Two Grim Perspectives

If the coming War with China and locked in to Target Zone life isn’t enough, how about a Second Depression, then? Today we have articles on all three prospects.  No, not reading for the faint of heart.

We provide a very long report today comprised of three major topics.

First, a repeat of a Comments post by Reader Stephen2 on risks in the upcoming war with China.  In this section, we speculate (with A.I. modeling’s) as to how much the timeline could accelerate because of Chinese losses to Covid which are not widely appreciated as a) being a U.S. intel op into Wuhan, and one that 2) may have cost China 100-million deaths.

This section explains how China is both Pissed (who wouldn’t be?) but also interested in pursuit of a “least cost war.”

The second aspect of note (with a few headlines along the way) is our ChartPack.  Where the road to Depression 2 – the Greater Depression continues to resolve into view.

And third?  We wrap up with how people who can’t make Big Moves in life (anticipating times going south for all) may have a few “muddle through options that might be employed now – even if addicted to Big City Medicine outlets for life sustaining treatments.

Yeah – a hard issue to write.  and long, too.  In fact (for nonsubscribers info) it’s north of 7,500 words today.  think of it as “a 10th of a book” – NOT counting two dozen pages of charts…

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71 thoughts on “Two Grim Perspectives”

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  1. Do woo woo dreams come in pairs….
    had one wild lucid dream last night…..woke up this morning and the wife that rarely has any lucid dreams started to tell me about this wild almost break dream she had…it was The exact same dream I had.

  2. (“If the coming War with China and locked in to Target Zone life isn’t enough, how about a Second Depression, “)

    I have had four sales reps from companies I buy regularly from contact me asking if I needed any supplies..
    had an old friend call me to vent yesterday.. they have an aggressive skin cancer..the clinic sent a nice letter asking for their pre treatment deposit..of course they don’t have it..seriously how many wage earners that work paycheck to paycheck have 50,000 to 100,000 in their immediate grasp.. he was venting because he doesn’t have that much even in his retirement funds that he could cash in..and they are delaying him even visiting the clinic.. all I could tell him was..its the business model..
    they have been delaying him now for several months.. it on the other hand is spreading.. the treatment is covered though its an almost similar story that one of the guys that lived here had..he didn’t have the fifty grand so they booted him out of the clinic it took a social worker 3 months to get him in.. I did tell him to see his social worker.. the guy that lived in our spare rokm.. he got sick again and his distant family have been dealing with getting him in again for over a year now..
    then I get a bill..from the dentist I had gotten dental insurance and had a simple thing done ( cleaning ) and paid my portion of it they billed the insurance and the insurance company said suck walley to the dentist.. so I called them to bitch..with the negative effect increase and the increases of essentials do I truly want to pay that monthly premium or just drop it.. I haven’t had this insurance very long the first test.. do you keep it or just dump it.. I could scan my hand with the one finger salute and frame it but I would rather have that on their letterhead and their finger…

    • Looking out of the box : not long ago I had the same problem with a Medicare Advantage carrier and had to make more than one call. Without meaning to be suspicious, it’s as if there’s scoring on *is it better to pay the claim* or is it *better to keep engaging* with the insured. These things shouldn’t be hard … it’s a covered claim or it’s not.

      A suggestion: think long and hard before “dumping” insurance coverage. Contemplate a change, during open enrollment period(s) first. IMO insurance is for worst case. I have carried high deductibles (on all insurance lines) for, uhm, four decades? Though reliant on a carrier to pay the big stuff we must pay small stuff.

      My house has never burnt down but I pay for fire insurance. Large scale medical expenses can easily outstrip the value of a home. Just read your coverages, modify at need, and demand participation for covered ailments / accidents / occasions.

      It’s Borg thinking, the Collective Hive, to insure.
      You don’t miss your water …
      Best Regards,
      Egor

      ps – NIA? [not insurance advice]

      • E & Lb,
        I recently filed a Personal Injury suit against a Real Estate Company, but since I’m over 65 and on Medicaid, will I be able to collect, or does Medicaid get it all? (suit is Small Claims, under $5k) please share if anyone has similar experience…

        G,
        China is 2nd largest Importer, behind the U.S., they ain’t self sufficient enough to start playing Cowboys and Indians with the rest of the world, all the U.S. & Allies have to do is block the Malacca Straits (cut China’s trade and oil), bingo, China’s economy plummets and can’t fight anybody:

        Import Export chart:
        https://uk.worldoptions.com/news/worlds-top-exporters-and-importers

        Malacca Straits:
        https://warsawinstitute.org/china-malacca-dilemma/

        Canada stopped allowing China to buy real estate 2 yrs ago, G, you really should try being current with your lengthy (yet erroneous) diatribes:
        https://www.reuters.com/world/americas/canada-extends-ban-foreign-ownership-housing-by-two-years-2024-02-04/

        You are so stuck on fear and war mongering, Big Daddy Trump can’t be wrong either, can he?

        • c – usually anyone who paid for medical care related to your injuries has the right of subrogation, meaning they have the right to be reimbursed from any settlement for any money they paid out. ditto if it was a car accident – someone runs a red light and hurts someone else. the victim’s health insurer pays the medical bills. the victim wins a case against the negligent party. the victim has to reimburse their health insurer for the cost of care. usually your lawyer will negotiate the subrogation claim – $10K in medical bills may be whittled down to $2 or $3K.

        • double dipping? the freebie medicaid,,, welfare already paid,,, yet you are suing for more.
          socialism, give me free stuff

      • GoodRX WORKS! I am dependent on exactly one regular medication. Off-patent, generic, it’s still in demand and pharma gets a huge premium retail price for it. My Med.Adv. plan copay cuts the retail price to 1/3 that outrageous sum, but it’s still high. I looked into GoodRX and the prescription from them is HALF what my insurance copay would be! Absolutely the best deal to be found for prescription drugs.

    • Regarding skin cancer. One might research Curaderm, a product out of Australia, initially used to treat skin cancers in bovines. Clif High used this in top of his head with successful results.

      Some else said they used horse ivermectin paste on their skin cancer which resolved that but I don’t recall if Dr. Makis was reporting in that or if it was someone else.

      Both Clif and Markis can be found in substack.

    • Insurances are businesses. They try to delay/push coverage decisions to the next quarter, to not impact earnings numbers/bonuses. Specially month 3 in a quarter. Once I realized that, it explains most of the delays I see in medical, home owners, auto insurance over the years.

      GoodRX – Yes, it works good for certain items, though I have to be careful. Using GoodRX bypasses applying those amounts to your regular insurance deductible, so make sure it fits your medical planning.

    • I used a salve that Clif recommended from personal experience. It’s from australia originally, made from eggplant. Actually says eggplant salve on the jar. Used to stop cancers on cattle and sheep. His problem went totally away in three weeks whereas his oncologist wanted to cut big and use skin grafts. It was on his scalp, in the middle of his head. We tracked it through the name he gave, got some and are disappearing every little or big thing. I had a huge mole like thing at my temple for fifteen years. Totally gone now. Fell off like a scab. T.botanicals , eggplant salve, solanum melogena.
      Cheap too.
      Hope this helps.
      Stiks

      • Thanks for this. Im going to try this for these sun spot damage on the backs of my hands. Some folks call these age spots but the skin doctor said they are sun damage. I had a melanoma removed about 5 years ago took my left nip off . Thankfully it hadnt spread. Funny story. I was in the shower about a month later and saw spot on my leg, panic sets in. set up an appointment. Wife came home and wiped it off me , it was some jelly eek
        I see these on the jungle website https://www.amazon.com/Eggplant-Salve-oz-Skin/dp/B09467ZHN2

        Ill post back in a month or so with a progress update, if i remember say theres not a salve to help with memories is there?

    • Have your friend research fenbendazole, which, along with ivermectin, are being found in studies to be effective at eliminating cancers. Both can be found at animal supply stores.

    • My wife and I used the “dental insurance” that comes with our Medicare Advantage plant through HealthNet. It’s pretty good for medical but for dental you gotta be kidding. Wife needed xrays, cleaning, a new bridge and a crown. I needed deep cleaning and x-rays. They were very eager to get a signature on the “finance plan” and although I paid about $1,000 to get started, after 5 months I still owe $1460. Only bright spot is there’s no interest.

  3. Whew, a lot to absorb, thanks, even though I am relatively fixed in position.

    I will remember “avoid strippers” though.

  4. (“Chinese losses to Covid which are not widely appreciated as a) being a U.S. intel op into Wuhan, and one that 2) may have cost China 100-million deaths.This section explains how China is both Pissed (who wouldn’t be?) but also interested in pursuit of a “least cost war.”)

    you mean that virus developed in the USA and in Wuhan lab that got loose in the market place less than a couple weeks after the joint military drills with US two blocks away lol..I wonder if they think they were fauched and if they believe it was a deliberate release of a biological killing millions .. wouldn’t fauch be slightly concerned on his own life security…

    • Yes
      and
      No

      Immediate future holds “MASSIVE FRAUD” as entire financial systems goes poof.

      See Uncle Clifs’ latest analyses of latest deep data run – it aint pretty.
      Lots of vomit/vomiting scenes in connedgress/halls of connedgress. The amazing Dick Algire did a RM project on this and sketched out congress critters on flr puking brains out several years ago@ future forecasting group.

      Seems there is 100 to 1000x MOAR dollars out there than on the Books at fed or treasury. Perhaps this why webee calling back the Gold that is supposed to be in fort knox.

      Think maybe there is a much longer/larger Cycle in play today..think The Age of Horus/Heru/Aquarius..

      Good Luck to All

  5. (“Taiwan Flashpoint – The biggest immediate risk of war. The U.S. has pledged arms sales and possible military support for Taiwan, while China sees reunification as a non-negotiable goal. If China moves on Taiwan, U.S. intervention could spark a direct conflict.”)

    ????… my acupuncturist is from Taiwan… his brother is fro Beijing.. the parents live in one country the grand parents live in the other…..
    neither see anything wrong both love the other.. it would be in the best interest with Taiwan to sign a similar deal like Hong Kong did…close family ties on both continents similar to Hawaiian citizens and the USA…
    what would we do if China or another country was selling weapons to Hawaii and threatening war because of coffee and pineapple..
    why didn’t we rush to Cuba’s situated when covid hit.. shoot that would have been a neighborly thing to do.. I always wanted to visit a coffee plantation and a pineapple plantation.. all these horrific wars are usually to follow some perverted business plan rather that benefits the power of someone that already has enough rather than negotiating for it..
    would the sons want to attack the parents or grandparents.. from my simple mind it just doesn’t make any sense..

  6. I best get off my ass and send $ to Mr Ure, for peoplenomics
    thanks, you earned it, plus

    • sorry Mr Ure this is not inline with todays post, but, I am still on the war path against the baby fuckin pedos
      click the volume button, this shit is sicking,, the one guy’s wife was in CPS, ‘child protection service’
      Florida Polk County Sheriff’s Office Child Porn Sting Operation,,,
      “BABIES RAPED AND TORTURED: Pedophile Disney World Employee charged with 540 counts of child pornography from newborns to 8 years of age. He had photographs and videos of babies tied up to be raped as young as weeks old. Her hands were tied up behind her back. Babies being raped.

      These innocent children as young as a few weeks old are being terrified, screaming and in excruciating pain while being raped by adult men who are literally tearing the baby girls flesh apart and we sit here as a society and let this continue to happen to millions of innocent children every day. We need to rise up and defend these children. This is a war on our children.,,,”
      https://x.com/Dre8942/status/1899839569656217773

      they all are anti-Trump,,, the pedos that is

      “Sometimes you can’t TELL the public the truth.
      YOU MUST SHOW THEM.
      ONLY THEN WILL PEOPLE FIND THE WILL TO CHANGE.
      CRIMES AGAINST CHILDRENunite all humanity [cross party lines]?
      Difficult truths.
      Q”
      https://qalerts.app/?q=crimes+against+children+

        • Let me add to your Pedometer Column,
          The Rapist in Chief welcomes Sex Traffickers to the U.S.:

          https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2025/3/5/andrew-tristan-tate-under-criminal-probe-in-us-state-of-florida

          ‘Their return to the US on a private jet last week came amid accusations that White House officials lobbied Romanian authorities to release the Tates – who have been vocal supporters of US President Donald Trump.’

          ‘Upon landing in Florida last week, Republican Governor Ron DeSantis said the brothers were not welcome in the state.

          “Florida is not a place where you’re welcome with that type of conduct,” he told reporters.’

        • Thought Exercise..

          It has been whispered that Earth IS a prison farm run by what we would consider “dark entities” from the “fallen days” .

          It has also been whispered that this “prison farm is also place they lock up Pedos frm around the Galaxy..real sci fi stuff hear.

          Now consider all the Trillions in missing $ – whispered to have all gone to “breakaway civ” dark projects.

          There is even annual surpluses around the planet produced by corporates – that dont get consumed in the marketplace. Uncle Clif did deep dive study of this earlier in 20024.

          Now consider ALL the missing Children from around the World per annum.

          “Something really fucking STINKS in Denmark” -BCN

          I would say more – but ya know breaking rocks in freezing cold, hot suns would be least of my worries..least.-https://youtu.be/FKIzjF25sP8?si=1Df7F2Ym0DGhG2dQ

        • when you say “rapist in chief” you [personal attack material edijt by admin – flag down on the field!]
          I do not know about the accuzations about the Tates, I don’t care for them,,, but Romania did let them go.

          does not compare to the items I posted in my above posts,,, Pedos raping babies
          https://x.com/Dre8942/status/1899839569656217773

  7. “Ure said: For now just assess to what level Chinese maneuvering in finance could already be part of a “least-cost warfare” strategy by China.”

    its not a secret that the dollar and all fiat currencies are worthless.. they aren’t backed by anything and our last four years propelled us deeper than ever.. the Bric’s is set to take over.. notice how most of the main manufacturing countries have joined the Bric’s… most of our food as well.. we only sell what 36 % of our food from the USA the rest is imported..this I believe was a plan ..see the weakness then focus on their weaknesses..
    The Art of War by Sun Tzu—a timeless masterpiece in strategy and tactics. The idea of focusing on an opponent’s weakness to gain the upper hand is a core principle in the text. Sun Tzu emphasizes the importance of understanding both your own strengths and weaknesses as well as your adversary’s. I believe they focused on the greed of the 1 % .. there’s never enough for those that want more. never.. my wife when we met made 4.50 an hour as a nurse that was what they made per hour.. now I think its somewhere around thirty.. I know a ton of people making less than that. traveling heath tends make 15.00 an hour around here.. that’s all the post office pays to..which is why we have trouble keeping delivery people.. our last delivery driver died..he had medical issues and no insurance hmm sounds like a pattern..

    • My friend daughter just graduated from 4 years nursing school, started working for NYU hospital $120k per year
      3 day 12 hours shift.

      • My daughter graduated from 2 yr nursing school 5 years or so ago in Birmingham with an RN.
        Started making about $55K on 3/12s.
        Finishing the BS Nursing this spring, will go for the Nurse Practitioner (NP).
        She is making over $60k now, before the BS, which will put here in the UABham Management Track,
        That’s the difference in COL from NYNY to BHM.

  8. ..The Process and Methods of Qigong Practice
    16 Internal Methods:

    12. Imagine your body is sinking slowly. For those who have high blood pressure, imagine you are sinking from head to toe, concentrate on exhalation, imagine from head to toe along the centre of your back that you are gradually sinking as if there is cold water being poured down. This method makes you feel you are sinking and may help to lower your blood pressure.
    FOr those who do not have high blood pressure, when you feel your body is sinking, do not be afraid, under any conditions, believe you are still sitting there. FOr those who are healthy, imagine you are sinking to the deeper levels of the earth among minerals and rocks to absorb the real Qi of earth, then gradually come back. For those who have sickness, do not let your body sink too deep. As soon as you feel your feet have sunk you should intentionally let yourself rise again. These are two different training methods catering to People with and without sickness. This is a Qigong method to absorb what is called “earth Qi”- YX

    • The Holistic view of hypertension (High Blood Pressure) is that it’s the result of a long standing emotional problem that’s not been solved. Therefore, when practicing Qigong it is advised to recite a mantra, such as “I joyously release the past. I am at peace”

      Qigong opens the bodies blockages through movement and, the mantra informs the mind (subconscious) of intention.

      When the body and mind work together in a repetitive positive manner, healing begins.

      I’m proof of that.

  9. Location for living

    Living location is more than just the “lowest cost”. It also entails the people you live around: their education level, their moral character, their internal values, their other interests and how those overlap with yours, and your neighbors general prosperity or lack their of.

    For me I could not live in a part of the country around people who were racist to the core. Saw that growing up and it can corrupt an entire area for me if such beliefs seem to be widely held in a area. Burning crosses, and people who believe in that shit, turn me off. Talk to some RURAL blacks who are solid middle class citizens, not city dwellers, and they will get you the lo down on places in the US to avoid if you just ask and give them some time to find out (rural middle class blacks are very different from their low end city cousins).

    Ditto for me on “education”. Doesn’t have to be university type education, can be anything that creates a curious people who look outside of the insular world of the specific location where they live. Some rural areas have people where their kids go all over the country and world before coming back home to settle down, many of them with no formal education after HS but their travels made them “worldly” … other places have kids who haven’t been two counties away and don’t care to go even that far away again.

    Local crime, is there local rural crime? If so that may well indicate an overall “morals” problem with the character of the people that occupy that area. (and as an “outsider” moving in if it does exist YOU will be targeted first) fwiw … just because people go to church does not mean that they are honest in the core of their soul, remember the highest divorce rates in the US are in the core of the Bible Belt

    For me “culture” is also something I would want nearby. Doesn’t have to be the best in the world, or even very good, but being in an area that supports that dynamic for me is important … there are some really poor areas in the US that do have “culture” as part of their local dynamic (ie: local plays, local music other than garage band type music, people who are artists of one sort or another, etc.).

    Life is more than just money … it is also about how your are going to live your daily life and the people around you as you live that daily life.

    • S2

      You stated, “Talk to some RURAL blacks who are solid middle class citizens, not city dwellers, and they will get you the lo down on places in the US to avoid if you just ask and give them some time to find out (rural middle class blacks are very different from their low end city cousins).”

      May be nice to move in those neighborhoods where the middle class blacks could use your help to change the neighborhood.

      • I lived in a majority Black area of my city for years (2+ decades ) before I had to move for other reasons than my neighbors.

        Have you?

        Rural Middle Class Blacks ARE different from many of their city cousins who live in the poorer parts of the city where NO DADS living with the mother of the kids make up 80% +- of the population. LBJ’s “Great Society Program” destroyed the Black Family which imo is a goodly part of the problem we see today with inner city Black teenagers. Often (usually) mothers alone can’t handle active boys growing up who do not have the influence or role model of of a working father in the household … and the Black teenage boys thus RUN WILD. (the same thing happens in White families where the vindictive mother locks the kids away from the Dad in the event of a separation/divorce and he can’t see them regularly anymore) Until you solve the “Dad In The Family” problem you are NOT going to solve the teenage/20’s problem with young Black Males.

  10. Why so GRIMM, Brother ?

    Can you Not hear over the crowd noise ?

    “SOLD !”

    What was that ?

    SOLD!

    Thats right home gamers – Selling this rally – as old Aussie anti Gold guy used to say on these pages – “short the gutz out of it”.

    So I AM, took/taking profits (AEM calls), and anywhere else they were lurking on the trade blotter(slimpickens).
    Reloading now with QQQ long Putz and SPY long Putz – long dated 3-6 months. Long Calls on very select Gold equities, long dated as well.

    I luv the “movement” in markets, but it becomes too much work & stress once a “move” becomes big enough. Too much like real work, DAMMIT. I retired for goodness sakes and my WORD is GOLD..unlike some others around hear..ahem.. “YES…I AM TAKING TUESDAY OFF”-GU

    Lower for longer – till CREDIT breaks, whenever that is..sooner than later I would imagine.. as soon as it does..kowa,kowa, KOWABUNGA! Big wave surfing time. Just need to secure my ride out thru the surf zone past reef..

    Waxed & Ready Surfdoggies -https://youtu.be/IMChBJZUDK8?si=-B4ysBf14p9zsupZ

  11. Big Al and I have had success with Fenbendazole on skin cancer with our step Dad. Rather aggressive cancer went away with 1 gram week of the powder you buy on the internet.

  12. And now I’m sitting here wondering what impact the current shit show in the Philippines may have on world events.

    Former President Duterte was arrested on an alleged “warrant” from the ICC on charges of “Crimes against Humanity” for his crackdown on crime during his time in office. He was not allowed to see his lawyer and no hard copy of the “warrant” was presented to his lawyer. He was then loaded onto a charter jet and flown to The Hague and imprisoned in the ICC holding center. That happened in less than a day.

    Someone I have corresponded with for several years, has sent me several videos showing what looks like tens of thousands of protestors in cities across the Philippines. She indicated that she believes it could be heading toward a full-scale rebellion. I told her that the outcome would depend of which side the Military and Pulis choose to take.

    Would a seriously unstable Philippines have an effect on the timing if the Chinese choose to make their move?

  13. 1) You have to ask yourself what does china want Taiwan FOR? To plant a giant air/space base? For agriculture? To make a profitable slave state? For old-time patriotic spiritual reasons? To invade it simply because it’s there?

    Seems to me its technical businesses — capturing them, and milking them — is practical.

    Shooting war is messy and damaging to the infrastructure at all levels. Unprofitable and inefficient/

    I think they’ll take it if they can, but only in relatively clean manner.

    2) Miscalculation and stupidity can easily make the situation very bad — fast.

    3) A.I. is a mirror. (…and I have almost zero experience with it firsthand) You see a reflection of yourself, with some distortions and embellishments. …just an opinion. It may be an “imagination amplifier.” (Beware of feedback.)

    4) China could most thoroughly clean our clocks to our total internal collapse easily, anytime they decided to.

    5) We will never deeply Understand the Chinese view of Time, or Patience. We can’t.

    73

    • Two of your (excellent) points for comment.
      3) A.I. is a mirror. (…and I have almost zero experience with it firsthand) You see a reflection of yourself, with some distortions and embellishments. …just an opinion. It may be an “imagination amplifier.” (Beware of feedback.)
      This is why we do paid Grok3 PLUS ChatGPT 4o. Allows some degree of “error-checking” in either our own thinking or in the machine’s.
      And when you said
      5) We will never deeply Understand the Chinese view of Time, or Patience. We can’t.
      A shorty story because I was priviledged to grow up in a genuine multicultural neighborhood before the Marxists moved to Seattle in the 70s.
      The home turf was 1/3 each: White, Black, and Asian. It was PERFECT balance. Firehouse work ethic, liberal inquiry but balanced with conservative economics. A great start to life.
      Anyway, one day I was working on a mechanical problem (I was a teen at the time) and my buddy (the Major’s) older/late brother came by and sai “You have the paitience of a Chinaman.” It wasn’t a racial slur. It was one of the “learnings” that hasd given me great value in Life.
      The reason (when we can put aside the bullshit of politics, liberalism and conservatism (confused with finance) we come to realize that each of the “root races” of the World has a special gift. When orchestrated, all things become possible. Now, take the matter of Patience – which is closely related to not being able to learn “deep work” (to borrow the Cal Newport book title context). Most people don’t appreciate that East Asians are far more patient in how they approach work because their onboard “clocking” is not so manic as ours. Some concepts to ponder, Wm:

      Haplotypes and ADHD Risk
      Studies have identified specific genetic variations linked to ADHD, particularly in neurotransmitter-related genes like DRD4 (dopamine receptor D4), DAT1 (dopamine transporter), and SNAP-25. Some haplotypes appear protective, while others increase risk.

      Populations with Lower ADHD Prevalence
      East Asians (Han Chinese, Japanese, Koreans)

      Multiple studies suggest lower ADHD rates in East Asian populations compared to Western populations.
      The 7-repeat allele of the DRD4 gene, associated with increased ADHD risk, is significantly less common in East Asians.
      Some East Asian haplotypes appear to promote stronger dopaminergic regulation, reducing impulsivity and hyperactivity.
      Indigenous Arctic and Inuit Populations

      ADHD prevalence is relatively low in some Indigenous Arctic groups.
      Genetic adaptations for dopamine efficiency in harsh climates may contribute to reduced impulsivity.
      Certain African Populations

      Some sub-Saharan African groups have low ADHD diagnosis rates, but this may be due to differences in cultural perceptions rather than genetic predisposition.
      However, West African populations have a high frequency of the 7R allele in DRD4, which is linked to increased ADHD risk in Western populations.
      Middle Eastern and Some South Asian Groups

      Some studies suggest lower ADHD prevalence in certain Middle Eastern and Indian populations.
      Genetic studies on DRD4 and DAT1 variants suggest protective alleles may be more common in these groups.
      Key Protective Haplotypes
      DRD4 2R, 4R alleles – More common in East Asians, associated with lower ADHD risk.
      DAT1 10-repeat allele – Some evidence suggests it may reduce hyperactivity in certain populations.
      COMT Val158Met polymorphism – Some variants are associated with better executive function and lower ADHD symptoms.
      Conclusion
      East Asians, some Middle Eastern groups, and Arctic Indigenous populations tend to have the lowest genetically linked ADHD rates.
      Genetic variation in DRD4 and dopamine regulation appears to be a key factor.
      Cultural and environmental factors also play a major role in ADHD diagnosis and perception.

      Sadly, we have decided in America (land of money-medicine) to medicate (the child) instead of educate (the parent).

      So not only are you exactly right in your observations, but there is peered data supporting the view. (Which we tend to miss in the culture war which is really a communist insurgency to end critical thinking which seems to be working oh, so well!

  14. After years of looking in on this site a couple of times a week, I paid my $40 a couple of weeks ago, and it should have been long before that. It was just about the time I started volunteering Mondays and Fridays at the local Catholic Church food bank. I’m not Catholic, but this church follows the beliefs of St. Francis in deed and spirit, and I’m pleased to share a prayer with them before we begin work. George, I will have you beat by three years in July, and it’s never too late to lend a hand, but you show us that every week. Keep up the great work. Gray Fox

  15. George:
    I have several questions about today’s Peoplenomics.

    1) Did you notice that the E/U chart has fully inverted now, with all of the other series lines now below the Series 14 line, and all lines heading south? Comments?

    2)On the Peoplenomics Eliot/Trending Chart, the Aggregate is near crossing the mid-trend, below the 200DMA. Do you think any rally may just kiss that mid-trend and not go all the way back to the 200?
    I agree that someone, Chicoms, or Dimms, or EU+IC, will be more than happy to crash our markets inside PDJT’s first 100 days. I don’t think he will cae that much B/C, a) he’s a land/building man, not a stockholder. Thats Nancy Pelosi’s shtick. b) He won’t mind letting FJBs pile of crap tip over early in his term, C) He is more interested in Uprooting the swamp than watching the stocks right now.

    3)Not a question but I sure would like to see where the 42DMA is in both of the Trend Crossing Studies. Right now the Blue 5 days is below the 200, and the yellow 21 day is below the 85, Where is the 42?

    4) on the Bear Gollum and the Mood Swing Indicator has the gollum’s ever climbed up there with the aggregate as they have recently?

    5) As to war with China, I would point everyone to the Tucker Carlson/ Col. Douglas MacGregor conversation on The Conservative Treehouse yesterday had much to think about in regards to coming war with China. MacGregor didn’t say as much but China could wage war with us with Mexico as proxy, much as we are doing now with Ukraine.
    MacGregor says Mexico is are biggest threat now and was historically. Before the World Wars, our Army was here at home, and it was ALL along the southern border, because they were the biggest threat.
    Now the Cartels run everything, and when foreign actors want to work against the USA, they work through the Cartels not the MexGov. For Example, we all know half of everything we sent to Ukraine was sold on the black market to make Z and his generals rich. But who bought it? And why are the elections on the border so screwed up, with even both DIMMs and RINOs working against transparency?
    I wasn’t expecting this but the Colonel says the number of elected officials in the Cartels pockets is frightening, and goes far beyond the border states. He also says if we go over the first ridge beyond the Rio Grande you will find Javelin Missle batteries in Mexico, and they don’t belong to the government.
    His opinion is that our biggest threat was and is Mexico. He thinks all of our military in Europe and The Middle East should be brought home, and stationsed in rotating assignments on the Border until the Wall is built, the area cleared, and all of the illegals are deported.
    Then the Army should be maintained on both borders. See US Constitution, Art. 1, Sec 8, Para 15 I think. The Three duties of the US Army are Enforce US law, suppress insurrection, and REPEL INVASION.
    He also says when the war starts will be when we choke off a critical amount of the Cartels money.
    We will know when we have reached that point, because that is when the attack will come.
    The Conversation was on Treehouse yesterday, and is also on You Tube. ( https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jvbd6HAziaE)

    • I will try to cover all these (damn fine) qwuestions this weekend in ChartPack.
      But in the very shot-term when you asked “2)On the Peoplenomics Eliot/Trending Chart, the Aggregate is near crossing the mid-trend, below the 200DMA. Do you think any rally may just kiss that mid-trend and not go all the way back to the 200?”
      I THINK that hitting this trend will result in a small bounce. But yes, then a turn down to the bottom of the green long-term channel looms. And that’s how we could get a small 4 now, a final 5 (to the lower channel limit) between not and Memorial day. That could set up a screaming rally (think higher debt ceiling) over summer.
      This MAY be the Macro 1 down and Macro 2 up.
      The Wave 3 down collapse this fall is where the real damage will likely come. That could result in Depression 2 becoming in-your-face obvious in 2026 – with Taiwan “reunited” by then (hook or crook). From there it will all depend on China’s growth and arming, and how stupid Europe seems intont to be “kicking the bear.”

    • “He also says if we go over the first ridge beyond the Rio Grande you will find Javelin Missle batteries in Mexico, and they don’t belong to the government.”

      Well, I’ll be darned…

      If DougieMac is to be trusted (and I’ve found no reason not to) I may have another intel source. I heard this a few days back and shelved it. My source said the missiles had been identified as U.S. ordinance which had been sent to Ukraine.

  16. George,
    ‘ClearValue Tax’ is a solid advice you tube site with 2.5 million subscribers. The author’s current belief is that there will be an equity melt-up when the fed starts lowing the fed fund rate.

    (My comment on his current posting): Re-industrilization of the US is a worthy goal; tariffs in the current interconnected North American economy are the wrong tool – Smoot-Hawley 1930. 19 Feb 2025 was the peak valuation for the SPX as 3 Sept 1929 was for the DJIA. The US has reached an unlivable tipping point for many US consumers with high debt load, high subprime auto loan default rates, and high living cost (with only modest disinflation.) Even useless governmental jobs sustain debt repayment and place money into the base US consumption and service economy. The US is at the end of a 1982 13/32-33 year :: x/2.5x (fractal) credit cycle. These asset-debt credit cycles are observably how the macro economy operates. In 16 months or so, holding cash at the present time will be retrospectively the most prudent thing one currently could do. (Ask Warren Buffet) Good luck, but don’t anticipate an equity melt-up with lowered fed fund rates in the coming severe recession. This time is not different.

    Today was day 14 a 15-18 day 2nd fractal of a 12 Feb 2025 7/14 of 15-18/14-18 day crash 3-phase fractal decay series.

  17. Tennessee and Arkansas are in the New Madrid Fault Zone, and Mississippi borders it. A quake along that fault is expected in the near future. That would be enough for me to downvote any of those states for relocation. That leaves Texas, where someone might be lucky enough to find a place near George!

    • Nein,nein,nein

      Texas IS the Front Lines in the coming Narco Wars.

      Behind the “Lines” Sleepers&Embeds..Oh My, they would be near the largest Mkts..NE city ctr’s, WestCoast city ctrs’ – not just tons of cocaine and fenty been pouring into USA.

      Must consider Drugs as a MAJOR Resource..We be in that cycle right now – resource wars..

      “Cry Havoc, and slip The Dogs of War” – JC

    • Don’t forget Southern Illinois and Western Kentucky for EQ risk, Both are very close to New Madrid Missouri, though those weren’t listed as an option of places to move to.

  18. “Taiwan Flashpoint – The biggest immediate risk of war. The U.S. has pledged arms sales and possible military support for Taiwan, while China sees reunification as a non-negotiable goal. If China moves on Taiwan, U.S. intervention could spark a direct conflict.”

    I notice ChatGPT considers Taiwan as Chinese territory. So do most people who’ve learnt world history in American schools. The Chinese expats on Taiwan are Chinese people and might be forced against their will to reunify by a Chinese invasion. The Island of Formosa, and the outlying Taiwanese islands are not Chinese turf. They belong to the native Formosans, who are of a Polynesian, not Chinese haplotype.

    Is everyone in agreement that it’s okay for the Chinese to forcibly take ownership of the Taiwanese island chain and subjugate its native people to mass execution (they’re not Han. Xi stated the only true Chinese are Han. All others are inferior and have no rights, not even a right to live.)

  19. “Japan & Alaska Front: China could apply pressure in the East China Sea, harass Japanese bases (Okinawa, Senkaku Islands), and push Russia to increase activity near Alaska.”

    …Because I’m sure Putin wouldn’t mind at all, being Xi’s bitch.

    Trump is trying to work a deal in Ukraine where, not only does the fighting stop, but the Russians and Ukrainians both become wealthy, and we partner with both. Viktor Orban is trying to work a deal where the U.S. and Russia become besties, and team up with Poland and Hungary to form a new mutual aid treaty organization — shitcanning NATO which has become bloated and mired in bureaucratic muck.

    Should one or both of these happen, Russia will no longer be in China’s corner.

    What does ChatGPT think China will do, if they don’t have Russia (and its massive energy reserves) on their flank?

  20. I grew up in a small, mostly agricultural midwestern town. When I moved to Honolulu for a fabulous tech career, it always bothered me that I was sharing an island with a million people and all of us dependent on a 2500 mile ocean shipping link for… everything. Early on I experienced a hurricane that knocked out our power for five days. Water worked yet. Stores and fuel stations rare and far between… if they happened to have a generator available. But things were getting tense in the crowded big city. Elders don’t climb 30 flights of stairs to their apartments, so many were trapped at ‘home’. Over the years I stashed survival supplies at several remote ‘bug-out’ locations if needed. Thankfully, they were never needed, and I made to to my planned retirement… even if kicked out a few years early.

    Like George, I am quite happy with the low cost, rural, survival platform I have acquired. I give thanks for it daily. I don’t need to list all the details again. But for you city dwellers… Plan Ahead! Don’t get caught by surprise. Everything you have grown accustomed to will not last forever.

  21. “Ure said: No, but is there any acceleration of scenario if China did, in fact, lose up to 100-million as recent estimates has placed losses due to the US intel agency backed spread of Covid -19 from Wuhan. Do recent behaviors indicate the timeline could be advanced over lingering Covid anger with the US?”

    The COVID release was not as a result of a CIA op. I saw and read everything which came out of China regarding COVID from December 29, 2019 until the third week of January, when the CCP put the clamps on all information. Remember how, in December, China said CV-19 was a non-issue, because human-to-human transmission was exceedingly unlikely? If they could pass blame at that time, this statement would never have been made.

    It is possible that the Xi Administration might’ve chosen to blame us, just to give the peasants a bogeyman other than Xi, but the brass in the CCP all know better…

  22. “America’s Cutter-in-chief? Trump to ‘dismantle’ US Education Dept. as it lays off half its staff”

    He, he… ‘Bout frickin’ time.

    “And tariffs…what day would be complete without those balls being in the air, huh? EU Hits Back at U.S. With Tariffs on Bourbon, Motorcycles, and Boats.”

    They have had tariffs on bourbon, bikes, and boats for 40 years — not impressed…

  23. Urban Plight: 2 Case Studies

    “The “Urban, Sneaky Pete” approach to Urban Survival in this kind of chaos”

    One Molotov cocktail and it’s a crematorium. Urban punks would torch a place like this first, simply because it looks like there’s no reason for its existence.
    ______

    Case #2: End of the Florida Dream?

    Why not move the Doctor to North-Central Florida? COL is lower, even than Mississippi. He would still have the benefits of Florida living. It would be hot and humid, but not as hot or humid as Texas or Mississippi, and the people are the salt of the Earth…

  24. re: Grimm Brothers
    feat: Cyrus the Great & King Wu of Zhou

    Folks,
    Yesterday China’s “Xinhua News” published an image from the Saudi ceasefire talks. Each member of the Ukrainian delegation was pictured with a box of kleenex tissue in addition to a selection of decanter beverages set before them. Today “RT” released video of President Putin attired in camo greeting his military-type peeps in Moscow.

    Interestingly the founded-in-China crypto firm “Binance” perhaps lately of Malta put up images on its website of MBS separately meeting Zelensky and Rubio (on Monday?).

    The Chinese character caption above Zelensky, MBS, and their respective flags reads: “Saudi Crown Prince Prime Minister (ie: MBS) Meets Zelensky”. The caption above Rubio, MBS, and the KSA flag (no USA flag) reads: “Shah awaits Prime Minister’s meeting (illegible)”. The pictures are credited to “oracle bone (big person, small person?) playing contract”.

    Here is a “Wikipedia” link to the Shah’s 1971 shindig at Persepolis (‘City of the Persians’) which was attended by the Duke of Edinburgh and the Princess Royal:

    https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/2,500-year_celebration_of_the_Persian_Empire

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