A quick note this morning that should come as good news to the bulls. Despite the HUGE longwave economic mess we’re in, the latest H.6 Money Stocks report from the Federal Reserve shows how the Fed has deftly reduced their money print rate at M1 to prevent the market from prematurely peaking. And as the … Read More
In long wave economics, our main forte, we are in a lazy holding pattern. The market could continue on up, but to do so would require the recent highs of the past week be exceeded and we don’t see that at the open this morning with Dow futures down 25 and broader indicators saying it should … Read More
I clicked into the short side of the market this morning in the Extended Hours session. Admittedly, it’s a long-shot, but there is a technical possibility (based on aggregate market behaviors). And, if it doesn’t work out, I won’t be in even the whole day. The common “buzz” is that the market is going higher … Read More
We’ve been thinking with an interesting data metrics idea for timing market moves up, or down. Specifically it has to do with what I would describe as the global psychological analog to out existing work in aggregated markets. The simplest was to describe it is the notion that taken as a whole, the world some weeks … Read More
There is a weak case, but a case nevertheless, to be made that woo-woo upticks may be associated with stock market directional changes. Over the past two weeks, we have had a major uptick in both personal “woo-woo” along with reader-submitted reports. These come as the market may have, in this period, flipped from a likely outcome of … Read More
Saturday on the Peoplenomics side of the house we will cover a unique topic: News Trajectories. But, both for subscribers and the ‘great unwashed’ we can use this morning’s release of the Consumer Price Index data as a dandy example. You see, when a news item like the CPI crosses, it doesn’t just operate in the … Read More
The shock resignation of New York Attorney General Eric Schneiderman may have just saved the Trump presidency and lost the democrat’s chance of major congressional gains in the off-year congressional races, in our odd view of the world. That’s because The New Yorker has published a first-rate piece of journalism in “Four Women Accuse New York’s … Read More
The market is poised to break to much higher levels, but it’s still to early to pour oodles of money on the long side – just yet. For one, there are major resistance levels overhead from here. Second thing to watch is whether “Sell in May and go away…” shows up this year. It really … Read More
I don’t think anywhere is the contrast between the “old ways” and the new more apparent than the massive shift in “cost-per-pound” thinking. Which is? When you go to the grocery store, for example, and you have two nearly-identical products and you don’t want to buy randomly. This is when those “unit pricing” figures are … Read More
Over on the Peoplenomics side of the house we keep a very interesting chart for subscribers that’s updated twice a week. As I mentioned in the Wednesday report this week, we are in an odd divbergence globally: The US market has been dropping and the global has been rising. Figuring this can’t persist very long, our … Read More
We will present an exceptionally short column this morning because there are only a couple of stories worth focusing on. We’ve abandon the northeast liberal media’s promising “any day, now” for something of consequence in their Trumpquisition. Nuclear war is a potential flashpoint now that Israel has definitive evidence that Iran Lied about their secret … Read More
A while back, on our https://peoplenomics.com site, we suggested that America’s decline into a second depression might not be recognized as such, at least for the first half-dozen years. The key is properly orchestrating a media-fooling blend of actual deflation, the never spoken of Modern Monetary Theory, and backed up with high print rates of fiat money. Since … Read More
The day begins anew with Ure’s truly studying headlines, looking for signs of intelligent life on Earth. The news that Bill Cosby is headed for “the box” and that a “Longtime prosecutor takes over Weinstein case in NYC” are nearly equally useless headlines, as we seek the actionable. Unless you’re a high-powered defense attorney, there’s … Read More