Thursday I tossed out a projection that according to a new model I’ve constructed, the market was “due” to head down – and seriously so – in the next week.  In fact, I put an S&P number under 2,500 on the table with a target date of next Friday. That might be aggressive, but despite … Read More

Finance is part statistics, part floating craps game, part mafiosa, part leap of faith and so on.  When I wrap all of these things up into a spreadsheet (and call ity Golem II, it suggests that the market going forward may work out something like this… As always, this is not financial advice.  What we … Read More

Once again, our unconventional way of thinking has produced some useful ideas to ponder. This first is “how does government control people who might lose faith in depreciating money?”  A well-discussed concept here. In addition to pointing out how Social Credits are just another control scam, we will also be revealing a fine chart of … Read More

That’s a Personal Optimization Plan to Prevent Aging – I call it “POPPA” for short. Contrary to what some short-term prepper sites might have you belief, real prepping is a life-long exercise.  And, in order to have the long life for life-long you need to structure your day-to-day existence to feed those physical and mental faculties that … Read More

We hold to the silly notion that there is both “news” and “anti-news” in the world.  Sort of  like “matter” and “anti-matter.”  In case you’re not clear on what “anti-news” is, it’s the sheep feed.  Stuff that fills up people’s minds with base emotionalism, but doesn’t put anything on the personal bottom line. Before we … Read More

(Shorter than normal this morning due to a cranky server… publishing in sections, so update after 8 AM Central for the whole thing) Ever consider the “glass of water” problem? You know…the one where people are “optimistic” if they look at a glass of water and exclaim “It’s half full!”  Or, going the other way, … Read More

In Saturday’s column I hinted that I would wade a little deeper into the idea of “hobbies that can make money” for you…and by the title, you ought to know where this one is going. For the gold! Bit of personal background:  When I lived in the PNW – and even when I was on … Read More

This is one of those columns it sickens me to write.  But, since we believe our approach to be data-driven, there are some elements in news headlines and in the technical formation of the market that offer the prospect of a presidential departure and succession in the near future. Mid-2019? This morning, we scrap our … Read More

It’s the time of year when we should spend some time focusing on the important things in life…like having fun!!!  Christmas is coming, but what is the “right” kind of present? The theory is that people need “time to re-create.”  So, the notion of “re-creation” which drops the hyphen to become recreation. Since a lot … Read More

Reminder:  Today is the last day of Medicare Open Enrollment. As expected, stock market action was swinging wildly Thursday for multiple reasons, depending on which channel you happened to be watching: Some thought it was because of uncertainty over the Jobs report.  But, since that’s just out today, we can review it for surprises right … Read More

Hopefully not, but those of us who prefer the “short side” of trading were looking at the early futures today and wondering if we’re not getting closer to a dramatic replay of 1929.  A couple of charts will explain the problem: As you can see here, when we line up the October 3 peak in … Read More

Since the market blew down almost 800 points yesterday, we’ll begin this morning with an update of our “1929 Replay” chart.  As you’ll see, although we canceled our “December Crash Alert” that doesn’t mean we are completely out of the woods, yet. Then we’ll roll through the charts where you’ll see where we could be … Read More

There we were, Sunday morning…just gorged on French toast and coffee. My consigliere announced he wanted to take a hike down to the bottom of the hill and back.  And as we were discussing the wilds of East Texas, he got out his “Goes Everywhere Box.” “See This?  Everything I need is in here…” He … Read More