It may be worth watching the news several times this weekend because the world is going into “Turn on the Blender Mode.”
At the macro level, there is a meeting of the G20 in Argentina. There’s more, but the top of the Wikipedia entry on point begins with…
The G20 (or Group of Twenty) is an international forum for the governments and central bank governors from Argentina, Australia, Brazil, Canada, China, the European Union, France, Germany, India, Indonesia, Italy, Japan, Mexico, Russia, Saudi Arabia, South Africa, South Korea, Turkey, the United Kingdom, and the United States. Founded in 1999 with the aim to discuss policy pertaining to the promotion of international financial stability,”
The key thing to watch at these “big powers” meetings is what’s on the menu… No, not the dinner menu…the topics menu. Here’s (roughly in order) what to keep an eye on:
WW3 and Mueller = Trump Stew
There are two major ingredient in this dish: We have Ukraine yelling that they want NATO help and the term WW3 is being bandied about.
Normally, we would blow off such hyperbole, but the Russians have moved up their advanced missile systems to their part of Ukraine and – depending on Vlad Putin’s (poker tell) reading of Trump, he will seize none, some, or all of Ukraine in coming weeks.
And that’s why the Trump administration has bowed to internal hawks like John (gimme a war) Bolton… The smart people in D.C. don’t want to get Putin a chance to “get a read” on Trump.
But that is only our first ingredient. Like a good stew, there’s a delicare “mixing of flavors” at play here. Because with the latest Michael Cohen disclosures, there’s now a question about whether Donald Trump continued thinking (working?) toward a Trump property in Moscow. Why, there’s even talk that one of the “sweeteners” might have been a Penthouse for (ingredient #1, Vlad Putin) from (Individual #1, DJT) to moe things along.
Meantime, we have headlines related to Ukraine using terms like WW3 Alert and sounding like war is imminent.
Odd to make “stew in a blender” so maybe this weekend is more properly viewed as the sous vide approach. Because Ukraine is a pretty good-sized roast, we wouldn’t expect anything for a week ior three. But, holidays are a grand time for war-making.
Is Xi Kidding?
Our “blender” concept begins to look more like a “garbage disposal” when we get to the Chinese footwork on trade. They’re dancing all over the place which has caused something of a disco fever to breakout in markets, although it looks more to us like negotiation Boogaloo.
As Xi Jinping and Donald Trump try to talk about trade, we wonder how much of a distraction the :”stew” will be. Notwithstanding, the Chinese have been trying to sound conciliatory and that has helped their markets recover a bit this week, but Trump needs to “put some points on the board” because his policies (not to mention his onetime attorney) have been pulling the rug out from under him lately. Yes, I refer to the Ford and Harley and other job cuts.
We expect Zi to employ a “love in the front, knife in the back” negotiating style.
Madness on Bordering May Flare
Remember, in our thinking processes about multi-spectral warfare, it’s not out of the question that the global socialists (which we assume Vlad Putin to be working) to press Central America drug gangs to send people north to stage a “media invasion” of America.
Sympathetic media are running “human interest” angles (a hunger strike? really?) which is tantamount to a fifth column action, but we’ve decried the lack of problems of too much “news capacity” and the Ure Curve of Information Distribution before.
“The WHAT?” (UCID)
Welcome back to Extensible Thinking 501.
If you missed it: In a “clean” news environment, you have a very sharp “information curve” – just like selectivity curves of a radio receiver.
What happens when the information curve broadens out too much, the “pass-band” of the channel begins to include more and more opinion – oftentimes based on a single fact – which in turn manipulates public sentiment. Hand me a cocktail napkin and one of my rollerball pens…
OK, second drawing to think about – since this is a lesson in extensible thinking:
This is what a receiver selectivity measurement series looks like.
Specifically, we’re looking at three bandwidth settings of the old Hallicrafters SX-117 I just finished restoring.
As you can see, (or not, depending on coffee loading so far) there’s a narrow pass-band (500 Hz wide) which is dandy for Morse code. Then the wider pass-band is for single side-band (SSB) voice reception. Finally, the “widest” setting is for AM (which we lovingly call ancient modulation).
Once you see and comprehend how receiver selectivity works, there’s hardly any effort required to extend the concept to the general realm of information.
Except (instead of bandwidth setting in KHz) our three “bandwidth settings” when we are personally in “information gathering modes” will range from the sharp/narrow setting (facts only) to the analog to the somewhat wider SSB/voice bandwidth…which we would call news facts plus some basic context.
Last, but not least, as we lose our personal selectivity (which is the “new” ‘Merican Way” and what the Useless Media due to hyperextension is about) what we observe is that additional bandwidth is mostly BSand opinion.
UCID Application Note
In radio receiver design, this is useless bandwidth if it doesn’t contribute to the desired signal you’re trying to receive. In the UCID theory, similarly, all this extra bandwidth in social, extreme, cause and opinion clusters doesn’t add a damn thing to the (useful) core news content.
Depending on which of the “news side-bands” you tune in to, liberal or conservative, for example, your views will be slanted one way or the other based on the “news” plus whichever “extended side-bands” of news and opinion you self-program.
The usable takeaway this morning is getting hold of your own “selectivity knob” So as we look at a potentially Big Weekend, we can assume there are three settings:
Facts” What are the “actual” results of Putin, Xi, Border, Ukraine?
Fact plus Contexts: What are the pertinent historical and settled legal and financial drivers of above events?
Fact, Context & Opinion:All of the above, but mostly buried by efforts to drive you to agreement with the proselytizer.
Once you get personal control of your inputs, your need for the proselytizer class of “pseudo news” goes away and you can focus on the important decision in life.
Like what’s for breakfast.
Ah, the One Chart that Matters, is it? OK, based on early futures readings:
Dow futures were down 135 when I looked earlier. BTC was under $4,000 so we continue to look at the BTFD (buy the freaking dips) crowd and wonder how they have avoided being committed for so long… On, in a narrower channel view.
And in OTHER Snews
here are a few items that should be “out of the pass-band” for you:
- Miss Singapore to wear dress honoring Trump-Kim handshake at Miss Universe pageant.
- Megan Fox confirms Shia LaBeouf romance on ‘Transformers’ set.
- NBA star Curry helps girl wear his trainers ‘proudly’
Maybe these are hugely important in your life but not in Ure life.
There is one story that really caught our eye: Mystery seismic waves ripple around the world and no felt it or understands why: report.
Since I fancy myself a writer (see books tab above) I remember seeing a plot like this in one of the books I read recently. Couldn’t find the name of that one (involved using seismic waves for mining and there were moster mutant crabs on the island where the scenes were set) but it’s a terribly familiar plot line.
Serial novelist Clive (car collector extraordinaire) Cussler tackled the plot in one of his books: Shock Wave (Dirk Pitt Adventure). Lots of good adventuring in that one…oh, and a sea monster in the lagoon.
Thing is, we pay particular note when “oddball” stories like this come along. Because – and we’ve mentioned this before – we’ve had a sense over the past couple of decades that the veils are thinning. In other words, the line that divides thought from reality seems to be wearing a bit.
Incidences of ESP, psi in general, and other phenomenon are gently ascending. Not all at once, or evenly. Yet still…there are the novels and there is a 17second cycling to this event that defies convention.
And that’s what real news is about.
Should mention the Dow futures have been cut to down only 73 at press time, so the “friends of the Fed” seem to be holding things up as we “cross over the Valley of Death in the 1929 rhymes…
Moron the ‘morrow…