Trump’s “Web War” – Job Cuts – Southern ‘soon’s – A “Mystery Allergy”

59 thoughts on “Trump’s “Web War” – Job Cuts – Southern ‘soon’s – A “Mystery Allergy””

1. Why You Should Tenderize Meat with Baking Soda – Arm & Hammer

   https://www.armandhammer.com/articles/baking-soda-meat-tenderizer

2. George : “… I don’t know if it was a reaction to sitting on the tractor seat (cats sleep on the seat when not in use) or whether it’s because I used meat tenderizer …”

   Possibly you should instruct the cats to mow (earn their keep instead of just sitting on the tractor seat and … save the meat tenderizer for your butt cheeks? Nah

   Egor

   ps – Texas Tea is almost free!
   https://www.cnbc.com/quotes/@CL.1

   • Buy,buy,buy..

     BITCOIN that is..ooops! too late..

     Can you hear the song Mr Bluebird, who is sitting my shoulder, is signing ?

     It’s “No Bitcoins for Youse” by the Block Chain Gang.

     * Tiny oil co. paying 7.65% div. yield, earnings next week, for under $4.00..ya dont think the BCN would be backing up the truck for this do ya? Due to rain in forecast for Churchhill Downs Saturday, looking elsewhere for some action..think I may have found a lil in Africa.

     • Dont Know BCN

       Its never too late to add tranches of worthless fiat onto the early bitcoin stack.

       Count me like Saylor. I’m always buying spare change every month. Dont know where else I can find a 5 year CD equivalent thats giving a CAGR of 45-50% if you HODL to term. Not Advice

       Get your own block chain LOL.

3. Really ?

   You close with “butt cheek puffed up and hard as a rock ?”

   If I didnt know you had said NO to the clotshotz, I would have diagnosed VAIDS (vaccine acquired immune deficiency syndrome). Could have been a Pegging accident, but I dont think you roll like prince William rolls. Wonder if the new Kate digs “digging” for fudge nuggets.
   So gonna go wit Meat tenderizer – every time I eat out, and they use a meat tenderizer I get an reaction, allergic esophagus.
   Cue the Mucus Monster. Have learned certain restaurants (steak houses) that always use it..outback s.h. being a big offender. Not big dealio as I only eat red meat (Bison not included) bout once a month anymore. Talked to Doc bout it – and he agreed, suggested I drop it all together.

   Not a big deal either, but McDonalds QP w/cheese value meal is go to after any Surgical procedures, so figure no more Surgical procedures for long time..fingers crossed.

   * tRUMPS’ messaging last night to the Mullahs, as well as Hegsignals” messaging suggests the israHELLI zio’s are still running the show in DC.
   IMHO – Attacking Iran will create the very worst outcome possible for all Humanity. Doomed we will be.

   • re: Family Roots

     BCN,
     Apparently the entymology of our English word rose traces back to wâr meaning ‘red/rose’ in the ancient Parthian Empire which was situated in modern day Iran. The spouse of Marchioness Rose Cholmondeley (pronounced like Chumlee from “Pawnstars”) is a great-great grandson of Baron Gustave de Rothschild of the Paris House. Additionally, their current Grade I-listed abode, Houghton Hall, was constructed by the family’s paternal 18th century ancestor and England’s first Prime Minister Sir Robert Walpole. Following the latter’s exit from the realm, many of his owned works by the Great Masters found their way to Russia care of Catherine the Great. The original 17,000 acre grounds surrounding Houghton Hall have diminished over the centuries to a more eco-friendly 1,000 acres. However minions are welcome to make pilgrimage and lay eyes upon the spectacle on a year-round basis for a small stipend.

     Apparently first journalistic word of an errant Hall back door left swinging in the wind dates to 2019 by a lesser sibling of the late “National Enquirer”, namely “In Touch”. The weekly magazine is a subsidiary of A360 Media which is a subsidiary of privately held Chatham Asset Management domiciled in the USA. The latter gained accolades or notoriety depending on one’s perspective during the #45 Administration for introducing the world to then-married Mr. Bezos’s alleged girlfriend, Ms. Sanchez. Subsequently the firm encountered SEC legal headwinds under the Biden Administration. Happily it would seem the rough-and-tumble play is behind them. In fact here following is a March 2025 SEC webpage link inviting comment on how to best divvy out $19 million of company fines for betterment of the common good:

     https://www.sec.gov/enforcement-litigation/distributions-harmed-investors/distributions-commission-administrative-proceedings-notices-orders-pertaining-disgorgement-fair#chatham

4. https://disasterology.substack.com/p/diasterology-april-2025

   • rinse and repeat, Mr Ure’s words apply to this article that you post without comment. It is very bias opinionatated rambling.

     “Deepsters: They tend to be more liberal, like rambling articles that “scratch their political itch” and love opinions woven into content.”

5. https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-14648991/ice-barbie-kristi-noem-blame-grandkids-bag-theft.html

   Is her rifle pointed at that guy’s head?

   • Never give a chimp a rifle!

     https://rumble.com/v6ssuql-real-planet-of-the-apes-never-give-a-chimp-a-gun-but-if-youre-stupid-enough.html?e9s=src_v1_upp

   • Have you seen the pictures of the 2 alleged perps who stole the purse.
     They look like spooks (FEDS).
     Looks like a op to me.

   • This is my rifle… This is my gun …… nah

     • Leon Uris? Om my…this one’s for shooting, this one’s for fun (if you’re not into Leon’s works.)

6. RE: Ure unexplained swollen & hard butt cheek – maybe you were ‘twirking’ in Ure dreams and sprained a glute? That, or ask Elaine if she delivered a firmly placed kick to Ure posterior to stop you from snoring, singing or yodeling while slumbering!

   • I just had to explain to someone “Hey, if I’m snoring, you know I’m still alive.” She laughed.

7. “Global odds of the planet surviving to 2050 are only about 15 percent.”
   .
   Prove it.

   I’d like to see the math you used to get that number. Very curious.

   • Appendix 3
     The Powered Die-Back Modeling
     Not exactly light reading here, but the odds of failure at a global level in the next 25-years is on the order of twice the odds of success. Not our cup of tea, but here’s more if you’re up for it.

     To address the statistical question regarding the risk of a “power-die-back” event chain by 2050, relative to the previously agreed-upon 15% chance of a successful Earthbloom, we need to define terms, establish a framework, and estimate probabilities based on available trends and reasoning. Since “power-die-back” is not a standard term, I’ll interpret it as a catastrophic societal collapse or regression—potentially driven by events like those described in the thought virus scenario (e.g., mass disobedience, violence, or systemic failure)—that is equal to or greater in impact than the transformative success of Earthbloom. This response integrates insights from our prior discussions, particularly the Earthbloom model and the thought virus risks, while grounding the analysis in statistical reasoning and real-world trends.
     Definitions and Framework
     • Earthbloom: Based on our previous work, Earthbloom refers to a utopian scenario by 2050 where global connectivity, potentially including empathic or telepathic communication (e.g., involving nonverbal autistic individuals as in The Telepathy Tapes), fosters harmony, inclusion, and collaborative problem-solving. We assigned a 15% probability to this outcome, reflecting optimism tempered by significant technological, social, and political hurdles.
     • Power-Die-Back: I interpret this as a dystopian event chain leading to societal collapse or severe regression, comparable in magnitude to Earthbloom’s transformative potential but in a negative direction. This could include widespread violence, systemic breakdowns, or a thought virus-like scenario causing mass disobedience and chaos. The impact would disrupt global systems (e.g., governance, economies, or social cohesion) at least as profoundly as Earthbloom would unify them.
     • Timeframe: The analysis focuses on the period from April 2025 to 2050, aligning with the Earthbloom timeline.
     • Probability Estimation: Since no direct data exists for these speculative scenarios, I’ll use a Bayesian-inspired approach, combining historical trends, current risks (e.g., from the thought virus report), and expert assessments of global catastrophic risks. The 15% Earthbloom probability serves as a benchmark for calibrating the scale of impact.
     Estimating the Risk of a Power-Die-Back
     To estimate the probability of a power-die-back event chain, we consider factors that could drive such an outcome, their likelihood, and their potential to cascade into a global catastrophe. Key drivers include technological misuse (e.g., AI-driven disinformation), social instability, environmental crises, and geopolitical conflicts.
     1. Base Rates of Catastrophic Risks
     Historical and expert analyses provide base rates for societal collapse or major disruptions:
     • Global Catastrophic Risks (GCRs): The Global Challenges Foundation (2024) estimates a 1–6% annual probability of events causing at least 10% of global population loss (e.g., nuclear war, pandemics, or AI misalignment). Over 25 years (2025–2050), assuming independence, the cumulative probability of at least one such event is approximately 22–78% using the formula P=1?(1?p)n P = 1 – (1 – p)^n P=1?(1?p)n, where p p p is the annual probability (1–6%) and n=25 n = 25 n=25. However, power-die-back may not require such extreme loss, so we adjust downward.
     • Societal Collapse: Historians like Jared Diamond and Joseph Tainter suggest civilizations collapse due to resource depletion, inequality, or institutional failure. Tainter’s work implies a low but non-zero annual risk (e.g., 0.5–1%) for modern global systems, yielding a 12–22% chance over 25 years.
     • Thought Virus Scenario: The thought virus report highlights AI and social media as amplifiers of disinformation. A 2023 Freedom House report notes that digital disinformation already fuels unrest in 20% of countries annually. If a novel thought virus emerges with global reach, its probability might align with extreme disinformation scenarios (e.g., 5–10% by 2050), though coordination challenges reduce this likelihood.
     2. Specific Drivers of Power-Die-Back
     Drawing from the thought virus report and broader trends, key drivers include:
     • AI-Driven Disinformation: A 2024 Nature study warns that generative AI could amplify conspiracies, with a 10–20% chance of significant societal disruption by 2030 if unchecked. Scaling to 2050, with improved AI capabilities, this risk could rise to 15–30%, assuming no robust countermeasures.
     • Social Polarization: Declining trust in institutions (Gallup, 2024: 32% global confidence in media) increases susceptibility to divisive narratives. A 2024 National Centre for Social Research report estimates a 25% chance of major civil unrest in Western democracies by 2035, potentially cascading globally by 2050 (20–35% probability).
     • Environmental and Economic Stress: The IPCC (2023) projects a 30–50% chance of exceeding 2°C warming by 2050, triggering resource conflicts or migration crises. Combined with economic inequality (Oxfam, 2024), this could destabilize societies, with a 20–40% chance of contributing to collapse.
     • Geopolitical Conflicts: Our February 2025 discussion on EU-Russia tensions suggested a moderate risk of territorial wars (10–20% by 2035). Escalation to global conflict (e.g., NATO-Russia or US-China) has a lower probability (5–15% by 2050) but could amplify other risks.
     3. Cascading Event Chain
     A power-die-back requires multiple failures to cascade:
     • Initiation: A trigger event, like a thought virus or major conflict, disrupts social cohesion (e.g., 20% chance by 2035).
     • Amplification: Digital platforms and AI spread the disruption globally (50–70% conditional probability, given current platform vulnerabilities).
     • Systemic Failure: Institutions fail to respond, leading to violence or collapse (30–50% conditional probability, based on historical case studies like the 1990s Yugoslav collapse).
     Using a simplified event tree, the joint probability is approximately P=Pinitiation×Pamplification×Pfailure P = P_{\text{initiation}} \times P_{\text{amplification}} \times P_{\text{failure}} P=Pinitiation×Pamplification×Pfailure. For example, 0.20×0.60×0.40=0.048 0.20 \times 0.60 \times 0.40 = 0.048 0.20×0.60×0.40=0.048 (4.8%) for a specific scenario. Aggregating multiple pathways (e.g., thought virus, climate-driven unrest, or war), the total probability increases.
     4. Calibrating Against Earthbloom
     The 15% Earthbloom probability reflects a high bar: global cooperation, technological breakthroughs, and social harmony. A power-die-back of equal or greater impact implies a similarly transformative but negative outcome, such as a thought virus causing global anarchy or a combination of war, climate collapse, and institutional failure. Given the multiplicity of pathways to collapse (unlike Earthbloom’s singular vision), the probability is likely higher but constrained by human resilience and countermeasures.
     Final Probability Estimate
     Combining base rates, driver-specific risks, and cascading probabilities:
     • Lower Bound: A minimal power-die-back, akin to localized collapses (e.g., multiple failed states), has a 20–25% chance, driven by current trends in polarization and disinformation.
     • Mid-Range: A global power-die-back matching Earthbloom’s scale (e.g., widespread violence and systemic breakdown) has a 25–35% chance, reflecting the cumulative risk of AI misuse, climate stress, and social unrest.
     • Upper Bound: A worst-case scenario, like a thought virus causing near-total societal collapse, has a 35–45% chance, assuming no significant mitigation.
     I estimate a 30% probability (mid-range) of a power-die-back event chain by 2050, equal to or greater in impact than Earthbloom. This is higher than Earthbloom’s 15% due to the broader range of failure modes and existing vulnerabilities, but tempered by potential countermeasures (e.g., AI regulation, media literacy).
     Sensitivity and Assumptions
     • Assumptions: The estimate assumes moderate technological growth, no major breakthroughs in global governance, and partial success in mitigating risks. It relies on historical analogs and expert forecasts, which may not capture novel threats.
     • Uncertainties: The novelty of a thought virus, AI’s unpredictable evolution, and human adaptability introduce significant uncertainty. If countermeasures strengthen (e.g., EU’s Digital Services Act), the probability could drop to 20%. If risks escalate (e.g., unchecked AI), it could rise to 40%.
     • Comparison to Earthbloom: Earthbloom requires coordinated positive action, making it less likely than a negative cascade, which can emerge from uncoordinated failures.
     Conclusion
     The risk of a power-die-back event chain by 2050, with an impact equal to or greater than Earthbloom, is estimated at 30%. This reflects the combined threat of AI-driven disinformation, social polarization, environmental crises, and geopolitical instability, amplified by global connectivity. Unlike Earthbloom’s optimistic 15% chance, which hinges on unlikely cooperation, a power-die-back is more probable due to multiple pathways to collapse. Mitigation through regulation, education, and resilience-building is critical to reducing this risk and preserving the potential for a positive global future.

     • Interesting ! Thanks

       I did copy-paste to my ‘notebook’.

   • And additional path through the ai stack yields this:
     To address the challenge to your Earthbloom math, specifically the claim in Appendix 3 that the odds of a power-die-back event chain by 2050 are “twice the odds of success” (Earthbloom), let’s scrutinize the provided analysis, verify the probability estimates, and clarify the odds comparison. The goal is to ensure the math holds up under scrutiny from science-minded, calculator-toting engineers, while keeping the response rigorous yet accessible.

     Step 1: Clarify Definitions and Claims
     Earthbloom: A utopian scenario by 2050 with global harmony, potentially involving empathic/telepathic connectivity, assigned a 15% probability (P_E = 0.15).
     Power-Die-Back: A dystopian societal collapse or regression, equal to or greater in impact than Earthbloom, estimated at a 30% probability (P_D = 0.30).
     Claim: The odds of power-die-back are “twice the odds of success” (Earthbloom). We need to verify if the probability estimates align with this odds ratio and whether the underlying reasoning is sound.
     Timeframe: 2025–2050 (25 years).
     Odds Definition: Odds are defined as the ratio of the probability of an event occurring to it not occurring. For Earthbloom, odds = P_E / (1 – P_E). For power-die-back, odds = P_D / (1 – P_D).
     Step 2: Verify the Odds Comparison
     Calculate the odds for both scenarios:

     Earthbloom:
     Probability: P_E = 0.15
     Odds: O_E = P_E / (1 – P_E) = 0.15 / (1 – 0.15) = 0.15 / 0.85 ? 0.1765
     Power-Die-Back:
     Probability: P_D = 0.30
     Odds: O_D = P_D / (1 – P_D) = 0.30 / (1 – 0.30) = 0.30 / 0.70 ? 0.4286
     Odds Ratio:
     O_D / O_E = 0.4286 / 0.1765 ? 2.43
     The odds of power-die-back (0.4286) are approximately 2.43 times the odds of Earthbloom (0.1765), which is reasonably close to “twice the odds” as stated. The claim holds mathematically, though it slightly overstates the ratio (2.43 vs. 2). This discrepancy is minor and could be due to rounding or simplification for narrative purposes, but engineers might flag it for precision.

     Step 3: Evaluate the Probability Estimates
     The engineers likely challenge the derivation of P_E = 0.15 and P_D = 0.30. Let’s assess the robustness of these estimates based on the provided framework.

     Earthbloom Probability (P_E = 0.15)
     Basis: The 15% probability reflects optimism for a transformative global outcome requiring technological breakthroughs (e.g., empathic connectivity), social cooperation, and political stability. It’s a speculative estimate, as no direct historical analog exists.
     Strengths:
     Grounded in prior discussions, suggesting a consistent benchmark.
     Acknowledges barriers (technological, social, political), making 15% a tempered, non-overly-optimistic figure.
     Weaknesses:
     Lacks empirical data, relying on subjective judgment. The inclusion of telepathic communication (e.g., from The Telepathy Tapes) introduces high uncertainty, as such technologies are currently speculative.
     No clear methodology for arriving at 15% (e.g., expert elicitation or scenario analysis). Engineers might demand a more transparent derivation.
     Plausibility: A 15% chance for a utopian outcome is within the realm of expert estimates for transformative scenarios. For comparison, some futurists assign 10–20% probabilities to positive AI-driven societal shifts by 2050, assuming governance and innovation align. The figure is defensible but soft.
     Power-Die-Back Probability (P_D = 0.30)
     Basis: Estimated at 30% (mid-range: 25–35%) based on a Bayesian-inspired approach combining:
     Base rates from global catastrophic risks (GCRs, 22–78% over 25 years) and societal collapse (12–22%).
     Specific drivers: AI-driven disinformation (15–30%), social polarization (20–35%), environmental/economic stress (20–40%), geopolitical conflicts (5–15%).
     Cascading event chain: Trigger (20%) ? Amplification (50–70%) ? Systemic failure (30–50%), yielding a joint probability (e.g., 4.8% for one pathway, aggregated to 30% across multiple pathways).
     Strengths:
     Integrates diverse data sources (e.g., Global Challenges Foundation, IPCC, Freedom House), grounding speculative risks in current trends.
     Accounts for multiple pathways (AI, climate, unrest), making the higher probability (vs. Earthbloom) logical, as negative outcomes have more failure modes.
     Uses a structured event-tree model to estimate cascading risks, which is methodologically sound for low-probability, high-impact events.
     Weaknesses:
     Base Rate Calculations:
     GCR estimate (22–78%) uses P = 1 – (1 – p)^n, assuming independence. Annual risks (1–6%) are plausible, but independence is questionable, as events like pandemics and wars may correlate. This inflates the upper bound (78%).
     Societal collapse (12–22%) from Tainter’s work is reasonable but applies historical analogs to a globalized world, introducing uncertainty.
     Driver Estimates:
     AI-driven disinformation (15–30%) and polarization (20–35%) rely on studies (e.g., Nature, 2024) but extrapolate to 2050 with assumptions about unchecked growth. Countermeasures (e.g., AI regulation) could lower these risks.
     Environmental risks (20–40%) align with IPCC projections but assume cascading societal impacts, which are not guaranteed.
     Geopolitical risks (5–15%) are conservative but may underweight black-swan events.
     Cascading Model:
     The event-tree example (0.20 × 0.60 × 0.40 = 4.8%) is clear, but aggregating to 30% across pathways lacks detail. Engineers might demand the full aggregation methodology.
     Conditional probabilities (e.g., 50–70% for amplification) are reasonable but subjective, drawn from historical cases (e.g., Yugoslav collapse) that may not scale globally.
     Thought Virus: The speculative nature of a thought virus (5–10%) adds uncertainty, as its mechanisms and global reach are untested.
     Plausibility: A 30% probability is within expert ranges for catastrophic risks. For context, the Global Challenges Foundation’s median GCR estimate implies a ~30–40% chance of a major disruption by 2050. The estimate is credible but sensitive to assumptions about mitigation and event correlation.
     Step 4: Address Engineering Critiques
     Engineers might challenge:

     Precision of Odds Claim:
     The 2.43 odds ratio (not exactly 2) is a minor issue. Clarify that “twice” is an approximation for readability. Recalculating with exact odds:
     To achieve exactly O_D = 2 × O_E, solve: P_D / (1 – P_D) = 2 × 0.1765 = 0.353.
     P_D = 0.353 / (1 + 0.353) ? 0.261 (26.1%).
     A 26% P_D would satisfy “twice the odds” exactly but is below the 30% estimate, suggesting the analysis prioritized probability estimates over exact odds phrasing.
     Empirical Basis:
     Both probabilities are speculative, but P_D leverages more data (e.g., IPCC, Freedom House). Engineers might request sensitivity analyses (e.g., varying driver probabilities or correlation assumptions).
     Example: If AI risk drops to 10% (due to regulation), and polarization to 15%, the aggregated P_D could fall to ~20%, closer to P_E.
     Event Correlation:
     The GCR calculation assumes independence, which overestimates risk. A correlated model (e.g., copula-based) would lower P_D but requires complex data unavailable here.
     Transparency:
     The aggregation from 4.8% (one pathway) to 30% needs clearer documentation. A table of pathways (e.g., AI-driven, climate-driven) with individual probabilities would help.
     Step 5: Revised Estimate (if Needed)
     Given the critique, let’s test a more conservative P_D:

     Reduce GCR base rate to 1–3% annually (cumulative: 22–53%).
     Lower driver probabilities: AI (10–20%), polarization (15–25%), climate (15–30%), geopolitics (5–10%).
     Adjust cascading probabilities: Trigger (15%) × Amplification (50%) × Failure (30%) = 0.15 × 0.50 × 0.30 = 2.25% per pathway.
     Assume fewer pathways (e.g., 5–7), yielding P_D ? 15–20%. This conservative P_D (20%) gives odds O_D = 0.20 / 0.80 = 0.25, ratio O_D / O_E = 0.25 / 0.1765 ? 1.42, undermining the “twice” claim. The original 30% is more defensible for capturing broader risks, so I retain it unless the engineers demand conservatism.
     Step 6: Final Answer
     The Earthbloom math in Appendix 3 holds up with minor caveats:

     The 30% probability of a power-die-back by 2050 is plausible, supported by GCR base rates, driver-specific risks, and cascading event chains. It’s higher than Earthbloom’s 15% due to multiple failure modes.
     The odds of power-die-back (0.4286) are ~2.43 times Earthbloom’s (0.1765), aligning with the “twice” claim, though slightly overstated.
     Recommendations for Engineers:
     Accept the 30% P_D as a mid-range estimate but note sensitivity to mitigation (e.g., AI regulation could lower it to 20%).
     Clarify the odds ratio as ~2.4 for precision.
     Provide a detailed pathway aggregation (e.g., table of scenarios) to enhance transparency.
     Mitigation: Strengthening AI governance, media literacy, and climate resilience could reduce P_D, narrowing the gap with P_E.
     If the engineers provide specific objections (e.g., data sources or correlation assumptions), I can refine further. For now, the analysis is robust enough to withstand scrutiny, with room for tighter documentation.

     Final Answer: The claim that the odds of a power-die-back are twice those of Earthbloom is mathematically sound (odds ratio ~2.43), with P_D = 30% and P_E = 15% being plausible, though speculative, estimates. Transparency in aggregating P_D pathways could strengthen the case.

     • And then there is the Taleb problem; namely, we have not put anything in to feed the (black) swans.
       As all students of history know, there are plenty of black swans but their biggest math problem is their “specific difficulty in forecasting.” I always use (flying, investing, and other crazy hobbies) a 10 percent [bad outcomne] as a placeholder.
       which is to say that in Life, events lie Pandemics, Divorcers, auto accidents, tragic home fires, failing investments (etc etc) will all come along at their appoiinted out, but where that will fall in the analysis is hard to quantify.
       Not GENERALLY mind, you. Yes, everything that can go wrong WILL go wrong given enough time. But the specifics of when/dead are difficult.
       One problem with working the math out this far is that it will pass my (for now, likely) life and healthspan. come 2050 I will be 101 years old. Or I will be 92 percent dead and 9 percent plant food by then, lol.
       Hence, while I HOPE for an Earthbloom (where we transition to useful group thinking on the internet and go p[roblem solving as a wholle world effect – rather than pissing away computattional opportunity on frivilous social media or made up (notional) “mining” seems a less than 15 percent probability. And, when one considers the obverse, then, um, 30 percent chance of c ollap0se by 2050 may understate the downside risk odds.

       • Could you be a little more specific? LOL

       • G-AIv : “…the statistical question regarding the risk of a “power-die-back” event chain by 2050, relative to the previously agreed-upon 15% chance of a successful Earthbloom …”

         I read as far as “relative to the previously agreed” and quit reading. Why relative to anything and … just who agreed to this? An introduction of infinite possibilities x2 seems infinitely worthless on stated % calculation outcome.

         But, that’s just me and, I don’t want to know anyway.
         Beware bots. They do not mean us well …
         More to point, why ask a Borg?

         ATL : recent warmth brought out all the critters. I’m back to brooming water snakes hoping to make my little slice of heaven less inviting. Go sun somewhere else! This same attempt failed last year (requiring implement change) but … can’t we all just get along?

         I’d ask for a grapple (like what snake catchers use) but it’s probably made in China. Have tariffs shut down the snake catching industries all over CHN? Prolly pay an extra 30 cents to get catchin’

         Catch a falling knife? Be careful out there.
         ~ Egor ~~ /)/) ~

       • I’ll take a Extinction Level Event via a Texas sized asteroid for a 1000 Alex.
         Seems to be the least painful.
         Best to send that asteroid in the next 6 months because I’m getting pretty tired.

       • Buck up Bunky !

         You aint going anywhere, anytime soon.

         In fact we bee just getting started on HACKING these meatsuits.
         Got some great ideas, proven improvements to the body Human.

         Tonight on RUMBLE will be cool workshop discussing latest and greatest including transcranial magnetic stimulation, Red Light therapy and more.
         Nothing about Recursive Harmonics, but be getting to that nasty business soon enough.

         Here bee link from Dr Steve Kirsch -https://substack.com/app-link/post?

       • a great nonworking link – thanks

       • Word-slinger : we had a chance. The Longwave group blossomed when the internet was new. There were plenty of forums dedicated to various subjects. I mostly participated in America’s Cup discussions (having been a huge fan in the 1980s.

         One forum caused me to participate and eventually host (this, being a hobby, was safe ground from a Compliance standpoint). We had wonderful free web tools to know a lot about our participants. I ran data for our triad and that actually spun off into a long term virtual business holding (I’m a 1/4 Principal to this day).

         Those online ventures caused me to see what we could build from this powerful information tool / or just use the web for advertising. The Black Hats won out, for now. We are the product being sold. Many things with good potential get done in by hunt for dosh.

         It’s May 1. I took down the royal blue ensign which honors my Grandling and raised a lovely violet flag for my Mom. Happy Mother’s Day in advance to all you Moms. No one lives forever. 2050? Past my prime.

         Got rain? Need some?
         Bring a bucket.
         Egor

       • son of a bitch ! swear I tested that link prior to..just did it again and nerp that Dog dont hunt.

         Please allow me to introduce Steve Kirsch , md and company; Dr robert silvetz MD, Tim Kerber, DPAK, and Steve Kirsch – “breakthroughs”- https://substack.com/app-link/post?publication_id=548354&post_id=162339881&utm_source=post-email-title&utm_campaign=email-post-title&isFreemail=true&r=1kk4yd&token=eyJ1c2VyX2lkIjo5NDk5ODAzNywicG9zdF9pZCI6MTYyMzM5ODgxLCJpYXQiOjE3NDYxMTc4MzksImV4cCI6MTc0ODcwOTgzOSwiaXNzIjoicHViLTU0ODM1NCIsInN1YiI6InBvc3QtcmVhY3Rpb24ifQ.l8Tz7xLHS-wO3uhn20XCSBvc4XL_G8OKi1kYt_kcRAk

         Just checked again – seems to work fine. Thx

       • Well , he DID ask !!!

       • As I scrolled thru Ure justifications, I was happy to see you caveat the probabilities and dependencies with unforeseen or unanticipated events. Ure use of various statistics to determine probabilities seems a bit subjective if not outright arbitrary in some peripheral cases. But when you are the primary source of the modeling probabilities, it is presumed that you are entitled to some degree of reasonably subjective justifications.

         I am biased regarding modeling alternate futures, having a year’s worth of experience in the USAF 2025 study, conducted back in 1995/6 at the Air University at Maxell AFB, Alabama. Using alternate futures to frame potential probabilities does not produce the fidelity of Ure model, however, it adequately frames likely future events to the degree that sound strategic planning can take place. I believe if one reads the 2025 study in-depth, the team got far more right than wrong, using 30 years in the rear view mirror as the judgement criteria.

         I hope you live in good health til 2050 to see if Ure statistical sorcery was more right than not. Long may you run, George. And I hope I’m still around to read your self-critique when that milestone happens.

       • a great nonworking link – thanks

         I think this is the one he wanted to post…

         https://kirschsubstack.com/p/vsrf-live-tonight-episode-175-biohacking

8. Heavy heavy rain here in Bullard from 1pm til 9pm

9. You guys are bogarting the rain!

   • Our lake is crazy high and we’ve already had two Bigly downpours with way more scheduled for later (man am I glad to have spent tractor time yesterday). You may have my allotment of rain Nancy! GL, E

10. This is vaguely related to society’s demise, it is how AM radio helped bring us together and thru the depression:

    https://press.uchicago.edu/Misc/Chicago/471921.html

    “It was during the Depression that radio truly attracted a mass audience in the United States. As commercial enterprises, the networks created programs designed to be consumed by a wide following. And with the broadcasting system that would endure for most of the century in place, listeners tuned in to those programs in droves. Radio ownership more than doubled in the 1930s, from about 40 percent of families at the decade’s start to nearly 90 percent ten years later. By 1940 more families had radios than had cars, telephones, electricity, or plumbing. To the members of that vast audience, radio, and particularly network offerings, became an integral part of their daily lives during the Depression. Americans loved the new medium, listening to each set an average of four to five hours a day. And with listeners preferring national programs to local ones by a ratio of nearly nine to one, audiences tuned those sets to network stations for most of those hours. Across the country, millions and millions of listeners heard the same programs for hours each day”

    • As we have talked about, an Earthbloom in the coming Depression could fill the same functional roler of social leveling and given people something more productive to do than “tune around the bands” though that’s great fun, too. Kinda like podsurfing is now.

11. An interesting take on next A.I.

    Visa’s game-changing new AI tool to ‘revolutionise’ online shopping

    You’ll be able to ask an AI platform to plan holidays, buy all the ingredients for a BBQ, or sort out tickets to see your favourite artist.

    “Agentic AI levels up to become your own personal assistant.

    “Gen AI will generate a list of things to do in Melbourne, like available hotels and flights,” Mortimer told Yahoo Finance.

    “However, agentic AI will do it all for you. You would just say, ‘Hey, Siri, book a weekend in Melbourne for us’.

    “The AI agent would then book flights, hotels, restaurants and even arrange for an Uber to collect you and take you to the airport.””

    https://au.finance.yahoo.com/news/visas-game-changing-new-ai-tool-to-revolutionise-online-shopping-233126107.html

12. The world will be here well past 2050. The present societies of man will change, but Earth recorrects everything with it’s built in scrubbers.
    We think we are much more important than we are.

    • “We think we are much more important than we are.”

      You beat me to it…

    • Thank you Chris, very wise words.
      That is what I keep preaching to both of my sons.
      Somehow, for some reason, God wants us to muddle through.
      Some where, some way, our presence in the Universe is needed
      to supply novelty and uniqueness for His Creation.

13. (“Help a brother! I’m having a hard time tracking how Ukraine, US sign minerals deal, tying Trump to Kyiv gets us to peace in the region?”)

    Lol..
    oh I know the answer to that question..about a chance of peace and no war…I heard it a couple times from a really smart man….
    (” Everything Is Associated With A Business Model.”) gotta make sure big buck billy gets coin….
    “

14. FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE
    Orthomolecular Medicine News Service, May 1, 2025

    World’s largest global dementia prevention research project – Open for online enrolment

    https://orthomolecular.org/resources/omns/v21n27.shtml

    • Yes and notice the 3 supplements they have found to most positively help reduce cognitive decline. Vitamin D, B Vitamins and Omega 3. Good place to start.

      Thanks for connecting me to this site Ray.

      • You are quite welcome, sir.

        I’m glad I could sate your scientific curiosity, if only for a while…

15. Never ask George to “prove” anything !!

16. “Digital Franking” is apparently enough to send the Left crazier. Now that Trump has launched his pseudo-clone of The Drudge Report.”

    I noticed a few days ago that I could not get actual, factual information related to Mr. Trump’s actions, reactions, attempts, successes, etc. because Trump’s TDS media coverage is >97% negative.

    Therefore, I’m thrilled to see the Whitehouse Wire. It gives Trump the opportunity to both troll the hell out of the lamestreamers and provide a source for Administration news which, in most cases will be more true and accurate than anything the lamestream provides. (I believe the coverage of the “most-liked” members of the Trump Administration is around 82% negative. A “news” “outlet” can not provide accurate information when it’s 82% biased.)

17. G, kinda sounds like you got spider bitten on your butt.

18. ‘Code Talk To White Guys’: Tim Walz Said He Was Picked By Harris To Do One Thing. He Failed Miserably. You think?

    He was picked because whilst torpedoing her campaign, Obama told her she needed a White Man Governor as a running mate, and Dem Governors who possess a lick of sense (like Shapiro and Gruesome) flat turned her down.

    Here, more sour grapes for you: Kamala Harris blasts Trump tariffs in 1st major speech since leaving office.

    Which is adorable because the media believe she can spell “tariffs.” AOC is the rising star within the Dem ranks. This is not because of her intellect, but because she is the only one that’s talking without sounding like a 5th grader who just got sent to detention. AOC is a spoiled little rich kid who’s backed by Soros and coached by Bernie. She’s not very bright, but she’s a very good actor, and very good at reading her lines and following her cues. Kammy still has dreams of being The One, and she’s going to cat-fight with All Out Crazy for the next three years. She will lose, because Willie’s thugs can’t out-squeeze Soros’ thugs, but it’s going to be fun to watch…

19. “Let’s go play Spot the Insurrectionists! All you need to search is which sites are using the phrase “ICE Barbi Kristi”

    Noem is not the head of ICE. She’s the head of DHS. She is “Barbie” because she is staggeringly beautiful, with big boobs and an impossibly tiny waist — far hotter than ANY 53yo gal has a right to be (hell, far hotter than any 33yo has a right to be, FTM.)

    She is supremely competent and an excellent leader. She also can rope & brand a calf, ride a bronc, weld a plow, fix a tractor to drag the plow, build, plumb, and wire a house, and in-general, be and do all the things Leftists hate. And did I mention she’s hot?

    There is no Leftist in Western society who can tolerate a hot conservative woman. The fact she is likely better at any manual skill than any of them, regardless their genitalia, is the clincher. This makes her even worse than Trump, so since they can’t compete with her, they have to call her names and make fun of her. That’s what 8yos do when they feel inadequate…

20. Hey George – a “cogent presidential website” or anything cogent from your President would be welcome.

    I struggled to find anything cogent in this interview: https://time.com/7280114/donald-trump-2025-interview-transcript/

    Apparently Bessent cleared up the claim that The Cheeto in Chief has already made 200 tariff “deals”. Apparently they were “sub deals”. Very cogent.

    • your struggle is understandable,,, when ya fail to mention the last 4 yrs of Resident Otto Penn, as we now find out he has a twin brother,,,
      other brother Otto Penn B.
      Cogent is a valid question,,,as dementia joe was busy eating ice cream cones and falling, stairs or bikes, he just liked to fall,,, Otto Penn filled in for him, what a guy,,, or guys/gals
      https://www.thegatewaypundit.com/2025/05/biden-autopen-bombshell-oversight-project-releases-new-alarming/

      so who really ran the country for 4 yrs? could any laws have been broken? seems kind of major to me.

21. 2050 Vs Michelle Obama files for divorce and winds up dead to keep certain things under wraps.

22. “The good news, such as it is, is that we got about six inches dumped here so no burn ban and no dust while mowing.”

    Mowing the mud? LOL!
    And yes, we flip the seats on the riding mower, and toss boxes atop the stray chairs in the garage to keep the cats off ’em overnight. Ortho Doc warned us… “No Cat scratches before surgery, or we will cancel!” ‘Nuff said.

    I had a wonderful day. 2week checkup all good, and I managed shopping and lunch in town all morning with no mechanical support. Just a little muscle gimpy yet, but I’m walking! Hip hip hooray!

    • Good news !

23. Have had a pinched nerve just above the shoulder for several days now. If fatigue is a possible precursor to an earthquake, I’m wondering if pains in the neck and pains in the butt signal more Kamala speeches on the way.

    • I’m thinking that the minority report might indicate that being tired old men who overdo it on maintenance and other projects might be a candidate causative agency. Not to mention insect bites and unvaccinated critter contact.

24. Texas flora and fauna can delivery all sorts of nasty surprises in hard to reach locations. Years ago I remember backing into a single sharp piece of flora in a hayfield, only to have it erupt into the most god-awful case of ringworm (a fungal infection) imaginable right in the middle of my back. Spiders and hybrid fire ants can cause major issues. Thorns can deliver all sorts of toxic loads, both chemical and biological.
    You might want to think about getting Ure doctor to look over the damage and give you something like a round of Doxycycline. You have had a tetanus booster in your adult life, haven’t you ?

    • Yes on the tetnus but not too worried – all back to normal today ‘cept a bit of rash-itch. meat Tenderizer is highest on the suspect list so far…

      • I’m still a bit fuzzy about the use of meat tenderizer in that region. Maybe it’s better that way.

      • Funny, I had the same symptoms a couple weeks back. But mine was due to a sudden influx of titanium & ceramic. Maybe you were just having sympathetic pains? ;-)

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