Beliefs as an Asset

Our usual Peoplenomics fare is a hardnosed look at data involving cyclicity in long-term market directions.  However, have you noticed that the Markets of late look like they may be taking our call of a massive third wave down collapse very much to heart? America is entering a “beliefs and values” crisis. Today we discuss … Read More

Headlines Catching Up

Remember the Talking Heads song “Lifetime Piling Up“?  Well, what’s going on now is a kind of rhyming riff off that. When long-denied social media fairytales turn out to be true. We expect a growing sense of confusion and uncertainty into year-end.  Because stock prices no longer relate to growth, crypto gambles are turning into … Read More

Slicing and Dicing 2023

Every year, we take a fearless poke at the future and explain our basis for ‘Life Planning’ for the coming year.  The process is never simple, though.  Something as complicated as one’s Life and as intricate as a global economy is more than a 5-minute essay! Today, we kick around some of the data sourcing … Read More

Trend Domains

We’re almost to our Annual Outlook report.  As part of the process we employ a number of “thinking tools” and ways of looking into the future that anyone can use. The future, understand, is all about perceptual domains.  Not everyday stuff, certainly, but with the pressure off for another couple of days, it’s always good … Read More

Durables, UI Filings, Charts

This being a semi-vacation week, we’re keeping on point with breaking economic news.  Since people are moving around the country in huge numbers (55+ million) for Thanksgiving tomorrow. Our consigliere had an earlier-than-expected arrival due to “dueling Garmin’s.”  Yep – sitting in the driveway here, one routes his return via Athens, Texas while the other … Read More

Collapse Check Due

Disaster at the docks is our urgent concern because “me-too financial media” doesn’t have Clue #1 about economics. While the government offers lots of “Offishul figgers” we like to run parallel private indicators.  So this morning, a quick glance over in that direction as we spool up toward holiday madness. With less than a week … Read More

PLE – Personal Life Extension

Since both of our reports next week will deal with charts only (holiday), I wanted to share some research that you’ll find very interesting.  It’s all arisen out of my latest novel (about 50-pages into the writing part – but life intrudes – often!) “Ancient Children” is its title. The plot involves an exceptional aging … Read More

Do Charts Predict Future?

Can charts tell us what to expect this coming week? In several areas – cryptos, bonds, inflation, and war – we have concerns about what charts are telling us about the future. An odd mix of regression channels, understanding how to apply the logistic function and implications of Elliott wave developments matter now. This morning, … Read More

American Deadwood

Election Day-After Limbo is a dandy time for this topic; voters have spoken and will change follow?  (No) The general topic around here this week has been “How many people” are really needed in a company? There are several ways to approach the problem:  Big picture, sampling of various companies by sector, and even building up … Read More

“Crashlection” Week Outlook

When there is a “known” event of major magnitude on the way, markets often hint in advance what to expect.  This is most often done with price changes.  Markets running up ahead of an event are called “Buy the rumor” and the decline following is often labeled the “Sell the news” aspect. With (at best) … Read More

Industrial Rev #3

If the first Industrial Revolution was water and steam power, while the second has been electricity and network-pushed, what will NEXT look like?  It’s not a silly question, at all.  And since the World may fall apart based on global economic consequences of War, Sanctions, Asset-Stripped Money, and  little side issues like a die-off and … Read More