Charter Boat Markets & Screw Monday

by

Living for a decade (and some) on a sailboat, you develop a way of “seeing the Outer to understand the Inner.”  As it is again, today.  This particular insight has to do with charter fishing boats – which explains everything in Finance, if you have the patience to watch long enough.

Today’s saga began as I was watching the markets last week and thinking back on my sailing and fishing days.  Younger by a decade (and more) it was fun to drop a line in Puget Sound, or up in the Straits west of Vancouver.  Salmon were the goal and this time of year that would be King salmon.

Fish don’t bite (most of the time when I have a line in the water.  And other than watching the odd bit of kelp float by, the next-most interesting thing to watch was the odd charter boat.  They aren’t as popular, as once upon a time, but the behavior of the fishermen on such boats is our object of learning here.

When there haven’t been any “bites” all day, if the charter boat is drifting, the distribution of the fishermen can be pretty even.  About half on one side of the boat with half on the other.  Bow to stern there’s a similar distribution.

Once someone declares “Fish on!” it’s considered polite (though it depends on the boat and skipper how this is handled) the two or three closest fishermen to the lucky bastard with the fish, pull up lines in order not to get a God-awful tangle and lose the fish.

But then, as soon as the fish is landed, people change their side-to-side and the bow to stern distribution.  Wherever the fish came from? That’s the hot spot on the boat.  Everyone moves toward that same spot.  In fact, sometimes you can see the charter boats take on a noticeable list to one side – the side where the fish was hooked.

Which has what to do with Markets, you’re wondering?  Well…just everything, you ninny!

See if you have a whole bunch of charts of stock averages that you look at every day (and publish 18 of them twice weekly on the Peoplenomics.com side of the house) you can see in the Chart Action a similar behavior.

In financial terms, I noticed the market going into Labor Day was going through a lack of even small “bites.”  The (financial) Boat was “due.”  This is when fishermen are just telling each other stories and whatnot.

So, I went short over Labor Day.  If you remember to last Tuesday?  That’s when the fishermen heard the cry “I’ve hooked a whale of a Bear!”  And the market dove.  And it dove Wednesday, and Thursday…and as fishermen ran to the Bear side of the boat, sitting a way off, you could see the list of the boat beginning.

Tales of imminent collapse, “Doom the time for sure!” Not to mention
“So and so cuts their outlook.”  (You can see this in charts if you put some effort into it and keep two sets of charts to integrate in your noggin.)

Looking last Friday, we could see one of our charts in particular (an oscillator) that was hinting “All the fishermen are over on one side of the boat now…expect a bite on the opposite side!”

Fishing School

Now, there are two kinds of charts, to our way of thinking.  One is the traditional Prive Over Time variety.  The other – and these are more fun to noodle on – are the Oscillators.  In fact, looking at one oscillator in particular, we can see how the market could be (as we posited Saturday in Peoplenomics) Next Week to Turn? – Peoplenomics® ” Well, here’s how that Oscillator filled in overnight”

My, how useful, huh?

Now you need to understand that there are only so many charts that can run this way, or that.  And only so-many oscillators.  But when the charts begin to agree (it’s like fishermen scampering to the ‘hot side of the boat’ if you’re not fully awake yet) then you can await developments which will – eventually – show up as a change of trend.

The Most Useful View

Of a single chart is our Aggregate Index which you’ve seen plenty-often enough…  But let’s inspect a bit, shall we?

And then let’s zoom-in a bit closer:

As you can see (from the all-time highs back in July) the market had a modest decline into August. But then Lazarus Averages climbed and put in a predictable (or I wouldn’t have won the Scotch bet) lower high going into Labor Day weekend.

Last week, we (*likely) started the Minor 3 down of a Larger 1 of Macro 3 down.

Now, since we know that under Elliott, if wave 1 down (yellow vertical arrow) is of length “x”, then the righthand arrow is likely to be in the range of “x & 1.5″ and commonly is x * 1.618”

However, all this is unknowable for now.  The pending (in futures pricing) rally could peter out at the open. Or:

  • The rally could be stopped at the just-overhead green trend line (which could act at resistance.
  • OR we could stop at the red 85-day moving average trend line.
  • OR we could advance 1.5 to 1.618 times X up toward the hot pink trend line, or we could just be Elon to Mars and go to infinity powered by Harris hyperinflation.  No way of telling, yet.

However, the nature of Elliott waves has been changing a bit over time. Here (I suspect) the pink trend line will be instructive.  You see, as Elliott has…no, I suppose that’s enough.  A friend told me once “You really give away too much, George…”  Maybe so.

Still, markets *(and damn near anything else) is made vastly simpler when you work with analogies where similar behaviors happen.  Charter boats and casinos being two of our most favored.

Owning the Future – Part 2

I may have mentioned that I have this morning ritual I go through, and it’s all lined out in Brisqi.

Markets are the first part of General news and email.  The second step is looking at News Budget Items.  This is where you look at regular scheduled events that will move markets.  Other than some bond action today, this is a yawner

The Big News tomorrow morning will be the National Federation of Independent Business’s Small Business Optimism report.  Not likely to stop the fishermen from going to the Bull side of the boat.

The continuation of the rally (if it goes into a second day) then would likely infer that the Inflation news – due out Wednesday with CPI – is likely going to print (e.g. be actualized) as a buy the rumor, sell the news event.  But that’s all we really care about – just a couple of days into the Future – for optimizing close-in Life plans.

If you want to go farther into Future?  Well…75 percent of the CME Fed Watch is expecting No Change in Rates.  The rally today (and maybe into tomorrow – if you’re following this long-ramble on short-term future contingency design) should it last into the close tomorrow, would then be jumping out of quantum foam as a “Buy the Rumor, Sell the News.”  Implying that inflation will be hot enough to frighten markets.

I’m sure you can work out the further implicates for the following week. (Fed may lower) and that would scare everyone because then it would become apparent that we will be in Depression by the middle of ’25.  And the international shock and awe will kick off as early as the weekend of the 21st – to the end of month – when we would not be surprised if China places an air and sea blockade around Taiwan.  You can see that coming a mile away as China warns Germany against naval transit of Taiwan Strait,

The rest of the news flow should not interfere with the fishermen scampering to the high side of the boat.

On the other hand, warmongers in Europe continue to get more shrill saying No more restraint. It is time for NATO to back Ukraine’s offensive – Emerging Europe.  Going the other way, Belarus is starting to pivot into play as Volfovich: Ukraine has deployed 14,000 military near border with Belarus.

And between the drooler and the fuelers, all it will take is an attack on a nuclear power plant that results in a meltdown blowing rads to Russia and Russia will go “nukes free” and that could also happen before the end of the month.

See why nothing looks much different – except where the fish are biting?

Useful and Informative

Like accounting nightmare” stories?  Salary error at Taiwan post office leads to NT$380 million overpayment.

Summer is over – depending where you live: Heat puts strain on SoCal grid, knocks out power to thousands of homes. And there’s the fires up the 10 a way.  Here in Texas, small office pools are forming on whether the wet spot in the Gulf of Mexico will turn into a hurricane. It’s likely to turn into a tropical storm today (6) and then slide up into Nawlins by the middle of the week.  Batten down time in Looselyanna.

Sex-driven violence?  Benny Johnson on X: “The Colorado Springs shooter identified as non binary. The Denver shooter identified as trans. The Aberdeen shooter identified as trans. The Nashville shooter identified as trans. Now we’ve learned the Georgia shooter was motivated by trans activism. One thing is VERY https://t.co/4hEbb7Zswl” / X

Politics: Seriously? No one cares today.  Blah, blah, blah…

And useful to know that Police across US given new UFO handbook as they warn craft ‘pose significant safety risks’.  It’s a cookbook, right?

Around the Ranch: Screw Monday

Trust you read about our deck-building adventures in ShopTalk Sunday?

Part 2 of the new mini deck was finished Sunday.  Time spent working was about 3.7 hours, so far. Pondering railing options.  But this is Screw Monday.  There are eight 2-by-6s running crosswise.  And 17 nicely-fitted strips of five-quarter decking.

Do the math.  17 times 8 is 136 screws.  And with the midpoints and ends being double-screwed, right around 200 screws to put in. And I’d like to get that done so I can put on a coat of Penofin before the sun is fully on the deck.

So now you know why around here it’s “Screw Monday!”

Oh, and good luck to my pal “The Major’s” son (also a Major) who is defending his PhD dissertation in hypersonics today…  (And you think you’ve got a tough Monday ahead?)

Write when you get rich,

George@Ure.net

77 thoughts on “Charter Boat Markets & Screw Monday”

      • The book the aliens showed up with was titled “To Serve Man.” I think that is also the episode title.
        They gave us all kinds of nice stuff such as power dome missile defense so we could all live in peace.
        They were curing disease, hunger, war, crime, poverty.
        Then they offered to take a ship load of our best and brightest back with them to see their planet. AS the door was closing one of our military ran up and hollered to the one board “don’t go, its a cook book.” as the door slams shut and the engines start.

        Having seen the REAL movie that describes our future (Idiocracy) I think that there is enough, suppressed ‘good-ole-boy’ in the Amurcuns of the 1960s that the friendly nature would turn real quick to WTF and the big guys with the big swelled up brain heads would find out that big as they are they were outnumbered with a bunch or educated elites that could go “Deliverance” on them real quick, and they might turn around and put us back, or at least negotiate for some of our ‘Stupids’ (politicians).
        They don’t call them fat-cats for nothing.

        BTW, THAT reminds me that Alabama got it first surreptitious bus load of Haitians dropped in Sylacauga (about 30 mi east of Bham) on Saturday Night. The locals there are all getting ready for deer season here so the equipment was all oiled and loaded and ready. The visitors have been advised to hunker down and await deportation after January.
        One was caught dismembering a pet cat for dinner, so their welcome wore out pretty quickly.

      • Hi George, I would like you to comment on the events of Sinner and Kyrgios. The sexism and verbal violence of the Australian are really heavy in a social world that no longer forgives you anything. What do you think?

        • Long ago (1970s) I had a Head graphite racquet, cat gut srtung, press, and a gym bag.
          After I stopped playing (total amateur, but I looked good, lol) I swore I would never cover another sports event. Mariners were more laughingstock than sport, a couple of Seahawks lived down the street from me in Kirkland. And the sonics gifted me a pair courtside (media table) when they went the distance (70’s sometime) so there was “wiggle room for comments.”
          Not today. We don’t do sports. There is enough branding.
          And that’s what the whole silly racism-sexism deal is – just another branding war.
          We will sit this one out.
          China will own Oz before 2030. Oz is preemptively going commie to ease the transition.
          And the same mental acuity that has led to the reconquest of Europe is being worked by the the fifth columns of China.
          We will sit here – appalled – and silent.
          As one reader said already this week “I’ve never won an argument with a flat-Earther.” Ditto these two whiners. The more column inches of press, the more they both make. But is that a value to support?
          Naw…not to us.
          the 100-year toaster is about thinking and goods of long duration. Flat in the pan claptrap is for fools.
          \

        • I had to go look up who/what you are talking about.
          Tennis, huh?
          Since AI played Rugby for Alabama and then for the Birmingham Vulcans Travel side (when I was still young enough to take that beating.) I had to go look for the reference to Australia.

          Meanwhile it has just popped up on my screen that a major brand is gon.
          RIP James Earl Jones.
          I will miss the voice of Darth Vader.
          lost of feeling in ‘I find your lack of faith disturbing.”

        • Nuclear war scenario by Annie Jacobson.. hopefully it will be more positive than the academic studies that our government has commissioned to be done lol..those are downright frightening..

        • I keep hoping that the idiots in congress and this administration will pull their heads out of their ass long enough to read some of this stuff they keep using as door stops..
          They must be so damned sheltered to keep being this stupid that they actually believe there’s a positive outcome from all this stupid crap they keep doing..
          Like one analyst said.. the lucky ones will be the ones to go in a flash of light and a mighty high ho silver..

        • Probably “Nuclear War: A Scenario”

          And Looking Box: Sorry it is worse than anything you have read…

        • LOL LOL LOL LOL NO.. I was talking about the book that G suggested.. I had gotten it with my audible just haven’t listened to it yet.. I usually listen to books when driving..
          Nuclear War Audiobook by Annie Jacobsen
          they do sell a copy of the movie prop though..
          I did collect autographs when I first got sick.. got quite a few.. my favorite one is an old friend of mine that teaches motion picture went to school with the guy that was the head of the production crew on the movie tombstone.. anyway he gave his friend a call and the guy was drinking budies with val kilmer.. and had him send me an autograph.. it wasn’t from the movie tombstone.. and when he asked if I had gotten the autograph I was excited and said yes but it wasn’t from the movie tombstone.. next thing I knew I got a picture from the movie signed along with photos of him signing the picture and a working copy of the script.. LOL..
          the other one that is my favorite was.. I took care of an a rated star.. ( you would know who it was to ) and he liked to cook like me.. I still make alfredo sauce by his recipe.. except I add a little onion and garlic and tones spagetti seasoning to it.. when he passed on his family sent me his favorite photo of himself in the frame that was on their wall.. Nice guy.. super sweet man and we shared many a recipes along with a lot of laughing and joking around. he made a good what he called cowboy stew.. I shared his recipe the other day on here actually.. or a variation of his recipe..
          https://finalscoreproducts.com/products/the-twilight-zone-to-serve-man-cookbook-cook-book-prop-acrylic-paperweight

        • I took care of the mom of the owner of a big ball team.. anyway many years ago they were going to do a surgery on me.. and I had to go to the city.. the volunteer driver was a fan of the pitcher.. on the team that I took care of mom.. ( if they lost a game.. she had a bad day LOL) and how much he would love to get an autograph of his.. when we got home I called the guys secretary and said he probably wouldn’t remember me but could i get an autograph from the pitcher.. that the driver for me was a real fan.. two days later I got an 8 by 10 of the pitcher a team photo and two tickets to a home game front row.. so when they took me to the doctor again.. I handed him the gifts they gave.. the driver almost started to cry he was so shocked LOL.. the owners mom was probably one of my favorite patients.. she was a hoot.. the DAN story.. there was a guy named dan one of the nurses.. she pretended to be blind and when we would come in .. she would go dan dan.. which dan are you where I would say I am the smart dan.. or I am the good looking dan.. I am the sweet smelling dan.. then when dan came in.. she would sniff real loud and say I want the smart good looking sweet smelling dan not you LOL LOL

        • I will listen to this.. the studies that have been done isn’t something to read before going to sleep either.. they will give you nightmares..

        • Thanks, Bob.

          Y’know, what gets me is there have been, probably a hundred movies and television shows which deal with nuclear war and its horrors, but not a one discusses the path from the first nuke to global thermonuclear war, how short that path is, and how quickly it’ll be traversed.

          FWIW, that time, from use of the first battlefield nuke, to total global annihilation, is projected to be between 46 and 48 hours.

          I live in the Midwest between St. Louis and Harrisburg, within a hundred miles of the “Interstate 70 Corridor,” in a place where towns sprang up about 4-miles apart, or an hour’s ride by horse. There are no big cities within 50 miles of me, but there are 11 large towns / small cities within 40 miles.

          There is also a highly-classified ICBM launch facility located on the edge of a small city, 11 miles from my back door. When they open the silo doors to air the facility out, it shows up as an anomaly on weather radar. The few nuclear engineers Obama left in place in the Pentagon are too stupid to know this. If the Russians or Chinese aren’t, when WW-III arrives, I will be as dead as Steve, or as WotRR, and as quickly.

          I know the locations of two other silos, which I’ve spotted, storm chasing. One is in Michigan, in a forest, six miles upwind from a city, the other is in Illinois near to the Wisconsin line. I see them pop up in Texas and Oklahoma mostly, but in lots of places where I’d consider them uncomfortably close to cities, especially in NY and Pennsylvania — locations where I’m not often storm-spotting or chasing junk, so I make it a point not to pay attention.

          When we first started buttoning-up and selling off missile silos, we didn’t close up shop. We merely relocated a lot of those silos in Wyoming, Montana, the Dakotas, Kansas, and Nebraska to much better camouflaged silos, farther East — like under our next-door neighbor’s house.

          Even someone like George or Hank is only safe if their neighborhood hasn’t been so-blessed, (or if it has) if the Chinese and Koreans can’t read a weather map. THEY would never know, and they’d be in the same boat with the rest of us, wondering whether Putin’s general studied meteorology to go with his cartography…

        • (“There is also a highly-classified ICBM launch facility located on the edge of a small city, 11 miles from my back door.” )

          When I was a boy in the military… I had to go with the boss .. he had to deliver papers and protocol was there had to be two… anyway we traveled in the DC area.. to a beautiful house in the suburbs.. the guy living there was grilling out.. I had a couple of dogs and a burger.. it was a nice place.. a beautiful patio.. kids playing.. nothing out of the ordinary with this place..
          on the way back the boss says.. nice place isn’t it.. yup.. under that house is a silo.. now I don’t believe he was pulling my leg.. he wasn’t that kind of a guy.. but he could have..
          I have been all over under DC and area.. amazing layout there huge you wouldn’t ever imagine everything that is there… strange how you get into them to.. amazing.. I believe it connects to every federal building in that city..
          My sibling use to fix the silos systems.. he was telling me that they once had him go halfway around the world to work on one WORR and his account of turning one on made me remember the story I was told about turning one on LOL.. only to discover they didn’t turn the power on LOL LOL here this is the on and off switch LOL LOL
          what is scary is these assholes must be thinking .. it can be won.. when they should be heeding the message in the movie war games.. strange game.. the only winning move is not to play..
          https://youtu.be/MpmGXeAtWUw?si=1snoDa8IvwTynmET
          the only ones I see using restraint is Putin and Xi.. what the hell are they thinking.. I could get more numbers on a piece of paper.. how important can that be.. screw the numbers.. lets go out and grill up some burgers and potatoes onions and peppers.. put some good shit on it and enjoy the evening air.. instead.. have a good cup of wine or a cold adult beverage. joke around laugh have a good time… way more important than a cartoon coin or a number on a piece of paper and computer screen..
          then you see Canadian prepper.. and what his post was last night..
          https://youtu.be/I0G35FkvB7A?si=HjQhyLkXZ3eEIurU
          With a sad heart and the stupidity of the morons in control.. we might just have to see what things were like during the historical accounts of the The Story of the Mah?bh?rata
          i have a copy of it.. but here is a good reading list to cut it down some.. its a long book.. brown university broke it down into shorter lessons..
          https://www.brown.edu/Departments/Sanskrit_in_Classics_at_Brown/Mahabharata/MBh2Biblio.html#SmithPenguin

      • they did tests on those of us that drank whole milk off of the farm.. seemed the fallout from the nuclear testing fell right around here.. and you guessed it.. we drank milk right from the farm..

  3. re: walking the plank
    feat: who’s on deck?

    Folks,

    Sunday saw the close of the 50th edition of the Ambrosetti Forum, Italy’s answer to the Bilderburgers. The event was held at the Villa d’Este on the shores of Lake Como. The current structure was begun in 1565 by wealthy art connoisseur Cardinal Gallio as his summer palace while toiling for Pope Pius V. In 1815 the palace became home to Princess Caroline the estranged wife of the future King William IV of England. Her standalone Villa Cima was refurbished in 2019. Its website offers September 2024 stays from €1400 to €2100 per night. Villa d’Este was converted into a luxury hotel in 1873 and became a party hub of Europe under Tsarina Maria, wife of Tsar Alexander III. As a resort with a floating swimming pool on Lake Como itself, the venue remains an expensive port of call for billionaires and Hollywood glitterati. A sculpture of the Roman god of merchants, Heracles, throwing his servant Lychas into the sea stands on the property.

    Speaking of servants, the Servant of the People arrived at the villa on Friday. A link on the Presidential website makes note of his meeting with a half dozen American legislators led by a senior Republican Senator.

    https://www.president.gov.ua/en/news/prezident-zustrivsya-z-delegaciyeyu-kongresu-ssha-na-choli-i-93069

    It became necessary for President Zelensky to stay over at the Villa when Prime Minister Meloni was detained in Rome. However she made time for a Villa whistlestop Saturday while enroute to the Paralympics in the City of Love. Again the Presidential website offers a highlight image at the following link:

    https://www.president.gov.ua/storage/j-image-storage/44/36/33/b70b666401f1fd8ec9f7592b21507118_1725702546_extra_large.jpeg

    • re: Bayes’ Theorem
      feat: not SS Minnow

      Folks,

      Mention of Lake Como brings back memory of goings-on at adjacent Lake Maggiore. Last year “Reuters” reported on the capsizing of a tourist boat from a sudden weather event that resulted in four fatalities. The vessel was named Goduria which apparently translates to mean pleasure or bliss. Considering the tragic loss of super yacht Bayesian this year in Sicily, a new Roman proverb may well be “when in Italy, stay on terra firma”. Here is the “Reuters” link to the 2023 incident:

      https://www.reuters.com/world/europe/four-dead-after-tourist-boat-capsizes-italys-lake-maggiore-2023-05-29/

    • went on a date in china town once.. we went into this really nice restaurant.. they had puppies in a big cage.. the girl I was with.. she fell in love with one of them.. I thought I would be nice and bought it for her.. she ordered.. and then discovered that she ate the dog.. needless to say I didn’t have an Andy night.. LOL… the cultural shifts.. other countries found out that women and children are seen as property not individuals.. so you see more rape and child molestation.. in Ohio that is just the cultural shift.. they aren’t gangs.. and any animal is free range food..

      the tribes of the amazon.. that is horrifying to us.. but very much real..

      https://www.clarion-journal.com/clarion_journal_of_spirit/2008/01/girl-survived-t.html

      no one that is in favor of open borders even considers the cultural differences.. not even counting them opening their prisons and sending their worst prisoners here.. or the possibility of bringing across a hidden army to get revenge for our warring nature..
      I know a woman in sweden that delivers groceries.. and they have to send a sercurity team with her in some neighborhoods.. the rise in rape and beatings.. no go areas.. the stories that I have heard are shocking..
      that is what shocked me when the one congressman was asking for the african american in poor neighborhoods to start another riot in their neighborhoods.. what is wrong with that idiot.. those neighborhoods are no longer protected and have basically turned into little islam.. talk about stupid.. want to fire up those illegals that is one way to do it.. think california is crazy now.. just wait .. there are millions settling there and making the guy working at the grocery store buy them a house.. when he can’t afford to feed his own family LOL.. this only has to get real interesting.. time will tell

      • C says.. they don’t do things like that LOL LOL LOL…
        its all Trumps fault and the MAGA crowds are just making it all up.. LOL LOL LOL wouldn’t you like to have some of that cool aid they are drinking in california LOL LOL..
        (“Haitians were not eating pets and wildlife in Springfield Ohio, but Trump & JD love it when you eat their lies!
        https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/article/2024/sep/09/republicans-haitian-migrants-pets-wildlife-ohio“)

        the LBG community.. they obviously don’t know.. about what happens to them in their cultures.. LOL LOL.. reminds me I got to go buy a tube of KY jelly I have a VA doctors appointment coming up.. the nurse has to ask if you are gay lesbian and if you want to have sex.. I plan on laying the KY jelly on the desk and saying absolutely I think we should have sex but you will need some of this.. LOL LOL
        speaking about that.. I was in getting my glasses adjusted.. the federal campus police are all carrying automatic weapons.. I asked one at the desk.. they said they weren’t sure but think there was a threat condition change that requires that as uniform.. that was something.. hadn’t seen that since way back in the seventies..

  5. Why penofin and not double boiled linseed oil? I have a sheds build from old (1930s) California red wood panels and was told by carpenter I should reseal it with double boiled linseed

      • these morons keep doing the crap they are we might be lucky to make it to Thanksgiving.. my advice don’t buy any green banana’s.. and why do they sell a whole bag of apples.. they should sell them one at a time.. might not live long enough to eat the whole bag LOL LOL

    • Yo Vic, right you are about double boiled linseed oil. My best friend had a 23 ft chincoteague skiff made of mahogany. Treated with double boiled linseed oil every spring, lasted over 30 years. The Gwynn P was quite the crabbing skiff catching many bushels of Calinectes Zapidus.

  6. Oh no dont look now mr wizard – but we be staying alive above $55k, for NOW. Do da BTC stop here, turn, and fall further down ?
    Dont know – dont care, as BTC is NOW, not stuck in past, not hung up on future prospects..here NOW. One of the few things in world that I know are real, one of very things.

    From truth social comes another gem from forkedface – ya gotta laugh, otherwise tears of sorrow regards the Human Herds mental condition and the bottom feeders who “feast”/profit off of Humanity..https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=lIuUAeOYcfo&embeds_referring_euri=https%3A%2F%2Ftruthisnotafiction.wordpress.com%2F

  7. “Living for a decade (and some) on a sailboat, you develop a way of “seeing the Outer to understand the Inner.” As it is again, today. This particular insight has to do with charter fishing boats…”

    Question: We’re you a skipper, brave and sure?

    Just sit right back and you’ll hear a tale,
    A tale of a fateful trip
    That started from this tropic port
    Aboard this tiny ship.

    The mate was a mighty sailing man,
    The skipper brave and sure.
    Five passengers set sail that day
    For a three hour tour, a three hour tour.

    The weather started getting rough,
    The tiny ship was tossed,
    If not for the courage of the fearless crew
    The Minnow would be lost, the Minnow would be lost.

    The ship set ground on the shore of this uncharted desert isle
    With Gilligan…

    source: https://www.lyricsondemand.com/tvthemes/gilligansislandlyrics.html

    • I have the sea-time and hours and training to be a six-pack skipper. But a then consigliere advised me that if I hold a license – going through the Locks in Seattle, for example, and some civvie does stupid shit, then as the licensed skipper the odds of the liability falling to me were raised.
      I didn’t sit for the ticket – besides, who wants to open the door further to authority that already is?

      • I have a 6-pack license (expired) and ran a pontoon-based charter boat out of Bald Head Island, NC, for 5 years. I would take families out on the Cape Fear River and tidal creeks for fishing and shelling on an isolated beach. I would also tell them stories about the pirates and blockade runners in the area.

        • Yo A.G.
          love that area of NC – gotz some family down there.
          Absolutely love me an Oyster Roast..Good Food,Peeps and Beer.
          – in fact 2 of my fav T-Shirts currently are from there..Stinkys “You can smell the quality” and Motts Channel Seafood, 120 short street. wrightsville beach, both in my go to weekly rotation.

    • Can’t happen if people avoid grid tie and keep system controllers(inverter/chargers) air gapped from the internet!

      Most won’t, so it’s a risk to the grid(perhaps), but it’s not a risk to independent solar/battery systems.

      IoT, including solar systems, is poorly firewalled and a significant risk to both individuals and the public!

    • The answer is to not be connected to either Internet or the grid. You’re only safe from hacking if you’ve got a stand-alone system. That goes for a lot of other things in your home too, such as thermostat, financial records, etc. Being a Ludite has real advantages.

  9. ? What did R. Wagner know, that the TPTW didnt/dont want the peeps to think about ?
    The Germans knew “it” too..therefore had to be destroyed, went after Wagner as well.
    An ancient tale retold over and over as warning to Mankind. Wagner wrote the ring trilogy as way to get the warning message out to as many as possible, and entertain his fellow Germans.

    One ring to control world (sound familiar?) made from Gold stolen from the Females (Rhine Maidens). hmmmm

    Siegy has to get a magical sword forged to kill Fafnir the dragon. Ever remember hearing a similar tale ?

    ties that bind – anglo american zionist empire aka Spooktocracey – run by evil dwarves = cit lon bankers…

    *”nazi’s loved wagner music – better not listen to it” = mind manipulation/control.

    -“Kill da waabbit!” -https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=KZTE9MDoaLs&pp=ygUcYnVncyBidW5ueSB3YWduZXIgb3BlcmEgZnVsbA%3D%3D

    *There undid that piece of mental BS.

    the nosty guy bee correct, WW3 is ON right NOW.

    1st wave of attacks in new phase – covert19..

    From nasa whistleblower R. Cook;

    “But are there any precedents that use of a pandemic as a false flag may be in the works? The answer is that it has already happened. Was it an accident that the Ukrainian military, for which NATO had been providing intensive training in violation of the Minsk Agreements, began to bombard the Donbass with heavy artillery in the first weeks of 2022, an action that enticed Russia to cross the border into Ukraine with its Special Military Operation, all at the height of the COVID pandemic?

    Today, all the pieces are in place: a) forecasts that make the event seem inevitable; b) a U.S.-sponsored network of Biolabs practiced in weaponizing viruses through gain-of-function research; c) a population taught to cower in fear of the invisible peril; d) a media practiced in “cancel-culture” ready to censor and destroy “anti-vaxxers” and other dissidents; and e) government agencies primed for the next big societal lockdown.

    It’s clear that World War III has already started as asymmetrical warfare on multiple fronts. “Hot” war is underway in Ukraine but may “mushroom” behind the next false flag screen. ”

    Whats in Ure Cofefee?

  10. Seems like Wall Street is in full – “Buy The Rumor”.., this morning..,
    I am looking at the point of when – “Sell The Fact” takes hold.
    .
    Gotta love modern computer betting – I mean., trading.

    • This ought to be an a-b-c ahead of the inflation, this morning was likely the a up, now in b down with C up to comes – but that ain’t advice. That’s ure betting $10,000 option blocks..

  11. Ok.. I have to add this..
    one of my favorites is Chicken McNuggets.. I love those..

    https://www.etsy.com/listing/1748448402/silicone-mold-of-chicken-nuggets?

    chicken McNuggets is fun and easy to make.. I of course like mine flavorful.. you can make them just about anyway you want.. but here is a version I love.. ( especially after discovering kicken chicken seasoning)

    a couple of pounds of ground chicken..
    take four slices of bread and put that in chicken broth I use
    1 cup of chicken broth
    then into a blender.. add
    1 tsp of onion powder
    1 tsp of garlic powder
    1 tsp of kicken chicken
    1/2 cup of powdered milk
    then blend up the bread and spices.. with the ground chicken..
    put it in a bowl and let it stand in the freezer for about a half hour..
    put it back in the blender and hit it up on high till it resembles a paste while adding the powdered milk.. then take a cookie scoop out and spray your mold with a release agent.. ( olive oil ) then mold your nuggets and coat with a panko crumbs.. ( you can season these with onion powder and a little garlic powder.. place on a cookie sheet and freeze.. bag them up they are ready to be baked or fried..
    for a sweet and sour sauce..
    Apricot preserves
    Water
    Vinegar
    Light corn syrup
    Cornstarch
    Yellow mustard
    Soy sauce
    Garlic powder
    blend until smooth then boil until it thickens and you have it.. ( I like to put just a splash of soy sauce in it.. your the boss flavor it anyway you like)

      • LOL LOL LOL good one..

        might need some steak sauce with that.. I
        1/4 cup Black Raisins
        – 2 Cloves Garlic
        – 1/8 Yellow Onion
        – 1/2 cup Balsamic Vinegar
        – 1/2 of an Orange Juiced or 1/8 cup or 31ml (you can also use orange juice)
        1/2 cup Water
        1/4 cup Worcestershire Sauce
        1/4 cup Dijon Mustard
        1/4 cup Ketchup
        1/4 tsp Black Pepper
        1/4 tsp Salt
        1/2 tsp Celery Seed
        put this all in a pan and simmer for a half hour.. you might have to add a touch of water.. then strain it.. put it back in the pan… then take a tblsp.. of corn starch and mix it with just a touch of orange juice.. then add this to the sauce.. let it thicken up a little bit.. put in a jar in the fridge and let it sit for a couple of days.. I will add a clove or two more of garlic and a little more ketchup..

  12. Tranny shooters.

    How do you convince someone their kid is a sick freak and they are bad parents? That’s heavy news.

    Look to Colt Gray. The FBI visited the house do to the kid making online threats. C’mon, when you were growing up how many times did the FBI show at the door? You can look at the log to see our IP just like the FBI can look at the logs. The FBI doesn’t just drive around looking for doors to knock on.

    The dad went along with a ridiculous notion with the kid’s story that someone hacked the account. Now it’s obvious to everyone the kid is sick and the dad has bad parenting skills. The dad may have accepted it too as we saw him crying in court. But we can’t know who he was crying for – the kid/himself/the victims?

    What were the dads famous last words about the kid’s gun, “Don’t shoot anyone at school, OK?”

    Moreover, I think you made a good point about the systems being too large. It seems to me the Internet is raising the kids and not the parents at all. Parents are out indulging their life.

      • Good point. It’s the parents living in Pollyanna worlds when it comes to their demented children, but likely the parents come from a line of demented ones.

        In the article below we’ve got the granddad ripping on Colt’s father. From the tone it seems like the GD is the mother’s father. In the article people mention the mother would lock the kids out of the house and they would pound on the door to be let in… The GD overlooks that part. So he’s wearing the same Rose Glasses as Colt’s dad did.

        Colt Gray’s Grandfather Says Colin Gray ‘Got What He Deserved’

        https://www.newsweek.com/colt-gray-colin-gray-school-shooting-weapon-gun-georgia-1950630

      • transgender sickos are only about .5% of the population but 8 mass shooters in the last 2 yrs are by transgenders ,,, maybe reuters is using fudgey math in its data reporting,,, ya know, pick and chose what and how they report and ignore the rest of the story

        never needed cis-gender terminology, before,,, the trans, who label us as cis-, need to be reminded of their position on the bell curve, oddballs on the far left end.
        satire statement here,,, V
        “it is the democratic thing to do, as we normals are the majority,,, long live the democracy, vote the sickos off the island,,, learn to swim”

        You are lucky that we live in a constitutional republic and not a mob rule democracy

        my Question is,,, are they spiritual sick,, evil, or is it just a chemical imbalance in their system,,, to much birthcontrol chemicals pissed into the water supply, lakes and rivers, that does not have filtration to remove them?
        oh well, I have convince you of nothing, so back to your regular trolling program, as programed.
        Don’t forget tonight, Kamala/Trump debate,,, Pelosi calls Trump a coward,,, ain’t that punny.
        https://slaynews.com/news/pelosi-claims-trump-chicken-out-debate-harris-i-know-cowardice/
        and here is the echo, she wants you to repeat
        https://slaynews.com/news/pelosi-30-republican-voters-racist-sexist-homophobic/
        I AM thankful , that i am not infected with the xxy soyboy gender confused illness.
        the 5th of Nov,,, a date to remember
        Have a nice day

        • transgender sickos are only about .5% of the population

          .2% — 1:500

          Human “sexual preference” over all recorded history:

          94.0% heterosexual
          4.2% homosexual
          1.2% paedophilic (all types)
          0.388% other
          0.2% transsexual / transvestite
          0.012 hermaphrodite / clinical bisexual

          Whenever you can, take pains to get the numbers right, because no one else will, and someone needs to be the benchmark by which others’ opinions are measured…

          Indiana University is the source for the correct answer on any question regarding sex, sexual behaviors or proclivities, or sexual mores or tendencies, either contemporary or historical. It is the home of both the Masters & Johnson and the Kinsey Institutes…

        • forgive me Ray, I was lazy and just used a quick google search
          google has been proven to be bias
          https://rumble.com/v5edd2y-google-could-shift-25-million-votes-in-the-2024-election-dr.-robert-epstein.html?e9s=src_v1_ucp
          46 min

          in the above video Jimmy’s guest, Dr. Robert Epstein tells about google bias affecting election, but in it I feel Jimmy gets hostile with him, when I think he could have let the gentleman speak without interuption
          the poor Dr guy is conflicted with truth against his anti Trump bias. He sees the bias against Trump but fails to see why they have their bias
          I feel the Dr has eye opening information, even though he is anti-Trump. I am glad I took the time to listen,,, aint everything black and white,,, I got gray ing hair

      • I have nothing against anyone that is transgender or gay.. in anyway shape or form.. I have a few realitives that are gay.. I have an idea why they turned that way.. and I have met guys that would knock the socks off of women in beauty department..
        my Earl story.. when I was in the military there was this little guy Earl.. nice guy gay as you can get.. his story was his father left.. and his mother got a boyfriend when he was just a little toddler.. he rapped him.. and earl seen his mother as she seen it going on and left.. being a smaller than normal child.. he had to take gym in the schools.. the boys horseing around their horsing around got to much in the locker room and he was forced to perform oral sex on the boys.. the coach seen it happening and walked away.. NOW… if I was an angel walking the earth .. who gets the pass.. the boyfriend that originally rapped him.. the mother for not coming to her sons defense.. the good christian boys that forced him to perform oral sex on them or the coach that seen what was going on and walked away.. or earl that found companionship and love and acceptane with another young man that endured the same kind of abuse.. I think earl and his boyfriend would get a pass.. the rest of them can rot in hell for all I care..
        Its similar to the diary of the presidents daughter.. which one gets the pass.. we know all about the deviance of the family so my question is did the same thing happen to the boys in the family there were enough home videos put up to show that its one sick household.. stuff that wouldn’t come to any of our minds whatsoever was a go for it in their world… why was beau so dead set on going after pedophiles as a prosecuter.. why doesn’t the vice president as an old judge offer any excuses why she isn’t against what has come out about the president and his boy and brother and their business activities.. why did congress go home for the summer and hasn’t done a thing..they had enough proof and evidence.. yet it wasn’t important enough that they took off for the summer.. .. the brand brags about their activities in their own memoirs. Joe bragged about getting the one investigating his son and the business owners activities fired in Ukraine.. we are giving our great grandchildren’s futures to a war that we should not be in and pushing for a war that will put mankind on the endangered species list… Everyone knows about the Hollywood casting couch.. but then we read about how it is acceptable behaviors in the Talmud and that is taught and held as sacred by a religion that is trying to genocide a tribe for gain….
        the world has gone to hell and I wonder in a situation like the Sodom and Gomorrah would angels find honorable people left in office?

  13. The markets are on a rampage this morning.., everything is up – gold & silver, oil., all the indexes – even bitcoin is up over a couple of grand.
    Pricing in the Fed rate cut already? Foolish.

    • Junior was up 16.53% on the day, a half hour before close. I told him to get the hell out and into cash, because NOBODY wins like that, for very long…

  14. All your screwing around reminded me it was time to order some new Ryobi lithium batteries for the drill. This is my ‘free drill’ that the gutter install guys left on my roof seven years ago. After two months in the sun and rain on the roof, it still worked… and continues to outlast the batteries!

  15. Residents Of Springfield Ohio Beg For Help After 20,000 Haitians Overwhelm City, Eat Local Wildlife

    The city of Springfield, Ohio – population 60,000, has been overwhelmed by roughly 20,000 Haitian illegal migrants, who flocked to the city – exacerbating a ‘significant housing crisis’ according to city officials, and eating pets and wildlife according to locals.

    https://www.zerohedge.com/political/cant-take-it-anymore-residents-springfield-ohio-beg-help-after-20000-haitians-overwhelm

    Had a security gig in Springfield, 45 years ago. The place reminded me of residential Ann Arbor…

    My great, great nephew was hit by a car Saturday. The driver, reportedly “dark-skinned,” got out of the car and ran away on foot, allegedly yammering in a foreign language on a cellphone as he ran. The car he was driving may have been stolen. He has not been found. My nephew is critical but stable, after being lifelined to a level-1 trauma center. This happened in small-town Indiana. I heard about it today. There is no mention of it in any news medium. It is possible that Ohio isn’t the only State with issues.

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