Markets to Rise, After a Pause

The “pause that refreshes?”  We shall see.

About the most exciting thing about this particular Monday is the insanity of the media.  While outfits like CNN are running with 13 healthcare and anti-Trump, anti-right stories and just 6 stories on other news (in my display, YMMV) for a 68.42% anti-Trump, anti-healthcare reform ratio, our own website was showing 3 Trump and healthcare in its first 19 items this morning, which we consider a more realistic view of Reality (16.8% Russia and Healthcare crap).  Eyeballs and ad budgets is the Media Business Model today.  See Heidi’s sexy topless selfie for…er….more.

Even MORE AMAZING is that the fellow “suicided” – who was supposed to testify this week against the Clinton Foundation – is virtually uncovered by the crooked lefties of the NE Liberal Press.  If you were a regular reader of the Haiti Sentinel, you’d see the REAL news is how a Former Official Found Dead ahead of Senate Testimony.”  Not counting this latest “suicide” we think stories like “Chilling similarities between Seth Rich murder and ‘Clinton Body Count’ victims” deserve much greater play than Russia email crap which was peddled to both parties especially the McCain democrats/RINOs.  Unless your media empire is already in bed with the capo dei capi, of course.

(Continues below)


While the Year of National Stupidity and Bullshit Tolerance Festival  (NS&BTF) continues, however, we will quietly be stacking cash, because like we told you the likely “fix” would be new all-time stock market highs to come in August.  It may be 5%, or more, above present levels.  But we’ll just have to see.  Then it will be “Look out below!” and more stacking of cash…


NY Fed Data, Markets

On the economics front the only major story this morning seems to be the NY Fed’s Empire State Manufacturing Survey just out:

“Business activity grew modestly in New York State, according to firms responding to the July 2017 Empire State Manufacturing Survey. The headline general business conditions index fell ten points to 9.8. The new orders index moved down to 13.3, and the shipments index fell to 10.5, suggesting that orders and shipments continued to grow, though at a somewhat slower pace than in June. Delivery times continued to lengthen, and inventory levels were fairly steady. Labor market indicators pointed to a small increase in employment and no change in hours worked. Input prices and selling prices rose at about the same pace as last month. Indexes assessing the six-month outlook suggested that firms remained positive about future conditions, though they were less optimistic than in June. “

Stock futures were up a shade ahead of the open…

Tomorrow, import-export prices and Wednesday will see Housing Start data.  Toss in Leading Economic Indicators (LEI) on Thursday (it’s an anagram, lol) and you have an eminently missable week.

We might toss in a brag, or two, here about our long-term skepticism of Bitcoin with the fabled “economic savior” scam down to $2,029 on an early quote.  Get your Iraqi dinars, too, while you’re at it.  We don’t like to play economic games where the “created wealth” is made up out of thin data, just as paper and ink “make up money” to keep the current system going.

I laugh my butt off when I hear various erudite sages claim that investing in real fractional shares of profitable companies is somehow crooked compared with their shill-like pimping of e-money which is made up from electrons and hype.  Too slow for real e-commerce we see a high correlation between blockchains and blockheads.

Reality Check:  We continue to hold that  fungibles – like gold, guns, grub, seeds, paid-up land and such – are where to park excess dough.  Yes, UrbanSurvival is an American Fundamentalist site – and with no apologies.

People investing in more “notional” items should hold only the  notion about getting full value in return.

But don’t listen to “old man sense” on this.  Lots of Millennials will find out for themselves when the Greater Depression arrives.  But first, we rally more to sell stock from strong hands to weak…which is what the coming month should unveil.  Gotta shock the kids when it happens.

Climate Change?


Still it’s tragic when we read how “THEY HAD NO WARNING’ At least 9 dead, including 5 kids, in Ariz. flash flood.” This was in Payson – a town of 16,000 about 65 miles up the hill from Scottsdale in the Mogollon Rim country – which is one possible destination for us when we move.

The weather is also “Chilly in Chile” as a most unusual snowfall has occurred.  Chile: 280000 lose power in first Santiago snowfall for 20 years.

Climate change?  LOL – Greenest damn summer ever here in East Textus, just sayin…  Ranchers here looking forward to four cuttings of hay this year…

UrbanSurvival Right Again?

As long as I’m on a climate discussion, hats off to Miranda Devine in the Daily Telegraph for saying that Al Gore’s climate hype is?  (you’ll love this!) A Business Model!

“Scaremongering is what Gore does best, and fear is the business model that has made him rich, though his every apocalyptic scenario has failed to materialise.”

Ah, sweet music to our ears.  Even as we read how “Research Team Slams Global Warming Data In New Report: “Not Reality… Totally Inconsistent With Credible Temperature Data” is still echoing between the empty space between the ears of the climate change pimps.

Feminist Attack on  Science (Oh, great!)

You’re going to just love this item in the Washington Post today “Why these professors are warning against promoting the work of straight, white men.”

WTF?  (Who are these people?)

Since when did science become gender specific?  Tripe and trash, as we see it.

I have no idea what feminist geography might be…but whoever did the work gets cited.

Or, do you prefer to living in a delusional world where we all finish first even if we have to handicap those who would otherwise be winners?

You see that’s the plight of America and the attack of the ultra-libs in a nutshell.  They don’t want winners…they want their interest group to “own” some turf.  Grows their tribe and such.  Marketing, marketing, marketing.  Business models…

Closely related: A reader who happens to be a high-end lawyer with a Century City address in LA-LA land recently sent out a colleague note about sham the story being peddled in today’s schools about how a black doctor who “invented blood transfusions” was denied a transfusion in a hospital and so he died…”  I looked into it:

The problem with this story is it isn’t true and was first “outed” as agenda story-telling back in 1989.  “Did the black doctor who invented blood plasma die because white doctors wouldn’t treat him?”  Credit to The Straight Dope for getting this right.

Even Wikipedia says that’s not true:

“Despite a popular myth to the contrary, once repeated on an episode of the hit TV series M*A*S*H, Drew’s death was not the result of his having been refused a blood transfusion because of his skin color. This myth spread very quickly since during his time it was very common for blacks to be refused treatment because there weren’t enough “Negro beds” available or the nearest hospital only serviced whites. In truth, according to one of the passengers in Drew’s car, John Ford, Drew’s injuries were so severe that virtually nothing could have been done to save him. Ford added that a blood transfusion might have actually killed Drew sooner.”

All of which should get us to looking at screen writers (was McCarthy onto something?) and how misinformation becomes dogma.

Was Dr. Drew a great man?  ABOLSUTELY.  Was his story twisted up for a racial/political/liberal agenda?  ibid.

And that’s the reason this attack on science done by white males is a key battle to watch.  The Washington Post is splashing ink about it.  So we figure it’s a new agenda item.

Turn off them lights – invented by a man!

We have so many other problems to worry about in America, this latest Gore-like attack on real science is an abysmal commentary on the fate of the Nation.

Let me put it this way:  This is how promoters and True Believers in Causes operate.  They peddle guilt, shame, and whatever else is at hand (including weather with a side order of tears) and enough stupid people glom onto it that first thing you know, we have a nation where no one gets to be first – and in a nutshell it is what ensures we will finish LAST.

World War III is being won without a shot being fired.  It’s the Head War and until you understand that theater of conflict and learn to operate autonomously on that battlefield, America is headed the same place the Drano and the Charmin went.

All today’s “cause babies” are selling the same shit.   Doesn’t matter if it’s a gender, a persuasion, a Foundation, or a climate scam, or a can’t vote on healthcare without Big John… all the same agenda.  Broken people built broken “solutions.”

Absent real scientific breakthroughs and an economic re-engineering of America, we will likely continue to make-shift monetize penises, boobs, weather….whatever the hell we can pick up free.  To hope THAT make an economy that works is totally delusional.

Silver lining for me?  It makes economic forecasting – in the long-term – ridiculously easy when you “get it.”

Speaking of the Obvious Future

The UK Sun article to be up on today? “‘WORLD WILL BE PLUNGED INTO HOLY WAR”WORLD WILL BE PLUNGED INTO HOLY WAR’: Time-capsule letter found after 22 years makes eerily accurate predictions about the future.”

D’oh. Religions of peace?

20 thoughts on “Markets to Rise, After a Pause”

  1. Well what do you do George? What do you do? I really THINK that etherium is going to be something. Just not for maybe 5 years. Microsoft and Jp Morgan Chase is backing it. Crypto starts with crypt and mortgage starts with mort. As you know, Mort Latin for death. A mortgage is a death pledge.

    I know the bald reshi is pimping that bit like spyder monkey all cracked out on mountain dew. Him dont see eye to eye on much, but i dont fault him for that. I do like etherium.

    Emotionally attached to your money? Emotionally attached to the markets? Dont do that. That is how they get ya every time. Detachement is a skill.

    From my vangate point, its at the D.O.S. developmental stage. Some one will invent the g.u.i and be a gazillionare. My bet is Amazon will go first, once yhat happens, $2000 will be a bargin.

    Im going to buy some eth anyway, once it gets below $100. About mid august.

    Well, i best get busy, have a great day. Been listening to quite a bit of old country music lately. Hank sure could bend those strings.

    As kacey kasum (rip) used to say in American top 10, keep your feet on the ground and keep reaching for those stars.

    Everyone forgets the first part. Keep your feet on the ground!

    Luv yuh!


    • P.S. dont forget the f’ng elephant in the room!!!! For fcksakes!!!!!

      Nobody wants to talk about it! The japs are and have been running negative intrest rates!!! That means they are paying you to use their money!!!

      You think that huge depolyment was about NK???


      What happens when the 3rd largest economy in the world curency goes hyper inflation.

      Be a couple years though.

  2. I see Bill Nye is up for an Emmy.
    Next? How about a Nobel Prize, and Oscar or maybe we can figure out how to give him an Olympic Gold.
    If you are truly mediocre, and want to be famous, just jump on the Climate Change band wagon.
    Gore, or Obama come to mind?

  3. Just seeing if anyone is paying attention about the nehative intrest rates. I made a mistake on purpose george. :)

  4. Since you mentioned True Believers, your readers should know that’s a Hoffer title, from America’s longshoreman-philosopher.
    Also, man, some of the folks I invite to read your writings have a real hard time with your lack of edits. Typos and grammar errors may be charming to some of us, but it implies poor attention to details and lack of focus. That oughta peg your grump-meter…

    • Guilty as charged.

      When I write books, I tend to read 3-4 times, use my account and so forth.

      But please remember when you read Urban that is it written just like real journos (cuz I are one) on the way to the editors and proofers.

      On a morning when I’m in “the flow” it is often hard to unwind enough for thoughtful editing and still hit the 7:55 to 8:00 AM publishing time. I could publish later, sure. But if I do that, why not sleep in? And if I do THAT, why not just do Peoplenomics (which gets a bit more editing) and….

      My buddy Gaye over at calls it “making the sound hole rounder.”

      If someone is going to knock off points for puntu’s and such, I’d remind them: “IT’S THE CONTENT, STUPID!”

      • Yep, Grumpometer pegged :)
        Did you mean ’round hole rounder’, or is ‘sound hole’ supposed to mean my ear?

        Agreed, though, your books are well edited. Thanks for those.

  5. Jon, I actually admire and respect what you write here.

    Were it not for the reality of Common Core and for the mass marketing of BS curriculum by the teach unions and the textbook mafia, we might actually take the politics out and agree.

    While I respect you tremendously for working to be a winner (and getting there) it’s also true that the helicopter parents are of both parties and it’s more a location dependent variable. GOP and RINOs in George-ah or the neo-libs in the NE.

    But I’m pleased that we seem to agree there has been some “out-breeding of hard work” and its replacement with kids who are winning through socioeconomic intimidation of the coaching staff on the one hand, and the anti-hard work, mindless “every one’s a winner” curriculum subversion on the other.

    I know paraplegics who are total WINNERS and full bodied people who are total JERKS/LOSERS.

    The real battlespace is between the ears and the fiercest opponent we all have is that inner voice demanding better…not some fool out in nominal share space.

      THAT IS. MARVELLOUS . There is hope for the world yet. .

    • oops I almost forgot the world is what’s in between our ears
      is it Synchronicity
      , Mandela effect
      Or just Holographic

    • The world has got lots of help wanted signs even if they are subliminal thank goodness you TWO are VOLUNTEERS

  6. Picking Cryptos at this point is exactly like picking the .com’s in the late 90’s. The technology of the cryptos (blockchain) is legitimate as was the technology of the early .com’s but there will be a lot of shaking out before the ust begins to settle. So, if you have money to risk, go ahead and cast your bet. BUT…it is only a bet at this point. People without money to lose should stay away.

  7. Who knew ?? George now sharing sur name with Elmer. Do any Wabbit hunting on that trip to Okla ? FUD have to add a D for Doom. Fear, Uncertainty Doubt and Doom.. George FUDD and the “economic savior” scam. Don’t bother perusing latest on Wired about Crypto cuurrencys and ICO’s/tokens for start up fund raising. How’s that old buggy whip working for ya on the ole Lexus anyways?

    • Uh, as I mentioned: the Buggy whip people up in Oklahoma own some of the best farms you ever saw. And they don’t have the same pollution levels. Why is obvious: With a hand saw, you can think about you’re plan of attack on a woodworking project, instead of thinking about the kick-back from the saw, is the power cord in the clear, am I wearing rubber shoes, where is the damn laser guide switch on this saw, and so forth. Nope, instead, the buggy whip people build (and live) quality and very sanely. They also don’t pay auto insurance to the (few get this) REPTILIANS.

  8. Hi George,

    Regarding, I like the site but suggest that you use more highly contrasting colors. The light blue with white background is not that obvious on a laptop, especially with eyes as old as ours. Thanks much for enlarging the font to the visible range! You may wish to put a link on the Urban page too, when/if you think it’s ready for prime time. I personally prefer hard colors – pure black, bold blue, etc., rather than the grayish more subdued hues. Either way, it’s your site and it’s much appreciated.

  9. Both George and Jon are describing the essence of Privilege. Privilege can come from wealth or society or both. The Privileged do not want to give up their ‘specialness’. They work in active and subconscious ways to exclude those from the under-privileged groups. Those outside the Privileged group try to get inside, often in crazy ways.

    Example: the wife is a swim coach. Her team has scholarships for those who cannot afford. To make the team better, these SHOULD be awarded to those kids with the best times when they trial. Instead, more weight is given to the “needs” category.

    Last year it was discovered that 3 of these ‘needy’ families had lied about their financial status. One the those kids that trialed and wasn’t awarded a grant actually made a state record time this year through high school swimming (very uncommon in competitive swimming).

    None of this would have occurred if the scholarships had been based on trial times, and the financial end simply used as a qualifier.

    There was never a “level playing field” in all of history. Each of us has certain gifts and warts – and trying to make everything equal is just an exercise in futility. Let people excel where they can, and base things on results. Then those with the drive and talent do well. Those that don’t then seek other means of expression and reward. Hell, that’s part of growing into an adult, part of finding your way in life.

    Jon is oh-so-right about Helicopter Parents – they make my wife want to drink quite often. Weekly there are parents trying to do end runs around age-group coaches to get their kid in the next level up. There are Twitter storms, coach-bashing, even some outright lies about sexual misconduct used by some of the parents.

    I am sure if it is epidemic in swimming, then it is likely worse in other sports.

    I don’t know how to fix these type of parents, because they often damage their children and kill their joy of sport and camaraderie with their stupid antics.

    I have witnessed myself where one kid lied about an encounter and watched a great coach lose her career and reputation due to crazy parents. Now, 10 years later, the kid has openly admitted that her parents put her up to lying – grrrr!

    A little too late to help the coach, and the poor girl is ruined by being forced to lie by her parents. She is a hot mess, as they say, and all because of her crazy parents.

  10. I find it amusing and that the top stories of the day are about Donald Trumps boy seeing someone that is going to divulge some juicy gossip on the opposing candidates.. Quick shut down DC.. stop everything.. get the NSA, The CIA, and the FBI lets drag in special investigative teams and do a thorough search to see if any of this is true.. my god what is the world coming to.. His child can you believe it.. going to listen to some juicy gossip ..
    EXCUSE ME .. they obviously have not been in real world america where this happens daily .. Then no even mention or investigations on the other more intriguing and sinister stories about someone that commits another suicide because they were so distraught that they were going to have to give a testimony against one of their good friends.. or someone that is investigating them on another issue being murdered or mugged and killed stories revolving around a story of money and some of their friends and possibly them of child molestation, abuse trafficking where there was so much circumstantial evidence about some of the highest officials of our own country and others from very affluent families enough that someone from real world america would imprisoned for several lifetimes if they were a regular citizen..
    a story so sinister that once you started to dig into it got even stranger by the post.. all the strangest posts were posted by the very people that the story was about..

    I was curious. just how many people did I know or the friends that I know knew that had committed suicide or was murdered..

    the list was hard to come up with.. but did end up with one.. they had a horrific illness and decided it was for them the most logical thing to do..
    Yet Washington has basically shut down operations because of someone wanting to listen to a juicy tidbit of gossip..

    I actually think that if the tv ( ) show murder she wrote wanted to .. they could drag the stories of murder suicide and intrigue from this one family out for for decades just off of the things that should be investigated but for some reason are ignored ….

    Then there is the part.. When did they make it legal to sell votes.. or is lobbying donating money or gifts buying votes..
    to me it kind of eerily sounds like Prostitution…and who is the one getting screwed.. the people..
    but then this is my opinion.. and like my wife says.. who cares about my opinion.. I am just glad I am not a friend or know any of the obscure happenings with one family that for some reason no one is interested in finding anything about.. it is eerily like trying to go against the puppet masters that really pull the strings of congress wishes.. it isn’t very healthy..

    • It is the Great Woolley Mammoth in the American politics living room, the Clinton Body Count, criminality, etc. Not one MSM investigative reporter doing any research on. Meantime, the shredding job is surely completed on the Clinton foundation records by now. It is obvious that the press has a purpose!

  11. Pastor George, Founder and Leader of the Fuddite Movement. Don’t want lose those critical Abacus counting and Buggy Whip making skills! BTFD..easy peasy lemon squeezy.

  12. ” As long as I’m on a climate discussion, hats off to Miranda Devine in the Daily Telegraph for saying that Al Gore’s climate hype is? (you’ll love this!) A Business Model! ”

    George you are right on the money here.
    We all know the earth goes through changes and climate change is a naturally occurring event.
    of course man does have an effect simply because there are so many of us.. but all in all it is a natural event and cannot be changed by man. if we were to have done anything that would be effective at all.. we would have had to act when it was first thought of.
    as the earth warms it is kind of like a car all closed up the temperature inside goes up.. of course we have safety valves.. volcano’s which emit enough exhaust to cool the earth a continuous cycle..
    getting all worked up about it is just to scare people and for someone to make money.. oh paper or numbers on a paper LOL.. nothing tangible except the word of those passing it.

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