CFNAI, Jobless, and After-Election Plans

by

In keeping with our focus on Long Wave Economics – that, along with prepping for anything goes being the cornerstones of this site – let’s begin with a Big Long Term view because it is very important.

As explained in our Peoplenomics.com ChartPack Wednesday, its hard to deny that we’re in a financial bubble the likes of which the world seldom sees.

“With the odds of war – or something like it – climbing for this weekend, I wanted to start the charts today with a Reality Check about inflation.

While it is easy to imagine – that with a Dow in the 43,000 range that the increase in American financial horsepower since the Great Depression, might be calculated by simply dividing the 381 Dow high of Sept. 3, 1929 into the Tuesday close  – 42,925 call it – and conclude that things have “grown” by 112.66 times.  Thus, the “popular delusion” to borrow from Mackay would be that we are hard working, successful geniuses.

And then I further explained:

“Now we can make a few more simple calculations to double-check to see if “genius” claims are warranted.

So first, we divide the (inflation-adjusted) market prices (basis 1933) and look how smart we are by yesterday’s Dow close.  42,925 divided by 9,267.65 (1933 inflation adjusted) means the “real gains” over 1933 are a mere 4.63 times.

But then it gets worse.

You see, the US population has changed. 1933 125.580 million people.  Today, population has grown to 331.41 million.  In other words, population is up 2.63 times.

What this means?  Well, in simplistic terms we have overshot the 1929 market bubble by a factor of about 2 on an inflation-adjusted basis.

It’s nothing to be proud of though. Because in the process of “getting here” we sold off much of our self-sufficiency, created a system of corrupt government featuring excessive (and arguably un-constitutional regulation) and collapse is speeding up with the efforts of the local Socialists, who were going strong in the previous Depression as well.

This is what people have a hard time remembering.  We ARE in a financial bubble.  The U.S. has already sold-itself into indentures to Globalism because all China/Asia has to do is throttle-back exports – even a bit – and we’ll be collapsing as fast as WTC-7 with no honest explanations (again).

Run the numbers yourself and stack them up:  Monetary inflation from 1933 market lows to 2024 Bubble highs. Add in the value-added of 17-times more people working today.

We love the idea of popular government – with a smorgasbord of high-minded and worthy goals for the country. But none of that is on the ballot.  We’d love something other than a political prosecutor and a skirt-chaser to choose from, as well. But, again, not on the ballot.

And we would like someone who will stand tall for strictly Constitutional government along with American Excellence and Independence from the globalist hive-mind world order.  Not seeing much of that, either.

Half of America is likely to be incredibly disappointed in just two week’s time.  When that happens, it might shake the foundations of “orderly markets” and it may cause governments to light up war expansions (and false flag operations?) to distract pissed-off Americans from the spoils served as viable candidates.

As usual, we got there first.  We’re in pre-disappointment mode already. And if the market sees half it’s price shed before the Inauguration, remember not to be too surprised.  And try to avoid partisans who will be selling the same stuff we saw in the late 1920’s: workout radicalism versus populism with the forges of war working overtime in the back rooms.

We aren’t the only ones looking at cycles of boom and bust: Doug Casey on Rising Prices and Falling Values—Inflation and Social Decay – The Burning Platform is of a similar tone.

Second Point?

The forges are still fired up. U.S., NATO confirm deployment of North Korean troops to Russia. Up to 12,000 NorKs may go.

Looks like overt support of the Constitution is about to be criminalized: $1M voter sweepstakes may violate federal law, US Justice Department warns Elon Musk

Labor Unrest continues (and don’t forget the Longshore strike is still game-on for January): No end for Boeing labor strike as workers reject latest contract proposal

And our long-standing prediction that the government (US) may eventually have to stomp out domestic use of cryptocurrencies because they can be used for avoiding criminal sanctions looms. Apparently, we’re not the only ones to see the obvious now that BRICS Crypto News: Russia’s Bold Proposal to Use Bitcoin Against Western Sanctions. As Pappy always held, government hates competition.  Once BTC steps out of line, then care to wager on what could logically follow?  Branding crypto as anti-American is one alternative future to consider.

Econ Notes: CFNAI, U.I. Filings

We don’t expect either of these reports will derail a strong technical bounce at the open today, but we are open to the idea that others will join us in pre- election disappointment with a disputed outcome being likely.

CFNAI (Chicago Fed National Activity Indicator) first:

“The CFNAI Diffusion Index, which is also a three-month moving average, increased to –0.16 in September from –0.21 in August. Thirty-eight of the 85 individual indicators made positive contributions to the CFNAI in September, while 47 made negative contributions. Thirty-nine indicators improved from August to September, while 43 indicators deteriorated and three were unchanged. Of the indicators that improved, 14 made negative contributions.”

  • Production-related indicators contributed –0.21 to the CFNAI in September, down from +0.04 in August.
  • The sales, orders, and inventories category’s contribution to the CFNAI was –0.03 in September, unchanged from August.
  • Employment-related indicators contributed –0.03 to the CFNAI in September, down from a neutral value in August.
  • The personal consumption and housing category’s contribution to the CFNAI was –0.01 in September, up from –0.03 in August.”

For some (odd, linguistic) reason the Chicago Fed is all over “negative contributions” which – conceptually gives me a headache. To simple minded me, a “contribution” adds to something as those things called “losses” take away.  Anyone who says otherwise (or obfuscates) is not to be trusted.  (Eyes toward Lighthead country…)

Unemployment Data?

We look for more reliable numbers in, oh, two weeks when the partisan fevers break.

News, Simmering on Low Boil

Pacific Weather matters in here. First with a Saturday through Tuesday break in the weather in Taiwan (Windy: Xinyi, Taipei weather forecast) and that would have to be mighty tempting for China to move on Taiwan.  Off to the north of there Tropical Storm Trami wreaks havoc in the Philippines, at least 26 dead. But, Taiwan catches a weather break (for now).

Especially because this weekend is widely expected to see an Israeli attack on Iran. Israel on verge of attacking Iran despite US pressure to de-escalate: Media reports.  But there is a wild card as in our little circle of observers, fears of a nuclear “decapitation strike” on Iran are being fed by stories like Israel issues chilling warning, Russia says won’t abandon Iran.If the M.E. gets too wrapped around the axle, that weather window in Taiwan may come into play.  And oh, do we have any aircraft carriers in supporting positions yet? No?

All that would remain, then, would be China warning Japan not to allow the U.S. to launch in support of Taiwan from Japanese soil (including Okinawa). We’d love to be a mouse in the corner listening as China, Japan hold high-level consultations on maritime affairs-Xinhua.

A little alum, saltpeter, and twine. Well-soaked and thoroughly dried. A time fuse could be lit this weekend. (Which could also have knock-on effects on the “election” in 10-days.

Uselessivity Dept.

Equality comes to Gun Ownership? Gun Ownership by Gender in 2024: Closing the Gender Gap.

File under “late to the Party” here: Tulsi Gabbard is making it official She’s an R now.

Are bank failures about to rise? This Bank Failed Last Friday and No One Told You About It!

And the US might become a producer of lithium down the road a ways: Massive Lithium Deposits Found in Southwestern Arkansas. And yes, that formation – called the Smackover Formation – actually runs under our little trailer out here in the Outback…

At the Ranch: Hydroponic Expansion

We don’t really use our recording studio as much as we had planned to (when younger).  Now, though, we have set up a “hydroponic gardening workstation” in the room in addition to the music gear.

As of tomorrow, I will have all 96 plant sites planted, but in good-old “If some is good, then more must be better” fashion, I’m about to roll into a further expansion.

It got to be too late to put in the big deep water culture pails this year – though the high water mark there is owned by reader D’Lynn who did a dandy bucket-rail system. Too cold to run that over the winter, looked like.

On the other hand, a couple of 108 plant sites (single layer) lash-ups might work in the lean-to grow room. Diesel heater prices have remained low and I like to put in a new diesel unit every year (or so) just on the theory of safety and having spare parts around.  Heat and light shouldn’t be an issue.

The problem for hydroponic newbies is what to buy. Ultimately, it’s coming down (as always?) to an economic calculation. Currently, looking on Amazon, there are 18 pod Mufga units (we have four of these) and they go for $44 a pop, which means $2.44 per plant site.  That’s a lot more than you need to spend, but they do come ready to roll including grow media, baskets, plant food and plastic covers which keep water use low during the early part of your grow.

I looked at the pricing issues earlier this year (February) and picked up a 108 plant site, three layer system, that will get assembled in coming weeks for the lean-to room. (ShopTalk issue ahead) They’re still going for $124 and come with sponges, and a basic pump.  And this pencils out to about $1.15 per plant site. Less than half the container type costs.

Buying note: Get the white “food grade plastic” kind of larger setups.

Of course, our hydroponics are really aimed at leafy greens: We like fresh spinach (we can eat half a cutting from one side of the 18 site Mufga’s in a single meal.  With four cuttings to a plant that’s about 30-meals of fresh greens before clean out and replant.  The others are used for dirt bed starting of larger things like cabbage and the bok choi.

Cleaning only takes a few minutes – 15 to ready two of the 18 pod units for another run.  Not a big investment of time. (And no weeding!)

Still, should be interesting to get the bigger growing space online this fall. Because then we get closer to having year-round fresh cut salads. No vitamin losses due to storage and travel times.

Write when you get rich,

George@ure.net

55 thoughts on “CFNAI, Jobless, and After-Election Plans”

  1. Wait what ?

    No fish pond this year ? What happened ? You get assaulted by a big bag o Buds ? The bag o sticky buds will get you every time, dammit..https://youtu.be/12RmnQXoqIc?si=m_8ky8NpMnCVCZ-s

    I thought the garden was floating on top of the tilapia aqua culture project… did someone switch up time lines again? What the hell. Thought that was what the in line Ozone generators were for from Loob.

    Maybe it was a dream, think maybe I just need to get high and think about it some more..

    No Bees
    No Chickens
    No Fish

    what the hell you two planing on eating in the near future, feral Catz with leafy greens?

    • Mountain men and early Urepeein explorers all said “Cat is the best eatin’…”

      I don’t think they were referring to kitties which carried less than 10 pounds of meat, though.

      Maybe George is growing Maine Coons…?

    • Lol lol… DUCK WEED… I had tilapia and prawns and redclaw some crawdads ..
      one day someone suggested duck weed..I ordered some about a tablespoon.. I thought dam they will chow that down..
      well I had an auto feeder.. three days later the wife says something stinks.. it was that duckweed.. it went crazy .. what a stinky mess.. I loved raising the critters I learned a lot..great for the garden … just never use duckweed..

    • My problem … I couldn’t harvest … the vet laughed when we were talking about the cow going to the locker.. she said ..yea it would die of old age if you had to do the dirty job..I know where my food comes from but if it was up to me..I would become a total vegan..

    • ‘Twas a rainy, stormy night. The swing doors at the favored Chinese eatery would occasionally crack open and let a blast of chill, wet air into the dining room. On one such occasion, a soaking wet street cat took the opportunity to run inside. Everyone saw, and the room was silent as the cat made a beeline under the tables straight to the kitchen. After a pregnant pause, one diner said out loud. “That’s the last we will see of that one!”

  2. I don’t have a hydroponic set up, but I do have a couple of “Purple Peruvian” potato plants growing under LED gro-lights in my living room. They seem to be doing well enough to add to my indoor gardening schedule.

    I’ve also got a Grow Tower 2 that I need to set up. I plan to load it with greens and medicinal herbs and then put about 4 large planters around it for things that don’t fit in the tower.

    https://www.gardentowerproject.com/products/garden-tower-2-composting-container-garden

    I’ve been wishing I could go with an underground grow room with LED’s, but the money just isn’t there and I also don’t believe there is time before everything goes all to shit.

    I’ve spent the last several years improving my garden soil (we call the soil here “Moon Dust”) and experimenting on plants I can grow in the short growing season.

    I know that I can’t grow everything I need with the set up that I have, but I will certainly be able to extend what I have and grow some things that will make beans and rice more interesting.

    • (I don’t have a hydroponic set up, but I do have a couple of “Purple Peruvian” potato plants growing under LED gro-lights in my living room. )

      I was just thinking about doing a couple of potato plants.. my problems with hydroponics is bees… no bees..Beautiful plants no bees.. the bee guy refused to sit any of his girls in our area..why.. GMO ..he thinks.the plants kills his girls..I can buy a hive or two and he will take care of it.. split the honey with me..but not his girls..I order mason bees or bumble bees..

      • Bumbles dont do the Honey thing, just the Pollination thing.
        Golden Italians are my favorite, really sweet lil Girls..I get them (Nucs) from a really cool Bee Dude – OG hippie character I have known for over 30 yrs, Walt. He is owner and proprietor of Swarm Busting Honey at 911honey.com. His bee yards are very close to one of our favorite pubs.
        The WHIP..thewhiptavern.com – oh my goodness Bangers & Mash or Beef on Weck – YUM! This is place Father-in Law (big time surgeon) sat on 3-legged stool in bar and went Ass over tea kettle, and GrandDaughter is treated like royalty..she looks like she just got off the boat from Ireland.

        Imagine if you will..a melted blend of Stilton cheese, English Cheddar, Smithwick Irish Ale, Colesmans Mustard, wit crostini on a chill Fall evening…MMMmmmmm! You will wanna wash that deliciousness down with a frosty brewski, yerp they got Non-Alcohol beers as well. Frost on the Pumpkins, Deer getting frisky, Leaves turning colors..its pub time in SE PA.

  3. I had a similar system. Swiss chard grew very quickly and tall in it but I had difficulty growing lettuce (very bitter) and spinach (seeds didn’t sprout). A friend borrowed it and used it to early start her garden plants.

    I have another one in my Amazon cart and am thinking about growing some miniature fruit trees just for fun.

    I’m impressed that you can grow enough to add to your meals on a regular basis.

    • Have couple dozen orange on our miniature orange tree. I moved it to the garage last week and picked an orange, sweet. Tree’s in a relatively small container, 14 inch diameter and foot deep.

    • I made the mistake of planting Swiss Chard in the garden several years ago. Now it comes up volunteer all over the garden, and I can’t get rid of it. Granted it’s good to eat, but it refuses to stay in its lane and obey the rules.

  4. Anyone still have those old WBP reports Clif put out, from 2009? That’s when I was reading them. Im going by memory these days. If ya got’’em you might go back and read them again.

    I gotta admit, that shit gave me nightmares. I still think about it, it’s kind of stuck in my memory and it appears to me, we’re getting damn close (and into) the paragraphs that wrecked my nerves for a while. After all these years of waiting and observing, I’m in a state of melancholy anticipation.

  5. Dow then and now….”…real gains” over 1933 are a mere 4.63 times.”

    Comparing a 91 year time span is difficult.

    Today’s USA is more valuable Vs 1933’s USA. Imagine your house without electric wires as most 1933 folk lived. Today we have electric wires in the houses. The wires make these houses more valuable. A house without wires is a shed. Can we live in a shed? Sure, they did. But at the point of shed living it’d be best to move down by the river for running water.

    The country now has airports/Internet/Interstate, etc. The country is more valuable.

    “In 1933, the average life expectancy in the United States was 61.7 years for men and 65.1 years for women. This was an increase from 1929, when the average life expectancy was about 57 years.”

    Vs

    “In 2022, the average life expectancy in the United States was 77.5 years. ”

    What value, if any can be assigned to 15.8 additional years?

    Compare living in a city Vs country. I’m in the city and about 4 minutes away from a 24 hour emergency room. That’s a worthless service until I need the service then it’s invaluable.

    “And we would like someone who…”

    Voting endorses the system.

    ” $1M voter sweepstakes”

    When Elon does it this means Soros can as well. That’ll be the system.

    Next will be a private Ballot Bingo. Voters take a pic of their completed ballot and show it to someone waiting outside to be entered into the contest. Only ballots showing votes for who-who are eligible. And that’s that because it’s a private bingo company.

    • but not a word from you about ZuckerBucks financing the cheat in 2020
      “Mail-in votes are meant to be an exception, but Zuckerberg-funded bodies convinced the powers that be to make mail-in voting the rule.
      Unfortunately for America, that wasn’t the only manipulation during the 2020 elections.”
      https://www.americanthinker.com/articles/2024/10/zuckerbucks_a_grave_peril_for_2024.html

      Sorass has already invested billions into corrupting America, see the DAs he has purchased

      hope your emergency room is NOT full of border jumpers when you become in need

      • We can support Elon by buying an EV or buying a blue check on Twitter.

        How does Soros make money?

        • without morals,,, got his beginnings with a nazi that took him under his wing.
          https://search.brave.com/search?q=George+soros+says+amoral&source=desktop&summary=1&summary_og=8d7d328efc97d35982ae9f
          “George Soros’ Amoral Claim
          George Soros, a billionaire investor and philanthropist, has publicly expressed his views on morality, particularly in the context of his financial activities. Here are some key quotes and statements:

          Amoral Activity: In a 1998 interview with 60 Minutes, Soros stated, “I don’t feel guilty. Because I’m engaged in an amoral activity which is not meant to have anything to do with guilt.” He emphasized that his primary goal as a speculator is to make money, without considering moral implications.
          Lack of Acceptance of Rules: In his book “Soros on Soros,” Soros wrote, “I do not accept the rules imposed by others.” This sentiment reflects his willingness to operate outside conventional moral or ethical frameworks.
          Self-Proclaimed “God-Like” Status: In a 2016 interview, Soros was quoted as saying, “I am a god, I created everything” (although this quote is disputed and may be taken out of context). This statement, if genuine, suggests an extraordinary level of confidence and a willingness to transcend traditional moral boundaries.
          Focus on Power and Influence: Soros has demonstrated his ability to wield significant power and influence through his philanthropic efforts and political donations. His actions have been described as “amoral” by some, as he uses his resources to shape political outcomes and societal norms without necessarily considering traditional moral principles.
          It is essential to note that Soros’ views on morality are not universally accepted, and many critics have accused him of being morally irresponsible or even malevolent. However, it is also important to recognize that his statements and actions reflect his own philosophical beliefs and priorities, which may differ from those of others.”

    • Soros has ALREADY been doing it, AND he has been PAYING the participants.

      MOST ALL OF THE RIOTERS WERE PAID during the many riots in Portland, Seattle, Minneapolis, Austin, etc. (NOT January 6th, they were PEACEFUL citizens gassed and attacked by undercover FBI agents, and other PAID infiltrators.)

      George Soros bussed people all over, flew em in and paid the lot of em across many cities and states.

      IF Trump wins, EXPECT the SAME!!!

      They’ve already amassed another invasion at the border.

      WHO do you think did that???? WHO do you think has the power, money, corruption, clout and MEDIA to accomplish the multi-cultural invasion of a once White majority America?

      Soros funded the District Attorney’s into most of the cities in our country. These FUNDAMENTAL changes to America HERALDED BY OBAMMY, have come home to roost.

      My Grandma born in 1905, lived to be 95.
      My other Grandma born in 1915 lived to be 86.
      My Grandpappy born in 1916 lived to be 87.

      Those longevity numbers are skewed.

    • That’s not to say the DOW isn’t filled with grift like Boeing.

      The people wanted to artificially inflate the DOW by saving Boeing do to Boeing being “critical to national security”.

      Boeing will need another bailout next year and regular serf folk will demand it. Just watch.

  6. re: Election Plans
    feat: Obama First Couple

    Folks,

    Welcome to the 9th inning, baseball fans! Msm notes that the First Couple of President and Mrs. Obama are being deployed individually to support campaign missions in Michigan and Pennsylvania.

    Meanwhile the official White House schedule advises that President Biden will be dispatched this afternoon to Arizona aboard Air Force One on unstated business. An Oct. 21st story from Fox 10 Phoenix offers the deets. President Biden will deliver remarks at the Gila River Indian Community. According to Wikipedia, the bustling metropolis had a population in 2020 of some 14,260 spread out over 583 square miles. The Indian Tribe Administration also appears to march to the beat of a legal code not in step with generally accepted tenets of the Democrat Party. Perhaps the esteemed visitor will be invited to keep an ear to the ground in advance of any stampede from Washington.

    • Where is the illustrious, and reportedly still in good health, our “Mission Accomplished”, ex Republican President? I know being a Word Renown Painter is a time consuming occupation but can it be taking up all of his time? Couldn’t he find a few minutes a week to be on the campaign trail?

      Maybe he was spending a lot of time going to the ball games of the Professional Sports Team he used to own and is now consumed with helping them structure their upcoming Off Season trades?

      Ah maybe he is just traveling a lot … say between Midland and Houston, the two greatest places to live in the world. Like it dry and hot? Go to Midland. Like it humid and hot? Go to Houston. Driving all the time between those two world class garden spots would certainly eat into one’s schedule.

      Of course there is the alternative theory … that he has “switched sides”, like his hunting side kick “shoot em when they aren’t looking”, and is now officially part of the team he really was on all along.

      btw … Do his paintings sell for as much as Hunter’s? We all know Hunter is a World Class Painter like the ol Pres so one should expect their paintings to sell in the same price range.

      • He was in the first wave of PNAC recruits. His father, brother, and sidekick were in the founding wave. Blood is thicker than honesty or patriotism…

    • re: George’s Money Man
      feat: Welcome to Scorpio

      Folks,
      Tumblers are tumbling? There was something at the back of mind last weekend which clicked today. As previously noted last Sunday October 20th was the 60th anniversary of the passing of President Hoover. Belated 60th birthday wishes from Oct. 20th to VP Harris!

      A couple of days ago the “Daily Mail” published an article trumpeting the election fortunes of VP Harris. It noted the quiet support by the multi-billionaire ceo of JP Morgan. An image featured VP Harris at a campaign rally against a cropped sign slogan reading “Over Party”.

      Today the “Daily Mail” reiterated an Oct. 16th “Bloomberg” piece that the markets are in the process of pricing a Trump election victory. The prognosticator was a yet-wealthier multi-billionaire than the JPM ceo. It was the past fund manager for Mr. George Soros. There was an onward link to Mr. Trump’s fêted appearance on The Undertaker’s podcast. Apparently Mr. Trump is “rocked” by the support of WWE ruling brass.

      Let’s return to DJ George in studio ready at ringside with a play-by-play of the ondeck setlist. Goggles on and time for a 50 year flashback to a group launching out of Germany. Here we go – from the Scorpions!

      “Rock You Like a Hurricane”!

    • Jester,
      https://nmindepth.com/2022/we-all-need-to-learn-more-about-boarding-schools-and-their-legacy/

      Did you miss Biden’s apology to the Gila River Tribe, they are grateful a President finally apologized:
      “Some of our elders who are boarding school survivors have been waiting all of their lives for this moment,” said Stephen Roe Lewis, the Gila River Indian community governor. “If only for a moment on Friday, this will rise to the top, and the most powerful person in the world, our president, is shining a light on this dark history that’s been hidden.”

      Not in step with Democrat Party?? Biden appointed Deb Haaland as first Indian Interior Sec’y, hey Tonto, who’s speaking with a forked tongue lol??

  7. You know, a fish pond is really a great idea. We had one by our raspberry patch, and each year when we cleaned it, all of the fish poop water was sprayed on the patch, making it super productive.

  8. I have been looking at the exact same hydroponic system – as a first-time start up [ VIVOSUN Hydroponics Growing System ] – Not too sure where I’d put it, though.
    Making sure that the initial set-up is as level as possible.., “and” – what if you added a waterproof heatmat under the water bucket – just raise the temps a few degrees to help the root system mature a little faster. [Forced compliance.]

  9. ” And our long-standing prediction that the government (US) may eventually have to stomp out domestic use of cryptocurrencies because they can be used for avoiding criminal sanctions looms. Apparently, we’re not the only ones to see the obvious now that BRICS Crypto News: Russia’s Bold Proposal to Use Bitcoin Against Western Sanctions. As Pappy always held, government hates competition. Once BTC steps out of line, then care to wager on what could logically follow? Branding crypto as anti-American is one alternative future to consider.”

    FILE UNDER FEAR UNCERTAINTY AND DOUBT. IMHO

    Yes, Back in 2013/14, Ure’s Truly was getting ready to mine BTC on unused Mac CPU’s, then…. Mt. Gox Arrived…

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mt._Gox

    Yup the dust up after that one had me folding and round filing the “plan” after reading all the quizical knowledge spewed forth by “SME’s” in the field [parphrasing] it’s not legal, only criminals use it yada yada bla bla.

    As Buffet advises, if the fundementals havent changed or are better, then HODL, and maybe even add to your position, as the rest of the market hasnt caught on yet.. And of course the market can stay irrational longer than you can stay solvent.

    Had I stuck to my research not the FUD, I would have been writing “when” by 2016ish.

    Zo, Ure still stuck with me for now , I’m HOLDing and LMAO as all this FUD gets blasted around the MSM channels,I’ll keep adding lunch money. Not Advice , do your own homework.

    Cheers!

  10. According to CitiBank [ this morning] the last time investors were exposed to such an extended rise in the S&P500 – it dropped over a thousand points over the next ten months. “Such an extended rise also gives extended risks.”
    CitiBank is not saying that investors should sell at this point, but that they should be aware of the risks associated with such extended exposure.
    In other-words. The market is over-bought, for too long and it’s due for a correction., right about here. But then.., bear-pundits have been saying that for most of this entire year.

  11. Like most of you here, I have seen a lot of elections. Local, county, state and federal. They have all had their share of mud-slinging and name calling. Some more than others. This election is different, IMO.
    I can not recall so many threats of violence before. Even if they win, the candidates are promising violence against someone. As ‘G’ stated., 50% of the population is going to be very upset., to what extreme, can only be imagined at this point.
    The out-and-out lies being told and promoted are disgusting and scary at the same time. I have never seen such blatant, in your face lies before.., in any past election. Not like this. I have never seen such name calling and degrading remarks before. Not like this.
    As one commentator who has been writing about elections and politicians for over 60 years said: “This could be the one that breaks the camel’s back. This is the one that could go too far.”
    .., and what you end up with is a country even more divided., more hate filled.., with even more violence.
    And this at a time when we need a united country more than ever before.
    – Sad.

    • Like I been sayin’, vote early before the desperation boils over and we get operators, domestic and foreign, attempting to disrupt polling places. It isn’t a sure bet, but it only takes a few high profile incidents and a media feeding frenzy to make things turn very ugly.

      • That has been the Democratic Party’s M.O. for 190 years.

        “We have laws.”

        And Dems, from Tammany to the Klan, to the Black Panthers, have had ball bats and clubs.

        I’ve been a Democrat most of my life, but I can never claim having been “dyed-in-the-wool” because I’ve voted for members of seven different Parties (none of which were associated with communism or socialism), and I’ve known and understood since I was 10 years old that it was from Democrats and our political Left that voting violence and political intolerance sprang. That, in no way, means the Right won’t get violent, but if they do so it will be as a reaction to actions of the Left.

        Carville suggested a couple days ago that someone should slit Trump’s throat (of course, being an attorney, he couched his terminology at, but not over the ragged edge of what might be considered an actual threat, but anyone who heard him would’ve gotten the point.) I suspect if Trump wins and there’s widespread violence, someone will catch the Ragin’ Cajun outside his gated fortress and lynch him. I also suspect the person who does so may be “one of his own…” Lots of big-mouths love political violence — until they have to bury a son or daughter because of something they, themselves said or did…

  12. I’ve read just to enough to know,
    that I just don’t know enough.
    .
    .., and that applies to a lot of different subjects today.

  13. “per-disappointed mode” ?

    You mean like disappointed in 1st hubby being a vicious FEMALE beater ?

    Seems he enjoys smacking the shit outta of pregnant women as well – how about them apples,…….c ?

    Previous GF was a Victim, who signed NDA after settlement..but the PoPo report is a matter of public record, same wicked behavior – history of it. hmmmmmmm

    Everything, and I mean EVERYTHING about this Female entity is as FAKE as a 3 dollar bill..maybe faker, if thats even possible.

    Some one PLEASE !

    ..take her away, like my Tuesday AM Garbage pick up.

    bring her to me..

  14. Random thoughts & quotes, no organization:

    Lots of military traffic today re subhunters East coast.

    8992/11175/11157 khz USB

    “Things are looking very strange in the airspace over CONUS. There’s (5) B-52 strategic bombers that were visible a short time ago (2 of them turned off their transponders), (4) E6 TACAMO planes, a Cobra Ball, multiple Rivet Joints and AWACS.

    Several P8 subhunters that have been tracking something right off the east coast of central Florida for about 24 hours straight now. A P3 Orion subhunter has also been orbiting over the Mediterranean Sea off the coast of Israel for quite some time”

    “Things are looking very strange in the airspace over CONUS. There’s (5) B-52 strategic bombers that were visible a short time ago (2 of them turned off their transponders), (4) E6 TACAMO planes, a Cobra Ball, multiple Rivet Joints and AWACS.

    Several P8 subhunters that have been tracking something right off the east coast of central Florida for about 24 hours straight now. A P3 Orion subhunter has also been orbiting over the Mediterranean Sea off the coast of Israel for quite some time.

    “I think Israel and Iran are about to have at it, in which case the U.S. is probably getting closed to COCKED PISTOL to counter any counterstrikes from Russian forces who are also on very high alert

    • Sub off Florida is NK. The Russian subs pre-positioned off our East (and West, BTW) coasts are capable of laying on the bottom without moving, for months at a time. China has a couple subs off our shores in the Pacific — dunno either their capabilities or if they have any in the Atlantic, at all.

      I do not know how close to the surface the Russian subs have to be, to launch ballistic missiles. If they have to be at, say, periscope depth, our hunters could spot them as they rise, and give us a couple extra minutes of warning before the suns arrived. I know if they’re launching hypersonic nuclear cruise missiles, flight time to Boston, Groton, NYC, Philly, Balmer, D.C. Nofuck, Savannah, and points along A1A is between 27 and 29 SECONDS, so an extra minute or two of warning could be very important to us. I also know, were I they, I’d use Poseidons and take out everything east of the Appalachians (and west of the Sierras.) The advantage to high-speed nukes though, is the opportunity to flash our leadership hierarchy our of existence before they can get to a shelter. (Given the quality of our leadership, I’m not sure they’d want to, yet there are undoubtedly some highly-competent O-4 to O-8s that the Obama and Biden Administrations failed to purge.)

  15. I believe conex box growing has been discussed here before or not but thought I would mention it again. Saw a show about it a few years ago and was very interesting. Your can make it yourself or buy ready made. This is just a couple of the many.
    https://farmboxfoods.com/
    https://conexboxes.com/blog/container-farming

    Your miles or $ can vary, slightly late but better late than never? Sounds like you can spend like a male with the hunting, fishing, sailing, tools, cars/trucks, air plane, ham radio, maladies we tend to come down with on occasion.
    Like a fever comes over us, can’t explain it.

    • I looked at the link awhile I was having my coffee chuckling to myself about it. Diana comes in and asks what’s so funny?. I showed her the screen and she calmly said, “I hope that it has a splatter shield,” . At that point I laughed my ass off.

    • Good information. One of the comments even showed a smart watch indicating A-fib! My concern is that all of these devices are not stand-alone, but must connect to servers for the AI back end processing. They might not be able to identify the ass, but they can certainly identify the household and IP address. There’s no legal or practical security to prevent aggregating this info with everything else already accumulated. It’s the one reason I don’t own or use these devices.

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