OK, sure, sure, we’ll get to the “usual” stuff in a minute. Retail sales and such…
But before we do that, Chris McCleary has a couple of columns up this week over at the National Dream Center site that demand reading.
Why? Because (as we’ve long expected) when sliced consistently with Grady’s Nostracodeus software. Chris is getting extremely high correlations between future stock market prices and what people DREAM.
Part 1 is here: For those with eyes to see: Secret mirror to Wall St.
Part 2 is here: The Secret Mirror to Wall St., Part II
The basic drift of it is that dreams seem to be able to predict the future of the stock market up to as much as the 70% kind of range.
And this would make sense because as I’ve told you for years, there is likely a correlation simply because human systems all seem to have a major “As above, so below…” aspect to them.
But beyond this, about 70-80 percent of all that passes for “news” in today’s world is pre-planned. So much so that I can tell you that I’ll be looking for New Zealand’s retail sales figures on Sunday afternoon at 3:45 PM because it will already be Monday where? Just one example, but enterprising reporters (Attkisson aside) are rare as hell. In reality we live in a sanitized press release scheduled world.
Just like the Fed capacity and utilization report will be out Monday morning at 8:15 local time.
It has always stood to reason that people will dream about things in advance…want my rap on structural hysteresis? We know (at least in my very cursory look at dream time delays) that if a person experiences something shocking (like getting fired), the dream resulting from that experience may crop up to anywhere from that night to 10-days later.
So by the time a dream is aggregated and considered by Chris & Grady’s Dreambot version of Nosty software and other tools Chris has developed, you can see how there might be a lag.
But the lag may happen to place the dream results just ahead of physical manifestation.
Let’s take that worker laid off on April 1. He has a dream with work layoff content on April 7th. Chris then might pick out the trend on April 8the or 9th.
But it’s on April 15th when the company issues the press release that triggers the stock decline…
This is just the kindergarten version. And tomorrow on Peoplenomics we’ll discuss a lengthy email that I’ll be sending Chris (and Grady) today about how to move forward. There are ways to improve not only the integrity of the data, but also navigate certain other issues.
For this morning, however, the main thing to watch is what? Dreams. And for reasons I won’t go into yet, you really, really, REALLY want to be posting your dreams on a regular basis on the National Dream Center‘s DreamBase.
When Chris mentions “The meek shall inherit the earth” who do you think the “meek” are? Another hint: We’ve had plenty of “future can be bought” but now we’re seeing a path where future can be “earned” by the sincere. And, in the process, ways to maintain predictive integrity going forward which is way cool and the whole point of things.
But more on that tomorrow. We now return you to the regular scheduled news, such as this morning’s retail sales report…
Spending Our Way to Oblivion
Imagine you just won the Powerball for $500-million. What would be the first thing you bought?
Many people will name this bauble or that trinket. But other than a large ring for Elaine, I can’t think of much else, right off the bat. Everything we buy is really a two-edged sword.
I might want a bigger & faster airplane than our old Beechcraft. Which sounds really cool, but the problem that comes along with it is it would increase my chances of killing myself. Complex airplanes (yes I can fly them) are where many more things can go wrong. Like the landing gear might not come down…that kind of thing.
So the mindset “auspicious” is critical. Must be present to win, and so would a 200 mile per hour sports car extend or shorten your life? Do you really have serious experience driving over 100 miles an hour?
The Retail Sales figures that follow are always interesting. Not as interesting as winning the Powerball might be, but with proper mindset, you can infer the national mood a bit from reviewing the data:
The U.S. Census Bureau announced today that advance estimates of U.S. retail and food services sales for October, adjusted for seasonal
variation and holiday and trading-day differences, but not for price changes, were $444.5 billion, an increase of 0.3 percent (±0.5%)* from the
previous month, and 4.1 percent (±0.9%) above October 2013.
Total sales for the August through October 2014 period were up 4.5 percent
(±0.7%) from the same period a year ago. The August to September 2014 percent change was unrevised from -0.3% (±0.2%).
Retail trade sales were up 0.3 percent (±0.5%)* from September 2014, and 3.8 percent (±0.7%) above last year. Nonstore retailers were up 9.1
percent (±2.1%) from October 2013 and auto and other motor vehicle dealers were up 8.3 percent (±3.0%) from last year.
What is terribly obvious is that it’s only Auto Sales that are keeping the economy afloat:
One of these days I’m either going to have to report we have reached consumer super-saturation where every man woman and child has two cars and an SUV, or the next great boom in ‘Merica will be the garage building business.
Under the surface, this is NOT a good report. The national mood, at least as far as I’ve been able to pick up going into town and just listening to people’s “between the lines” implications seems to be something like “Yeah, sure the economy sucks, but you only go around once, so I’m going to buy me a new…(fill in the blank).”
Futures are flat, gold under $1,150 on the futures.
Critical Fed Number
Holy shit! Money supply is cratering —>>>
The M1 money supply figure for the most recent three month period has gone negative on an annualized basis.
And the money supply growth of M2, basis the last three months and then annualized was up a total of 3.4%. This means the dollar is still getting stronger, not weaker, as the wealth continues to accrue to the rich. It also means the rates will be firming and when that happens, car loans will move up and the stage will be set for another decline.
But this kind of action could be a year or longer working out.
My Consigliore’s Ebola Tracking
When a tax attorney/CPA looks at Ebola, I pay attention:
Official Numbers as of November 9, 2014
Total 14,098
Deaths 5,489
Note: the CDC estimates that actual cases in Liberia, Sierra Leone, and Guinea are two to three times higher than officially reported numbers
Some important things to note wrt the Ebola epidemic:
The Good News:
1) It appears that in the early stages of infection it is NOT very contagious, if contagious at all.
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