The Inflation and Fed-Guessing Game – Another PC Swap

Two things are moving along as expected around here: The market rallied like we projected Monday.  And computer issues came out and snagged us.  This latter was not so much an expectation so much as a kind of “feels due” event.

I suppose, lacking any real news to talk about (except be sure and pick up a MegaMillions ticket because they payoff is up to something like $800-million now) there’s not much going on.

Well, except money, dammit – there’s always money “stuff.”

Small Business in Alignment

We have too many mega corps in the world, in our view.  We shouldn’t really need many businesses with more than a billion or so of revenue.  Because (from our observations) when businesses get too big, they only care about making money and not the simple serving of the needs of the People.  They also spawn a class of elite pricks who ignore the rest of us.

Sure, there are some arguments that you need big business.  But, to our way of thinking, not really.  What you need are bite-sized agile companies that can do things effectively.  Does Elon Musk need to become ONE GIANT?  Nope.  PayPal, Tesla, SpaceX – all serial companies.  Sure, they are big, but in diversity comes resilience.  Maybe a billion is too small, but you get the point.

Anyway (this was going somewhere) the point is the closer to home companies are, the more the world they experience is like the world the rest of us suffer through.

Which is why the National Federation of Independent Business Optimism readings are a kind of reality check on what the news has “felt like” over the past month.

“WASHINGTON, D.C. (Sept. 10, 2024) – The NFIB Small Business Optimism Index fell by 2.5 points in August to 91.2, erasing all of July’s gain. This is the 32nd consecutive month below the 50-year average of 98. The Uncertainty Index rose to 92, its highest level since October 2020. Inflation remains the top issue among small business owners, with 24% of owners reporting it as their top small business operating issue, down one point from July.

“The mood on Main Street worsened in August, despite last month’s gains,” said NFIB Chief Economist Bill Dunkelberg. “Historically high inflation remains the top issue for owners as sales expectations plummet and cost pressures increase. Uncertainty among small business owners continues to rise as expectations for future business conditions worsen.”

Key findings include:

  • The frequency of reports of positive profit trends was a net negative 37% (seasonally adjusted), seven points worse than in July and the lowest since March 2010.
  • Twenty-four percent of owners reported inflation as their single most important problem in operating their business, down one point from July.
  • The net percent of owners expecting higher real sales volumes fell nine points in August to a net negative 18% (seasonally adjusted). Real sales volume expectations were the largest contributor to the decline in the Optimism Index along with earning trends and expected business conditions.
  • A seasonally adjusted net 20% plan to raise compensation in the next three months, up two points from July.
  • The net percent of owners raising average selling prices fell two points from July to a net 20% seasonally adjusted

Also notable is that 40 percent of respondents couldn’t find qualified people willing to work at existing job openings.

The Digital Rapture

This gets to a key point a learned colleague and I have been batting around the past several days.  Namely that we have so many young people who have already done the “digital Rapture” and are now living purely inside their heads – coming down from the Cloud only long enough to take meals and do nastygrams on Social and they “Poof!” – are up and away again doing whatever goes on up there…

“Spiritual Money” Too

Money evolved from chits – given to owners of grain – who stored their wealth in granaries back bazillions ago.  There was some loss and there was some fraud, as any system with money involved will generate.  Here in modern times, we have nothing behind money in general – and digital wealth in particular.  As Bitcoin has clawed back over the $57.000 level again today, the Bitcoin Nazi is sneering again in Ure’s direction screaming “No Bitcoin for Ure!

I mean I get that.  But don’t people from Pennsyltucky know how to read? Let’s to some remediating, shall we?

We don’t see it, but we don’t see a lot of things, I guess.

The Future on Parade

The big deal anymore is not making money.  The Big Deal is preparing for Urban Survival.  Because the Future will be along all too soon.

Tomorrow morning the inflation report will hit.  If there’s another spike up in the core rate the Fed looks at – the one without food and energy prices (which we know is absurd, but they hold the nation’s money hostage) – and if it shows even a twitch to the upside the view will be things are “good enough” that rates don’t/won’t have to come down.

That lil grenade goes off a week from 2 PM (eastern) tomorrow when the FOMC pops.

War Follows

Meanwhile, in the back room, the minions of the real powers (the neocon minions) are doing their damnedest to get World War III rolling.  Again, we are steadfast in our Sept 21-October 10 range for China to pull off an air and sea embargo of Taiwan.  No doubt, Chinese president Xi will be more than a tad pissed that Taiwan exports to US surpass China in August.  And what’s more Taiwan was making the Harvard Crimson today with Taipei City Mayor Discusses National Security, Future of Taiwan at IOP Forum.

In fact, Taiwan is becoming such a Big Deal that U.S. states are lining up to install trade missions there.  Taiwan hails Indiana trade office as boost to bilateral ties. You will have to pass the vise grips on this one because for the life of me, I can’t figure out what would be an office supporting a bilateral trade tie-up between that state and that country.  Maybe the coffee just hasn’t kicked in? Pork for Processors?

More War Plans

Neocons haven’t stopped doing their best to kick off World War III before the election, so we can skip the contentious balloting processes. In fact, overnight, the Ukrainians were coached into attacking near Moscow. A couple of versions of the story are worth reading:  A woman is killed near Moscow as over 140 Ukrainian drones target Russia, officials say with a similar tune played in Ukraine attacks Russia with 144 drones, killing one and closing airports.

Frankly, the frenzy of the attacks has left no one in the West talking about peace talks – the sham talks this summer (which didn’t include Russia) predictably went nowhere.  But I suppose that was the point: let’s all pretend peace matters (while passing out billions in defense contracts to pump up employment ahead of the likely to be canceled…oh, let’s not go there).

In fact, the only time Ukraine gets interested in “peace talks” is when they are getting butts whipped. Ukrainian Support for Peace Talks Rises After Counteroffensive Setbacks. Nothing especially new in the conduct of war there, however.

The only place we could find hopeful signs of actual peace talks was between rebels and the government in Colombia.  Where the coca revenues and control have been central. Colombian Government, Rebel Group to Resume Peace Talks. In Havana, no less.

Speakin of “Blow to Go”

We have Francine now in the Gulf of Mexico:

We will get a passing wet spot tomorrow, but hardly enough to mention.

Junk from the Trunk

A super-size of slop and glop from most of the other news sources.  I’m so sick of political bullshit I could spew.  When you take out that crap, there’s actually very little going on: high taxes are coming, the border is still open, Woke is a Joke and Climate is broke, and…

Oh, yeah, mail in ballots are fraught with fraud says the Heartland Institute: Collin Rugg on X: “REPORT: 20% of mail-in ballots were fraudulent in the 2020 election according to a study conducted by the Heartland Institute. The study was referenced by Donald Trump over the weekend who received backlash for making the claim. According to the Heartland Institute’s Justin https://t.co/KBBgHAn40U” / X. Oh, please, don’t pretend you didn’t know…

One reason for the last of political news is that the Left owned media doesn’t have much to sell now that Trump is back surging in the polls: Go check out InteractivePolls on X: “#Latest @NateSilver538 Forecast (9/9) ? Trump: 64.4% (new high) ? Harris: 35.3% —— Swing States: chance of winning Pennsylvania – ? Trump 65-35% Michigan – ? Trump 55-45% Wisconsin – ? Trump 53-47% Arizona – ? Trump 77-23% North Carolina – ? Trump 76-24% Georgia – ? https://t.co/Cw23W9WmSK” / X

The implosion of politics has continued at other levels, as well: California Democratic state senator Marie Alvarado-Gil defects to Republican Party/ And did you read the one about the reason this long-time democrat jumped parties?  Can’t make this up: Female Calif. state senator allegedly forced male staffer to perform sex acts: lawsuit. Then she jumped parties?  Why do I get the idea that that GOP ought to have a membership review committee?

At the Ranch: Another PC Swap

Fortunately, I remembered to turn on Microsoft’s backup tools long enough to get a useful snag of my new computer recently. Because last night I ran Wise Registry Cleaner and deleted some (*turned out to be) critical files.

Now I have to spend an hour or two going back in and restoring the registry because with the missing files, the (old) new computer won’t boot.

But, the good news?  (Yes, there is some…) There is a column this morning because my new minicomputer (gen 13 screamer) was able to completely restore over Starlink in under an hour.  So, worst case, all I have to do is download Office365 with settings and the email will be working again and putting in a few other items and everything will be golden.

Still, kind of disconcerting at 4 AM when I was all hot to write to find out that the new PC would not boot and wouldn’t even do the system recover and not even a reset.  Sheesh!


The Major’s son passed (no sweat) his PhD. dissertation proposal defense Monday.  (I never got that far and didn’t realize this is a two-part deal: First you defend th4e research proposal (yesterday) and then he does all the actual work and then (in April) when the work is done, he defends the finished product.

Which means another tough week ahead out there.  The good news is that he’s got all the required blessings now and will likely be promoted to Ltc. before Christmas.  And then teaching at the academy for four years – with likely a year in a research facility.  Really interesting track for the nation’s best and brightest.

Then there’s the rest of us…chop words carry water.


Got a coat of Penofin on the new deck Monday. Also ordered a load of deck railing build materials, so that will be along in a week, or so.

Never stops does it?  With an hour and seven minutes to write the column today…

Oh, and mention the Futures have turned solidly higher, which we told you yesterday would be the most-likely dance card ahead of the inflation numbers tomorrow.

Write when you get rich,

George@Ure.net

37 thoughts on “The Inflation and Fed-Guessing Game – Another PC Swap”

  1. “sneering again” ?!?!???

    What the what ? I dont sneer at anyone I respect and or like, puhlease. Nor do I scream..unless of course were talking Spiders, then its more of a shriek.
    Cold snap just came thru Pennsyltucky this past week, and all the 8 legged mofo’s are on the move, INTO da house..&^$#!(@^@^$@^!!

    Not a fan of 8 legged creepy crawlies – had real hard time with “ambushing”…sitting/laying around for hours or more, without really moving much, in the DARK. I sealed my gear like I was jumping HALO…did I mention I no likey creepy crawlies?
    In BCN household, it was Son who was called on to remove all Spiders…we try not to kill em. Did I mention the big black hairy Wolf spiders – that love moisture, that is found underneath soiled Laundry, in da basement ?
    Oh lordy has there been some Shrieking coming out of laundry room this week. Of course I am useless when comes to dealing with Spiders, but I will retrieve the Vacuum cleaner for you if you are so inclined to rescue em.

    Have tried for what seems a very long time now 2 get folks to understand BTC TECHNOLOGY.

    Like Meditation – it IS a Technology.

    * My apologies for any slights , insults, or hurt feelings – my method of Teaching is harsh, seems maybe too harsh for todays Boomers.

    ** See I didnt even use the term “candy assed” to describe todays boomers. That my good citizens is what improvement looks like..

    *** Yes I do KNOW my Spirit/Soul will be confronted with a big one on its journey..hopefully it will be “Mother Spider”.

    Ask an Amerindian- Native American bout her, if you gotz ?s

    Peace.

    • (“Have tried for what seems a very long time now 2 get folks to understand BTC TECHNOLOGY.
      Like Meditation – it IS a Technology.”)

      It is.. like most online transactions… the thing for me.. is it only exists in the meta world..IF.. something came up…..
      years ago..I helped a few people I knew put in an order for some equipment.. they didn’t have an account with the company so I had to make the order..I didn’t have a credit card because I couldn’t get one.. a boss I had tossed all his employees under the wheels of the bus playing the stock market during the reagan recession.. anyway.. there was an electrical storm and the wire transfer vanished before my eyes.. the bank that made the transfer.. oops to bad buddy.. ten thousand dollars.. gone in a fluke of a storm.. lost in the meta world.. then I had to come up with that money to give back to the people that had me make the order for them.. scared the shit out of me..
      BTC is the meta world.. you don’t even know where it is going or who is holding it.. you just have a sheet of paper.
      the same thing happened during the last recession.. people went to bed a wealthy man woke up penniless.. the banks all closed and it was gone.. farmers and housewives husbands.. hid money around the house and farm .. you still find that now.. where they went short they made sure they wouldn’t go through that again..
      the poorest see this drama every day.. its faced and they make sure they won’t ever go through it again.. my parents.. they went through the depression.. I thought I knew what they had.. when they moved out.. they brought in cart loads of stuff .. I didn’t have a clue.. the MORMON church preaches all the time to have a food stock etc.. this is because of what the original founders went through.. they had to rely on each other to survive.. todays mormons or lds don’t have that worry so they in turn turned away from their original position like the colonies.. and each of the members is on their own.. when the meta or if the meta world falls through these people will be thrown to the four corners of the world on their own.. that is why I say the colonies are the ones that will survive.. a couple gets married. the colony goes and has a house raising.. a barn burns down they have a barn raising..
      https://youtu.be/AsTB0HnM6WM?si=8-kG5jGUWob9DvI6
      the LDS community still has the same teachings.. but only about 6 Percent are preppared.. they still have the yellow shirts in time of a catastrophic event.. but they forgot the needs of the parish.. it changed from the original form about a hundred years ago they started to convert to self rather than the needs of the people.. Thomas Monson did try to bring this up in articles and speeches he made.. but it went over everyones heads..
      its the same today.. we see millions of illegals being brought over yet we forgot the needs of our own society.. same thing.. a few morons in control and a few gifts from big donors sex with just about anyone they want or desire in their deviant lives.. and our country goes to hell .. Social security has been raped and dolled out to whomeever they seen as fit.. while the elderlys weekly donations that were to be invested wisely are thrown away on drivel.. a citizen has to pay in forty quarters to get any of the benefits an illegal is handed a cash card and the title to a new home free medical and dental.. the elderly have to travel to a third world country to get medical and dental at a price they can afford..
      the meta world can be gone .. even if you have a hundred million dollars on a sheet of paper.. if all you have is a few hundred dollars in your wallet.. that is all you truly have.. the sheet of paper in a hard grid down is nothing.. just like the members of the LDS community.. with china owning almost 116 trillion dollars of the peoples debts.. their home mortgages credit cards etc.. all they have to do is call in the markers.. sixty ninety or thirty days and your in a tent city..
      Where the youth in the colonies.. they don’t show any stress.. everyone has value.. everyone.. when I grew up.. you wanted to work for your fathers boss.. today they could give two cents for their employees.. they don’t even know who or what they do.. its all about the top ten percent..
      while btc.. is seen as valuable today.. just like some see gold or silver as valuable.. in a truly shtf scenario.. none of it has any value..
      because of what I went through.. I have mentally told myself I won’t ever do that again.. each time I seen what I needed to learn and did it.. I can make a bunch of stuff that most people just run to the store and buy.. I buy them but the knoweledge is there..
      George has a book.. its a great read.. to what do you have in your black book of knoweledge …do you have the tools to rebuild a house.. or have you ever built a house.. can you make a block of cheese.. dam that has me wanting to make some cheese LOL.. can you weave a doily.. I go through a good will or salvation army and I see lace.. old lace I buy it.. see that old lace was made by hand ..
      the woman in this video.. was taught by my mother in law…
      https://youtu.be/isYHUM-JRLM?si=aL2C8TXGFY3oT2Zr
      I can’t do it.. she did beautiful things.. with string.. so when I see a piece of lace.. that was a special gift.. a mom and the neighbor women would get together and make lace or a quilt .. we still have our wedding quilt.. my mom and all the women in the church got together and made quilts.. each piece of the quilt has a memory.. the lining inside.. wool I carded the wool myself.. they had us kids do that for them..
      while you see BTC today as a thing of value.. the moment the grid goes down it will be just like the ten thousand dollars I lost in a wire transfer.. instantly gone ..if the grid goes back up they might find the last landing spot for it.. but it is gone..
      an archeologist group uncovered a hidden vault in a dig a few months ago.. suspected to be somewhere around ten thousand years old.. in it.. there was a short sword.. a hair comb some clay beads.. in a necklace type thing.. a ring and a big just of wine.. still sealed.. with wax inside the jug and sealing the jug.. the tests so far came back with the alcohol content has long gone.. and they gave me the general makeup of the recipe that was in it.. which was the common spiced wine of romans and yes I do have that recipe.. but for whomever hid that.. it was the most valuable thing they had.. BTC will be worthless.. while a big mac is there and tastey.. whats in your wallet…or is it all on a sheet of paper.. LOL gold.and silver.. if food is short which one holds value.. the gold that is an adornment or the food that will save your life..

  2. Speaking of inflation and for whatever reason, there’ s always a reason eggs at Aldi are $3.77 a dozen. Meringue pies will become a thing of the past.

    “Americans lost over $5.6 billion to crypto ”

    How much did Americans lose to pension bailouts since 2008? The bottom line, GM didn’t contribute to the fund while making everyone think they were contributing and GM along with the staff forced us to make them whole.

    There’s insurance for the crypto fraud, what the Hell, make ’em whole.

  3. G: I may not have gone to school to write like journalists do, but I did go to school to write code.
    Anyway, when I read a sentence and there is something in parenthesis, my mental reader in my head takes a pause.
    So today, I read:
    “The Major’s son passed (no sweat) his PhD. dissertation proposal… ”

    Maybe some slight movement like:
    “The Major’s son passed his PhD. dissertation proposal (no sweat)…”?

  4. (lacking any real news to talk about (except be sure and pick up a MegaMillions ticket because they payoff is up to something like $800-million now)

    guaranteed I won’t ever win it.. I would do stupid shit with it like build a solar tower hand out grid tie systems to everyone in town…. can you imagine the lightning you could strike down on someone that needed a hand up.. a family that has a child going through cancer treatments.. or making sure someone gets the treatments.. a remote clinic that moves from one small community to another giving everyone a clinic to go to.. or water.. dam.. getting good clean water.. handing out solar grid tie systems to the whole town.. live what you rant about..
    Or with my luck If I was to ever win.. it would be when the cost of a happy meal is just a few cents more than the top winning amount.. LOL LOL zimbabwe style.. LOL you are the lucky winner.. you can now by a happy meal with the toy LOL LOL or just as the morons start flinging the death to us all crap..

  5. (there are some arguments that you need big business. But, to our way of thinking, not really.)

    I believe.. you have to have the social class separation.. the low the middle and the upper class.. the houses on the hill.. etc.. the reason.. its like the water melon plants.. I made a trellis so that they could grow down.. they didn’t they did everything they could to grow UP.. it is the same with everyone.. you need to have something to grow for.. if you do this ..
    what I see is.. the elimination of the if you do this then you can obtain that..
    My fathers boss.. he had thousands of employees.. all around the globe.. big man.. I knew him as the colonel.. nice guy.. seen him when I was five.. he gave me a case of the one product they sold that I adored.. then again when I was a teenager unloading a trailor for one of the drivers.. then again before he sold the company.. just like the trailor he took off his coat and helped me unload it.. all the while talking about my brothers and sisters.. at the grocery store.. they were going through the isles to see how the products were being displayed.. he seen me took his jacket off and helped me sack groceries.. shocking the store manager and who ever else was with them.. he had success.. but he knew me and my siblings.. my father was a low level delivery boy.. after he sold the company he made sure everyone that worked for him was taken care of.. the most my mother paid out for medical was two hundred a year.. and he had his success.. another place was a window and door manufacturer.. same thing.. big company.. but the workers were family.. they got their success but passed their success down .. those places that are still like that today.. don’t look for new workers.. someone has to die or retire before they are looking for anyone.. loyalty.. big companies will buy homes for those they want to entice to come work for them.. but forget the guy dumping the trash.. what was the story that was given so many times..
    Next, the professor said: “I’ve taught you everything I can teach you about business in the last 10 weeks, but the most important message, the most important question, is this: What’s the name of the lady who cleans this building?”
    that is where the companies fail today.. they get the manufacturing done everywhere.. give the big perks to the top ten percent.. buy them houses even.. long vacations and extravagance.. my daughter wanted a job at the same hospital that I worked for.. she said dad look at what they give to the employees.. I said honey.. that is only the executives.. the workers will never see that.. the vacation condos the cruises etc..
    the days of the colonel are long gone.. I believe that that was what Reagan remembered to.. how business owners were like.. not how they had grown to be like.. Trickle down if todays industry leaders had maintained the family attitude.. would have worked.. what he didn’t consider is they only shove it in a box in the backyard.. and it doesn’t trickle..
    its the same thing now.. war.. they want war so they can have more .. to shove in their boxes in the back yard not once considering.. the people involved everywhere..

  6. Haven’t heard from @choices for a while. Somehow imagine you at the front of the pack in rollator races somewhere. Drop us a note.

  7. re: Brexit 2?
    feat: Germany

    Folks,

    Vox Populi!
    The German Interior Ministry has now updated its website with yesterday’s border policy changes. Schengen freedom of movement across Germany’s borders will be further restricted by border checkstops effective next Monday for six months. Here is the Ministry news release link:

    https://www.bmi.bund.de/SharedDocs/pressemitteilungen/EN/2024/09/binnengrenzkontrollen_en.html

    Germany is invoking Article 25 of the Schengen Agreement (which appears to offer possibilities of extension beyond a six month suspension?). This is a link to the updated July 2024 EU Schengen Agreement including Article 25:

    https://eur-lex.europa.eu/legal-content/EN/TXT/?uri=CELEX%3A02016R0399-20240710&qid=1725982670230

    Before returning you to the debate featuring America’s Border Czar, let’s join DJ George ready to rattle the jukebox. Here we go with Germany’s National Anthem featuring only verse 3 as per legislation following Reunification. Music is by Josef Haydn dating to 1797 in celebration of the birthday of the Holy Roman Emperor.
    https://youtu.be/cIff7EB7pvc

  8. I knew I was right – so I put my money were my thoughts were. “The Market is going down this morning.” – that was my thought and I shorted the Dow. [Options – Puts] Now down over 364 points.., but I just got out.,[ down 350] as there could be swing going into the afternoon closing bell.
    Using only half of my “Lunch Money Account Funds” [ the other half has been tied-up for a while. ] with this morning’s trade., I have had the best profitable year in seven years. I will admit that even though I was right on my chosen direction/trade., several of them ran much deeper and faster then I anticipated – those bets did outstanding [ they were all options/puts.]
    The last 90 days of this year should prove to be very, very “interesting”.
    .
    “Stay Frosty !”

  9. George,
    Wednesday 11 Sept 2024 is day 20 of the 2nd fractal of a 5 August 2024 8/20/19-21 day :: y/2.5y2.5y ACWI equity composite world index fractal decay series. A nonlinear lower low gap decline should be apparent between today: day 19 and tomorrow: day 20 of the ACWI 20 day 2nd fractal. For the GBTC ETF of Bitcoin today is day 18(2x) of a 5 August x/2x :: 9/18 day fractal sequence. A similar lower low gapped decline between day 18 and day 19 (tomorrow) of the second fractal of a 9/19/19-21 day fractal series should be observable.

  10. Yo G Dog- Homegamers,

    Dont look now me heartys, but GOLD is GlitTTERING today! Dont like buying dips in general, prefer to BUY strentgh. Gold taking out current ATH is strentgh.
    I dont reason why, just know I bee buying a ticket to “fly’.

    Currently the market is Oil for Gold – ala our Russian brothers & sisters.

    Nobody, in their right mind, wants CONFISCATABLE Assets anymore. hmmmm

    Seems spooktocracey done cut off their big long noses to spite their ugly faces.

  11. Best guess right now
    Tropical Storm Francine is expected to become a hurricane late this afternoon., and start making its slow turn north – northeast across the Gulf.
    Projected path takes it right over Morgan City Louisiana., as a Category 2 hurricane.

  12. Oil took another hit today – down over $3 a barrel., hitting $65.60 a barrel this afternoon.
    .
    They are now worried that there may be an over-supply. [Then why hasn’t OPEC & Friends cut production?]
    .
    With spot prices this low – has Biden increased our strategic reserves?

  13. A1 Steak Sause
    .
    Empty the bottle into a small mixing bowl
    Add one shot of bourbon
    Half a teaspoon of garlic powder
    Teaspoon of Tabasco

    Mix thoroughly and pour back into the bottle. Shake the bottle ruthlessly and store in the frig.

    • Dam dLynn that sounds absolutely delicious.. I will go do it.. the other thing is if a person wanted he could blend up and not strain that to.. and get the fiber in the home made sauce.. I always mix in more ketchup..

  14. here is a post by Lisa Haven.. redacted news.. now this is interesting of course C and the other super liberals is going to say this is all fake news.. but it plays with the story that this administration has allowed gangs and other threats.. along with the potential of having allowed a secret military group within the USA with their open borders..

    https://youtu.be/KA4T77Dna2M?si=QXqok4H61JBOtYzf

  15. sometimes we get good news, but the main stream media misses it,,, thank goodness we have ‘X’ and ‘Truth’
    “Julie Kelly ??
    @julie_kelly2
    WOW: Yesterday the DC appellate court vacated the 1512(c)(2) convictions of 11 J6 defendants including Guy Reffitt, the first J6ers convicted at trial.

    What a total humiliation of the DOJ and 17 DC judges (including Pan) who allowed this wrongful prosecution to happen in the 1st place.”
    https://x.com/julie_kelly2/status/1833576982816178236

  16. I got an early copy of the NY Times headline for tomorrow morning (already written):
    “Harris Debate Performance leaves Trump Blindsided”
    and the Washington Post:
    “Trump’s Performance a Disaster. Clear WIN for Harris”

    No need to watch the debate tonight … I have already seen tomorrow’s headlines! In NY and DC they already know the outcome even before the debate begins.

    The glowing stories about Kamala have already been written, just need to add a few sentences about what was actually said during the debates to make them appear to have been written after the debate.

    Kamala it is … always was … always will be, until they suddenly throw Kamala under the bus too

    Don’t worry though … Hillary stands ready to pick up the banner and Charge Ahead!!, once they throw Kamala under the bus (or into the grave).

    • re: Nathan, “Gift from God”
      feat: Silver Appraisal

      c,

      I took a look at the Wikipedia entry for Fivethirtyeight. Apparently it is owned by the Presidential Debate host ABC.

      They dispatched Fivethirtyeight’s well-regarded Gen X poker playing pollster Mr. Nate Silver last year. Now the head algorithm guru is a Gen Z American who sharpened his statistical pencils at London’s “The Economist” founded in 1843 by a Scottish economist.

      As an aside, the economist also founded a still-extant London-headquartered bank most of whose dealings are outside His Majesty’s Kingdom. Apparently as of June 2024 the Dept. of Justice of the Biden Administration is making inquiries regarding matters of the Bank and alleged associations with Iranian money laundering and terrorism funding to the tune of $100 billion.

      On a happier note, a son-in-law of the founder was a member of the exclusive Athenaeum Club named after the Greek goddess of wisdom. Situated on Pall Mall the Club’s venue sits upon land leased from the Crown Estate. The site had previously been the London address of the German father of King George III from 1732 onwards.

  17. Also notable is that 40 percent of respondents couldn’t find qualified people willing to work at existing job openings.

    I believe this is more a sign of laziness than a lack of applicants.

    I don’t like Zip Recruiter (and its clones.)

    They enable a “plug & play” replacement for a departing or departed cog, which is good to excellent, WRT continuity.

    However, it doesn’t allow for someone who may be a “diamond in the rough” to ever grow to shine in that job capacity.

    Filling a job opening by outside hiring is a recipe for mediocrity…

    • I never had any troubles finding work.. i rarely worked less than two full time and one part time jobs.. during the reagan recession.. I worked six jobs to make enough money to scrape by.. been there done that.. did some horrible jobs.. scooping dung.. some of the worst was blood tanks steam cleaning.. I suggested it to mike rowe on dirtiest jobs.. LOL he wouldn’t do it.. and I know why LOL it was so disgusting that even now just thinking about it I can smell it LOL LOL and see it in my mind.. scooped hot dirt from a radio active spill at a power plant.. they couldn’t get near the tanks with the loader.. so we day labored scooping it by hand.. they never told us it was radio active wet dirt.. not until we were finished.. it paid five bucks and hour in the time of two dollar wages.. we scooped it into the bucket they dumped it in a truck with a drop down canopy that said soup with two little kids eating soup on it.. LOL.. the guy finally told me when they took us out to have a cold drink and I asked why they had all the clean room safety gear on and was a block away.. he said oh that was hot water spill.. well you could have told us or at least given us some of the safety gear.. today.. I wanted to see the kanzius machine they said no because of safety protocol LOL LOL year right you betcha.. LOL
      the thing is.. like you say.. my kids.. wouldn’t ever do a job like that.. no way in hell would they.. its beneath them.. not for peanut wages either.. I turned down a job with a fortune five hundred company.. the interviewer said.. you can qualify for food stamps.. I said chuckling.. you do realize that that is not a benefit or something to be proud of LOL LOL and left..
      when your down and out though you will do anything to get through it.. as degrading as it can be.. the same thing if your in pain.. you will take anything to ease the pain.. that is how the opioid crises began.. one doesn’t work you will take two.. as the body gets use to it you increase it even though you know it is dangerous to do..

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