Those not lucky enough to know someone “Huna” have “missed the boat” in a manner of speaking.  Huna is sort-of  like a religion but it’s more a “Way” of being.  One of its cornerstones is a concept called Pono.

“Pono” offers that “Effectiveness is the measure of Truth.”  Important this week not to confuse politics with truth.

With political convention time here, we suggest you study this Pono concept to see the gap.

Remember this week will be about “claims and boasts.” Most of it will be empty promises.  An effort at rudimentary “Makia” – “Attention [and thus votes] goes where attention flows.”   Hot-button jujitsu.

Persuasion Blocks:  Art of Half-Truths

CV-19 is likely – in our estimate – bring one of the most crooked campaigns EVER in America.  Because people’s response to “the virus” allows for a high level of message specificity.  Online campaigning blocks.

In historical times, people of all races might attend a political rally where a candidate was to speak.  That’s why in “the old days” elections were predicated on “Good of the Country” and promises of “Even Better Times Ahead.”

Universal-speaking.  Things a whole audience could agree on.  Didn’t matter whether a voter was black, white, gender #27…we once held a  “grand and homogenous country.”  Explains why – in ancient times like the 1960’s – we responded so well to lofty National Goals and purposes.  Went to the Moon and all that.

In coming weeks we will see a new pinnacle in “politics of division.”  Each speaker (for either party) will attempt to play a Ka-Huna.  (Sort of like senior spiritual seeker on the Path.)  Boastfully set to claim ” powers beyond those of ordinary people.”  Thinking you’ll fall for it.  Or the free lunch promised, as well.

Politicians are, however, every bit as ordinary as any of us:  One might like the smell of a woman’s hair.  The other prone to an acidic outbursts on Twitter.  One has – as his second – a woman who fills certain check-boxes and it’s here we see the emergent importance of persuasion blocks.  The other, is backed by a Harvey Milquetoast sort.

Milquetoast, played by Mike Pence, is the  7-Up-like “un-candidate.”  He’s the “if you don’t like anyone else, vote  bland.”  But the other side will play the  Bloom County cartoon angle – painting him as Milquetoast the Cockroach.

Blocking the Blocks, Tackling Hot Buttons

For the next 78-days, we’ll witness a “battle of persuasion block marketers.”

In 2016, Trump ascended to the Swamp House by going “consumer-direct” via Twitter.  In 2020, though, our outlook is for a massive number of small online events that will allow candidates to speak a “ slightly modified version of whole Truth” in order to be elected.

Just promises, but it it’s especially easy for a candidate to say one thing to a black audience on a “hot-button” topic (like defunding police).  While supporting “law and order” to a mostly white audience.  The gap – speaking from both sides of their mouths – is less evident.  Unless you hit the right online events.

And on borders, as another example, saying one thing to “undocumented” followers, or people in California, and something else to conservative other groups, works well.

News Train Wrecks, Too

Cub reporters – anyone who’s only covered one or two presidential elections – will report it with bias.  Intentional or otherwise.

Editors already know the media has changed in America.  Once-great newspapers used to feature competing opinions on the Op-Ed pages.

Today, online “narrow-casting” means you have already (through your news choices) self-selected into a political ideology.  Who you vote for has already been largely determined by the media sources you have self-conditioned to.

So clear is this “self-imposed filtering” that I’d wager 90% of Americans voting habits are already predictable, based on nothing more than daily reading of websites with discernable bias.  Easy to find, too.  All you need to do is click over to Media Bias Fact Check and the spin monsters become clear.

We can throw out polls:  Simple daily traffic studies of leaning media would be easily more accurate than slanted polls.

Electoral Delusions

The Popular Delusion of the American Crowd is that we are “free to choose.”  When, in fact, the fix was injected decades-back. 

Newspapers lost their ability to offer both sides and leave it to readers to decide.  In their place came highly partisan online (and on-air) “news outlets.”  These are not  values based.  Instead being examples of our Pono around here:  Everything’s a Business Model.

Online Mobs End Democracy

Yep, pretty clear when you look.  Militants arise online.  As digital warfare broke out, we watched the specter of  Digital Mob Rule.

Now the Mobs are very much in play.  Overnight, for example:  the Digital Jackboots appeared as:  “Portland protest turns violent, brutal assault apparently caught on video.”

You have to bear with us these coming weeks of intellectual sloppiness and misstatements claiming “truth.”  What you’ll experience is serial false  claims, half-lies, promises, and panders.

America, being spiritually lost having embraced substitution of our core values with Marxism Lite – is now choosing from a posse of belligerent maniacs.   They’ve made careers out of failed promises, lies, and picking the public’s pocket.

We don’t need “checkboxes” so much as we need smart, honest, values-based less-political hack types. Rock stars of results. Almost anything would be an improvement over the trash heap being offered.

America has run out of heroes.  Thanks, Internet.

This facilitates Digital Mob Rule and results in “squeaky wheel” stories getting more traction than deserved.  “As a strange DNC kicks off, are Bernie Sanders and the Squad being left out?”  Let us pray.

Empire State Numbers

NY Fed’s monthly outlook is out:

“Business activity edged slightly higher in New York State, according to firms responding to the August 2020 Empire State Manufacturing Survey. The headline general business conditions index fell fourteen points to 3.7, signaling a slower pace of growth than in July. New orders were little changed, and shipments increased modestly. Unfilled orders were down, and inventories declined. Employment inched higher, while the average workweek declined. Input prices increased at about the same pace as last month, while selling prices increased for the first time in several months. Firms remained optimistic that conditions would improve over the next six months, though optimism fell for a second consecutive month. “

Dow futures were going up again this morning (+67 at click time).  It can’t go down as long as adding zeroes is penalty-free.

Attacking Another Potential Cure?

Anti-Trump stories on CV-19 possibilities are running highest now.  We thought the Axios story “Trump eyes new unproven coronavirus “cure” a bit off the mark.

While the story did reference “Prophylactic and Therapeutic Inhibition of In Vitro SARS-CoV-2 Replication by Oleandrin” it didn’t go into its use in treating other diseases.  See, for example “Oleandrin and Its Derivative Odoroside A, Both Cardiac Glycosides, Exhibit Anticancer Effects by Inhibiting Invasion via Suppressing the STAT-3 Signaling Pathway.”  Which sounds like comorbidities to us.

What is clear is that Donald Trump allowed what is a medical issue to morph into a personal credibility debate.  And media have been actively running stories like “Right Wing AAPS Sues FDA over Hydroxychloroquine” to drive that point home to election day.

When the smoke of elections is over, might we suggest reporters all be barred from any medication they have written critically of?  It might removed some of the politics from what we’ve claimed all-along to be a medical matter.

Shouldn’t reporters be banned from using “cures” they decried early-on?  Which is why even-handed reporting has “left the building.”  Say anything and you still get do-overs.

That’s plain wrong.  Reporters – these spoiled little shits – gotta cowboy up like the old-timers and walk their talk, more.

Omaha Glitter

I’m not saying write-in Warren Buffett (or Dr. Ben Carson), but there’s much to be learned from following smart people.

Take Buffett, for example.  He’s buying a big position in Barrick
Gold.  This concerns a lot of people who wonder: Did Warren Buffett just bet against the U.S. economy? His latest investment raises some questions.

No, like us, we expect Buffett and (Charlie) Munger have eyed the massive costs of saving the economy and figure someone will have to pay for it…and that means higher taxes and something nearing hyperinflation to come.  Obvious? Not to everyone.

Coin Hype

We have also seen where Bitcoin was a major beneficiary of the 36% injection of money (annualized) at M2 pushed out by the Federal Reserve.  Sure, Bitcoin lacks utility value (try unplugging the power and see what remains).  And no, if the FedGov ever decides to replace paper Fed Notes with a USCoin, there’s no reason why exchange from Bitcoin – or any other crypto – would be required.

Still, the vaporous hype du coin waxes on: Bitcoin Has 30% Chance Of Hitting $17,000 This Year, Analyst Suggests.  In another MarketWatch piece “Goldman Sachs just lifted its S&P 500 price target. Here’s why…”  We simply look at wild money-printing comes somewhere to roost.  Not all that complicated.

Our preference is metals – which don’t disappear when the lights go out.  Sure, lead has a certain “utility value, too…”

Worth Knowing

Summertime so guess what happens? River Fire grows to 2,000 acres, only 10% contained out in California.

Yes, there really is something of a barnyard odor to the Post Office dismantling automatic sorting machines at its distribution centers ahead of an election where mail-in ballots matter.  We’re not fans of Nancy but when we saw where Pelosi calls House back to D.C. as Democrats set emergency postal hearing amid fears over delayed ballots, we had to admit it looks like the right thing to do.

Weather Summer

Beyond wildfires out West, there’s more flooding that first thought up in Indiana.  

Here in East Texas, a line of thunderstorms rolled through overnight, keeping us up most of the night.  The balance?  We got some much-needed rain.  Two-inches in the gauge last night. But: That means tomorrow morning, you-know-who will be mowing.

Better the rain than the high temps elsewhere.  Death Valley set a high of 130 this weekend, but still 3-degrees off the all-time high in 1913 or 134F.

So goes Monday.  Dow futures up.  Calories call.

Write when you get rich,