements.  Encyclicals from the untrustworthy.  We’re out there with Diogenes, looking for the honest souls. Empty-handed, mostly. The good news, such as it is, has it that this morning’s Focus Section – 20-odd pages on how bad the next couple of years could be – … Read More

Dow Futures +1,000.  They don’t call it “Turnaround Tuesday” for nothing. Stock futures are looking positively ducky with the Dow set to pop at the open +750 to +1,000 (on the early Futures board).  Why, even the “yeller dog” [Gold] seems to have regained the “right side” of $3,000. On the other hand, Bitcoin was … Read More

A “tell me it ain’t so” for the doubters of our work… Or for those who thought we were nuts walking out on the Corporate World in 2003,  Or moving to the woods. Or stocking up for trouble. Or… And just like that, the rhythm of history taps us on the shoulder again. The 1929 … Read More

Grandpa’s Shop Truth be told, Grandpa Ure didn’t have one. He’d had a tough life, bringing the family out from the Dakotas during the Twenties — he saw what was coming. With a well-paying job at the forerunner of Puget Power, he drove a Dodge PowerWagon over the mountains and foothills of the Cascades. Years … Read More

It would be audacious – but is there some player who would “kick America when she’s down?”In our “worst cases” department, some scenarios that could be lurking out of sight – and out of mind – until next week,  That’s when markets could get down to an approachable “bounce” level. But from there?  The old … Read More

Markets are pricing another flush today.  So our morning interactions with collaborative A.I. are spot on. Warning: This discussion is predicated on your having at least an awareness of the difference between a commoner’s point-of-view (POV) and advanced multi-domain thinking capabilities.  A “domain” (for this discussion) may be considered a “thought-center” which in turn because the central focus … Read More

How bad? We  have mentioned a few times that5r April 15th could be an especially inrteresting day this year. that will be 55 calendar ofrom the nominal (Aggregate) high of February 19th.  So…deep words for another 10-days, or so. For more uplifting and joyful shit, drop by the morning. -ure

When markets hit the crapper – like today – you have a lot of power. It’s an opporunity to test yourself and grow.  As you know, I’m an A.I. Collaborator, but even if you’re skeptical of the usefulness of AI, consider what it offers: 1. Zoom the Frame: Re-Anchor to Time Domains Market stress shrinks … Read More

Mini-Crash Alert: Today’s 1929 Replay market charts are here. Challenger Job Cuts Just out: “U.S.-based employers announced 275,240 job cuts in March, a 60% increase from the 172,017 cuts announced one month prior. It is up 205% from the 90,309 cuts announced in the same month in 2024, which was the highest monthly total recorded … Read More

We use terms like “Mini-Crash” sparingly.  But, with Dow Futures down more than 1,100 points, Techs own more than 700 and even the (semi-rational) S&P down over a hundred, here are the major features of our work that matter.  (Thank a Peoplenomics subscriber for making this possible…) First, with Smoot Hawley Tariff’s in full rhyme, the … Read More