News

Merry What-mess? Durable Goods, new Jobless filing, and Personal Income Tales.  All better than coal (and more “climate-friendly” for the wokees). I know — how dare some old writer/columnist offer insights into the eggnog and fentanyl festivities.  But yes, seems to be how things look over here on the long end of the timeline. We … Read More

We offer our Christmas 2021 ebook on anti-aging experiments we’ve been conducting.  Think of this as the “personal live-fire drill” as time marches on. At 4o+ pages, this is one of our longer reports and thus we provide it as bot a .PDF and EPUB so you can pop it into your ebook reader or … Read More

Monday morning, our pre-open call was that “Market Puke Day is here.”  Sure enough, the Dow dropped 433-points.  On top of losses suffered in previous sessions. With Ipecac Syrup Day over, the market today will pretend the world isn’t going to hell in a hand basket.  The rising of sour bile might be held at bay … Read More

Market Puke Day is here.  This MAY be where we draw the line between irrational speculation and irrational media manipulation; we’re standing by for it. Here’s how the Rich Folks Laydown is going down: Bitcoin is ready to drop through the 46,000 level for lower regions. The Dow futures earlier were down nearly 400 points.  … Read More

When you look at the world through “de-monetized glasses” this week, there are three things highlighting Life.  Assembly of presents, personal changes at the Winter Solstice.  And of course, food. Some Assembly Required Over the course of almost 73-years, the relative importance of Christmas has changed a lot.  The old Sears Wish Book while watching the … Read More

Sometimes, history can help scale our “worst case” thinking.  In one of our “mainly charts” reports today, we look at (semi-recent) economic history and ask how bright are America’s enemies? The question is not moot:  Russia has outlined a number of “deal points” for standing down on their side of the Ukraine border. Since the … Read More

Thank God it’s Friday – before Christmas.  Just time to order yet-another tool slut delight. Since I have a fair bit of construction planned this winter, I decided to order a 3-foot impact driver drill-bit extension.  Deal on these is you can add or remove deck screws without bending over.  Yeah…old man workstyle.  Should have … Read More

Nothing-Burger Fed Decision.  But a nothing-burger is just what the shills were looking for.  Dow up 383 and change as a result and showing +212 early this morning.  Here’s the part of the Fed decision driving it: “In light of inflation developments and the further improvement in the labor market, the Committee decided to reduce … Read More

With some of the big issues out of the way, the rest of 2022’s drivers can be lined up and then some ideas tabled.   As always, UrbanSurvival and Peoplenomics are not about “making the most” but instead about “losing the least” as complexity hits the wall. This morning, we eye things like communications, transportation, and … Read More

Another Model appears! No, you perv, not the sort with staples in her midriff.  No, this is the kind that says things like “=’D-Data’!B808” and whispers sweet inferences like “=(AVERAGE(B723:B808))-B808” to our never-ending delight. This’ll take a minute to explain, so slurp-along and follow.  This is possibly useful with the Fed meeting today and announcement … Read More

Yes, in a sense, it’s a quiet one this morning.  Fine time to practice short column writing. But tomorrow will be bigger.  Be patient. That’s because that’s when the Federal Reserve will be holding it’s FOMC meeting and Wednesday we will get a sense of how much taper to expect and how quickly. There’s other … Read More

This being Rum Sunday and all, I’ve done a couple of reports recently on the use of drones in a prepping and survival situation. In these, I have extoled the virtues of drones, even the cheapie $99 sort that I learned to fly on: an internet “deal” which worked out well. With a drone, a … Read More

Simplified communication reflects a tribe of simpletons is our origin point this morning.  Because – importantly – big thoughts with important nuances may not be easily abbreviated. The urge to abbreviate is driven by multiple factors, too:  time, laziness, and “normed down convention.”  Thing is, the “idea simplification business” carries many hidden risks.  Not the … Read More