Beliefs as an Asset

Our usual Peoplenomics fare is a hardnosed look at data involving cyclicity in long-term market directions.  However, have you noticed that the Markets of late look like they may be taking our call of a massive third wave down collapse very much to heart? America is entering a “beliefs and values” crisis. Today we discuss … Read More

Tiny Bouncer? Weighing Out Trade, Creeping Madness

After the not wholly unexpected market decline Monday, there’s not really much to say about what happens next.  Early futures revealed a slip and slide downward was possible, although, with Gold up $8 bucks early, and the dollar down proportionately, we wouldn’t be surprised if this wasn’t a small half-day (or better) rally.  Futures were … Read More

Feds Pre-Bunked Hunter L/T, Meandering Markets

WHAT???!!! No mention of the Hunter Biden revelations about Social Media and the FBI  on the front page of the big DC paper this morning? But you already knew that, right?  Huge story in the tech-competent thinking class, though.  Language matters:  Stonewall Idiom Definition (grammarist.com)  With good reason… Miranda Devine of the New York Post is … Read More

ShopTalk Sunday: Saw Service, Mixed Media Projects

First, a big thank you for prayers on behalf of ailing Zeus the Cat.  His appetite is back a bit, and between hand feeding of food, some cat kidney pills plus a gentle application of deworming meds, he’s up and about better than a week ago. Now into the projects of this holiday screwed-up week… … Read More

Headlines Catching Up

Remember the Talking Heads song “Lifetime Piling Up“?  Well, what’s going on now is a kind of rhyming riff off that. When long-denied social media fairytales turn out to be true. We expect a growing sense of confusion and uncertainty into year-end.  Because stock prices no longer relate to growth, crypto gambles are turning into … Read More

Jobs: Facts Before Fiction

Let me huff a bit on the whiteboard marker before we rock the morning for you… This being the 21st Anniversary of the Enron Collapse. (Ah….) So, here’s the “real deal” on jobs. Pop Size Matters U.S. population at the end of 2019 was around 328,239,523.  (*George scrawls this on the board.) At the end of this … Read More

Trading Box Theory

Hmm.  Bunch of fresh data beginning with big layoffs in Tech: Challenger Job Cut report is just out: “U.S.-based employers announced 76,835 cuts in November, a 127% increase from the 33,843 cuts announced in October. It is 417% higher than the 14,875 cuts announced in the same month last year, according to a report released … Read More

Slicing and Dicing 2023

Every year, we take a fearless poke at the future and explain our basis for ‘Life Planning’ for the coming year.  The process is never simple, though.  Something as complicated as one’s Life and as intricate as a global economy is more than a 5-minute essay! Today, we kick around some of the data sourcing … Read More

Housing Rollover Snowballing Now

The important part of why the rollover is what matters now. Simply, when interest rates were at historic lows (less than half the rates of the Great Depression era) when a million-dollar home was sold, the majority of funds would be paid to the seller on closing.  However, as interest rates have gone up, the … Read More

3 (1) (i) Down? A Useful (Old) Roadmap

Without trying to sound prophetic, we are expecting the market to put on something of an early rally, since the stock market decline caught a lot of people (but not us) by surprise. You’ll remember a while back; we offered this potential roadmap of where things might go? Well, yeah, that’s right.  We explicitly tabled … Read More

China, Housing Data & Employment Week Begins

Breaking:  Mauna Loa Volcano eruption.  Click here for live web cam.  Updates from Hank in Hawaii in the comments section. Slam, cram, and jam the leftovers, kiddies. A four-week hustle till the Fat Dude rolls begins now. And since we went short toward the end of the abbreviated Friday trading session, the main job function today … Read More

ShopTalk Sunday: Design Failures — e-Spa Plan

Before we begin, an unashamed plug for Amazon (“get ’em while you can”) as Cyber Monday Power Tool deals are here.  Best seen with your spouse present (and you in handcuffs). If you’re not already maxed out from Black Friday, life is short and power tools are safer fun than chasing something extra (ahem) on … Read More

Trend Domains

We’re almost to our Annual Outlook report.  As part of the process we employ a number of “thinking tools” and ways of looking into the future that anyone can use. The future, understand, is all about perceptual domains.  Not everyday stuff, certainly, but with the pressure off for another couple of days, it’s always good … Read More