For the one – PPI – it’s supposed to already be here. Just out from the Labor Department:
(How’s your Life going to work when crypto sites and your bank, market, etc. report similar “can’t handle the load” results? Got a plan? Why Dow futures are up 73 boggles the wetware. Cyber-war target softening?)
What we eventually got – half an hour late?
“The Producer Price Index for final demand increased 1.0 percent in March, seasonally adjusted, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Final demand prices rose 0.5 percent in February and 1.3 percent in January. (See table A.) On an unadjusted basis, the final demand index moved up 4.2 percent for the 12 months ended in March, the largest advance since rising 4.5 percent for the 12 months ended September 2011.
In March, almost 60 percent of the increase in the index for final demand can be traced to a 1.7-percent advance in prices for final demand goods. The index for final demand services moved up
Prices for final demand less foods, energy, and trade services rose 0.6 percent in March following an increase of 0.2 percent in February. For the 12 months ended in March, the index for final demand less foods, energy, and trade services moved up 3.1 percent, the largest advance since climbing 3.1 percent for the 12 months ended September 2018.
Two-Bit Lecture: Prices in the supply chain go up first. Then, the prices after manufacturing go up. There’s some lag in accounting, transportation, and warehousing. The goods eventually get sold. And that’s where a 60-90 day reporting lag comes along. See, you have to buy it. So do government surveyors. Who then compile data and eventually get it out in the form of the Consumer Price Index.
Too few economists look at macro developments. But they matter very much.
The National Drought Monitor gives us the idea that food will be a growing concern going forward. No rain in some areas means small crops – if any – and less meat.
Pretty obviously, if you like drinking the recommended amounts of water every day, if this trend continues, we could see increased costs of water to drink, and anything in the way of agricultural goods coming especially from the Southwest.
Which is why I have been mentioning (for how long?) about Ure’s greenhouse and garden efforts this year? Thing is, we don’t live on prime land for raising wheat or grains. But we have some of the best squash and onion soil available. Puts out good ‘maters, also.
It didn’t take a rocket surgeon to figure out that if we get “exceptional (like 100-year snow) weather” here this winter, more “exceptional” could be on the way. Odds fell into too much rain or nowhere near-enough. And it’s been a very dry first part of spring so far.
Another thing to consider is whether – as the “Owning the Weather in 2025″ study showed for the Air Force…what was it, a decade ago? That war was going “extra-dimensional.” Bullets and B52’s are meaningful, don’t get me wrong. But so is financial footwork, political, social media, and infiltration of school curricula with anti-democracy messaging. And breaking government servers…
Which Brings Me To:
Ukraine War Bets, Anyone?
Before laying out long-green, you need to know a couple of things making headway on the Greek War 24/7 website:
- Russian forces are getting ready to blitz what they consider to be ancestral lands, back to Catherine the Great days: “Russia ready for landing: It transports the Caspian Fleet to the Black Sea – “Knife on the side” of Ukraine! (video) .”
- Also take a gander at “Rapid escalation: One step before NATO Ukraine in violation of the Alliance’s statutes – Russian forces in Transnisteria targeting Odessa.“
- Pretty much the same footwork in Russia Moves Ground Troops, Ballistic Missile Systems Near Ukraine Border – British Analysts.
If we’re to get ‘nisteria hysteria, the real art will be timing of all this. If you’re a market bear like….hold that mirror for me, wouldja?
Two caveats. First one is my friend G.A. Stewart “The Age of Desolation” website observed that according to historical seer Nostradamus we would get war through actions of a “demented president/leader” around Easter in a year we’re not certain of. While Christians might like to think we’re out of the woods for a predictive year, there’s the little matter of “local Easter” in the region – with Orthodox Easter coming May 2.
The second is that the War 24/7 website is a bit “shrill” sounding at times. But, we’ll take higher sound levels than the near-silence in the Mainstream (vax-selling) western Mainstream. Thing with “near silence” is that “signal to noise ratios are bad.” But as the shrill turns up – sometimes providing too much detail, it’s easier to solve a “selectivity problem” and a “noise floor problem” electronically speaking.
How much story #2 (Weather) is a low-level shaping operation driven by plans of story #3 (War knocks louder) is an open question.
As is whether story #1 (Producer prices – inflation to come) is somehow giving the One Percenters a final bite of the apple. And whether story #4 (Covid) is a shaping operation or a sly, proactive way to roadblock Covid from being the main vector of warfare (bio-warfare) for WW III.
Story #4 – Covid
Not too much new to report, except that Germany has doubled the pace of jabbing with a surge working its way around parts of Europe.
Worth mentioning is that Michigan nursing home CV cases are jumping too, and this is despite an aggressive vax program.
UrbanSurvival Knowledge-sharing: I have been looking for actual data that supports the notion that even if you get a shot – and subsequently get Covid – that it’s any less aggressive.
One of the big sales points – with vaccinated people still getting sick is the sickness is “less severe.” I just haven’t see much hard data on this, so any pointers to hard data (numbers talk, opinions walk) are welcome in the Comments section.
Still pondering whether this is a global prequel to having compliance with a One World Government in the future. If you’re a good little sheep, you’ll get the life-sustaining shot for another year. Not that this plot line is real, of course. But it makes for one hell of a novel.
He lived to 99 – which is a pretty good run in anyone’s book. Sadly, this will gobble up hours and hours of media time. So spend some time writing a “mental filter” for useless “dead royals rehashed” which the MSM will pander-away on knowing it’s low-hanging eyeballs.
UrbanSurvival’s Pessimistic View
If we seem a little too focused on food, water, self-isolation, and remote sensing with the web and HF shortwave and ham radio, not to mention product sufficiency with our 3D printer farm, have some Faith.
You want to read the National Intelligence Council’s forward view stories. Here’s one to gnaw with the toast this morning.
Now toss in the “New Age Voo-Doo Economics of Modern Monetary Theory” [NAVDEM-MT] and the attack on tech to take down America (“Joe Biden’s tax crackdown on tech giants: Firms face tougher measures under global plan by US President, leaked papers show“) and what do you have?
Is it, as some environmentalist extremists wonder, Gaia getting ready to cleanse the Earth of excess consumption and laziness, or what?
In Ure’s Shorts
Headlines for the herd:
Yes: The chips are really down: “Chip shortage causes more disruptions in auto production, but trader has a hedge play” says CNBC.
Wriley the Writer wonders since Russian Court Orders Strengthening of Domestic Violence Law whether that will extend to Ukraine?
Sorting Out Socialist media: We love reading what a trained historian‘s view of the MSM is. Even if it’s Newt Gingrich: The truth about Georgia’s voting law and the mainstream media’s lies.
Fixated Media: We keep seeing stories like “Tiger Woods’ crash report reveals police found empty pill bottle, golfer thought he was in Florida” so we did a Google search: There are 5.3 MILLION versions of it wout there…here’s the Google search to check it yourself.
You’ve Been Distracted!
Easy picking for the Russians and Chi–coms as the real stories that matter are not in the headlines.
Stories like? Lawsuits, not removal from power for opening up the southern border, maybe?
Amazon Union Vote Results Will Continue Friday Morning is interestiing, but where’s the outrage about the Bidenista’s tearing down America, killing our energy independence, and raising taxes to the freaking moon?
No wonder the blood pressure is high, lol.
Around the Ranch
Guest chef in the Saturday Gourmet column teaches us how to make homemade cornflakes tomorrow. Sunday ShopTalk shows off that new lean-to on the north side of the shop we mentioned planning a month or two back.
Peoplenomics tomorrow we ponder (in the ChartPack) the implications if we don’t get stock dysfunction before the close today.
Off to the garden by way of the breakfast table…
Ponder for my workday is whether the Feds have a long-range “home check” plan in the offing: Checking for guns, vax certifications, illegal gardening, and (going by the checkbox on your tax form) if there’s an movement of cryptos into your accounts.
Where’s my meds?
Write when you get rich, (Bitcoins don’t count, lol – You know the spy agencies are worried about crypto’s, right?)