Won’t Say “Told You So” – But….

by

Breaking:  PPI and Jobs

Producer Prices report first:>

“The Producer Price Index for final demand increased 0.5 percent in September, seasonally adjusted, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Final demand prices moved up 0.7 percent in August and 1.0 percent in July. (See table A.) On an unadjusted basis, the final demand index rose 8.6 percent for the 12 months ended in September, the largest advance since 12-month data were first calculated in November 2010.

Nearly 80 percent of the September increase in the index for final demand can be traced to a 1.3-percent rise in prices for final demand goods. The index for final demand services moved up 0.2 percent.

Prices for final demand less foods, energy, and trade services moved up 0.1 percent in September after increasing 0.3 percent in August. For the 12 months ended in September, the index for final demand less foods, energy, and trade services rose 5.9 percent.

New Unemployment Claims next

Please note in the “un-salted” (not seasonally weaseled) the new claims were up 15,000.

Still, after the data, the stock bubble was up 279 on the Dow,, 40 on the S&P and 166 on the NASDAQ.  Yee haw!

Now, Where Were We?

Oh yes… I could have stayed in the long position we were in a while longer.  But, I have too much going on around here to sit on my ass sniping at “free money” all day.  It will all be there tomorrow.  Las Vegas never sleeps butdon’t markets, either.  No proof of vax or a negative test required. No plane ride to get there.

Point is what?  What did I tell you to expect today and tomorrow in Tuesday’s column?

“There is a good chance (no, this is not trading advice; we’re talking gambling here) that the market could turn powerfully higher for a day or two and then be ready for the larger Wave III down to get organized into the end of the month.”

So far, so good.  With today’s close being the end of trading for October Index Options, we have been expecting one hell of a run-up.  As the commercials take “free money” from the previously mentioned “nervous Nelly’s and timid Timothy’s” who bought index options to hedge the possible drop in October.  Yes, we’ll probably drop, alright, but options are a time-game.  November strikes might be a different story. Just remember, it’s always dangerous to play in the Street.

How Our Look-ahead is Looking

You can see how it’s been shaping up for a while.  Leg 1 down from Labor Day’s All-Time High.  And we have been in a Leg 2 rally – which based on earlier futures this morning – might roll out like this going toward month end:

THIS IS NOT INVESTMENT ADVICE.

Looks to me like a powerful B (or leg 2) rally with a doable target zone.  Green arrows?  A is usually not the smallest move…

Even when you have an idea about how the future might arrive, it doesn’t constitute investment advice any more than palmistry or tea leaf reads are.  There are so many ways to play this, it’s just silly.

You could buy a leading stock – expecting the rally to take it higher.  Or, to spread risk, you could by an index Exchange Traded Fund (ETF) on the long (bull) side.  If you have real stones – and understand there is huge risk involved, you could sell a bear stock (or ETF) betting you will be able to “buy to cover” as the rally drives down the price of bear products.

Just remember, people can (and do) go bankrupt thinking they know more than the market.  If you want to play, that’s YOUR personal decision which we want no part of.

On the UrbanSurvival Philosophy

Around here, playing the market with small money and using only the smallest of leverage, we’re massively entertained and it beats the hell out of stupid lowest common denominator TV programs in the day room for inmates of an old fogies joint.

Our ONLY financial advice is simple:  Pay Off Everything.  If you have mid-5 figures and up in checking, no mortgage, no credit card balances, and so on, then taking some enjoyment from what’s essentially a global KENO game becomes reasonable.

The quickest path to such ends?  Living well-below your means.  Which includes sweat equity.

An example:  Could our new kitchen tile project be done with a 30-second check run?  Yes.  No doubt.  But which would we rather have?  $2,000 more in checking or some stranger in our house (breathing?).  Besides, this way I get to learn to lay tile better.  Even with age 73 approaching, I’m more convinced than ever that if you stop learning, stop pushing yourself, you start dying.

The task is made much more interesting when you wake up each morning realizing you’re on a prison planet and most of the inmates are crazy and have factionalized into warring belief tribes.  Eyes on the tile saw.  Don’t want to watch the bad ending.  But that rolls us into…

Bad Ending Indicators

For one, there’s a bioweapon afoot in the world.  Something we’ve been taking hits for mentioning for 18-months now.  *No natural reservoir has been found yet, but if you have hard data to the contrary, please post a link in our Comments section.

Of course, not wanting to be “found out” (along with Tony Fauci weasel-wording questions of the U.S. government having a hand in funding “gain of function” research), today we see China warns against ‘manipulation’ of WHO virus probe.

There are strategic military reasons why China is not likely to move on Taiwan in coming weeks.  (See the recent Peoplenomics discussion, not something to be ‘out here in the open/indexed world.’)  Given that, we only expect a 10-20 percent market decline from here and a robust 5th wave to come in early to mid 2022.

What we are likely to see are the propagandists on both sides beginning to whip their populations up.

Supply Chain Prequel

Part of the demonization process is the blame game.  We think there may be headlines that are shaping up to capitalize on virus blame:  China power restrictions to challenge supply chains in the long term.  Along with China’s record factory inflation poses another threat to supply chains.

Our favorite tipster, Linda-at-law, sent us a story for review earlier this week:  Peak oil is coming. That won’t save the world.

Although CNN and others are cloaking the present round of energy issues as somehow climate-driven (with the requisite “need for urgent action” and other such poppycock), take it from a half-century “newser” that’s not the real story at all.

History Teaches, but Who Listens?

The Truth of the global mess has to do with a decision by capitalist chieftains in the 1960s to begin globalization in order to a) increase America’s food exports, which then b) led to big population increases in the 1970’s.  Which was followed by c) export of labor to least-cost centers dating from when Nixon opened the doors to China.  1972 or 1974 – not enough coffee onboarded, yet.

As China became a least-cost center, the cost of Chinese goods began to rise such that now the least-cost manufacturing is moving to India where the machinery and manufacturing is about where China was 10-20 years back.

The liberals went along for the “soft think” ride.  Even though futurists of the time warned “If you feed, they will breed…”

Which sure as shit is exactly what happened.  But in dollarized Board Rooms, that was just a “bigger marketing opportunity.”

Tokes and Smokes Tell All

You can see the migration if you follow the crooked path of the tobacco industry.  When it came out that yes, ciggies cause cancer, the tobacco industry moved sales overseas.  Virtually everyone in Indonesia is hooked on smokes, lots in Vietnam, and so forth.

Back home, weak-minded liberals have been sold out by the corporations again.  To wit, we wonder how truly gullible the American dumbed-down can be reading the headline in the Washington Post “FDA permits e-cigarette for first time, R.J. Reynolds’s Vuse.

The sub-head of the story reveals the ugly truth: “FDA authorizes an e-cigarette for first time, saying benefit for smokers outweighs risk to youths.”  Who in their right mind could believe such incredible bullshit?  WTF???   What the hell is a credible “benefit for smokers”???  Sounds like enablers of addiction to this old man.

No, kiddies, you’re better off with a joint and some home agriculture lessons.  This is yet another example of the FDA lying to the stupid – who seem to be in control of the ass-sylum.

Same racketeers and media coconspirators who buried the report aspirin reduces mortality from Covid by 47%.  Think it’s only coincidence the U.S. pops a study on why you should stop the daily baby aspirin?  Literally within 24 hours.  Hog swill for sheep.  Everything is a Business Model.

Corruption via money – the love of excess consumption – the failure to teach values  ion school while peddling gender-checking and CRT – instead of learning to control our urge to control others – is what will take us all down in the final, violent, global war.

Still a couple of years out, but getting here soon enough.  The polarizing insanity is already evident.

Bottom line:  The Bidenista’s have killed Energy Independence.  All part of the bleeding out of little people through higher energy prices and rapid inflation to come.  Why do you think Elliott fifth waves are driven by energy and precious metals?  God help us all.

Sewage Treatment

Masquerades as news, until you leverage some brain cells to it:

Dems have lost the first of many to come: Republican nabs Iowa House seat in special election held by Dems for decades.  Maybe if the party didn’t throw-in with ultra-lib (to communist) values, they’d stand a chance.  That stuff doesn’t fly in fly-over country, though.

We’re not the only ones to notice: Victor Davis Hanson predicts full ‘reckoning’ in midterms: Biden will face a ‘grassroots revolution’.

Good luck keeping your job and your Freedom:  The Great New Normal Purge over on the Consent Factory lays it out. Who needs a 1976 style Red Guards purge when we have vaxxers and racial dividers and gender-checkers?

Climate hysteria’s in there, too: Climate change: Carbon emissions from rich countries rose rapidly in 2021 – writes the BBC News.  See how all the “leaders” want everyone else to reduce their carbon footprints why they fly private jets and ride limos around?

Still waiting for a “global coastal event?”  Us too.  But one of these mornings we’re bound to wake up with a wave going over Florida.  Just maybe not in this lifetime.  For now, keep watching Lava continues to flow from Cumbre Vieja more than 3 weeks after it erupted.  Our money is on Sept of 2022 and then spring 2023.

And we’re renaming Joe Biden:  Joe Do-Little:  Biden orders companies to ease supply chain bottlenecks or he’ll ‘call them out’.  Orders?  LOL.

Which is political nonsense. Root causes are more likely, in our view, an already extended longshore contract with talks planned.  And let’s not overlook the massive layoffs by the railroads in SoCal. Just more BSAR (*bullshit and rhetoric) from the teleprompter president and his puissant press.

Thanks, we’ve had enough.  Can we have our country back now?  Please?  You remember?  The one that ran on merit, hard work, and personal excellence? My sweat ain’t your free lunch unless I volunteer it…

Write when you get rich,

George@Ure.net

41 thoughts on “Won’t Say “Told You So” – But….”

  1. Post 2 . Stay short . Everything is hindsight in markets . Cars are not driven by rear view mirrors. Took off lots of gold chips .8 days up is big in yes george the crooked casino . I’ll be back to craps soon but for now it’s bet red roulette. This world is sick trouble is lies and evil are the new normal. I respect george but do it my way . This thing can go at anytime and it will be history. It will be red button stuff . Vix is 18 george 18 !!! Yes 18 yes 18 . You know when I stop being short

  2. Holy Scheisse G-man,

    The Reds are hear, the reds are hear!

    Lettuce look under some rocks;
    1) Rosemont Seneca Partners – recieved BILLIONS$$$ from Chynah central bank, like the our federal reserve bank -NOT owned by the chykneesPeople, or the US population. No American citizens and Chyknees citizens are the central banks MAIN asset or Liability.

    2) Kam’s hubbys’ company DLA Piper – advises group of companies owned by CCP.

    3) Kam – member of Alpha Kappa Alpha lodge (AKA) linked to masonic order of eastern star. Only 2 white women have been honored with membership: Elanor Roosevelt and Killary – freemasonary.

    freemasonary/satamism IS the Bond that ties US and Chicom govts.

    4 Ure viewing pleasure “Riding The Dragon: The Bidens Chinese Secrets( 4 those wit eyes to see) https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JRmlcEBAiIs

    * try to understand – “they” really do DESPISE the common women/man”

    In the meantime – looking at 442 high on the SPY (50dma) and a 415 low on SPY (200dma) – prolly fail to break thru to upside/ 50dma – again, at which point things might get a lil cattywhompus.

    The real dealio – BITCOIN of course ! TBN bet for $100k on BTC by December 31st 2021 is looking better…Payoff – steak dinner wit dlinks/ TBN callz the steakhouse. A market crash between then and now will severally effect outcome of BTC price wager..taking care of BIDNESS!
    https://youtu.be/NCIUf8eYPqA

  3. Thought I’d post a little view of how those vaccine mandates are being received by folks around the world. (Not very well, actually) Seems most of the world is aware of what’s happening in Australia, while most people in the US are treated like they’re mushrooms kept in the dark. Video mentions Pelosi being whisked away from a church … but I found all sorts of news trying to debunk that. Lol !! – Yep, keep us stupid. We’re still armed so the truth can’t come out … until we starve to death.

    https://youtu.be/tHpZ2vqJbMA

  5. I’m intrigued by the bioweapon idea. I mean, the results look like it, but nobody has a perp in mind. If you are thinking China, that is an assigned opinion. I’m interested in what thinkers think, not what right or left wing opinion machines assign to the populace as opinions.

    So let’s apply some logic. It’s the US.

    What would it look like if you were in a global war, and you didn’t want to blow everything up, but needed to take down your biggest foe? A foe that has many deep problems, teetering on the brink of collapse… You’d need a way to push them over the edge.

    Think Cold War. We did that one with space weapons, supposedly. But that’s just an assigned opinion. Nobody got nuked, and the Soviets collapsed, that’s true. It was at it’s core a teetering giant pushed off it’s feet.

    I know, you’re going to say the US is a teetering giant. Not so fast. Do we have water, food, immigrants, growth? Does China? Do we have the biggest real estate bubble in the world? Does that bubble represent 1/3 of our economy? Do we need to invade anyone to stay afloat? Does China? Careful, you don’t just start spouting assigned opinions here. What does the evidence say?

    Que bono? We just went through a business and social transformation we never could have accomplished without the virus, and in just a year. Americans now have more choice than ever before where and how they work and live. Did China get any such benefit, or transformation? Doesn’t seem like it.

    Is it a benefit to the US that mostly fat and old people are dying? All you social-security-is-running-out people, what say you?

    Bottom line: If this is a weapon released on purpose… is this how you take down the US? Hardly. Is this how you isolate, and strangle China, geographically, economically, socially… maybe. You’d certainly need a massive excuse like this to avoid a hot war.

    • Brilliant observations! This is the best Covid explanation I have heard yet and it makes perfect sense..The Star War’s initiative, which buffaloed the old Soviet Union that was already teetering on the brink of collapse, into spending money and resources they didn’t have to try and keep up. Ronnie’s Raygun, as I liked to call it, was a monumental bluff that was unfeasible at the time due to poor performance of the LINAC that was designed with CNC programs that were in their infancy! There were other issues as well, that could have been rectified with enough time and money. But the was no need to go any further, the mission was accomplished!

  6. “some home agriculture lessons. ”

    I have got to find out what I am doing wrong.. tried to clone that tomato plant.. it made hundreds of the best tasting snackers I have ever owned.. yet everything I did was wrong.. I did freeze a few so I could plant them this january.. but my goodness.. there is something I am doing that is wrong..in cloning..I used clone x and the clone x water.. and followed the instructions.. I even tried an aspirin.. a guy I knew cloned hundreds of plants using an aspirin..

  7. “No natural reservoir has been found yet …”

    Well, OF COURSE, there’s an … oh, you said NATURAL reservoir – I was about to say well, there’s Pfizer and Moderna and Merck and all the rest. They’re manufacturing it day in and day out.

    As far as that Global Coastal Event thing you speak of Clif made some comments about it on Jean-Claude’s Beyond Mystic 003 a couple of weeks or more ago along with the “Cousin Alexi”; the looting of the Vatican; “Demolition Dana” and other data points in his old reports beginning at the 28:40 or so minute mark in this video:
    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8daayqpTh9g.

  8. “it beats the hell out of stupid lowest common denominator TV programs in the day room for inmates”

    I got some new vacuum hose line.. so I am going to dinker with that for today.. and there is a good book I wanna read or listen to.. I might just start out listening while I work.. then finish up reading the rest of it..
    ALTHOUGH… I do like some brainless entertainment from time to time.. I hate shows that are all predictable unless I want some brainless ones I won’t watch the networks but I do love netflix and prime and some hulu …. the same plot the same ending and the same cast members just mix up the cast a little bit.. one movie one is the scurge the other movie the other member is the scurge..

  9. Peak oil again? It’s been predicted more times than the Second Coming. I know, I know. This time it’s different. Color me skeptical.
    Besides making a shit-load of money, one goal of globalization was to make it less likely that we’d blow each other to smithereens. So far, so good.
    Feeding = Breeding has been disproved a number of times. As standard of living rises, birth rates drop.
    Global Coastal Event? Should we ask Clif to check-in? Worked SOOOO well last time. BTW, can it be a GLOBAL Coastal Event if only one coast of one continent is affected?
    Struggling to retain the purity of my precious bodily fluids….
    73’s

  10. “most of the inmates are crazy” and they are incharge Edgar Allan Poe, Dr. Tarr’s Torture Dungeon. Life imitates art.

  11. “If you feed, they will breed…”

    Everyone loves pets. We all heard Amy Barret in the confirmations…. “I have two black kids *pause for emphasis and shock* I adopted them from Haiti.”

    Haiti is it’s own country. Amy should be calling her black kids Haitian-Americans and not “black kids.”

    Amy used white colonizer lingo. She couldn’t hide her true self. But people ran with Amy. “TDS! TDS!”

  12. Australia got the KamAllah warning:

    ‘Be prepared’: Stark warning for Aussies ahead of Christmas rush

    https://au.news.yahoo.com/be-prepared-stark-warning-for-aussies-ahead-of-christmas-rush-102715068.html

    I’m tempted to buy a freezer but rely on the local, no, National power grid. And where do I put the freezer? The basement – I’m on the local sewage system. “They” can flood me out like a mole but with raw sewage any time they want. Living above raw sewage will make me sick. Any open skin pore will become infected, I’ll stop thriving then die.

    Knock-off battery walls are starting to be advertised in my area.

    Permits and increased property taxes required.

    https://www.getpwrcell.com/

  13. Have to disagree with you wrt China waiting until next year to move on Taiwan.

    My own work indicates China potentially moving in the next several weeks, possibly as early as November.

    I could post all the reasons why to me the timing is pointing to Soon, as in VERY SOON, but most here probably already understand the nature of China’s GAME PLAN and why the time for China to move may be coming to a head NOW.

    I agree the markets and such things such as market and economic cycles indicate China will not move until next year in the fall … but War cycles and War dynamics do NOT necessarily follow market cycles since in a War one MUST sometimes move when an opportunity presents itself, not when the preplanned timing is “Right”. (Hitler started WW2 a full 3 years before his military build out was to be completed).

    The Chinese CV attack which began with the Invictus Games has NOT worked as China had originally planned out but their aggressiveness in generating an alternative plan is NOT to be underestimated if they are to remain on schedule.

    Hope I am wrong since it is going to be a Royal Mess when it happens, and the US Navy if it gets involved it may get a test as to how the dynamics of sea warfare has changed since their last serious sea battle (during our invasion of the Phillippines in 1944 – which was 77 years ago)

    I guess I will be right, or wrong, in the near future. Time to wait and see.

    (I don’t think one can NOT understand China and what drives it unless one understand the “Middle Kingdom” mindset and how that permeates Chinese culture, society, and thinking processes. Trying to place China into the typical “Western Thinking Box” just doesn’t work. They just do NOT think that way)

    • Han moar racist than Zionazi’s – if thats possible. Both have been working Looooonnng term plans to ENSLAVE humanity.

      Zio-nazi’s or Han Chi-Coms ???

      As I have said many times before on these boards – F – the evil diabolical losers..”OKAY ! You wanna play rough?Say Hello! to my little friend..”\
      https://youtu.be/a_z4IuxAqpE

    • Resident? Is he actually living there? If so why the false stage they’re using for publicity sessions like when Biden got his “booster” (wink, wink, nudge, nudge)? Is he redecorating the White House to look like China’s Forbidden City?

      That’s not a bad re-arrangement of his name, though. Thumbs up!

  15. post 3 . this is total fin* bullsheet . i dont care i told you so . what you told me the sun would rise in the west? i got some guy and i cant mention names but hes fat , ugly dumb and (edit). dont go paranoid on me . now yesterday he said sell into yella rally . 8 days up on back prices is maxed big big . today its buy dips , bulls turn , no emotion big bull rally . well f me im glad im outa posts today and massive short . thanks george keep on charging!

  16. George
    We have been getting a slew of intimidating and threatening emails about being “fully Vaxxed” by 12/8.
    Today, at 1500, just before everyone leave for the weekend (we work Mon-Thurs, 4-10) we get an email to all employees that if you take the jab by 12/8 they will gove you a $1000 incentive.
    I was able to look at the spot price and figuring in the premium for non numismatic quality silver dollars and half dollars, that they were offering about $990, or “30 Pieces of Silver” for you to ake the jab!
    No.
    Just NO!

  17. Suspicious 0bservers’ YouTube channel is always fascinating but most of the time I have to listen to each day’s update twice to get about half of what they’re saying. Today’s video, though, has a note in it everyone can get right off the bat. Science news sites reported recently that they detected radio waves emanating from the center of our Milky Way galaxy and it’s unmistakable – we’ve been contacted! The news starts at about the 1:35 minute mark –

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gl295r7lOaw

  18. FDA is just preparing a new income stream. I am sure the product will be heavily taxed like cigarettes and down the rode the governments will sue to recover medical costs, rinse and repeat. Cigarettes were so profitable for government, so much tax money, and people dying earlier for less SS.

    Of course as someone that believes in freedom, I don’t believe FDA should be able to approve for sale or ban such things. I have no issue if a company must label something as not FDA approved, but let people decide what they are willing to consume. But now that medical costs are mostly socialized, people want a say in how their money is spent.

    I believe the covid was lab made, the data provided in that direction is the most compelling. I don’t believe it was a weapon though, just a group of scientist that believed their research is the most important thing and damn the risks. Simple escape, and then CYA, explains this much better then some grand plan to release a pathogen without the means to protect ones population. Most of the time the simple solution is correct.

    Idiots and criminals all
    https://www.msn.com/en-gb/news/world/fauci-said-benefits-of-gain-of-function-outweigh-risks-of-pandemic/ar-AAKuGIB

  19. This guy has a brilliant idea. Surely there are now people experiencing Vaxx-regret. Notice the good doc states “proven ways”. That’s a big statement all things considered.

    Sell them ways to detox.

    Removing Spike Proteins, Eliminating Graphene Oxide, Reversing mRNA Damage, & more w/ Dr. Nieusma

    Dr. Joe Nieusma returns to the program to discuss very important proven methods to keep from getting sick, reversing cell damage from the mRNA shot, neutralizing and removing spike proteins, detoxing graphene oxide, and more. We can survive this bioweapon attack and fight back against the worst tyranny ever subjected onto humanity. Learn more about Dr. Joe Nieusma at

    https://SuperiorToxicology.com

    https://rumble.com/vmn72j-removing-spike-proteins-eliminating-graphene-oxide-reversing-mrna-damage-an.html

  20. A family in-law is struggling with cancer and making progress with his chemo treatments. He and wife are not vaxxed. This week he went to the hospital for another scheduled chemo treatment and the medical center would not let him or wife enter the building without being vaxxed! They both had to take the shots in order for him to get previously scheduled cancer treatment! Absolute Mengele-inspired, Nuremburg-violating, life threatening COERCION! I was apoplectic when they told me this. I would have been screaming in the ‘medics’ faces and getting a lawyer to file suit, pronto! Unfreaking believable to make an experimental medical shot a condition to receive medical treatment. The Nazis are winning.

      • Concur with this solution – Do do the Research – review the boards and other Users journals for dosing recommendations. Also thousands of journals from people self dosing fenbendazole – daily entries – helps with managing the fear/anxity/pain that comes from FIGHTING cancer.

        IMHO – the only way to survive modern medicine (western/rockafella model) is to Manage it Ureself .

      • I ran into someone yesterday who’s sister’s bladder cancer was erased by using this. They, and the sister, were actually taking the Safe-Guard canine medication and reported that it removed other types of cancers, such as skin cancers, over time as well. Juicing of fresh vegetables was also part of their regimen, too.

      • Can you just imagine all the “hopeless” patients rising up from their hideously expensive Hill-Rom hospital beds, when they realize they could have been cured by a horse and dog pill, and chasing the doctors and hospital staff down the halls in their open backed gowns wielding their IV poles?

      • Thanks, Bill. I did inform them about the ‘Joe Tippens’ cancer protocol, and I have a bottle of Fenbendazole to give them next time I see them… and to press the issue with them. He’s a pastor and wonderful person that I really like, and I want to see him around for a few more years.

    • Here’s a video that needs to be passed around … a LOT-

      Mass Psychosis & You
      https://odysee.com/@Chris_Martenson:2/mass-psychosis-you:f

      Can you believe they actually made a movie about Falsie? These out of touch MO-rons can’t understand why every time they put a preview video up on YouTube or on Rotten Tomatoes they get a 10 to 1 down vote on the thing just like the current White House channel on YT. How out of touch can these people be??

  21. guest post !!!!!!!!!!! i wouldnt be long anything !!!!!!!!!!!!!! no yella here mate !!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! runpattern 9 up still nothin . nah

    • Boy Mary I am with you.. especially since the reports on how it was affecting the PNW were quieted and all the information hushed faster than the pedophile group that involved politically powerful and the elite influencers.. they quieted fukishima down ten times faster..

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