While the “talking heads” – the mainstream media – are trying to fill up their channels with the latest and most salacious details about the criminal charges expected today in Washington, for the folks not so drawn to distraction, the week has plenty of Halloween-like events to consider. I mean besides Paul Manafort being told to surrender, as reported in the NY Times just now.
The Fed meeting gavels in tomorrow and this could be interesting because there’s been so much discussion of how Janet Yellen won’t be invited back for an encore. Perhaps, just as well. I don’t think anyone in their right might will want to be holding the bag when this steamy lump of crap of a market finally lets loose. Rate hike as a ‘fox uniform’ perhaps?
Then there is Housing data – which should be one of the brighter numbers of the week. Reason? As goes housing, so goes America hold some theorists.
And if that’s not enough, we have our “three days of jobs” data this week with ADP Wednesday, Challenger job cuts Thursday, and then the official federal numbers Friday.
All in all, a decent week for the market to come to its senses.
There are three numbers we’re keeping an eye one.
The first is Bitcoin which has soared to $6,148 today. Since we have been watching BTCs as a proxy for non-market sentiment, this argues that on weakness, we might want to unload our current short position. More than one of our Peoplenomics.com subscribers has asked “If Ure model says be long, why aren’t you following your own model?” Right now, I’ll be damned if I can answer that, except to say I was trying too hard, seems, to hit the final tippy-top.
We’ll be rethinking that as the session unfolds, along with those court papers in the district of craziness.
The second number today is the Bureau of Economic Analysis, which we think of as the “pour oil on the waters” department. Doubtless, few will follow the remark, since damn few readers will have ever weathered a storm offshore and put used oil in a canvas bag and tethered it over the side of a boat to reduce the breaking of big rollers bearing down on the boat. There are a few times (admittedly damn few) when pollution is an asset, not a liability.
Back to point (you don’t need more sailing stories, I presume?) we have this just out:
“Personal income increased $66.9 billion (0.4 percent) in September according to estimates released today by the Bureau of Economic Analysis. Disposable personal income (DPI) increased $53.0 billion (0.4 percent) and personal consumption expenditures (PCE) increased $136.0 billion (1.0 percent).
Real DPI decreased less than 0.1 percent in September and Real PCE increased 0.6 percent. The PCE price index increased 0.4 percent. Excluding food and energy, the PCE price index increased 0.1 percent.
And the one I love:
“Personal saving was $441.9 billion in September
and the personal saving rate, personal saving as a percentage of disposable personal income, was 3.1 percent “
The first number to grasp is the Futures which at last check showed the Dow would be coming down about 50 points, or so.
A Word About Climate
Sharp-eyed Roger out in Tucson has spied another leak in the climate narrative: Here’s a story reporting that ocean sea surface temperatures (SST) is coming down.
A tip of the hat to Roger for the catch, although it won’t do anything to change the minds of the True Believers who are being led down the garden path to a global climate tax.
There is an agenda and most people are stupid. Which, I guess, can’t be fixed, after all.
However, This is Reassuring
Problem is, by the time they’re available in stores, all the humans will have been replaced by machines. But, it’s a quaint AIdea. (Yes, you can borrow the word – with credit, lol.)
Meantime it’s also reported that Gene editing is about to get a lot more powerful.
When it gets to the point where it impacts government in general and congress in particular, we’ll mention it again.
BREXIT Scare Stories Unravel
Remember how The Network was promoting the idea of 10’s of thousands of jobs leaving the UK if they dared to go against the megalomaniacs of Brussels?
Well, wouldn’t you know: HSBC says it might move fewer than 1000 jobs to Paris on Brexit. I expect the BREXodus will be far smaller than the lipworker minions of money would have had us believe.
Another cynicism pill for you?
Crusty Reporter’s Notebook:
Almost as useful and life-changing as noting that Bears not bothered by diet high in saturated fats.
Hell, I could have told you that, what with sausage and eggs for breakfast and being bearish on the market. No word about bulls, but I hope to pick up some filets in town today.
Brits Don’t Understand U.S.
Seems so when the government-owned BBC rolls with Does Trump have the power to go to war?
Yes, he has to tell Congress but only after the fact. If there’s anyone left, that is.
Snidely, we note that we couldn’t find a “Can Bush go to war?” or “Can Obama go to war?” story. Which means, we assume, the British American Establishment (A/K/A The Network) is pulling European levers to bounce Trump and keep the Catalan crisis dialed down so jittery markets don’t worry about a second Spanish Civil War like we do. Still, the social mood cycle and all…
We figure Spain’s idea of an election is one where the current Catalan leaders have all been detained, so they can’t run. I guess they learned something from the Inquisition.
Off in Distraction Land:
This story, along with assorted football results, and Kim Kardashian’s H-week garb each accounted for half a million searches on Google Trends when I checked earlier.
Sad commentary on the state of the nation (stupid), but as we like to point out, it’s about what to expect from icon-pressing apes.
It underscores that we’re hopelessly screwed, but when you think about what the ultimate climax of stupidity is, it brings some interesting scenarios to mind.