Overstated Markets

Where we explain what a porn star technique has to do with the market and how holidays matter.  All as we creep up to the four day workweek ahead and the three day weekend that follows. A grand time will be had by all.  As long as you keep the news off.

This morning’s ChartPack is a bit long (3,200 words and 63 pages) but the public take away is that the Daily Aggregate hasn’t hit a new all-time high yet, while the weekly close has.  This is exactly why we cobbled up the Aggregate to clarify reality in times where directionality fails.

Well, except for the mindless hype, perhaps.

And don’t miss the Wax Witch report today. Mixes markets and Something Wicked This Way Comes into a nice readable cauldron’s worth of outlook…

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19 thoughts on “Overstated Markets”

  1. Ure witchery in the PN section is fun, but I’m thinking the real risk is ramping up the following week. Thinking about filling and batch shocking a barrel of water for contingencies. I’m rotating about 4.5 X 6 gallons of gasoline. Have enough diesel to get through until next year. All consumer batteries are charged. I have cooking fuel in stock.
    There are projects that I need to start or complete, but they can wait.

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  2. I trade the micro Nasdaq and many red candles have long tails which I think is the ESF proping up the market.

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    • That’s been my concern with the fast/slow bull datam, as well – looks like thge optb trying to keep the dance going, not stepping on fet and pretending not to lead

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  3. The Witch is a new and interesting presentation. Let her ride the broom for a while and see how she works out. If I knew how busy and fun retirement was going to be I would have pulled the trigger years earlier.

    Stay safe. 73

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      • One of the Godfathers of AI issues warning, Yoshua Bengio:
        https://www.inc.com/kit-eaton/why-an-ai-pioneer-worries-the-could-turn-against-us/91022536
        ‘He’s also sure that advanced, truly smart next-gen AIs will come online during a decades-long timescale, but if this happens as soon as five years, Bengio thinks we’re just not ready. “We don’t have methods to make sure that these systems will not harm people or will not turn against people,” he said—tapping into a vein of concerns about the difficulty of regulating AI’s capabilities.’

        https://www.theguardian.com/technology/2023/jul/07/five-ways-ai-might-destroy-the-world-everyone-on-earth-could-fall-over-dead-in-the-same-second
        ‘Whatever goal you give, there is a natural tendency for some intermediate goals to show up. For example, if you ask an AI system anything, in order to achieve that thing, it needs to survive long enough. Now, it has a survival instinct. When we create an entity that has survival instinct, it’s like we have created a new species. Once these AI systems have a survival instinct, they might do things that can be dangerous for us.

        It’s feasible to build AI systems that will not become autonomous by mishap, but even if we find a recipe for building a completely safe AI system, knowing how to do that automatically tells us how to build a dangerous, autonomous one, or one that will do the bidding of somebody with bad intentions.

        Yoshua Bengio, computer science professor, the University of Montreal; scientific director, Mila – Quebec AI Institute

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    • Check your email for a preview of next week’s section graphic. (I been learning from Chris Tyreman’s graphics style, lol – then I taught AI. Airbrushes R Us…

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  4. Friendly reminder bout all the possible timelines that have been gaining NRG in probability recently, as we head into the best Holiday in the WORLD – The 4th of July …Fire in the hole!

    Here is link to Aziz Brown (of Farsight.org) review with handler, talking about Iran actions AFTER the outrageous sneak attacks on their legally sanctioned & operating civilian nuclear plants – https://www.farsightprime.com/deep-news/season:3/videos/aziz-dn-iranian-response-vimeo
    *Keep in mind this was done and posted in April 2025 – thats April with an A.

    Siege Heil Trumpsters! The 4th Reich rises, as predictively programmed (Q) marshal law should be locking down all us “Lu” soonly.

    What Mountain are you making Ure stand on? Dio – https://youtu.be/vpgu9wKJVbc?

    * request comparative analysis of Peoplenomics USD finances past 3 years versus what it could have been with BTC payment enabled? Dont need to Prezact, just ballpark it with ratios/percenatges.
    * How much nrg do data centers need ?

    * Value derived from all that nrg ?

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  5. (“Going into next weekend, Consumers Feel Happier but Still Worry About Inflation”)

    hmm.. I wonder which part of society they are interviewing?

    (“Rising Costs of Living: Middle and lower-income households face significant pressure due to rising costs of necessities like food, housing, energy, and healthcare, particularly during periods of inflation. Lower-income households are disproportionately impacted because these essentials constitute a larger portion of their budgets.
    Stagnant Wages and Income Inequality: Many individuals in the lower-middle class experience stagnant wages, making it difficult to keep up with rising costs, despite productivity increases and overall national wealth growth. Wealth and income inequality, which has risen significantly in the US, means a greater share of economic gains accrues to the wealthiest, leaving others behind.
    Limited Economic Opportunity and Mobility: Rising inequality can impede economic mobility for those on the lower rungs of the economic ladder. Difficulties accessing quality education and acquiring necessary skills also hinder upward mobility.
    Difficulty Building Assets: Retirement savings and building wealth become harder for the middle and lower classes, especially in the face of rising costs and debt.
    Feeling Unseen and Left Behind: Many middle-class Americans feel their economic struggles are not acknowledged by the government and doubt their ability to improve their financial situation. Increased Financial Stress: Lower and middle-income families face considerable stress due to financial pressures, especially unexpected expenses.
    Reduced Quality of Life: Financial insecurity can impact various aspects of life, including health, education, and housing.
    Erosion of Social Cohesion: Economic inequality can contribute to declining social trust and community involvement.
    Potential for Social and Political Instability: Prolonged economic hardship and frustration can fuel social and political instability. Policies Aimed at Reducing Inequality: Proposals like a more progressive tax system, a higher minimum wage, and expanded access to education and job training can address inequality.
    Investing in the Middle Class: Policies that support access to affordable housing, healthcare, education, and childcare can help families thrive.
    Promoting Financial Literacy and Security: Programs promoting financial education and easier ways to save for retirement can improve financial well-being.
    The economic situation for many middle and lower-class individuals and families remains challenging, necessitating targeted policies to address their concerns and promote greater economic security and opportunity. “)

    cause what I’m reading is painting a starkly different public scenario and opinion..
    https://youtu.be/4WnCxDzhEc4?si=hLgq_mzWDlXa7aSo
    https://youtu.be/JhrDAu6U7oA?si=qUMhNwcgO5BekOHc

    oh wait I forgot to put on congressional glasses… you know those rose colored ones…. I’m waiting for one of them to say..well screw them if they don’t like it ..let them eat cake !!!
    or can’t they take a joke.. buckle up butter up the ride is on the tracks !!! lol lol lol

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  6. And the disruption of the century [this is the 4th turning after all . is it not?] is seeing confirmation filling into 3D now.

    The cellphone is to the phone booth as blockchain and the smartphone are to :

    https://getfuturebank.com/insights/the-rise-of-mobile-wallets-and-why-consolidation-is-coming/

    https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/end-bank-branches-how-europes-digital-euro-and-stablecoins-are-reshaping-finance

    https://impressit.io/blog/digital-banking-trends

    EIABM: [Cred Mr. Ure].

    Got Blockchain. You’se AI?

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  7. re: Horse Race to the finish line
    feat: Unalaska (‘near the peninsula’)

    Folks,
    “The Guardian’s” coverage of the ‘Marriage of the Century’ between Mr. and Mrs. Bezos in Venice, Italy continued yesterday. As chance would have it, the groom’s birth surname “Jorgenson” translates from Danish into English as “Son of George”.

    It seems Friday afternoon scheduling left A-list nuptial guests to their own devices which “The Guardian” filed under a paragraph titled “Killing Time”. A published image depicted a motor launch loaded with a vip guest and his entourage navigating Venetian waterways allegedly making towards the Gallerie dell’ Academia to view Titian’s last dark-toned masterpiece, The Pietà (“Blessed Virgin Mary cradling the mortal body of Jesus Christ after his Descent from the Cross”).

    Occupants of the watercraft, attired in seasonal-hued fashion, save their vip raison d’être, conveyed a scene of merriment. His dark coloured ball cap and shirt however were antipode to a blazing day of heat. “Good grief, Charlie Brown.” A Sally seems happily undeterred while a Lucy van Pelt perhaps reaches down to pin the football as Mr. Brown absorbs luxurious scenic surrounds via cellphone.

    Interestingly the ‘mahogany limousine’ motored on its way not under an Italian moniker, but rather one associated with The Maldives or Indonesia. The vessel’s name “Kuda Rah” would appear to translate into English as “Horse Race”. Here is a link to “The Guardian”-published image:

    https://www.theguardian.com/technology/2025/jun/27/jeff-in-venice-seven-takeaways-from-the-bezos-sanchez-wedding#img-8

    Speaking of horse races, let’s join our premiere event commentator from the studio, DJ George who is no stranger to exercising his 2nd Amendment rights and pulling the pin on a starting gun. Ears up as DJ G. scoops a fourth entry off the burner hotplate from Pink Floyd’s “Dark Side of the Moon”. Synchronize watches, on your mark, get set –

    “Time”.

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  8. I hotta differ on the biz model thingy. That’s only for life on dirt. When floating the is only weather… that is whether or not your day will be inconsequential or not.
    Constant vigilance is the cost, relative safety and comfort can be the result. There is no business model out here.
    Gotta love it.
    Stiks

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    • Ig son G2’s plan to move down here blows up for any reason, we keep a liberty 458 and a Moody 46 always on the “click to purchase” because we know you ain’t lying…

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  9. “Sometimes he wins, sometimes he loses,”

    Depends on the metrics. Here in the U.S.A. it’s money.

    Look to Barron Trump pulling $40,000,000 in Stablecoin. Barron is 19 y/o.

    I don’t know how much the average UrSu poster pulls but let’s say, $250,000 annually. Compared to an UrSu poster Barron has pulled 160 years of labor in his first year of adulthood. Or at 250k each the lifetime earnings of four posters in his first year of adulthood. That’s winning.

    Money values change over time and we should look at it as a family of 160 pulling 250k each over the past year Vs.

    Some of these Lib rags claim president Trump moved for a net worth of $2.3 billion to $5.1 billion since being sworn in. Convince A.I. to tell you how to make that happen. Anything else is fodder.

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