It may sound odd for what is nominally an economics website to mention Monday morning news in terms of three novels.  However, these are odd times, and anything goes.

Novel #1 involves the present Trump trip.

As yourself the following question:  What you really know:  If Robert Mueller were to convince a grand jury that president Trump had in some way acted improperly, and he was pressing for an indictment, could this explain the president taking a long overseas trip – out of the country?

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Both the New York Times and Washington Post eagerly ran stories this summer about this possibility.  But is it?

Our first novel begins in July with the NY TimesCan the President Be Indicted? A Long-Hidden Legal Memo Says Yes.”  The Washington Post parroted the notion with an op-ed from a legal scholar a few days later.

Where novel #1 takes unusual twists and turns is when it’s pointed out that a long-hidden memo is NOT how LAWS are made in the United States.  Those are made by Congress and, absent that, the Supreme Court must decide.

As the novel progresses, the sitting president begins his travels by going to Asia.  But, as he is about to return home, he decides to extend his travels. Perhaps to drop in on Saudi Arabia where a possible plot to overthrow, or at least widespread corruption, is being rooted out right now.

In the background, though, the real driver is the press for an indictment and the matter of how to serve the sitting president.

As the novel winds to a conclusion about the end of the year, the sitting president remains off-shore and pardons everyone involved.  Congress is left to sort out how to get rid of the special prosecutor.

With the president’s trip extending several times, speculation builds before Thanksgiving:  Can a president preemptively pardon himself?

In the “directors cut” of the movie based on this novel, the president globe-hops all the way into the New Year before the vice president steps up and claims the office on the theory of abdication.

Trump doubles down, saying he has always wanted to spend a traditional Eastern European with his wife’s family in Slovenia.

Supported by the K-Street mafia (the lobbying firms that really run America, in concert with The Network (called the PowersThatBe by those who haven’t read Quigley [see Tragedy and Hope 101: the highlights]). Trump becomes the first president removed from office by the corporate-deep state alliance.

In the aftermath, America is told “There’s nothing to see here…move along…

Being born and bred dopes, we do.

Novel #2 This novel is based on the notion that there is a major housecleaning being undertaken by The Network at the behest of the branch of the mob that no one talks about.  The one that’s behind the story portrayed in the December movie release upcoming of the Jean Paul Getty flick starring Kevin Spacey.  Ring a bell?

Will enough “public outcry” be generated to keep the Spacey-Getty flick off-screen?  Especially after Kevin Spacey accused of groping Richard Dreyfuss’ son Harry?  Movie trailer is here:

The premise of this novel is that the low-profile branch of the Italian underworld (the Ndràngheta if you didn’t grab the in-depth on Peoplenomics this weekend) has directed the house-cleaning of Hollywood.  Too many loose ends.

Like the Harvey Weinstein-backed Waco series scheduled for January on the Paramount channel.  The novel watches for cancellations and delays.

In this obviously fictional story, the Las Vegas shooting was simply a warning to The Network from their “muscle-providing friends” that certain people “have to go.”

The highly speculative outcome suggests that a second mass shooting (the one in Texas this weekend) means the mob isn’t yet happy with the depth of thee cleaning process undertaken by The Network.

And in the wake of this “headline making public messaging” from Texas, two or three additional big Hollywood names get their careers crushed before Christmas.

In the end, The Network and the “quiet muscle branch” resolve their differences

And once again, the born and bred dopes simply move along…nothing to see here.

Novel #3:  The Climate Fraud Series

In this novel, a serious newspaper science reporter begins by revealing the latest date on the Sun’s output.  It has continued to decline as the solar weather cycle winds down.

In the novel, the newspaper guy continues to reluctantly be swept along with the stampede to make “climate changereal in order to avoid being “tarred & feathered” as a climate denier.  His paper won’t keep him employed if he continuously questions the paradigm-shift, even though based on fraud.

Until, that is, in the second half of the novel, the reporter receives the following note, neatly typed and delivered in a plain manila envelope to newsroom:

“I am a long time subscriber to your paper and have many interest similar to yours.  I sail, I fly.   Until recently I felt that what is on television about global warming was mostly true, it seemed to make sense that dumping pollution into the atmosphere could cause it. I have a friend (also a pilot) who is very liberal and was Trump bashing about the Paris climate agreement, It bothered me to agree with him since I support the President on almost everything else he is trying to do. I decided to do what you would do and look at the data myself and see what I could find. A good place to look is the NOAA website, when you get there you find lots of talk about global warming and it’s terrible effects and very little data, but if you keep looking it is there. What you find is that the average world temperature has increased 2 degrees Fahrenheit in the past one hundred years. My first job out of college was as a test engineer for a farm machinery Co, so I know some  about data and what you can do with it. That 2 degrees looked to me to be very close to what you can expect  for measurement error so I tried to look further into how they determine average world temperature, good luck there, all I could determine was they had changed their methods twice in the last ten years. I was discouraged for a few days but as is normal for me when I have a problem to solve I woke up a few days later with an idea. I reasoned that if the globe is warming then the United States has to be warming and if the United States is warming then the state record highs should be clustered in recent years with many in 2017 the warmest year on record according to NOAA. Also I thought state record high temperatures would be solid data not affected by what method is used to find an average.  I have to admit I was surprised, it appears there is lots of smoke and no fire to global warming, worse we have government agencies lying to us. I urge you to look at this data yourself, but in a nutshell, 1936 is the warmest year on record with 13 of the 50 state records, 1954 and 1994 had four, 1911 1930 and 1934 had three, 1975 and 1983 had 2, the rest are scattered at one per year. Since the year 2000 there have been 2 state record highs, in 2006 South Dakota tied a record set in 1936 and in 2012 South Carolina tied a record set previously but I don’t know when. The warmest decade is not now but has to be the 1930s with 23 of the fifty state record high temperatures. I hope you find this useful, good luck and keep up the good work.”

Just then, the editor of the newspaper bursts into the science reporter’s office and screams at the top of his lungs “Did you see this?  There was a record-early snow in the Pacific Northwest this weekend.”  The Editor throws a copy of the Seattle Times on the science editor’s desk.

Early November chill brings more snow to parts of Seattle area.”

I want a lead for the early editions how this can happen with “climate change!”  The door slams behind him.

With the finishing touches on my non-fiction book that sets the scientific ground for my next novel, it’s hard not to pick up the headlines and jump to erroneous conclusions, but here they are:

The world is an honest place.  People in Washington follow the laws.  There’s no underworld.  And that snow up in the Pacific Northwest this weekend was just a freak event.

There, all better now?

Nominal Economics

Light news flow this week.  Bitcoins are still up in the $7,600 range, but bouncing around a good bit.

Dow futures have been above and below flat-line.

But a few stories catch our eye as possible market drivers to come:

Wind power has its issues: Aging US Wind Energy Fleet Driving Surge in Operating and Maintenance Spending, IHS Markit Says.

Oil hits two-and-a-half year peak on Saudi purge, world shares retreat.

The Running Bubble Has Popped. (You Couldn’t Hear It in New York.)

Worse Than Useless?

Celebrities react to Texas church mass shooting. You don’t really need to read how to feel, do you?

Anthony Weiner to Begin His 21-Month Prison Sentence For Sexting a Minor.  What about the OTHER data on the computer?  Spritz of Teflon?