With a real lack of news to drive, we correctly expected the Markets would trip over themselves to the downside.
While we wait for the Fed announcement Wednesday, Gold is having a good pop early. Likely related to Bond Traders Swing to Powell’s Side as Trump Calls for Rate Cuts which documents a close-in rate spike. We think of it as lobbying.
Two Big Picture Views
Our Peoplenomics.com subscribers got a two-day head-start on you considering this from our Saturday report – thank them for us sharing it.
The second chart – and this is the one I’ve been fretting about all weekend – is WHAT IF we see only a minimal reaction to the Fed and we keep on slip-sliding away?
So, if we are in the Replay this closely (that no one else seems to be paying attention to) then we see a possibility that our little “Lunch Money Wager” could turn green today. Not just “iceberg lettuce” – we’re talking grown-up Romaine. Maybe spinach, even. Pass the dressing forth pop-eyed Mr. Keto, please? (Hit today’s theme song)
(Or, in Movies, try this on...)
And – since I’ve gone off the mixed-media high board (kinda early this week, but let’s roll with it)… Know what was up $80 an ounce earlier? (The Big hint)
We’ll leave it to you to figure out what was $94,384. I can’t do all the work around here….
Sinking Cinco?
While this is “Safety Week” on the (big corp) Server Farm build where son G2 is site medic for about 700 tradesmen building tomorrow, he was busy getting ready to dish out a metric ton of chips and salsa for the occasion.
“Hey, dad, can you imagine the whole shop FILLED with chips? Yeah baby….drums of salsa!”
No, actually, I couldn’t. “Sounds more like a global Cilantro shortage to me….”
Now let’s Wrap it Up with the Trump daily marketing tag-in: Trump orders ‘100% tariff’ on movies made outside US.
On the South Side, the ‘tude seems to be “What happens in Mexico...” Which would be fine except for the fent leaks.
On that note, nearly time for breakfast. Today’s side order? (hint), God, it’s a bear getting old.
Making Moves
Or, movies: Trump orders ‘100% tariff’ on movies made outside US.
Speaking of Movies – remember Conclave? Here’s an update: How cardinals are using social media ahead of the papal conclave.
India-Pakistan is on a rolling boil: Pakistan Bars Indian Ships, Test-Fires Missile as Tensions Soar. Monday judgment call: Is there still time to get a Geiger counter from the Zon? File under: Launch codes and deal codes?
And speaking of war plans (bring more chips): If Trump Does Not Wake UP – The EU will Invoke Article 5 and Take us into WWIII.
Oh, and look here: 7 Iranians Arrested in UK Over Terror Plot “Hours Away”. Brits (being a tad slow) may not be able to see the “open borders” dot-connector, so we’ll muzzle that rap…remninding America only signed up to bail the EU out of TWO world wars, not three, thank you very much.
Still don’t think Chemtrails are real? Russell Brand on X: “UK Researchers are using geo-engineering tech called SATAN. It’s an acronym for ‘Stratospheric Aerosol Transport and Nucleation’. Um, do your own WW3…just not on us…eh wot?
How Positioning Really Works
Last week I mentioned Trout and Ries book “Positioning: The Battle for your mind.” The defining book on how people, companies, products, and even whole countries “become what they say they are.”
Super-long-term readers will remember that back in 2002, or so, I wrote a column on how the local burg should rename itself based on such provable marketing concepts. I didn’t see much good coming for a city named “Palestine” and suggested “Tomorrow, Texas” would be a “measurably momentous municipal moniker, massacring monetary malaise and moving mo’ money…” Well, you get the idea. (Psst…wake up!)
Idea never got traction.
However, our Houston Bureau tipped us to watch what was taking part in another rural area and sure as hell: Residents of SpaceX’s Starbase launch site vote to incorporate as a city. Starbase, Texas.
Not as cool (positioning-wise) as Tomorrow, Texas, or the neighboring city Gimme, Texas envisioned at the time.
Still, it’s a start and a damn fine one.
No, it won’t mean anything in the next 10-minutes, or so. But, over time, this is the kind of “Calling Things that are Not” (great – Charles Capps amazing book, BTW, if you haven’t read it) that tends to materialize the best possible Future.
Well done.
Around the Ranch: Star Wars Sunday
I’d like to thank Mike at the ham radio special events station W3S for the nice chat on 20-meter SSB Sunday. Which was?
May the Fourth be With You
…Star Wars Sunday, get it?
QSL card will be in the mail today. He get’s an old one from when I had 2-meters in the 930. Hopefully I’ll get the Star Wars card back…
Mr. Keto: Down 10 pounds in the first week. No telling how coming weeks will go. Downhill’s a given, just not sure what that looks like, yet.
Sunday samplings included two brands of zero sugar beef jerky.
Speaking of Jerky, I didn’t realize the extent of the damage in Seattle where, turns out, Oberto which made a great teriyaki beef jerky became (if I follow it) Cattleman’s Cut. Sad to report that Art Oberto died a couple of years back.
I remember talking to him a bazillion years back when he was involved in Seattle hydroplane racing with the Miss Oberto in the 1970’s. Art, the Jerky mobile, and the Oberto brand – flavors of a life well-lived.
On that note, off to breakfast for shots of MCT oil, not Herradura Suprema Especial, remind me again; it’s always later than we think. Even on Monday’s.
Oh, and ShopTalk Sunday is here, if you missed it.
Write when you get rich,
George@Ure.net / ac7x
true story
had a girlfriend, a French teacher, who overheard two other women in a pool excited about celebrating the Cinco de Mayo holiday, but they didn’t know the date
Fun?
https://yowusa.com/signs-100-nemesis-closing-with-earth/
I might place more stock in the story if one of their graphics didn’t state, “It is has return”. Kinda kills the vibe for me.
The idea elsewhere is planet x has circular orbit and rest solar system is counterclockwise… Typo.. can’t say he stirred up wrath as not true
Trump view: no USA manufacturing, no US debt permitted, no US tech control, all China and Russia.
15 June: no inventory: Trade Stops GLOBAL COLLAPSE
15 July: Large quake Indonesia… WAR
30 Aug: multiple quakes…. Bank runs
Forecast is below for outcomes:
Planet x pulls and pushes asteroids. A simple analysis for numbers might be: 1000000 as-teroids in belt of significant size… Planet x pushes maybe 1/3 based upon orbit slingshot around… maybe gaussian curve is .01 percent become earth orbit interception (guess)…outcome is about 10000 asteroids reach earth. Maybe .01 percent achieve real reentry rather than bounce off. Or 100 asteroids impact… History shows Carolinas as hav-ing many impacts… same upper USA..
Timeline for impact? Unknown…idea is the planet x passes the earth orbit and moves out-bound… asteroids sped up and create a ellipsoid orbit and cross earth in 3-4 years…
Trump view? If no tariffs, then some part planet stuck and economics folds as all ‘just in time’.. with oceans likely oceans fold and shipping stops. If tariffs, then idea is full stop and then start up with new paradyne of world peace and cyber everything to control bank runs.
Right winger psychics view.. Antichrist is here.
Nostradamus view? Isreal gone, Arab wars against Europe.
Planet x located maybe 10 million miles above solar system plane… above asteroid belt… so pullling asteroids upward and then release downward… as planet x moves around earth moves towards it…maybe about Sept…nearest approach…still above solar system but roughly at mars orbit. Keep in mind planet x was around Jupiter some time back.. 5 earth orbits so magnetic infusion to earths core was x squared less by distance…at mars orbit much more infusion, much more volcanoes and quakes and asia tsunami’s. Japan psychic says July 4 for Asia tsunami.
What you got in that “peace” pipe of Ures?
Some of that magic herb, found only on the invisible Planet X ?
Care to share ? You know what they say “a friend with weed is a friend indeed’
Now about that bridge in Brooklyn for sale at a very reasonable number..
planetX is history..ancient history.
They certainly built that big ass telescope in Antarctica for a reason.
The world leaders going down there a few years back still hasn’t been explained, something is definitely going on and I’m afraid we won’t know until its TOO LATE.
Good morning all. Oh George, that boat was when they were referred to as “thunder-boats” due to the piston fighter plane engines (they were insanely loud from a distance / up close required muffs).
https://hydroplanehistory.com/details/1961-33.html
“Bond investors are concerned about the trajectory of the economy in coming months,” said Subadra Rajappa, a fixed-income strategist at Societe Generale. “The market’s thought process is that the Fed will hold as long as they can — and when they cut, they have to cut aggressively.”
I know you are still miffed at the Fed for their earlier cut. It’s more about the Treasury borrowings and _our_ interest payments due than classic rate decisions. Since The Donald has been pushing for relief I expect the Fed ro stand pat.
But, the excerpt copied above should read as an ominous mantra. Hold as long as you can, then cut aggressively? That would be because you waited too long and are again behind the curve. Fed SOP. Always late.
Buckle up kids!
Egor
It ‘is’ a bit like shock-treatment., isn’t it. Never have gotten a handle on why the Federal Reserve maneuvers in that fashion., I just don’t see the strategy.
I understand about being cautious.., but constantly showing up to the party as everyone is leaving makes no sense to me at all.
But, The Fed, does have a bit of a problem now. Stagflation and Recession are both sitting on their doorstep waiting to see who gets to go first.
dLynn : the Fed’s problems aren’t mandate 1 or 2. It’s the unsaid must do #3 … leave a legacy where you finally got it right. Oh well, maybe next time? They are hopeless careening toward feckless. Fed. action / inaction can now accidentally create issues with King Dollar and, more importantly, the TNX. I believe they are really struggling with the Bond Mkt. which is, once again, setting rates, ahead of the Fed.
I am generally against messing with set systems but, they elect a Pope but we appoint a Fed. Head? Uhm, wouldn’t it be better if there was a vote? What happens after much chat over finger sandwiches and reems of data is shared? The Fed. Governors vote. But we appoint the Head Honcho. I dunno …
Lowering rates lowers cost of debt service.
Sounds good, hey?
Egor
ps – looks like SOC (sell on close) orders rule at the end?
and … maybe this time is different?
Can someone, anyone please explain where the idea of the FED being good, beneficial to the populace and markets comes from ?
Seems to this bleary eyed Citizen that much like the press, they seem to be an ENEMY (actions speak louder than words) of the People and an asset/tool of the globalists/rothchilds/ju bankers.
People be talkin out their asses while ignoring the giant fucking EFALUMP(Elephant) in the room.
All reminds of that great Italian, Carlo Cipolla. What you dont know Carlo ? All about STUPID.
“The(Stupid) are all around us. They are i every place, every class, ready to cause damage to others, and naturally to themselves. The stupid form the most dangerous category of Human Beings.
WOE BETIDE those who underestimate them.” Carlo Cipolla
Why its from the banker, of course!
@BCN
“The(Stupid) are all around us. They are i every place, every class, ready to cause damage to others, and naturally to themselves.”
My kids’ IQs are above 160.
I have tried, since they were little, to explain to them that they were likely the most-intelligent people in the room, regardless of its other occupants, and that for their entire lives, in any given crowd, they would be surrounded by comparative dumbasses and ignoramuses. Now approaching 40, they still follow the suggestions and advise of blithering idiots and petty fools far too often, and to their cost. Their behavior is not isolated, amongst their intellectual peer group. This is why I differentiate between “smarts” and “intelligence.”
“Intelligence” is raw capability.
“Smarts” (of which “common sense” is a huge component) is the actual implementation of one’s capability.
I meet a lot of really bright people. I meet very few who’re blessed with the capability of either fighting their way out of a wet paper bag, or avoiding the paper bag in the first place. They all believe what they’re told.
They’ve been told that the Fed is necessary, benevolent, beneficent, and good…
Ah, the Madison Regatta, and good ol’ Miss Budweiser…
G.A. STEWART: A funny thing happened on the way to this post; I stopped caring. I believe I might have used that line previously… But I think that I have reached my limit. This is going to be a long post, because I will be dialing it back to almost zero when I am finsihed here.
https://theageofdesolation.com/nostradamus/2025/05/05/the-ghost-of-josiah/
Good luck Stu. Don’t be a stranger.
N R G ies !
Can you feel it G-Pops ? Its everywhere, in everything, and gaining in intensity/power..Past week was a doozy NRG wise, like off the charts.
Could “it” bee strange energies from space, uncle cliff spoke of many moons ago ?
Electrical phenomena in skies overhead, blinking lights across the globe, weird electrical problems across globe, GPS going in&out wonky, sky phemons, UFO’s ..how much more weird scheisse before some one looks up thru the electro chemical smog and says WTF, over ?
Will USA pop. ever wake up to the criminal elites running roughshod over You, ME, and everyone else not in the billionaire class ?
Perhaps if peeps were made aware of epstains financial crimes – change could be upon us, rather than REORG currently underway.
The “stain” was a masterful tax evader and money launderer – main reason he ADVISED L.Page & S. Brin, E. Musk & MBS. Can you say offshore banking system?
How did all the financial malfeasance end up at JPM ?
Crown fam and L. Wexner brought us J. Dimon to JPM – gee I wonder why ?
Crown family/chitown & pritzger family/chitown brought us barry sotero to the WH.
Need moar anal eaze yet..?
Know why the fibbies (fbi) NEVER raided Zorro ranch or Virgin Isle ?
Virgin isle documents relating to the “satin” would be very interesting reading for ms Bondi, if any of tRUMP bullshit were real. Musk was subpoenaed in that case as well..hmmmm
No WORRIES – the “stains” fin crimes were settled out court, because “You cant handle the Truth.” -JN
Really think Virginia killed herself last week, if in you do, have I got bridge to sell you.
If you realize its all bullscheisse, and tRUMP is the chief BULLSHITTER – then I have 2 case studies from the OG doctors who recently discovered the efficacy of Fenbendazole versus uncurbable Cancer (s) …names, dates, test results, dosges..everything.
*!! Overheard a tRUMPer basically saying we had to destroy the US economy in order to save it. Where have I heard that tripe before ? It gets better as they claimed admin wants to destroy world economy at same time, so as to make it less painful for Americans..Something about refi trillions in debt with zero coupon debt that is safest place to preserve capital kinda spiel.
Yerp, you guessed it – dble champagne flutes of Tears of Lorena, and big fatty boblatty 4 breakfast..
Because “the futures uncertain, and the end is always near” – Mr Mojo Risen
Roadhouse..live-https://youtu.be/kE32pvvaDT8?si=Xvjigr_1Omut24DZ
* SPY 556 Puts bot near close friday. Expires today & avoids pattern day trader designation. How low can you go ?
FWIW
There’s a village in Belize named “More Tomorrow”!
Last night I had a strange dream involving a large dirty bomb explosion which triggered a war with the U.S., this was the intent of the dirty bomb. The dirty bomb was large – shaped like a stamping press, barely fit inside a tractor-trailer, painted dark green reminding me of Eastern Europe.
The unique thing about this dream was a flash of white light. So because of this light I mention the dream here because it may come true or, now not because I mentioned it here. I should have got my lazy ass up and wrote down all the details. Anyway…
“movies made outside US.”
Theoretically A.I. will make more and more movies.
A .gov body will have to define where a movie is made. Is a movie made in the U.S. when the animation servers are on U.S. property with movie creators/directors overseas in Korea or Bollywood? And how would a company prove which server was used to create a movie? .gov will have to have access to serve content.
Stu had thought one of Nosty’s predictions would mean Hollywood is to be nuked or something similar early in a May:
“Sun twentieth of Taurus [May 10th] a mighty earth trembling,
The great theater [Hollywood, California] completely ruined,”
Maybe Hollywood and it’s data gets Trompe’d on instead.
I was relating to the tariffs on movies bit
Production done overseas while final rendering is on a U.S. box – “Made in America”. Sorta like American automotive manufacturing.
This can be a pretty good read., if you are ready for some needed change:
– The Art of Going Slow
https://www.amazon.com/dp/B0DL4JL7Z3/ref=sspa_dk_detail_3?
[ Kindle Addition ]
For George, for sure.
After all the name calling.., multiple lawsuits., and continuing threats of even more lawsuits.., OpenAi has announced that they will stay ‘nonprofit’.., as Musk had intended when he started it.
– What a waste of time and money. But, neither of which was mine.
Thinking of the Market today, remember our discussion of the shooting analogy that on a steep hillside, shooting downhill or uphill can cause us to miss up?
That is what this market has been doing to me for the last several months. today invluded.
George,
You could be right …
A 3 Feb 2025 14/32/31-33 day :: x/2-2.5x/2.5x’: 3-phase fractal decay series is possible.
1st Fractal: 14 days: 3/6/7 days
2nd Fractal: 32 days. 3/6/6 days followed by 3/7/8/5 days with characteristic 2nd fractal lower low gapped nonlinearity between days
29 and 30 and days 30 and 31
3rd Fractal: 2/4/4/3 10 days followed by 3/6/3 to lower high peak on day 19 which is 1.5x of the ideal 1st fractal length x’ 13 day (2nd fractal length 32 days 2.5x’). A 3/6-7/6-7 day 3-phase crash decay series from the 19 day lower high peak valuation would result in a 3 February 2025 13/32/31-33 day decay series.
If you hadn’t mentioned this as a possibility, I wouldn’t have seen it. Good on you. As always… Time will tell.
“Is there still time to get a Geiger counter from the Zon?”
Probably not, since they’re all Chinesium. There’s a plenty of American made geiger counters and survey meters at KI4U though…
______
“And speaking of war plans (bring more chips): If Trump Does Not Wake UP – The EU will Invoke Article 5 and Take us into WWIII.”
Marty is barking out his wrongside — Exactly which NATO member has been attacked by Russia? If somebody like Germany needs an economic bailout and does the Art5 thing, Viktor Orban, who’s the only completely sane and rational national leader of any NATO (or EU) nation, will vote it down.
______
I didn’t see much good coming for a city named “Palestine” and suggested “Tomorrow, Texas” would be a “measurably momentous municipal moniker, massacring monetary malaise and moving mo’ money…”
Idea never got traction.”
You should have suggested “Income” instead of “Tomorrow…”
The word of the day is “nacho,”
as in:
Kamala is nacho President…
indeed, but what do you call a nosey pepper ?
jalapeno Ure business..
How much silver is in an AI?
Might get more costly?
Nature’s ratio to gold is now closer to 10:1 since the silver that was easy to get is pretty much got.
Too bad it’s so bulky to haul around.
Air 85f. Water 85f. Big surf. Light winds.
Stiks
Teahupo’o ?
Teahupo translates to
Off with your Head!!!
I looked and couldn’t find the post. But, someone asked: “How do you take your supplements.”
My morning load [ about 75% of all ] I take with about 4 to 5 oz of V8. My late afternoon [25%] I take with a five ounce glass of “Morning Kick” [ Chuck Norris ].., as it has a lot of good stuff I can’t find in any other ‘one’ doze product.
I take urolithin-A, Niagen, MLG-50, Puravive, Vinia, serrapeptase, glutathione, and my vitamin B-stack, first thing in the morning, with just water. The absorption is better and more-complete. I take Morning Kick with MCT Wellness and Total Body Collagen as a late morning snack (I guess) and have breakfast (it’s usually brunch – if it’s late enough, it becomes brunchper and I eat just the one meal) in early afternoon. I take my “morning stack” with this meal…
It is flattering, being my age and having girls in their 20s and 30s hit on me because they believe I’m in my 40s. Two years ago I was a wrinkled-up prune. Now I’m wrinkle-free. I don’t feel like I’m in my 40s, but I DO feel like I’m back in my early 50s, and with existing in this used-up meatsack, that’s plenty good enough.
I STRONGLY suggest that people read, then optimize whatever vitamins or supplements they’re taking, to suit their body and lifestyle. At the very least, consider a copy of the “Nutrition Search” “Nutrition Almanac”
https://www.amazon.com/dp/0071436588
and note both the anecdotal and lab results of various supplements. I first read it, cover to cover, in 1983, so it’s been around for a while.
This is not physical, mental, emotional, spiritual, or medical advise. I will point folks toward a book. I won’t tell them how to read it or interpret what they read, or suggest what they do with their new-found knowledge. Your mileage may vary. No APOs. Prices higher in AK, HI, PR, and territories, etc., etc., ad infiniteum, ad nauseum…