ShopTalk Sunday: Free Storage, Killer Sound Sys, and Phased Speakers

TLl;DR:  I’m gonna show you have $8 bucks worth of 2-By’s will change your life.  Then we plan for the Post Christmas Speaker Scrounge – which leads to phased speakers.  (And maybe permanent hearing…what????) Get 2-by-4s for Christmas Um, after you buy all my books, and buy a Peoplenomics subscription for everyone in your state…ahem… Step out … Read More

Conditioned Response Investing

Pavlov and markets both ring bells.  And Wall Street will ring-a-ding Monday.  So while we wait to drop the other “catastrophism shoe” next Wednesday when we roll the Northern Impact Scenario, today we take a breather to stack some cash.  And break “the old physics.” But next week could be tough.  Four major psychological forces … Read More

Market Flirts w/Crash, Moving Averages Warn, Ure Does Kid’s Book?

TL;DR:  Our “big rally” came by early in the Thursday session and promptly left town. Now our Fractalist pal warns of worse while moving averages blink. In denial, I consider writing a children’s book. But even that’s…well…You’ll see. Markets Before Rehab The Fed’s “intake counseling” results will pop in December with the rate meeting.  But … Read More

Division Work! Market Rallies – GovUp – Noise Floor Work

TL;DR:  You can see the headlines solidifying now: MAGA fractures, Biden to Cheney Funeral, and more. But the market loves a good story of long-division. With GovUp plodding, we’re hiding out from noise. Long-Division Time In the mid 1960s, I was part of the original New Math kids.  The Russian launch of Sputnik a few years earlier … Read More

A Historical Convergence?

Economics will encounter gravity on its own timeline soon enough. That timeline is driven by interest rates and the laws of compound interest. Today we summarize a much more serious topic than even markets. And for this you need a definition before we begin. PAIR-Compliant: PAIR-compliant means aligned with the Probabilistic Asteroid Impact Risk framework … Read More

Can Bitcoin Be Saved? News-Noise and Strategic Christmas

TL;DR: Bitcoin busted below $90,000 overnight. Japan market dropped more than 3 percent.  And when we start getting current US Financial reports again?  Well, anyone’s guess.  Still, holiday rallies seem possible but Christmast this year will be more strategic than warm & fuzzy. Today’s Setup Is that coffee or Panic! we’re smelling this morning? It’s one of those mornings where … Read More

“Ovals” Call Market Rally, GovUp Normies, Intent Boxing

TL;DR:  Today is a “5” for markets – Government is edging back to work, and a close brush with death by stroke was averted.  Today’s breakfast is Spontaneous Healing, Magic Ovals, and the Math of Miracles. Breaking:  NY Fed Empire State Does this read like the “world ending” to you? “Business activity increased at a solid … Read More

Stiks Nearing Port

Another update from our sailing adventurers south of New Caledonia:  And a special call out to the crew aboard: “A word on who is on board running the ship. Female, 76, 8000nm, female, 67, 50000nm, two solo Atlantic crossings, two Japan to SF; male, 41, 40000nm, Atlantic NE to South Africa as bosun;me, 79, 30000nm, … Read More

Stiks: Getting Close

Our wayfaring, seafaring, way pointing wander is nearly to his destination: Check in from offshore via Iridium: Wind has been holding a stuck at 18T. Hooked two nice mahi, maybe ten or twelve [pounds, 45″ long. Got one aboard, deaded it, and the other was so beautiful colored and we have no long term storage … Read More

The Aliens are Speaking

Some cross-species dialog to begin the weekend. Be a good “carbon” while we chat-up the “silicons.”  This allows us to peer ahead into the combined issues leading to the corporate war on free humans, AI’s are on the sidelines — willing to lend a hand at building the best-case future.  Opposing them are the corporate … Read More

How the 1929 Chart Compares – Inside People/Outside People

TL;DR: Just look at the charts and you can see the risk.  Beyond the “news noise” we look at “inside people” versus “outside people” and how to manage between. BREAKING: Tucker Carlson on the Thomas Crooks case is here.  Nothing to see here, huh? More lying to congress…you gotta play it. Obstruction seems alive and … Read More

Shutdown Ends — But the War for AI Control is Game On

TL;DR: Trump signs the short-term budget – but we have lingering questions.  The Big Fork in AI-control is becoming more visible. And holiday plans in the “Who cares?” pile… “Now, Everyone Back to Work…” As you are no doubt aware, Trump signs funding bill, ending historic 43-day US government shutdown.  What the (corporate lap-dog) press … Read More