On the surface, this promises to be a fairly quiet week, data-wise. The news flow is less than inspiring, because the “shoot down” of the Chinese weather or surveillance balloon has turned everyone in Washington into even bigger Buffoons than before. Sounds impossible, we’ll admit. Tomorrow we’ll get a taste of international goods pricing, but remembering … Read More
A “two brains are better than one” report for Subscribers today as G.A. Stewart of The Age of Desolation website and I go looking for the methods behind Nostradamus. Which only sounds quirky until you realize just how much of humankind’s future is laid out before us in a multiplicity of formats. Some as ancient … Read More
It’s a nice Friday. My new CPAP machine is working great, thanks. With a good night’s sleep, along with a forecast high of 74F today, what could possibly go wrong? As it turns out: plenty. Long-term? Dismal Being a self-centered, greedy, semi-retired scrooge, let me huff on the whiteboard marker and begin with the market outlook … Read More
Right. But is that hours or the year 2024? This morning we consider the structural problem of “quantum futuring” and ponder our simplistic views of probability over time contained in our language and thinking styles.. We don’t propose any novel new ways to approach such profound Truths – as what lays ahead for the upright … Read More
This might turn into an “M” week. That is, up at the open today (if futures hold – housing will pop first) but then petering out after the commercials get back from stuffing presents. That may lead to the “downstroke” of the M’s middle around tomorrow and into Thursday. But a pre-holiday frosting rally can’t … Read More
Since I’ll be on Coast-to-Coast with George Noory, and since markets in the U.S. are taking this Boxing Day off, what better time to sit back with a fresh cup of coffee and ponder the three major agenda items that all 8-billion humans face a week from now when New Year’s Eve shows itself. The CLOCK IS … Read More
We are beginning to wind down into the holidays. Tomorrow, though, a very useful Peoplenomics report on estimating small house/microhome projects complete with spreadsheet to do the heavy lifting, As a “mood setter” for this kind of project (son G2’s planning his build this spring) it’s useful to look at three things. Overall direction of the … Read More
Another Monday in the Great Game of Life kicks off with a reasonababble writer on the sidelines holding up a stack of Monday cue cards. Tuesday Data Watch We see the Biden administration lobbying of the Federal Reserve ahead of their rate increase decision Wednesday. As Treasury Sec. and former Fed chief Janet Yellen is … Read More
I suppose we should begin this morning’s roll by unveiling the new Consumer Price report just out from Labor: “The Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) rose 0.4 percent in October on a seasonally adjusted basis, the same increase as in September, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Over the last … Read More
BUT first: NY Fed’s Empire State Manufacturing Data just out: “Business activity declined modestly in New York State, according to firms responding to the October 2022 Empire State Manufacturing Survey. The headline general business conditions index fell eight points to -9.1. New orders, unfilled orders, and shipments were all little changed from last month. Delivery … Read More
With markets in free-fall, we are again looking back at critical lessons to have internalized right now – like today – before we get into the Replay of 1929 any deeper. There are two main ones that come to mind. The first has to do with invention. So, in this regard, we’ll be focused on … Read More
Glorious Thursday!~ It was a highly profitable Fed announcement for Ure’s, truly. And for a few of our readers, like D’Lynn for one. Yes, it was a dandy day. But punctuated with a reminder from my consigliere that although we are expecting something of a rally in here, “Counter Trend Trading is a great way … Read More
Fascinating historically based rambling-tale of a pseudo-academic logician’s thought processes kicks off today. Sudo apt-get install, shall we? From the top, then. The Vietnam War ended on April 30, 1975. Using this point alone, long wave economics can offer us AMAZING insight into the future of global conflicts. Including a couple of windows for the … Read More