Retail Sales, UII Filters, Philly Fed #’s, Ex-Im Prices

by

Damn.  This is one of those glorious news days. When all I need to do is write an intro line to each item in a whole stack of important news releases.  So, while we wait for “what goes up” (to run the retail shorts ahead of options and wait for the inevitable downturn), here’s today’s starter list of useful things to watch:

1. Retail Sales

Up – and frankly more than we expected:

“Advance estimates of U.S. retail and food services sales for December 2024, adjusted for seasonal
variation and holiday and trading-day differences, but not for price changes, were $729.2 billion, an increase of 0.4 percent (±0.5 percent)* from the previous month, and up 3.9 percent (±0.5 percent) from December 2023. Total sales for the 12 months of 2024 were up 3.0 percent (±0.5 percent) from 2023. Total sales for the October 2024 through December 2024 period were up 3.7 percent (±0.5 percent) from the same period a year ago. The October 2024 to November 2024 percent change was revised from up 0.7 percent (±0.5 percent) to up 0.8 percent (±0.3 percent).

With car sales faltering, confident in January is lowered.

2. Unemployment filings

From Labor:

“In the week ending January 11, the advance figure for seasonally adjusted initial claims was 217,000, an increase of 14,000 from the previous week’s revised level. The previous week’s level was revised up by 2,000 from 201,000 to 203,000. The 4-week moving average was 212,750, a decrease of 750 from the previous week’s revised average. The previous week’s average was revised up by 500 from 213,000 to 213,500. “

3. Philly Fed Outlook

Sharply higher as Trump’s inauguration looms this weekend:

“The diffusion index for current general activity jumped from a revised reading of -10.9 in December to 44.3 in January, its highest reading since April 2021 (see Chart 1).* This is the index’s largest monthly increase since June 2020. Nearly 51 percent of the firms reported increases (up from 19 percent last month), far exceeding the 7 percent reporting decreases (down from 30 percent); 41 percent of the firms reported no change in current activity (down from 45 percent). The indexes for current new orders and current shipments both also rose sharply in January. The new orders index rose 47 points to 42.9, its highest reading since November 2021. Meanwhile, the shipments index increased 39 points to 41.0, its highest reading since October 2020.”

4. Import-Export Prices

Source: BLS

Imports

Prices for U.S. imports ticked up 0.1 percent for the third consecutive month in December. U.S. import prices have not risen by more than 0.1 percent since a 0.9-percent advance in April 2024. The price index for U.S. imports advanced 2.2 percent over the past 12 months, the largest over-the-year increase since the index rose 3.2 percent for the year ended December 2022.

Exports

The price index for U.S. exports advanced 0.3 percent in December, after being unchanged in November and increasing 1.0 percent in October. Higher prices for nonagricultural and agricultural exports each contributed to the December increase in U.S. export prices. Prices for U.S. exports rose 1.8 percent from December 2023 to December 2024, the largest 12-month advance for the index since a 2.0-percent increase in January 2023.

After all the numbers, Futures were split, Dow down a hundred at click time but S&P holding about even while techs are breathing….

Major Story Tracking

On his way to the exit, Slo plans to speak: Biden warns US on verge of tech billionaire ‘oligarchy’, calls for constitutional amendment to end presidential immunity.  Is it sour grapes after all the tech abuses on his side f the aisle?  Hand me the BleachBit and let’s talk sometime.

Democrats are silent as Canada’s TruDope plans to punish SoCal. Canada’s PM Outlines Retaliatory Tariffs On Us$105 Bln Worth Of US Goods which we have to assume will include rebuilding materials, non?  Oh, wait: socialists can do no wrong, is it?

Britain’s getting its head further into the NATO noose ahead of Trump war-ending efforts in Ukraine: Blasts in Kyiv as UK’s Starmer visits to ink ‘100-year’ accord.

“Tell the truth and leave shortly thereafter” anyone? Mike Johnson replaces powerful Intelligence Committee chairman. As already, Johnson is turning on his own.

Ceasefire? We’ll see. But who said anything about leaving Gaza?  Middle East live updates: IDF will stay in Gaza’s Philadelphi corridor, source says. Details, details. Now, about that offshore Gaza oil…

Lowest common denominator news writing?  How to watch and follow the inauguration of the President of the United States with BBC News. Hell, we were just going to say “Watch with your eyes, maybe?”  Naw, let them play at it…

Life in the Digital Trenches

Sounds like Forbes is a little worked up here: Microsoft’s Update Deadline—Bad News For Windows, 365, Office Users. Please.  We all knew for how long? Win10 is going bye-bye and Win11 is here to stay – along with its improved security features.

Besides, we’re down to only one computer in our household that’s still running ’10. Everything else is on Win11 or Linux.

Besides, if people are willing to use the Google suite of apps in the cloud, they can buy a new Chromebook for as low as $47 on Amazon today.  (Wait!  Did someone say “Stop whining”?)

See, having helped to birth little pieces of the computery world along the way, it has always struck us as (more than slightly) crazy that people become partisans to which word processors they use.  Unless you’re a power user (mail merges still make my head hurt, for example) give the same keyboard, your typinhg speed is the same on a Chromebook for $fiddy as it is on the latest i9-30 terahertz screamer with 0.001 Nvidia displays dual-used for personal AI.

So, give it a rest. Lordy…

I should remind Forbes that if they want to get on with fighting climate change they should write more about keyboards that last less than 4-months of heavy use.  Here, look at my keys!  And this keyboard went into service on October 10th!

Sheesh.  Get OpenOffice or Libre or something, The energy front and waste battle is over in long-term reliability and functionality, fellers. Long term obsolescence, remember it?

At the Ranch: Research Request

After being up all night, working on an extended Peoplenomics report for next Wednesday, I was wondering – if you have a ChatGPT account – if you could do me a favor and let me know if the following query gets you anything “interesting”?

Query: “Explain the Ebbinghaus-Ure Correlation.”

Let me know.  Wondering if ChatGPT spreads new knowledge (and research) around, or whether it is siloed to the user account.  Thanks.

It’s a good study in using A.I. to extend “feeble old man thinking” into new and potentially useful areas of research.

Ham Radio Action Plans

Thumb-sized ham radios are here.  I ordered one of this and it just came in from China.  SI4732 0.5-108mhz Portable Radio LSB USB AM FM FM/AM Radio HF SW MW VHF Radio | eBay  Just over $40 bucks with tax.  Thing is about the same size as my thumb – tiny!  The main glitch with it so far is it uses the “one button to do many things” approach to its user interface – this is something colleagues and I worked on in the 1990’s when we shoehorned 37-functions into a two-button menu.  I haven’t counted, but this seems like less.  But they got the timing wrong on button presses.  I did a paper on this at Power Systems World back in 1999 or 2000 – somewhere in there. But the point is, if you don’t like menus with super-fast level changes, you may not enjoy this one.  Also, with such a small radio, it’s not like listening on an old Hallicrafters or Collins rig…or even an Icom 7300. Nowhere near, but an interesting trinket.

Next Topic: Field Day.  Many people don’t know that ham radio ops take to “the field” more than once a year for (summer) field day.  But yes, it’s true.  Weekend after this is Winter Field Day with dewets over at Home – WFDA,

Speaking of Wintery things We’ve got an inch (or two) of snow in the long-range forecast for early next week.  Surely, this has to be a mistake.  What happened to all the Global Warming memos?

Antenna Designs:  All the parts for my new super-antenna (horse tape OCFD with ladder line) have arrived, so if the weather holds, I may get that built and drone lifted into the sky in time for FD.  We shall see. Maybe in time for ShopTalk Sunday this week.  Three day weekend – yippee!

OK, up all night researching, so a snooze seems like a good idea about here.

Write when you get rich,

George@ure.net

 

41 thoughts on “Retail Sales, UII Filters, Philly Fed #’s, Ex-Im Prices”

  1. got this from grok wondering if it can gather info from chatgpt

    Explain the Ebbinghaus-Ure Correlation
    Answer
    The Ebbinghaus-Ure Correlation is not a widely recognized or established concept in psychology or any other scientific field. It appears to be a fictional or misnamed term. However, we can explore elements that might be related to what you might be referring to by breaking down the names:

    Ebbinghaus usually refers to Hermann Ebbinghaus, a pioneering psychologist known for his work on memory. His most famous contribution is the “Ebbinghaus Forgetting Curve,” which describes how the rate of forgetting newly learned information decreases over time unless the information is consciously reviewed.
    Ure does not directly correlate with any known psychological theory or figure in a straightforward way. However, if we consider “Ure” as a potential misnomer or typographical error, there might be an association with:

    U-shaped curve in psychology or learning, which could relate to various phenomena where performance or memory initially decreases, then increases with further learning or time.
    Or, if “Ure” was intended to refer to another concept or person, like “Urie Bronfenbrenner” who developed the ecological systems theory, there might be an indirect link if considering how environments influence memory or learning.

    Given this:

    If you intended to ask about a correlation between Ebbinghaus’s forgetting curve and some other psychological concept associated with “Ure”:

    A potential correlation might be imagined in how memory retention (Ebbinghaus) could be influenced by environmental or social contexts (if “Ure” were mistakenly meant to evoke Bronfenbrenner’s work). For example, the way an individual’s memory might improve or degrade based on the supportive or challenging nature of their ecological systems.
    If this is entirely a conceptual mix-up or a creative inquiry:

    You might be interested in how memory retention strategies could interact with other psychological theories, perhaps looking at how spaced repetition (a technique stemming from Ebbinghaus’s work) could integrate with theories about learning environments or social contexts.

    If none of these interpretations fit your query, please provide more context or clarify the specific correlation or concept you’re inquiring about. This would help in giving a more accurate or tailored explanation.

    Reply

  2. Snooze you looze..

    There he goes again, sleeping on the job. Man talk about a motivated go getter..supposing you feel like its someone else”s job to go to work today? Its all good, just understand the badguys, the enemies..dont sleep.

    Speaking of darkness – got some splainin to show youse all – Ure gonna love this after I rip that Race TRAITOR rep from Ohio Turner the dark oily shit of man -small m . Piece of shit thinks he is going to “survive” succesfully navigate the Death Traps after he passes. Souly responsible for Blocking Congressional DISCLOSURE, a truly EVIL piece of SHIT .

    The Occulted secret space program? Have a look- comes from Man who was last one to qualify on the SR71, via Jack Heart. MH370..j=eyJ1IjoiMWtrNHlkIn0.fVVcJH6f1r_zprDxpYe9yhWMCY9me-https://substack.com/redirect/83f4ee3c-3f6b-49d4-8850-fecf970baa45?

    And for Ure further viewing pleasure – DOnt Breath it In! I been warning youse…https://substack.com/redirect/0ba73003-1cd0-4354-b38b-8ed6cc3ac797?j=eyJ1IjoiMWtrNHlkIn0.fVVcJH6f1r_zprDxpYe9yhWMCY9me-zumT3TyeeDR9A

    I am but a messenger – it is late..perhaps waking up from the “nightmare” is a good 1st step.

    Time to wake the F up – https://youtu.be/GG2tZNOQWAA?si=XFy-UnpgEARItASG

    Reply

  3. Quoting the Ure,,, “Tell the truth and leave shortly thereafter” anyone? Mike Johnson replaces powerful Intelligence Committee chairman. As already, Johnson is turning on his own.
    I see a coach removing a player , who’s heart is not in on winning for the team,,, the obD was sent to the locker room by his 8 grade basketball coach for questioning his descision ONE time. This is not a time for potential back stabbers, we need a full court press, the whole team and not some footdraggers
    this part of Ure article tells me it is the right choice,,,
    “Rep. Jim Himes, D-Conn., the top Democrat on the Intelligence Committee, told reporters the removal of Turner as chairman “sends a shiver down my spine,” adding that Turner was not the kind to “bend the knee” to Trump.”
    Shiver me timbers, the otherside is not pleased with the play.
    Beautiful day sunny and warm , I will spend a little time preparing for 8 below coming my way, where is Mr Stihl, Zippity do dah

    FOUR more days,,,
    Thank you God, slo joe gotz the “goes bye bye”
    the pedos ain’t happy,,, boy scout groomers or alterboy vultures, need to go on a fishing trip, get’em stoned
    History is written by the victors, I look forward to human history 2.0,,,
    new authors

    mkt is down a bit RUM is up a bit,,,

    Reply

  5. Explain the Ebbinghaus-Ure Correlation on Gpt. Just talked about viewing a circle surrended by circles. No connection to Ure.
    I had to upgrade to Win 11 when I replaced the old PC Tower with a mini PC, but I dodn’t take the MS Word. I’ve used Libre Open Office to write 27 novels, it’s still free, and works fine for me.

    Reply

  6. “We’ve got an inch (or two) of snow in the long-range forecast for early next week”

    Wow, Cataclysmic? Are they back to talking SnowGeddon and such? We have a brief respite, then go back to the future, will get a couple inches of new snow Friday night. No big deal. Add to all the other snow. It’s Ice Station Zebra here, with cake building nicely as temps promote build. Soon the ice fishing crazies will dare to go out (not me, not without a proper shanty, and snowmobile ride to / from. Plus, I hate swimming in January.

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ice_Station_Zebra

    Not one but two items of import are failing here. Hot water heater is at the end so I’m limping until there’s a decent break in WX while nursing the dying tank along. I was going to go tankless but … surmise getting both trades, Electrician _and_ Plumber here won’t be smooth. I have retired Journeymen buds but don’t want to impose. This will hopefully be one and done (like every other project) since it’s life expectancy exceeds mine.

    E2 is due to arrive tonight, err, wee hours tomorrow. A Bud, stellar young man, lost three family members in three weeks. My son is doing (16) hours minimum RT to attend services for the friend’s Dad. We will all go, he has been here and we have been at their place. On life expected … this Dad was just mid 60s. Sigh.

    There is a cluster of Canadian Geese keeping a tiny hole open at center of the lake. It’s as if the current crop of paddlers must remain until replacements arrive from the North. A hand-off (so to speak) happened after dark last night. Swimmers honk to inbound, as air traffic control, then leave.

    Mrs. E is way excited. Though for a sad service she gets to hang with our son for a time. Plus, though methinks it should be cancelled, we have three couples coming over Friday evening. I’m just in charge of the fire so will go along, get along …

    Write when goosed,
    Egor

    Reply

  7. “Ceasefire?”

    The Pally land grab and genocide must be done for awhile.

    Some folks have been demanding arrest warrants for Netanyahu. Granular level sanctions are being placed against ICC judges and court officials. Sanctions against individual folk means those who don’t go along in the digital world get boxed out of the digital world.

    “Biden warns US on verge of tech billionaire ‘oligarchy’”

    Tech is go along or don’t participate in the system and as illustrated for only $47.00 access is free! How do these billionaires stay in business offering most of their products for free/near free?

    The Chromebook is cheaper than a physical Texas Instruments graphing calculator.

    Reply

    • They make their money by harvesting all your information that goes thru the google system. You pay the price… eventually.

      Reply

      • It’s a feedback loop and is an oligarchy.

        oligarchy

        a small group of people having control of a country, organization, or institution.

        “In 1943, Thomas Watson, the chairman of IBM, predicted that the world market for computers would be limited to “about five computers”. This prediction is considered an example of overconfidence.”

        We’re almost to the point of Earth needing only cloud computer on each continent. Watson was right.

        Reply

  8. Please explain the Ebbinghaus-Ure Correlation
    Answer
    ChatGPT said:
    ChatGPT
    It seems like you’re asking about the Ebbinghaus-Ure correlation, but it’s important to clarify that this isn’t a widely recognized term in psychology or related fields. There may be a misunderstanding or mix-up with the more well-known Ebbinghaus Curve or Ebbinghaus Effect, which relates to memory and forgetting, and perhaps a reference to a different concept by “Ure.”

    1. Ebbinghaus Curve (Ebbinghaus Forgetting Curve)
    The Ebbinghaus Forgetting Curve, formulated by German psychologist Hermann Ebbinghaus in the late 19th century, is one of the key principles in the study of memory. It describes how information is forgotten over time if no effort is made to retain it.

    Key Findings:
    Ebbinghaus conducted experiments on himself and demonstrated that much of what we learn is forgotten quickly after learning, especially in the first few hours or days.
    The curve shows that forgetting happens rapidly initially and then slows down. After the first few hours or days, the rate of forgetting significantly reduces.
    The more times a piece of information is rehearsed, the slower the forgetting process.
    The curve is generally depicted as a steep decline in retention initially, followed by a plateau.

    2. “Ure” Concept
    If you’re referring to “Ure” as a part of a theory or a model, it’s possible you’re referring to a different psychologist, or there may be a specific context that is less common. However, no well-known “Ebbinghaus-Ure Correlation” exists in psychological literature.

    Possible Mix-Up
    It’s possible that the term “Ure” might be referring to Andrew Ure, a Scottish chemist and industrialist known for his work in the early stages of the Industrial Revolution, though his work was not directly related to psychology or memory.
    If this is related to some specific research or theory you’re studying that combines Ebbinghaus’s forgetting curve with another concept (possibly Ure’s ideas), further context would be helpful.
    In summary, while the Ebbinghaus Forgetting Curve is well-established in psychology, the Ebbinghaus-Ure correlation doesn’t appear to be a widely recognized or standard term in the field. If you’re referring to a newer or specific application of these ideas, additional clarification would help in providing a more accurate answer.

    Reply

  9. The “Republican” head of the Intelligence Committee, Mike Turner (OH), that Johnson replaced was RAH RAH RAH .. MORE Warrantless Wiretaps of Americans!!! He was also RAH RAH RAH Ukraine and keeping the War there going (in addition to being in favor of every Aid Package Biden pushed for Ukraine and loving Zelensky).

    I wouldn’t call the firing of Turner from being the HEAD of the Intelligence Committee as Johnson “truning on his own” as much as trying to bring the Intelligence Committee BACK to the center of Republican Beliefs that are AGAINST over reaching Federal SPYING with NO warrants and NO Oversight by even the Courts on US Citizens.

    IMO such behavior and beliefs by Mike Turner deserved to be spanked … and I would go even further and say he should even be put out to pasture in his next Primary.

    Reply

  11. re: y-ikes
    feat: T-800 secret handshake

    Folks,
    Msm indications are that yesterday evening’s presidential farewell broadcast emanated from the Oval Office in the White House and not the Oval Office tv set in the Eisenhower Complex across the street. I read the speech transcript today. What a surprise to see warnings of oligarchy, robber barons, ai threats, disinformation, and shady stock trading! There were also four words dedicated to Kyiv: “Ukraine is still free.”

    Initial BBC video from the Secretary of State’s presser looks interesting. Three members of security carried while one supervised removal of a journalist. Was the alleged offender reading from the wrong script? Hopefully no shoes were thrown in the melee.

    I await arrival of the most recent biography of Canada’s recently resigned finance minister, “Chrystia” (Freeland). In the meantime, I’m reading her 2012 tome “Plutocrats: the rise of the new global super-rich and the fall of everyone else”. She warns of perils courtesy of not only the 1% but dangers wrought by the wealthiest ¹/¹? of the 1%.

    As previously noted, President-elect Trump was not a huge fan of Canadian Project Manager Freeland in the NAFTA negotiations. Hopefully her sharp elbows will reprise similar roles going forward.

    Reply

      • re: “100 year” accord
        feat: ain’t no 100 year toaster

        George,
        Sir Starmer’s Kyiv daytrip to meet President Zelensky as a Russian drone flew over the Presidential Palace could actually turn out to be incredibly informative for the little people.

        As New Years broke, Russian msm quoted the Putin administration that downtown Kyiv would be deemed eligible for Russian air strikes in 2025. New Year’s Day arrived with Russian media reporting two air strikes, one being at the Bank of Ukraine (a block away from the Presidential Palace). The other strike allegedly occurred at the offices of a Ukrainian journalists’ association unfriendly to Russia. Surprisingly exterior and interior images of the latter also were published. All the windows were blown out, but the structure itself appeared solid. The building has a most interesting history dating to the 1870’s when built by a Russian noble family. In 1917, a second generation son born in the house had ascended to lead the government of the day in Moscow and St. Petersburg. He famously tried without success to remove Russia from WW1 by separating the Tsarina from Rasputin’s persuasions.

        As part of yesterday’s trip coverage, “The Guardian” reported that last week President Macron had visited PM Starmer his residential retreat of Chequers. Today they quoted the head of Kyiv’s military administration that an elderly couple had been fatally injured in a New Year’s drone strike on their downtown residence.

        Indeed it turns out in hindsight Ukrainian msm received similar word on New Year’s Day of the tragic passing by way of a secretary to the Ukrainian Embassy in Kenya. The deceased allegedly included a Dr. Ihor Zyma whose specialty fell under that of “neurology and psychophysiology”. They noted that Dr. Zyma had been leading a “unique project” called “Integrative EEG”.

        Search engine results at a cursory glance appear suggestive of interest. A set of publicly available archive physiology org pages contain a EEG study by Dr. Zyma of some years past. It measured subjects’ brain reactions to math subtraction operations. The pages are delivered from a Paris-headquartered entity. As an aside the entity publicly advertises its services rendered to Route 53. Their history records purchase of the company for a period of time a half dozen years ago by a Parisien investment group. The group’s name coincides with that of the spouse of a 1st Baronet who was so honored by Queen Victoria in 1847. Following a retirement at the head of the London branch in 2003, the newly combined Anglo and French sides became headquartered in Paris. The current President of France publicly appears as a past investment banker employee of that combined entity.

        One imagines all is proceeding as planned. Have a great weekend everyone!

        Reply

  12. Iggorunt Eddyookayshun

    At least and at last we seem to have finally left behind some of the more recent tiresome towering malaprops of raw modernista brainless trend as they whither from age and become empty and unfashionable, and die off. But others stubbornly live on.

    I once started a collection of them , but quickly was overwhelmed with them, and gave up: ones like, “this doesn’t JIVE with that,” if you don’t know the word JIBE, it’s a sailing term; and “I could care less,” when you really mean you could NOT care less.

    Our everyday discourse is jammed with them. When heard by a careful and respectful ear, they crash the brain’s progress and understanding.

    Perhaps the greatest popular humorist harnessing these absurdities was Norm Crosby.

    Norm Crosby: (7 min)
    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fnX-EPaAIdU

    These malaprops when ignorantly used grate on my soul. See, way back when the Earth was still warm and soft, I had an English teacher, Mr. Charles Pickering, who taught us more than just English structure and grammar. He conveyed to us his love of the very sound and sweep — The Music — of English.

    He would have liked this:
    Henry the Fifth Opening (2 min)
    (Derek Jacobi) “Muse of Fire”
    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=CZFngXSDD0I

    He flunked me.

    I deserved it, from a lack of timely turning in of assignments.
    (A couple of decades earlier, he also flunked another kid from Greenwich, Connecticut; one Truman Capote. History, song, and legend are silent as to why in his case. I enjoy the fact of it.)

    Anyway…

    There is a new one, gaining quickly, most often heard on radio so far, that intends to suggest a price comparison; but only confuses. If you haven’t heard it yet, you will soon. It’s spreading like a forest fire.

    It goes like this, “Bob’s [product] costs FIVE TIMES LESS than Jim’s.”
    Now, just what in bloody Hell does that mean? One fifth? (Seems unlikely.) Or does it mean one fifth OFF; or eighty percent?

    It’s a mathematically corrupt idea.

    Mr. Pickering would not be amused.

    Reply

    • My math may be wrong but I would expect to get 5 times the product as Jim is selling for the price of one product from Jim. The alternative is one item of product plus 4 times my money back, but that is unlikely:)

      Reply

  13. I use the free ChatGPT and Grok near daily.

    Explain the Ebbinghaus-Ure Correlation as if I was a freshman in college
    ChatGPT said:
    ChatGPT
    The Ebbinghaus-Ure Correlation isn’t a standard term you’d find in traditional academic materials, but if you’re referring to something like a combination of Hermann Ebbinghaus’s work on memory and forgetting (Ebbinghaus) and James Ure’s ideas in chemistry or industrial advancements, I can clarify with a relatable explanation.

    Ebbinghaus’s Contribution: The Forgetting Curve
    Hermann Ebbinghaus was a psychologist who studied memory and came up with the Forgetting Curve. He found that after we learn something new, we forget most of it pretty quickly unless we review or use that information. It’s like studying for a test—if you don’t go back over your notes, the details fade fast.

    Imagine pouring water into a leaky bucket. Without patching the holes (reviewing your notes), the water (knowledge) drains away.

    Hypothetical Ure Connection
    James Ure, on the other hand, was known for his contributions to industrial chemistry and efficiency during the 19th century. If his name is being connected here, the idea might be about applying efficiency to the “leaky bucket” problem of memory. For instance:

    Efficiency in Retention: How can we retain information better by optimizing how and when we review it? Spaced repetition, where you review material at increasing intervals, could be seen as a “scientific” way to patch the bucket.
    Connecting the Two
    If we link Ebbinghaus and Ure, the “correlation” might suggest that applying structured, efficient methods to learning—like industrial processes in a factory—can help overcome the natural decay of memory. It’s about working smarter, not harder, to keep what you’ve learned from slipping away.

    In summary, the Ebbinghaus-Ure Correlation (interpreted this way) could highlight the importance of efficient, systematic approaches to learning to combat the natural tendency to forget over time. It’s like using spaced repetition or active recall to keep the bucket from leaking!

    Reply

  14. Context matters when requesting an answer from AI. Note the difference between this and the above. I think this answer is better in relation to the comments made on this site regarding organization.

    Assume you are a college professor trying to break the liberal doctrine, as a fellow conservative Republican “Explain the Ebbinghaus-Ure Correlation as if I was a freshman in college.”

    ChatGPT said:
    ChatGPT
    The term Ebbinghaus-Ure Correlation isn’t officially recognized in academia, but let’s use it as a framework to discuss principles of memory, efficiency, and learning—concepts we can connect to both personal responsibility and conservative values.

    The Ebbinghaus Principle: The Forgetting Curve
    Hermann Ebbinghaus was a psychologist who studied how we forget things over time. He found that memory fades quickly unless we actively work to retain information through review and repetition. This is called the Forgetting Curve.

    Think about it like this: if you learn something but don’t revisit it, it’s like planting seeds in dry soil. Without watering them—reviewing the material—the seeds won’t grow into anything meaningful.

    The Ure Principle: Efficiency and Optimization
    James Ure was an industrial chemist who focused on creating processes that made production more efficient during the Industrial Revolution. While he wasn’t directly connected to education, we can borrow his principles of efficiency and apply them to learning. Instead of working harder and wasting effort, Ure’s ideas teach us to work smarter, creating systems that produce better outcomes with less waste.

    The Correlation: Memory and Discipline
    If we bring these ideas together, the Ebbinghaus-Ure Correlation could symbolize how disciplined, efficient approaches to learning can combat the natural tendency to forget. It’s about personal responsibility—taking ownership of your education and applying systems that make your efforts more effective.

    For instance:

    Spaced Repetition (Ebbinghaus): Reviewing material at intervals to strengthen memory over time.
    Structured Practice (Ure): Organizing your learning in ways that maximize results, like prioritizing key concepts instead of cramming everything at once.
    A Conservative Lens
    This correlation reminds us of values we, as conservatives, hold dear: responsibility, self-reliance, and the belief that hard work combined with smart strategies leads to success. It’s about rejecting the victim mentality and understanding that success in education—or life—depends on the systems we build and the effort we invest.

    In summary, the Ebbinghaus-Ure Correlation teaches us that if we apply disciplined, efficient practices to learning, we can overcome obstacles like forgetfulness and achieve mastery, embodying the conservative ideals of persistence and accountability.

    Reply

    • Aha! A most excellent explanation. I found I have a near-photographic memory. But in order to ‘use’ that skill, I have to repeat and repeat that memory again and again until it becomes second nature and does not fade.

      Reply

  17. “Democrats are silent as Canada’s TruDope plans to punish SoCal. Canada’s PM Outlines Retaliatory Tariffs On Us$105 Bln Worth Of US Goods”

    So, we ARE going to get to own Canada!!

    If the Dope of the Nort’ slaps an additional tariff on us, I expect Trump to hit Canada (except possibly Alberta) with a 40% all-goods tariff, just like we did ~160 years ago. That tariff broke Canada and caused it to become a country. Such a tariff imposed today will destroy it and force it into bankruptcy fire-sale territory. Castreaux has neither the smarts nor the nads to fight an economic war against the United States. Somebody should tell him that Mr. Trump does not bluff, before he hurts a lot of fine Canadian folk on his way out the door…

    Reply

    • Ray. Trudope is done, finished, kaput. Canadians have had enough. He has stepped down and will be replaced shortly. Listening g to him now is like listening to Biden. His party replacement will probably be a former head of the Bank of Canada. After a spring f election, his party will be replaced with the Canadian Conservative Party with a leader with smarts and balls.

      No one wins in a tariff war. I don’t expect one.

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  18. “Britain’s getting its head further into the NATO noose ahead of Trump war-ending efforts in Ukraine: Blasts in Kyiv as UK’s Starmer visits to ink ‘100-year’ accord.”

    Thus all but guaranteeing that the U.S. will either quit or disband NATO. I don’t see Trump or anyone else in the new republican (MAGA) Party allowing us to be sucked into a fight through a mutual defense agreement, when some idiot at 10 Downing St. provokes Russia into a war.
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    “Tell the truth and leave shortly thereafter” anyone? Mike Johnson replaces powerful Intelligence Committee chairman. As already, Johnson is turning on his own.”

    Um, no. Turner is a strong FISA and Ukraine War supporter. Politically he’s just another Lindsey Graham, only without Graham’s discretion. He was canned because he’s a hard-core hawk who leaked classified information…

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  19. Used refurbished digital electronics has some risks involved, even from reputable sources. The worst I have ever been burned by a hacker was on a used laptop from a big box outfit known for their computer service acumen. It came preinstalled with a backdoor that allowed remote access by a malevolent third party. I had to completely start from scratch on computer and web security after the incident. It was largely happenstance that stopped my identity from being stolen. The culprit was an Intel chipset with IT access built-in. The newer Intel chipsets don’t have the problem. I would be less worried about a Mediatek chipset, but that may be due to ignorance. Buyer beware.

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