War Bluffers?

Updated 10:35 am U.S. Central Time:  Ukraine media is now reporting its forces have retaken 90 settlements in the Kherson region.  Shortly after, the Russians reported began lobbing S-300 miles into Kupyanks, according to state media. One less worry in Ukraine:  Where will war reconstruction money come from?  The answer: EBRD to commit up to EUR 3B to Ukraine by late 2023 (ukrinform.net)

U.S. markets love climbing this “wall of worry” though.  Amazing.  (But not particularly rational in our view…)

Earlier updates:  Despite U.S. denial, we are now reading EMERGENCY- Russian Army Signal: “Red Alert” to the Radiation Forces -Impending nuclear explosion – Radioactivity will cover Poland” – WarNews247.  Rather oddly, or is it, the market hasn’t collapsed yet.

You may wish to read NATO’s action plans: NATO – Topic: Collective defence and Article 5.

“Article 5 provides that if a NATO Ally is the victim of an armed attack, each and every other member of the Alliance will consider this act of violence as an armed attack against all members and will take the actions it deems necessary to assist the Ally attacked.”

Just in case.  Dirty bomb, Russian or Ukrainian would present a difficult mess.

Everything is hot along the propaganda front this morning.

The West is continuing its escalation path, as “Germany will deliver three more IRIS-T air defense systems to Ukraine as soon as possible, and each of them can protect a large city” reported Ukraine’s news agency.  The problem in terms of de-escalation is: this makes conventional air attacks less likely to succeed and thus, escalation to NSNWs may become more likely.

IRIS-T system information here for your reference.

As one of our readers notes:  U.S. is likely still at Defcon 3 but wondering about Defcon 2 becoming possible.  All eyes on intel and one-another for now.


We seldom do updates, but the reports this weekend of the US 101st Airborne going into positions within miles of the Ukraine border tell us there’s a War Bluffer’s Showdown about to begin.

In foreign media – because the US Media is tightly controlled by corporate interests – we have been following stories like “President Serbia: “Storm breaks out – The 101st Division enters Ukraine” – American officer: If the Russians enter Lviv, it’s all over!

Bluster is fine, except this is a real shooting war and the threat of nuke use hangs heavy in the air.

The US market, oblivious to reality, has continued to rally into what we have projected to be a “strong hands finish selling to weak” but events will soon tell.

God help up all – we are led by incompetents and the truly demented. Although, thanks to their predictability, our short position just went green.

George@Ure.net

64 thoughts on “War Bluffers?”

  1. Lots of noise from many places stating a dirty bomb is in place to be detonated by the Ukes. That could be the final straw for Russia to be blamed for it. only time and actions will tell, but it does not look good for a merry X-mas this year or for many years to come. The NATO countries being controlled by the WEF/NWO are not going to stop until they meet their goal and we know what that is.

  2. If true, the ‘retired U.S. Army officer’, a Lt Col, is making what is tantamount to a dangerous ‘double dog dare you’ statement, and is not officially part of the current DoD force planning or decision making processes. But that said, and considering that Lviv is just 40 miles from the Polish border, and Poland is (since 1999) officially a NATO member, and all NATO members swear allegiance to each other with “an attack on one is an attack on all” credo, a Russian assault on Lviv would be viewed with high levels of alarm backed by massively increased regional military readiness. In all seriousness, Lviv is currently so far from the main Russian ground forces that Lviv is far more likely to suffer air and artillery attacks than a ground assault. BTW, the U.S. Defense Readiness Condition (DEFCON) is currently guess-timated to be @ or approaching level 3, ‘increased force readiness.’ See: https://veteran.com/defcon-levels/
    DEFCON 2, ‘near nuclear war,’ is when folks should start to seriously worry about nukes possibly flying. DEFCON 1 means we all should bend over and kiss our derrieres goodbye!

    • One can only Hope and Pray that the Primary Alert System or it’s modern equivalent has normal chatter going and that Alert Crews are not very tense with nobody eyeing the Launch Key safe!

      • I woke up this morning.. and the lights were still on.. the kids were still safe.. so the MORONs in charge didn’t kill us in our sleep.. thank god for that..
        NOW.. what I do know.. is we won’t know when its coming.. I was told years and years ago.. that they won’t tell anyone basically because.. can you imagine seeing sanfran all in a panic..
        I believe it is coming.. wish we had some people that really cared in office.. but it is what it is..

  3. The primary reason for trending asset devaluation is too much unpayable debt supporting overvalued asset prices at the ongoing artificially set central bank interest rates. In particular the US and European-equivalent zombie corporations’ positions have been made untenably worse by the central banks’ rising interest rates on their junk bond debt roll-over positions.

    The reason for asset short term price gains and losses and transient peak and nadir valuations are trading saturation buying and selling, respectively.

    Saturation selling for the short cycle should occur by 28 October 2022.

    24 Oct 2022 current operative weekly decay fractal series model: 24 January 2022: 7/15/15/6 of 11 weeks.
    24 Oct 2022 current operative daily decay fractal series model: 12 September 2022 11/25/22-25 days (similar to peak valuation 1929 initial daily decay fractal series)

    (Imagine a real system where the market determined the prevailing interest rates. The current extreme asset valuations would not exit in a real functioning free market system. The West-East mentality divide has at its basis the ability of the West to create paper/digital money for the East’s real natural resources and real manufactured goods.

  4. The duration from attack to counterattacks is important.

    When Poland gets wiped-out the market can recalculate values factoring the loss. The time between attack > counterattack will be a duration of uncertainty that can’t be priced-in, thus crash.

    After Poland gets blown-out Turkey will control the pipes. Rice of the Ottos.

    I may head to $WMT and snap-up all the rice, if they any.

  5. Curious – the markets have had plenty of time to read and digest all of this news.., no response. In fact, the markets are all up nicely.
    – Watch the last couple of hours…,

    • In my opinion , China is quite comfortable sitting back and watching this all unfold to their benefit.

      Many articles stating that NATO members munitions are at critically low levels. Just how low the Chinese want to know. Low munitions stashes are great news for the “complex” as well as the Chinese.

      I still dont see Russia setting off nukes of any form in the Ukraine due to fallout. Are they not down wind ???

      Back when ” I was in the service” , it was repeated often that the only winner in an armed conflict between two of the big three would be the third country that sat out of the big shindig…China.

      • Yes., the seasonal weather has changed in the Ukraine., Russia is now “down wind”.
        – If the 101st does engage in Ukraine – China will smile.., a big Cheshire cat smile. As the U.S. will now be committed and can not pull out. All eyes, foreign and domestic, will be on Europe.

  6. Russia’s enemy is not the Ukraine it is us, they accomplish nothing by starting a limited nuke attack in The Ukraine – the will nuke Brussels, Britain and the US they will cripple all the pretend generals ….. they will go straight for the jugular- remember the original Daegle numbers with an 80% population loss in the US

    • I’m not part of “us” then.
      Russia’s enemy is not “us”, it’s the idiots running things.
      Everyone around the world, except the few running everything, want to be left alone so they can live their lives.
      This hit home to me several years ago when I watched a Rick Steves travel vlog with him in Iran. The college students he interviewed hated the Shah and just wanted their families to be left alone so they could live peaceably. One young woman even stated that the leaders kept making waves because it was the only way they could remain relevant. This is true everywhere.

      I just found it here or do a youtube search for Rick Steve’s Iran: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=CYoa9hI3CXg

    • I believe that the Deagel report only showed 66% population loss, and much of that was due to our inability to recover from any kind of hits, economic, military, or otherwise. We have little redundancy, and the Biden idiocy has reduced even that. JIT delivery of overseas goods is another real weak spot. Now we’ve drawn down fuel supplies, military gear, and food reserves. What could go wrong?

      Just in case, I’m about to change the battery in my geiger counter.

      • “Just in case, I’m about to change the battery in my geiger counter.”

        I’m now carrying a NUK-Alert next to my flash glasses…

      • The last one showed down about 70% (101mln). Previous reports showed down ~80% (61mln).

        What none of the narcissists on Reddit or any of the other comment boards noticed was the near 50% to near 90% decrease in population in all the Commonwealth Nations (UK, Canada, Australia, etc.) — essentially every English-speaking country…

  7. .., and just to add to the fun-&-games.,
    The militaries of North and South Korea exchanged warning shots along their disputed maritime border on Monday, according to officials from both countries.
    The maritime border was drawn up at the end of the war – 1953.
    – This has happened a couple of times before. But never with the current ‘Baby God’ of the north, in power.

  8. On the other hand, NATO has nuclear war games going so perhaps Russia intelligence has been confused by NATO (into thinking nuke games are reality).

  9. That warning about foreign intervention in the election results is just a way for O’bidet admin to say “i told you so” and be able to blame someone when there are thousands of flipped election results and chaos leading to martial law in a couple weeks.

    Apparently, I’ve pissed someone off…was told there was a rather expensive drone hanging out in the middle of our property early this morning. My drone is ready to fly right at you like NASA crashing a space shit, err, ship, into an asteroid if it shows up here again.

    Whomever you are, you’ve been forewarned. I don’t take kindly to people snooping on my property and I will take corrective actions no matter who you are.

  10. Took the kid to school this morning and a car in front of me had a license plate with 3 letters, 4 numbers … the letter spelled something like His … (I can’t just write the persons license number) and the numbers were 1084. I looked up 1084 thinking it would be funny if it were a police code and putting the word with the number would be a laugh … searched but didn’t laugh. I got this …

    https://home.treasury.gov/policy-issues/financial-sanctions/faqs/1084

    So, I go back to bed, fall asleep for about an hour … dreamt I worked in a grocery store. Stocked a couple boxes of corn flakes to the half empty shelf from a full cart of stock. – lots of full carts to stock BUT the shelves were not to get full. So, they were relatively empty.

    Wake up, and go blow leaves out of the yard. Looked down and saw a pigeon on the ground, head up on a piece of fire wood. Stiff as a board, eyes open, dead as a door nail. Hadn’t been there too long … no ants.

    Had 2 bands, one on each leg. One yellow with letters and numbers and the other band was green plastic with nothing on it. Found out it’s a Racing Pigeon from DNR, looked the numbers up and emailed the guy who owned it to let him know we found his bird, deceased. – the owner lives in Delaware.

    Think I’ve had enough WOO-WOO for one day. Sheesh !!

  11. ” “President Serbia: “Storm breaks out – The 101st Division enters Ukraine” – American officer: If the Russians enter Lviv, it’s all over! ”

    This is a machine translation…

    It should read: “President of Serbia: “If a radiation storm breaks out – The 101st Division will enter Ukraine”

    and,

    American officer: “If the Russians enter Lviv, the war is over!”

    Machine translations are to a place where they’re good. They’re not “right” or “correct” and nowhere near “accurate” but they are good…

  12. Gee a powerful country America. It runs everything. China and Russia just its lap dogs . This American empire is just getting started . Great president biden started it . Wow George’s short positions are green . Wow even down is up

  13. Then you got the great founding presidents . Bush 1 keep started it . Clinton gave it more on love island . Dub ya the big 911 and then the new way Obama . Then the comedy hour the DJ trump . And now the great statesman biden with his beautiful family. Yes folks American empire warming up

  14. Look at about 1.15 pm . That is when they had that chart formation they use for liftoff . It’s like a trident very symbolic to da boyz . I forgot to mention the neweconomic advisor mr Klaus schwabb

  15. The stand up comedy is great 2 in the new America empire !!! Here the jokes about nukes and market crash !!! The gurus are on fire everybody laughing !

  16. Comrades!

    If it remains true that Mr. Xi’s only child continues graduate studies in psychology in America, then one would imagine relative safety will continue.

    “In the midst of chaos, there is also opportunity.”
    Sun Tzu

    • Re: “All the World’s a Stage.”

      Folks,

      Thanks to The Bard for unceasing inspiration this time from “As You Like It”. Premier Li Keqiang, possibly Eldon Li to his readership, is marched from The Great Hall of the People. Oh, the theatre of it all! Didn’t the premier publicly announce some months ago of his planned year end retirement?

      From the shoulder tap that delivered a body slam to the Guardian of the Two Mosques’ Kingdom of Saudi Arabia, what surprises lie in store November 5th when the WWE Crown Jewel matches commence their play run in Riyadh. Will an upstart topple the 6-time villainous champion Rome Reigns, “The Great Tribal Chief”? Will the religious police permit Scarlett Bordeaux around the Steel Cage event without a hajib? No birds of a feather dunk Zeus’ woman in the drink and get away with it. Let loose the lions, inshallah!

      Now from a modern day Roman Forum only 60 years removed from slavery, let’s travel to the backwoods under moonshine as DJ George, destroyer of weak amps, holds court in studio.
      From Lviv where lions guard the Glory Monument, here’s hometown Release the Lions off No Rest for the Wicked –
      “Create Your Way”.

      DJ George may wish sensitive listeners to be aware that this YouTube link does not contain disclaimers of explicit audio content.

      https://youtu.be/VmiOgd1DRel

      Speaking of getting butts out of chairs, here’s a way – Monday Night Football with Peyton and Eli” on Bears vs. Patriots (this is not investment advice.). Sorry fellas, the local cannabis joint is open till 11 for us “to live life to the fullest”.

    • Folks,

      Ten and a half hours before Mr. Sunak is to meet King Charles to form a government, the BBC went supernatural “Hound of the Baskervilles” on their live newsfeed. Beneath a headline reading “when is the next general election” was an uncaptioned picture. It was a black lab seated beside a polling station sign with a background that cast a shadow of two horns over the dog’s head. The first time the BBC used it was in the June 2017 UK election which saw the conservatives lose their majority. At that time, the pictured lab was identified as Guia (Guide), a rescue dog from Ecuador. The picture was taken in the Staleybridge suburb of Manchester which has a 97% white population. Manchester overall is 66% white.

  17. did yah hear the one about halloween nukes and gann anniversry of 1929 . hillarious !!!!!!!!!!!! hot dog grits and goey !!!!!!!!!!!!!!

  18. ride em cowboys !!!!!!!!!!!!!!! yeeeeeeeeehhhhhhhhhhhaaaaaaaaaaaaaall thru texas !!!!!!!!!!!!!!! what happened guru . ? stop loss ? give up ? go again ? ring bobby pretzel ? aggregate rigged ? no idea ? sark mohitos !!!!? jimmy cramer guru ask jimmy !!! jimmy had 4 jabs and i dont care jimmy cracked aorta and i dont care !!! sung to gimme crack corn or jimmy crack bears

  19. just a heads up for daboyz . gold stocks looking particularly weak in sheethole oz . just a heads up for da fixin gang

  20. I’m not seeing much evidence of any panic in response to all the nuclear threats. The large survival food suppliers have stock and aren’t warning of shipping delays. Iodide tabs are available on Amazon. Business as usual. Contrast this with the situation in the early 1st quarter of 2020, when suppliers shelves were empty. Of course, it may be that everyone is already stocked.

  21. as hank the hammer paulsen said just a day before banks started collapsing in 07 , i have never seen a stronger world economy . and i have never seen a stronger empire than america with is great riches and wealth and strong , fit , super intelligent population .. and its leader and great statesmen and politicians . truly the greatest ever

  22. Monkey is seeing some interesting things on his various boards. Given the cases to be brought against that “nation state actor” in the U.S. DOJ flights have headed toward Florida stopping short in Savanna, GA. Also Monkey is saying that he’s seen more activity in flights to and from Gitmo over the past 30 days than he’s seen in recent memory.

    There is a surge of what Monkey thinks is probably sizable troop movements into and out of certain states, mostly Texas and Eastward with the exception of California. He’s not sure exactly what is going on with these events but starting at the 14 minute mark he describes what he’s seeing. Details were scarce.

    I can see Trump being arrested prior to the elections, if we have them, and the Deep State starting a hot war in Europe and having to deal with China on our West coast. This could/would create enough havoc to fend off the coup some are expecting to see after Nov. 8th and give the DS Dims and RINOs reason to assume enough authority to cement their places in power at least for the time being. Hell, who’s going by the Constitution now anyway? This all depends now on whether the people with guns will go along with one faction or the other.

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=76AryZfvxIY

    • I don’t think anyone would dare arrest Trump. The sham hearings and trials have been total one-sided circle-jerks. If The Donald gets popped, suddenly due process comes to town, and the world gets to hear both sides of the proceedings. By not giving Trump a forum and his legal team a voice, they can propagandize anything they want.

      Seven continuous years. That is how long the best law enforcement investigators in the history of the world, with the best investigative and forensic tools that’ve ever existed, have investigated Donald Trump and found nothing.

      Arresting Trump would kill their cash cow…

      • Thinking logically has impoverished many an investor and critical thinker in today’s World, my friend.

        In one scenario 107 was pushing not very long ago he said that, paraphrasing, “we’re going to experience a gut punch” implying that Trump’s arrest would give him plausible deniability when the coup happens after the elections (attempted selections). It’s all fodder for the conspiracy minded – but, today, show me something that ISN’T a conspiracy.

      • Patience, Bill. Let’s see what happens in the midterms. Lee kicked ass but a Hopeless win in NY wouldn’t surprise anybody; Oz should’ve gained 10 points on NoFetters overnight, based strictly on that amazingly bad “debate.” They’re still “toss-up” races though. If something obvious happens, like Robert winning Texas, then Katy bar the door. I can see literally anything happen, including secession or a full-blown armed revolution.

        I believe 2022 will be a reasonably honest election. 2024 is when there’ll have to be a massive fraud to keep the Dems on Penna. Ave. and Biden’s bosses may have trashed the economy so badly by that time that the PTB abandon the Dems and start looking for the next Nixon (can be bought) or Bush (is an embedded one of their own…) Remember, Republicans lost the House for ~40 years, simply because Herbert Hoover was da Prez when Wall St. crashed…

  23. Janet Yellen said today the bond market is great everything good !!! Just like the hammer !!!artifical intelligence reads me !!! Yayyy stuff a pastrami from Katz in yah nana . Then get a donut down the road and hang it off !!! Get excited nana so good ..

  24. Where’s bobby pretzel !!!! Nana Yellen has said it !!!!! Crash tonite !!!! Yeeeeehhhhhaaaa gold to hell !!!!! Everything to helll !!!! Yayyyyyy$$$

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