Hints in a Nowcast

We make more money being short the market. But in the short term some NY Fed data out Friday bears a closer look. Which we will do as well as we size up the rest of the economy.

I think the bottom line might surprise you. It did us.

Then we’ll review the real-life inflation data which the Universe served up this week in our Focus section. It was a chance to see where real inflation takes place.

A short two-cupper it is…

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44 thoughts on “Hints in a Nowcast”

  1. * DISCLOSURE *

    IT is ALL that matters -2024

    Everything else in Life, News, World is FAKEY fake fake .

    EVERYTHING, EVERY RELIGION, Every dog/god in Human history FAKE.

    Brit museum – flat tablet BM 100046 retranslated in 2019/2020 – transmission of themes and symbols shared with Sumer and ancient Egypt, in connection with figure of the Initiator and the teaching god assassinated by enemy of humanity. In addition recounting the assassination of the “Son of Life”, this tablet also reports the “secret of a plant”, it mentions the presence of a “tree of life” , it reproduces five times the cuneiform Eden and also evokes an apple tree. Probably part of sacred texts associated with the Mesopotamian and annual festival of Akita. Each year that deportation of the Jews lasted, therefore 58 years, the latter were able to observe and record this annual ritual where the Mysteries of the Passion and Resurrection of the Son of God were played out for twelve days…

    Disclosure – world war tree enough of a distraction for you all?

    41K in useless numbers…so useless in fact that the BCN is installing a couple antminers” here in casa BCN to run on Solar Excess capacity while we be back in the kill zone (USA). Solar and miners brought to me by BTC.

    What’s in Ure reality ?

  2. G: Reality is fuzzy while markets are messy.

    I have spent a lifetime debunking when some say “it’s different this time” but … many things _are_ different. I dunno about you folks but this was my first Pandemic. IMO we are still surfing after-shocks from the modern Plague AND our many attempts to engineer a landing of any sort, soft, hard, whatever … wheels down. Did we?

    A million here a million there and pretty soon we’re talking serious money. Skip billions / go to trillions. Now _that’s_ different. We have _never_ applied trillions to grease the landing gear. Despite QT machinations etc., there’s still a bazillion dollars floating around.

    Society is wobbling in Yin / Yang alteration, opposition here in the USA and more so, if possible, globally. Multiple poles are pulling at political powers and populations large scale. Certainly our landing might serve unexpected results.

    Please stow tray tables and keep your seats in the full upright position until the ride comes to a complete stop. Don’t assume this model or that indicator or some cockpit warning light will make sense of the wobble. It won’t. It can’t. Though history rhymes we are off the map …

    ATL: projects galore fill my to-do lists and … Mrs. E has been adding gobs more (which might be better done later but marital bliss is on the line). Plaster repair, priming and painting is on the docket.

    Heavy fog shrouds the Middle West (heartland) daily as relatively warm air melts off snowpack. There are now patches of green between front door and the still frozen lake. Drive and walkways sport knee high shovel piles that were recently thigh high.

    Help me, Obi-Wan Kenobi; You’re My Only Hope.
    Have a fine weekend,
    E

  3. – December’s holiday spending strength was a “last hurrah,” and not a signal of more to come.
    Pandemic-era savings that boosted Americans’ will to spend are now depleted – this is very evident in the mounting consumer debt., which has set a record since late December.
    GDP growth did exceed expectations, but that was due to the surprising level of spending by the consumer.., which I believe was the “last-hurrah”.
    There’s a very real risk that growth slows to the one, to maybe one and a half percent level, on the up-side with the downside that we may slip into a negative quarter.
    It’s a consequence of turmoil in the Red Sea shipping lane, where attacks on cargo vessels by Yemen’s Houthi rebels have resulted in a major reroute around Africa. As this adds to travel time, insurance and shipping rates have gone up, with analysts warning that this could trigger a second bout of global inflation. One major attack in the canal itself, would seal-the-deal. [Panama? Extremely vulnerable.]
    November surprised a lot of analysts with a drop in inflation and a slow growth rate – producing a lot of happy-talk that The Fed would start cutting rates in March – but inflation came right back up in December. The prospect of higher inflation has not gone away., we are in a sweet spot right now regarding inflation but The Fed is stuck.
    . I believe that the recent high level of consumer spending is over. The Covid money is all spent., consumer credit is rising steadily, the unemployment/jobs numbers from the government have been shown to be a ledger full of made-up numbers and a deflationary economy is looming on the horizon.
    March, April and May are looking to be a major turning point – in many areas of the economy, finance, politics and the real possibility of several major wars igniting.
    * * *
    – My research math partner [ couple of Masters Degrees and a PhD in Chaos Theory] sent me an email a couple of days ago. One sentence:
    ” We have roughly 100 days.”
    Rather ambiguous, so I wrote back., received an answer this morning:
    “Until something serious breaks. Ready?”
    .
    Stewart’s – April 19/20 would be at the end of those 100, or so., days.

    • See da Comet ?

      Harbinger during Total Eclipse of Sun ..path of totality runs right up the Mississippi River Valley .. NewMadrid fault awaits the new vibrations/frequencies.

      Never before in recorded history – this historic astronomic event will be remembered for hundreds of years !

      Don’t bother “buckling up” for this spectacle in the heavens..I for one don’t want to be strapped down to anything when the North American plate goes walk about..nor do I want to be anywhere near any aircraft.

      Who knows what is driving or riding that thing into our Earth orbit..reminds me of the movie with Bruce Willis, Amphibian Progenitors, and Lila: The 5th Element.
      In which case can anyone guess who is playing Zorg in our real life version of movie?

  4. Does history repeat? Does egotistical arrogance hold sway, time and time again? It looks to me like the U.K. is doing exactly what they did in the late 1930’s., which was an incredible disaster, and are now excepting U.S. nuclear weapons as a ‘show of force’ against a possible Russian attack.
    – Sooner, or later someone is going to want to play with all the toys they have been collecting and the biggest egotistical bully in the school yard is going to show the world that ‘his’ toys are better than ‘their’ toys.
    I have yet to figure out why the British are so damn bent on having a war with Russia. They simply would not survive it. Surely, they know this., right? Warning their population that the conscription of nearly everyone who can breathe properly for military duty is a real possibility., is a total joke. The British military actually thinks Russia will invade ? Seriously!?
    – One Russian sub would send the entire island nation back to the Stone Age and it will be generations before they see Fish-n-Chips sold on the street corner again.
    – I am at a loss as to what they are doing and why.

    • Our thinking runs in many directions, seeking confirming data.
      A) the Brits are crazy (or)
      B. the Bank of England knows people won’t put up with phony money and govt much longer (or)
      C. something really went down in Rendelsham Forest and they’re in on it (or)
      D. the neocon’s controllers have compromising evidence and are leveraging (or)
      E. execute the basic command RETURN

      It’s going to loop until the piece fit. Our charts, GA Stewart’s puzzle pieces – shitshow no one will want to own./

    • I can’t see how any of what is happening ends well.. at all..
      Stu’s work gets massive cudo’s from me.. he is hitting his interpretations out of the ball park..

  5. My dreams of the last two nights have all included confrontations with obviously darker people. Arab, MesoAmerican, curly hair, brown eyes. Night one, was attempted car jack (don’t own a car), big muzzle, short barrel in the window. Driver stomped it and tore the arm off. Last night was two in a row. The first one had me involved in some sport that involved running, like soccer. I threw the ball in and it didn’t make it to the right person, then I was attacked by two people, a man and a woman (can I say that?), bot dark and ugly with terrible teeth. I kicked out so violently that i smashed my toe into the hull, some serious pain, hopefully nothing broken, just a pain. Iced and compressed then went bacvk to sleep. Right back into it, i was in a small ‘dorm room with two small beds and the other swarthy dude was busy taping from floor to ceiling with clear packing tape, like building a cocoon. Then he fell asleep on my leg and I pushed him away and he began slashing the cocoon until he ran away into a crowd of others like him screaming.
    I better stop reading the news?
    Stiks
    Sorry for the off topic. You can post it or not.

  6. in the last 3 days i have seen statues of Black Horses. which represent famin in sense

    and in another,

    “freedom, power, and grace. The black stallion is considered a powerful and majestic creature, and it is believed to embody the spirit of the wind, the earth, and the sky.”

    this morning at my spot there is 13 white snow geese and one black one. (they look like swans to me)

    all the white geese were laying sleeping and the black one stood in the middle. the the white geese woke up and stood up and the black one flew far away.

    i found myself in Logan Utah yesterday getting 3 different sets of new eyes. while waiting for them to be finished, i went to a place called “The Fun Zone”.

    which is a massive store filled with eclectic old electronics, old book, cd’s, vhs recorders still brand new in the box vha players, reel to reel tape players, old school gizmos of everything, old school slot car tracks still in the box brand new, stand up arcade games, and old school games prior to arcade style video games.

    super cool store. it was a mess there was so much stuff everywhere. i even saw a brand new commidor 64 in the box that had never been opened.

    piles and piles of old books. like stepping into an ancient library.

    i love old books, so i walked around to see what i see.

    an old book fell off the shelf and landed infront of me Titled The Day of Rekoning or (something like that. i should have bought it. it was a very old book) it got my attention because i was just talking about The Day of Rekoning.

    i picked it up and on the back it talked about destruction of the Japanese Economy and the systematic destruction of the Demicrstic Party within in the first 30 years the 21st century.

    on the back cover it read, “we emphatically predict the destruction of demicratic party early (within the first 30 years) in 21st century. It is our estimate the demicratic party will make a great mistake in a power grab, the result will be the Deincratic Party in the US will not hold office for 25 years.

    trippy, i cant remember who wrote it. it had 2 authors. it was really old.

    i put it back walked around a little more and another book fell of a stack of books and opened infront of me.

    first line,

    “At Once, We comenced to outgrow fear.”

    when i picked it up and set it back on the stack there was an indi book it sat on top of, titled The Demistration, and a word written in Hindi.

    the Hindia word for Deminstration that was written on it, i looked it up and it is defined as,

    evidence, witness, demonstration, confirmation, substantiation, indorsement.

    it was almost like the Hindi Book tossed the other book out to me and opened it up to that page, where the first line read, “At Once, we commenced to outgrow fear.”

    pretty amazing store. i only took one picture in it. the whole place was a a prime example of chaos theory.

    lol

    anyway, its good to listen to when THE DUDE is speaking. and yesterday and this morning. HE is saying much.

    • I love to go into thrift stores and flip the pages.. I love books.. the wife freaks out every time buy a new one.. BUT… when I worked at the landfill.. driving a garbage scow my boss hated that I read.. one day someone throwing all their parents belongings after the died away tossed truck loads of books away.. the boss went out and grabbed a big book..( sitting on my shelf) called home fires burning..
      https://www.abebooks.com/servlet/BookDetailsPL?bi=3054629556
      tossed it on the table next to me and said.. why don’t you read that one..
      he left for lunch.. I cracked it open.. and dam almost every other page was a fifty dollar bill.. back during the depression people hid money in books.. I raced back to the landfill to see if they buried the books yet.. they had.. what was there was gone..
      People kept money in places that they thought would be secure if there was ever a depression again.. the wealthy lost all their money the rich became poor… So whenever I go into a thrift store I thumb through the books.. LOL the older books to see if there was someone that lived through the depression that had shoved money in them.. found quite a bit through the years.. those that suffered with food are exactly like me.. they experienced extreme hunger.. during the dirty thirties.. so they kept a full pantry.. If it is in your little black book of life experiences.. you will compensate for that.. one neice would shove food in her sock drawer because her mom thought drugs was a better option than feeding her kids.. we had to tell her that .. she didn’t have to do that in our home..

  7. “Fakes”
    Many years ago my main mentor in the TeeVee business said words to the effect: “All TeeVee is fakery. TeeVee is very expensive and time-consuming to make, involving lots of people and facilities. 30 fames of this spill out every single second, and SOMEbody with a product or a point to sell you has paid — dearly — for every one of them. And they want their money’s worth.”

    Once , “Journalism” held among its highest principles to get it right, and tell it straight. TeeVee News was a seperate public-service oriented department from entertainment, and enjoyed some insulation from the greed. But, in the name of effificiency and improved profits, TeeVee journalism fell under the entertainment (profit) managers. And guys like Dan (simulated documents) Rather came to be the face and authority. And we all let them do that. In time, it got worse.

    The more honest (?) of those said some lies actually improve the public’s (dolts) Understanding, and were conditionally and carefully ok. But the less honest joyfully ground the sponsor’s axe with no limits beyond what they could get away with.

    The best way to draw a bead on the truth today is to listen to the full range of displayed swill, pick out what seems to make sense to you, and be senstive to propagnada words and emotional manipulation. This means dipping into the Extreme as well as the Respectable to form one”s own take.

    Goggle the term “vactor,” and recall Carries Fsher’s last on silver screen performance, and realize that soon, TeeVee News will be delivered by vactor anchors, the very best re-writers, and music and effects will be added to “improve” your understanding,.

    And it will all be Just Fine.

    • I built and maintained TV stations for 45 years. Your words ring true. I cannot watch TV news now in retirement. I tend to throw things and break screens.

      • You too Hank? My wife makes me remove my shoes now before I enter the TV room. Had to get a bag of those little nerf balls to satisfy my frustrations. Accidentally turned on “The View” last week when the converter fell on the floor and threw all the balls in under a minute.

        P.S. William. Great analaysis.

      • I cancelled the satellite TV service over 5 years ago when I wife died. I would have cancelled earlier, but there was always one or two shows that she wanted.

        • I want to cancel the cell phone service.. LOL LOL why pay that much a month to get robo calls from sales people..

      • I get so irritated on the news.. LOL LOL LOL I was watching it a while back and the wife says to me.. honey what are you watching.. I said oh nothing hun just some forbidden porn.. and she said.. don’t you lie to me.. your watching the dam news again.. I said yes but is there a difference between the daily I love biden show and forbidden porn.. LOL LOL LOL I am forbidden to talk politics or religions to.. LOL LOL kind of like the little boy first discoveries of sex and having the playboy hidden under the mattress.. I have to hide the NEWS or be chastised..I don’t throw things though.. cost to much for me to replace the television..

      • There is a problem with the fake news coverage.. sure the vast majority only hear the I love Biden Hunter is a god.. and Trump is evil news on the drive at five.. you can see news coverage of boastings of how great though art and the economy is soaring..
        https://youtu.be/HNBNElFpTSE?si=4w32zFg3_7FK60DM

        https://youtu.be/TZW6IYTS7dw?si=m-83y2gnMhn9zG4U

        https://youtu.be/37ISfPIWHl8?si=hzVtOw_3fDsb3d5Z

        They can dump as much of the strategic reserves as they want into the gas pumps what they can’t change is the prices at the checkouts.. three years ago.. you could get twelve packs of soda pop all day long for nine dollars.. and on sale five dollars.. now its twelve dollars a twelve pack.. a four dollar something two cheesburger meal is now three times that amount and more..
        paint the picture of prosperity and it is there but not for the average wage earner.. increased wage per hour but cut hours.. health insurance that use to be a given for all laborers.. now gone and a really expensive alternative is being pushed.. the teller at the bank after transportation , child care and health insurance.. makes two dollars a week income.. she is only working at the bank for the health insurance.. my wife made ten dollars a week.. the rest was for health insurance.. those in affluence don’t see it is isn’t a part of the black book of life experiences.. an executive that can take a day off sick.. or go on a vacation isn’t like the one on the floor that is working two jobs just to buy eggs and mild and bread.. very few even know that exists.. similar to my daughters best friends dad that was laid off.. said he was insulted because of only being offered a half million a year in wages at a hospital .. he had no idea what the floor workers made.. the ceo of the hospital.. said at a luncheon to all of us attending that if he could he would get robots to do the work of the staff so he could make more money.. or drive a bus down to the border.. he could hire three of them for what he paid one american..
        a nurse refugee from serbia .. just a few weeks ago.. said she wanted to go back home.. Now she had the golden goose job.. great benefits with the federal government.. guaranteed more time off than anyone else.. and great healthcare etc.. she said she had no idea it was so expensive here in the USA and wants to go back home..and she has it ten times better than anyone else in any of the hospitals around here..

  8. the lyrics to that song is so prophetic and speak volumes about me, my life and the current state of things.

    it was the first song on the radio every day last month when i got in my car to go to work.

    now i know why.

    jahaha

    *tips hat.

  9. Turkey OK’s another country’s bid to join NATO., and now we know why – Biden just sold them a few billion dollars worth of F16 fighter jets – but to keep things fair and in a proper hot-mess, he also sold a few billion in F35 fighters to Greece. Congress is expected to approve each sale.
    – Turkey finally got what it wanted, with the proper bribe from Biden., but I do wonder – did they know about or suspect the sale of F35’s to their close friend and alley – Greece. And just how pissed-off is dictator-for-life Erdogan over ‘that’ announcement ??

  10. George
    A Lot to think about in todays Peoplenomics.
    If you please:
    1) Could you please shoot in some nice dotted yellow trend lines to the upside on the Eliot/Trend chart? As the downside, so up? Thank you.
    2)On the Eliot/Trend, the S7P Trader, and the Aggregate Projector you have trading boxes, and the latter has new boxes within boxes. Remind me again how you define the volume or size of the boxes? Thanks
    3) and with all the new upside, how is the BrainAmp looking? What prediction is it giving for the near/long term?
    I Swear when I get back to Birmingham I’ll start tracking this myself as I should have.
    The good news (other than another Birthday successfully today for Art and myself) is that should be by the first of March. I’ll be coming home to work remote approval stamping drawings and reports for site closure for the next two and maybe four years, part time. So More me time and less office time. Hope to put much more time into working for number one, and when she lets me, for myself a little too.

  11. A lot of options for CW2. According to the maps (links below) I’m in a gray state so you guys might bomb me like a Pallie. One of you may actively push the button that rolls my credits.

    Or you guys do a Sherman’s rhyme “March to the Lakes” and I swim for it across the Detroit River and hike my way back in through the Dakotas setting up a new life out on the plains.

    “force majeure”

    Economic sanctions will be the first tool deployed in the new CW2. It’ll be interesting to see what the Citizens of the New South do if their transfer payments are turned off.

    Of course anything can be overcome but what we’re looking at is an entire system reset away from Federalism. On a personal level we’ll have to choose living in Chaos (anarchy beyond the city lights) or Control (15 minute cities).

    Texas Border Crisis map

    https://www.timesnownews.com/world/texas-razor-wire-border-crisis-list-of-states-backing-greg-abbott-against-joe-biden-article-107155585

    CW1 map

    https://images.nationalgeographic.org/image/upload/t_edhub_resource_key_image/v1638885051/EducationHub/photos/boundary-between-the-union-and-the-confederacy.jpg

    • Here is a thought.. why are the illegal refugees forced to try and swim the Rio Grande.. then cross razor wire in Texas..
      there are many boder crossings in new mexico and Arizona that welcome the presidents open borders to illegals
      So open the doors and let them in.. hell Delaware has a really low population.. the people living in multiple million dollar estates in beverly hills with what twenty bedrooms.. and several acres.. for two people .. you have New Mexico and Arizona and a whole bunch of them in california.. why do they even want them to jeopardize their lives by swimming the Rio.. doesn’t make sense.. you have Marthas vineyard the hamptons the mansions north of richmond some schmuck has twenty bedrooms for two people all crying about the poor illegals not getting in.. twenty bedrooms some of these people have a whole family living in a small hut.. they could probably put as many as a thousand people in their homes motel sized homes..
      .. WASHINGTON DC.. isn’t even a part of the USA it is neutral territory.. heck they would welcome them.. send them to DC..
      what in the hell happend to get his support LOL
      https://youtu.be/JoxVboUVR2w?si=m1AYcaad0Ltd1htx

  12. I understand now. it’s amazing when you are mostly silent and listening how fast the answers come to you. not just the regular 15 minute pause before you enter a grocery store. but maintaining a pause most of the day.

    it’s not just about mastering time. I have already mastered time. and most all of the elements. it’s about mastering space.

    One Love and One witness coupled together.

    when it started for me it was on 02/11/2020.

    2020× is vision. “time.”

    completion of 4, on.
    02/11/24. “space”

    theme present, personnaly for me, is,

    recess: noun, as in break, interval in action

    Strongest matches

    closure
    hiatus
    holiday
    layoff
    lull
    pause
    respite
    suspension
    time-out
    vacation

    Strong matches

    breather
    cessation
    cutoff
    downtime
    halt
    interlude
    intermission
    interregnum
    letup
    rest
    stop
    ten

    ie space.

    mastering space and time.

    I understand I live in a different plane of experience than most people. where books fall of stacks and open to pages. and I find all kinds of things and see occurrences of themes present.

    mastering space and time.

    yes. it’s not just about mastering the elements and time. it’s also about mastering space.

    another thing that happened on that place I found the books.

    you remember when that gold star flew in my window and landed on my dash in the middle of nowhere? I took a picture of it.

    while at the store where I found that book etc. etc. see my other comment.

    I found a Cd. with a gold sticker on it.

    it is custom for The Man, on the pass gate and running back stage security to be handed a song list before the show. to manage events, timing and tempo of safety and security durring stage presentation change outs and themes. also oncore and exit state left etc etc.

    I have been handed many song lists, and they are only handed to those who are top security and forbidden to be handed out by the client until after the show. which after every show I gave my copy to a guest. but not until after the show.

    I turned the CD over and there was a song list.

    the gold star. and the gold star on the cd, I think I was handed the play list of the future.

    which I’m honored. I will keep it to myself. both gold stars matched. they were the same exact star.

    I didn’t take a picture of it. because taking a picture of the song list before or durring the show is strongly against security policy.

    hmmmm.

    okay. see ya when I see ya.

    • My good friend, who is a certifier of continuing medical education and knows his shit about western med, was diagnosed with prostrate cancer. His old buddy doctor told him to pack for the final voyage. He flew back to the island and went to the bookstore looking for some entertainment reading. Walked in and BAMMM, right in his face was Radical Remission by Kelly Turner PhD.
      He went home and read it cover to cover, and in the moment, changed his whole program. Went keto, gave up all the stuff we know is causation, but ignore (smoking, alcohol, and especially sugar!). He is a surfer and fairly healthy otherwise.
      18 months… no cancer. All from SEEING that book seemingly placed right in front of his eyes. He says if he had ignored the message, he would be gone by now.
      I love Andy’s way. A life fully lived, with eyes open. The signals are everywhere.
      The 100 days are dripping away, one by one. Time to go to sea.
      Stiks

      • thanks man. that is super cool. love hearing that. love hearing anyone beating cancer!

        cancle cancer. call it canceler.

        you know what the first song on that cd was?

        Lynch the Land Lord Man, by the Dead Kennedys.

        all the songs were from punk rock groups i listened to when i was a kid. like Jody Fosters army, The Misfits, Black Flag, Dirty Rotten Imbacils (D.R.I), Sucidal Tendancies and bands like that.

        all music i listend too when i was 15 years old and had a 6 inch blue mohawk and road a skateboard.

        haha.

        i listen to mostly country music now. it brought back some memories tho.

        if was the play list of the future?? (future) echo (future) echo

        first up as the song goes,

        The Landlord’s here to visit
        They’re blasting disco down below
        Says, “I’m doubling up the rent
        ‘Cause the building’s condemned
        You’re gonna help me buy City Hall”

        But we can
        You know we can
        But we can, you know we can
        Let’s lynch the landlord man

    • “it’s not just about mastering time. I have already mastered time. and most all of the elements. it’s about mastering space.”

      So tell us about time, Andy, the time you have mastered.

      There are people who do know about non-linear time, but as with all things of a non-physical & spiritual nature (which ‘time’, in essence, is) you won’t hear from them on a public forum such as this, as:

      He who speaks does not know
      He who knows does not speak.

      So Andy, a short dissertation on the reality of time will enlighten us all. Then you can cover your mastery of the elements & space.
      Speak to us, Oh Master. We humbly await your words of Wisdom.
      Oh! And please switch on your spell checker.

  13. I spoke to a hopi elder about it. and he said, “maybe the point is for you to write your own song list. then the world will dance along with you as the music of your life plays.”

    I like that. very very much.

    and that is why I call the Hopi, The Jedi.

  14. “Long ago, Clif High’s predictive linguistics prompted him to joke with me on several occasions about “When the fedgov starts carpet bombing Texas….” That was, gosh, 15-years back? But today it is not at all far-fetched to consider the Fedgov options as Texas ups its game along the open border.”

    Mr. Abbott produced a barrel and Mr. Biden promptly prostrated himself over it.

    To review:

    Biden opened the floodgates. Abbott has now gotten tired of the crap and is closing them. The Administration told him to stop, then sued Texas when he didn’t. The 5th Circuit issued a “stay” against the Administration, the USSC removed the stay — they did NOT rule on the constitutionality of anything, nor did they rule on whether a State could provide its own international defense, should the Federal authorities abrogate their legal duty to defend it. What the USSC ruling does is make it so DHS or the Border Patrol can cut Texas’ concertina wire, while at the same time, not prohibiting Texas from laying more concertina wire when DHS cuts it.

    Opine:

    I predict the Administration will cut no wire,
    will fire no shot toward the Rangers or TNG,
    and will quietly make all news coverage of Texas’ wiring the border go away.

    The longer it is in the cycle, the more people are going to hear and begin to question. Were there to be an armed confrontation the press would go scaretype in every newspaper in the world and top the news cycle for months. Biden is enough of a damfool tinhorn that he’d get his Depends in a wad and start a firefight. Fortunately for him, he’s not in charge. Soros fils and the Clinton/Obama crew will not allow this to happen because Biden’s #1 enemy in the upcoming election is public opinion, and one bullet would put him in single digits until history books stopped being authored…

  15. “Meanwhile, in Israel this weekend, people are coming to terms with “outlaw behavior” on the part of the UN in the Hamas attack in October./ UNRWA to probe claims saying employees took part in Hamas’ October 7 attack.

    REALLY? “People” let the damn’ blue helmets rape African peasant children for… Hell, it’s been 30 years and it might STILL be going on.

    Color me: “Not surprised.”
    _______

    “Ukraine has a new drone solution that might work Ukraine’s Futuristic ‘Ironclad’ Combat Drone Vehicle Enters Russia War”

    Because the last Ukrainian hasn’t died yet…
    _______

    “We think Russia may make stage attack on Starlink infrastructure: Russia Really Wants to Stop Ukraine Using Elon Musk’s Starlink Satellites.”

    Um, no. First of all, the article is from Business Insider, which is a neocommunist rag, known for propaganda and not known for accuracy. Second of all, the network is too widely-distributed to take out on the whole, and knocking out the hubs would be Acts of War. What Russia CAN do is shoot the satellites that’re over Ukraine, and if their ground or low-altitude signal jamming ceases to provide an advantage, I suspect they have a contingency plan to do just that.

    • (“REALLY? “People” let the damn’ blue helmets rape African peasant children for… Hell, it’s been 30 years and it might STILL be going on.”)

      Sadly it was things like that that got US soldiers labeled as baby rappers and baby killers.. the Melee massacre…
      Way back when I first joined the military.. we had introductory classes to teach us about how to act in other countries.. and one of the guys came out and said Taiwan and the Philippines were the best place.. you could get laid by any age from a toddler on up for a candy bar.
      NOW.. it doesn’t help that the cultures of a lot of these countries.. allow these actions and even promote these horrendous acts..
      Take the Bacha b?z? boy play that is a practice in which men (sometimes called bacha baz) buy and keep adolescent boys for entertainment and sex. It is a custom in Afghanistan and in historical Turkestan and often involves sexual slavery and child prostitution by older men of young adolescent males as part of their historical culture. Women are not to be seen in public in some of the sect and child marriages as young as six.. the historical practice of Thighing or better known as Muvfaakhathah..
      https://www.ohchr.org/sites/default/files/Documents/Issues/Women/WRGS/ForcedMarriage/NGO/Musawah.pdf
      One of my best people and still a hero in my mind.. was a man that had saved a lot of men..gained the medal.. and my friend.. On one of his tours he wanted to hire a maid.. well education was not allowed to young women and women and children are mostly seen as items you would buy and own..
      https://asia.nikkei.com/Politics/Shocking-Indian-live-auction-puts-Muslim-women-up-for-sale2
      anyway he was busy and a little lazy and wanted to hire a maid.. only to find out a woman was not allowed to have a job if he really wanted a house keeper maid.. he had to BUY one.. which he did.. they became friends and got married.. and had a family.. and he insisted she get an education where she became one of the top two hundred female physicians in her field in the whos who book of the two hundred top female doctors in the world.. ( I am not sure.. but still believe she gives lectures at colleges around the world…. she has to be ninety or older.. but this year on her christmas card.. she doesn’t have doctor listed before her name. Now she doesn’t know or will she know that I know the back story and she has never opened up about it and I won’t question..)
      Years ago.. the nursing facility hired a man from Pakistan or Afghanistan.. he was nasty.. his only purpose to come to the USA was to make enough money so he could buy twelve wives and a herd of goats.. a woman went at that time for seven dollars a virgin for fifty and up.. Its their culture that we don’t know and is shocking..
      a study done by stanford showed how peoples behaviors changed even though they knew it was a study.. and the same thing happens to people in the military that serve in other cultures..
      https://www.verywellmind.com/the-stanford-prison-experiment-2794995
      So my guess is we send over the blue helmets and within a period of exposure to the cultures of other lands.. they take on those traits themselves..
      Look at the religious cultures and practices.. Man knows what they are doing is wrong.. but they do it anyway..at first they follow the horrible acts then pretty soon they believe what they are doing is sanctioned by heavenly father..the devil doesn’t go out and push his evil boldly he lulls you into compliance to the evil.. what we call our conscience is when heavenly father is telling us.. hey this is just wrong..
      https://lightnside.com/2018/02/13/romans-212-16-god-wrote-the-laws-in-our-hearts/
      the theory of the NUT doesn’t fall far from the tree.. comes into thought..
      https://www.newyorker.com/magazine/2022/08/22/the-untold-history-of-the-biden-family
      Hunter himself said in his book how they were corrupted.. and the daughters diary brought up the deep perversions and the mental tortures of the drug addictions.
      Anyway that is what I think from what I have read.. and heard..

  16. “Trump hit with $83M verdict for repeatedly defaming E. Jean Carroll”

    So, does anybody really believe billionaires do their own shopping? C’mon. Even mere multimillionaires have a personal shopper, and if it’s clothing, it would be purchased from a concierge tailor. People with lots of money, especially someone developing land, building buildings, doing both a Jerry Jones and a Lamar Hunt imitation, plus trying to save a segment of pro wrestling, pulling acting gigs, and so on, isn’t ever going to see the inside of a Macy’s, Bloomingdale’s, or even an FAO Schwartz.

    When it is thrown out, which it likely will [be], because Trump is bullheaded enough to pursue it until it is, were I he, I’d sue her for defamation…

  17. “My thinking was I’d use a laptop to project woodworking plans directly onto a blank piece of wood, then trace the saw cut lines. The small, portable unit was only $50. How could I go wrong?”

    You’re assuming you get a drawing which is a perfectly-accurate and drawn-to-scale mechanical drawing.

    I never make that assumption unless I myself am the draftsman. I think with something done in Autocad or Design Cad you could get close, but you’d still have the kerf with which to deal.

    Now if you score a laser or water-jet that can make “1-pixel wide” cuts, you might have something (but then, you’d have to buy another tool…)

    • “My thinking was I’d use a laptop to project woodworking plans directly onto a blank piece of wood, then trace the saw cut lines. The small, portable unit was only $50. How could I go wrong?”

      this is way better LOL
      https://www.ebay.com/itm/174879985480
      only thirty dollars more.. and you can project it up as big as you want..
      we use to paint the pictures on balloons.. I had one of those projectors.. loved it..anyway one of my day labor jobs was painting balloons and helping to assemble balloons..
      https://www.amazon.com/Supplies-Inflatable-promotion-advertising-inflatable/dp/B0C76TSNXG?th=1
      How we would do it is take the pattern put it in the projector then hang sheets of plywood on the wall and project the image to be painted on the balloon.. onto the plywood..then tap in small finish nails into the lines to be painted.. once the image was outlined we would lay out the plywood on the floor and put it in order.. then take a paint roller with graphite on it.. and roll it out onto the finish nails.. everyone of us would grab the fabrick.. lay it gently on top of the ply.. then lift it.. getting our image to be painted outline on the fabric… at that point we would hang the fabric on the wall and everyone would paint within the lines.. after it was painted.. the fabric went and was cut out and sewn together and the balloon was done.. we did beer cans and bottles even a horse.. that ended up being one of the Budweiser horse displays..
      I gave my grandson that is interested in one of my smaller projectors… and I am presently teaching him how to etch glass.. during the dark days of the reagan recession I would etch mirrors and glass in exchange for food..
      I even found my old diamond pen.. to show him how to outline on glass cups..

  18. “Elaine and I had a longshoring language grad school refresher getting the old one out. Water, weight, and a tight fit through doors, kind of thing.”

    The secret is to flip the drain valve open. A washer weighs 90lb+ and unless it’s one of the new “super water-saver” Sams or LGs, if it dies mid-cycle it’s going to have as much as 18 gallons of water in it, also. Doorways are always easier if you pull the hinges (just moved a 31″ wide bench, a week or so ago. It didn’t like 32″ doorways very much…)

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