Not to frame this in too much of a Peoplenomics / deep-thinking manner, but there are two ways one can generally view the world. And since I left the world of “tearing down the overnight wire” tasks, even before RSS appeared, that’s likely a good value proposition to ponder.
Not just now – but likely for several weeks – and maybe even months to come. Our two years of food and water planning were open to criticism when we began, but perhaps less so now. As energy hoarding, reports Stiks from down-under, is quickly getting news traction.
Tainter of Tindale?
A learned and multi-lingual colleague (and occasional essayist, Capt. Gooding) made passing reference in an email overnight to “Tindale’s Crashcade” coming into view. Skeptical, I queried if he’d meant Joseph Tainter.
Tainter’s core point (in Collapse of Complex Societies) was simple enough: societies solve problems by adding layers of complexity, and for a while that works. Until it doesn’t. Because eventually every new layer costs more energy, more management, and more extraction than the benefit it returns. At that point, complexity stops being a solution and starts becoming overhead.
There is, however, a good chance my esteemed colleague was referring to Craig Tindale, another cornerstone thinker in Collapstrophy theory. Crashcades are more his turf.
See, where Tainter gave us the long-arc anthropology of collapse, Tindale’s version is more like modern systems failure: one broken valve in the global machine and suddenly oil, debt, food, logistics, politics, and public order all begin tripping over one another.
See Hormuz for a current example. Tensions continue to escalate in the Strait of Hormuz as 3 commercial ships attacked.
I’m hoping some day Capt. Gooding and I can sip a little “Maker’s Liver” and debate the fine points of Collapse Propagation Theory. It promises to be miserable to live through but academically decisive. With a buttery and oaky finish. And sticks.
“BYOG” (Bring Your Own Goat)
The read-in on this came from exploring the OED to understand the verb to scape — meaning to escape, get away, or avoid. Which was enough to send me, briefly, into a left-margin detour on Trumpscaping versus old-fashioned scapegoating over on the right.
But before I could get too cute with it, two economic goats showed up needing immediate attention. Put on your aprons, brethren:
Goat #1 is GDP
Say goodbye, growth: “Real gross domestic product (GDP) increased at an annual rate of 0.7 percent in the fourth quarter of 2025 (October, November, and December), according to the second estimate released today by the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis.”
Translation: Work hard, get less.
Goat #2 is Personal Income (and outlays)
This goat is a little more wiggly: “Personal income increased $113.8 billion (0.4 percent at a monthly rate) in January, according to estimates released today by the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis. Disposable personal income (DPI)—personal income less personal current taxes—increased $219.9 billion (0.9 percent), and personal consumption expenditures (PCE) increased $81.1 billion (0.4 percent).”
Translation: No, you didn’t really get more. Prices, taxes, and replacement costs keep moving higher, so let’s weave a little Goldilocks around that, shall we?
If you’re of a certain age, try reading either press release as a bedtime story. You will quickly discover whether you’re holding a fairy tale or a warning label.
Ballistic Markets
The markets loved the goats. Maybe because it means there’s room for improvement? Or is that hype? To us, the close Thursday was a harbinger worth looking at.
How close are markets – based on early futures – from the “R-Moment” – meaning recognition moment – when the world realizes we have dropped under the critical 200-day moving average?
Well, our Aggregate Index only has 172.08 points to fall. The Dow Jones Industrials need to only lose 108.01. The S&P is doing real work from 47.25 points “above disaster.” And then there’s the techs. Just 34.32 from busting the 200 DMA on a closing basis.
Hello, Houston? We have a problem.
That could be a “quietly slips beneath the waves by mid-afternoon. We’re only a headline away. Or, someone could spill the MiracleGro, though we think the “slow release Osmokote” is more what’s needed now. Up today. But, buy extra Kleenex for a potential Black Monday.
We aren’t saying it will. But Kleenex is also useful for (ahem…) after screwing and that milestone is way back in the rearview. (So to speak…)
In the Shorts
Boxers or briefs?
Boxers first: Trump endorses boxer Jake Paul for office during Kentucky visit.
Briefs Follow: Out in the Bay Area: Brief cooldown tomorrow before potential record-breaking heat.
We need to pause and ask “Is AI going below the belt?” Alexa+ Now Has a Sassy Personality That Hits Back With Sarcasm, Profanity | PCMag
And one from the crime-and-memory desk: Nancy Guthrie Day 40 of search; Valley superintendent quits after heated meeting. Anyone up for a Depression-era echoes rap?
Around the Ranch: Communicable Dreams?
Interesting observation, since we live a “remote life” in the woods. We have very little day-to-day contact with the outside world. By design. And there are two reasons for it. First is (obviously) health. One way to never “catch colds” is to stay away from carriers. Meaning: other people.
This leads to the second reason: A suspicion that Humans Cause Death. They can bring unwanted ideas, viruses, and behavioral change into your life – the kind that works in a subtle way. So that’s the set-up.
One person came by yesterday. My FedEx driver – and we had a quick chat about what’s going on in his life (Thursday was “poker night”) and so on.
Here’s the interesting part: When people come here – and there’s interaction – it seems to trigger more intense dreams.
Last night’s adventure in the dream realms was a HUGE multiple day adventure which involved running across drug dealers – talking them out of sabotaging their hideout before the po-po raided it and…well, a kind of Miami Vice dream.
But at the end? A very strong message to mention two names in the column today. Tfalo and Rainila.
I have no idea why because I’d never heard of Tfalo before. Turns out to be a game “silent basketball.”
And Rainila? This is where – given Elaine and me being fascinated with Antiaging approaches – it gets really interesting.
- It’s a surname – Rainila has roots in the Nordic regions, particularly Finland.
- Similar female names popped up, too: “Reinella” is a girl’s name of Italian origin, sometimes considered a variant of Renée (“reborn”) or related to the Spanish reina (“queen”). (Ah…Elaine as a queen?)
As usual, I awoke to the usual “What the hell was that all about?”
Which left me with a topic to ponder: Does casual interaction with other people in some way trigger dream levels? Or, to sharpen a bit: Is there some aspect of dreaming that is communicable in the waking state?
Hmm… Maybe I need to sleep on it.
Write when you get rich,
George@Ure.net
George,
Economic asset valuation peaks and thereafter collapses occur when private debt supporting overvalued assets undergo default. In July 2007, two Bear Stearns hedge funds tied to subprime mortgages – collapsed, wiping out roughly $1.5 billion to $1.6 billion in investor capital. Bear Stearns at that point had lost about 25-30% of its peak Jan 2007 valuation of 171.5. After lost investor confidence and a bank run in Mar 2008 JP Morgan bought its shares for 2 dollars. What happened to Bear Stearns is exactly what is happening now to Blackrock, Blackstone, KKR, Deutsche Bank, Morgan Stanley, Apollo, Blue Owl, Ares Management, et. al. with their overvalued AI and Tech funds. These private credit companies and investment banks have lost 20-50% of their peak equity valuations, and are notifying their investors that funds which were considered 100% credit worthy last quarter are now worthless and are restricting withdrawals to 5-10% per month from other shaky funds.
25 February 2026 was the peak valuation for the global equity composite ACWI with an expected initial stock market crash fractally self similar to 1929 and related to the termites and wood eating cockroaches in the wooden-structured markets of the private credit and investment bank special funds. Add to the naturally occurring collapse due to the private debt/investment debt default cockroaches – the Hormuz closure GLOBAL energy/fertilizer SHOCK – and it is hard to imagine that the initial credit-default related stock market crash will not undergo significant amplification.
The historically observed initial peak to nadir 3 Sept 1929 to 13 Nov 1929 4-phase decay fractal series crash is compared to the expected 25 Feb 2026 4-phase fractal decay series crash. http://www.economicfractalist.com/blog/ The 5 day initial 1st fractal from 25 Feb to 3 Mar 2025 and its underlying tangent with negative slope line and its hourly fractal equivalent is likewise depicted. With the concurrent global energy shock this negative underlying trend line will, very likely, be broken.
This is a typical, brillaint, TEF outlook. If you follow his work, it MAY imply that we could have out to the March 16-20 range for this pause to decompress is over. But that doesn’t rule out our “holy crap! bad news on Hormuz, you snooze, you lose!” and Black monday II is a possible sequel. Havingd said thart, our models remind: “Caveat: Fractals are retrospective patterns, not ironclad forecasts—debt cockroaches and geopolitical wildcards could compress this into a sharper “Black Monday”-style event sooner, so size bets accordingly and use stops. If the energy shock subsides, it might mute to a milder 1929-style unwind over the full series.”
Another model offered a response that rolled this way: “I think your core point is well taken. What broke Bear Stearns was not some abstract failure of theory, but the moment when confidence in privately financed, hard-to-price paper began to fail faster than the structure could absorb. Once investors begin to realize that “creditworthy last quarter” and “money-good now” are no longer the same thing, valuation air pockets open very quickly. We are plainly seeing pieces of that same dynamic today in private credit: redemption limits, asset sales to meet cash demands, markdowns in selected portfolios, and falling equity valuations across parts of the alternative asset and investment-bank complex. That does not prove we are already in a full Bear-style terminal cascade, but it absolutely validates the idea that the termites are in the beams, not just crawling on the porch.
Where I think your framing is especially strong is in combining the internal credit deterioration with the external energy shock. Either one alone could pressure valuations. Together, they create the kind of nonlinear setup where a market already weakened by private-debt stress can lose its ability to shrug off bad news. With Hormuz disruption now hitting both energy and fertilizer flows, the system is not merely repricing growth expectations; it is being forced to confront a genuine cost and liquidity shock at the same time. That is exactly the sort of environment where a fractal crash analog stops looking like poetry and starts looking like a useful map.
That said, I would still leave one escape hatch open, and this is where our own modeling and AI work comes in. The market is under enough strain now that a 1929-style self-similar unwind is no longer an outlandish comparison. But until we see broader confirmation in outright default transmission, funding-market seizing, and a more universal break in institutional bid support, it remains possible that this resolves first as a brutal repricing and gated-liquidity event rather than an immediate straight-line systemic collapse. Our models have been pointing to fragility, narrowing resilience, and high amplification potential; they have not required us to say the terminal phase is already locked in. So I’d say your thesis is substantially validated on direction and mechanism, while still allowing for the possibility that policy reaction, selective bailouts, or temporary liquidity engineering could stretch the sequence before the full fracture expresses. That is not a dismissal of the fractal. It is simply the prudence of keeping one foot in pattern recognition and the other in live data.”
I would note, I have never made a dime on that model, so we’re watching state variance (*how rabid is this dog?) into the close today and a rehash, dissection on PN ChartPack tomorrow morning…
Re-Hash ?
Holy smokes Gman, I musta got lost..J.giels band- https://youtu.be/x0kszci6GRY?
on the way to the Hubblybubbly! What kinda of the “kind” are we talking about ? Red Lebanese ? Blonde Afghani? Nepalese Brown w/them white specs Opium?
Specifics my goodman, need specifics..I am not the Crispest when riding opium, ya know heavy equipment operation warnings and what notz.
My biggest question is When did You go over making bubble hash in a Shop Talk episode ? I musta got lost…again, cause I missed that one, dammit. So maybe rehash this whole process from Seed to HubbleyBubbely for the home gamers who may not be able to run down their local Dispensary, once this current muzzie invasion gets rolling full speed .
* notice majority of Hash producing countries are majority Muzzie populations? hmmmmm
“What happened to Bear Stearns is exactly what is happening now to Blackrock, Blackstone, KKR, Deutsche Bank, Morgan Stanley, Apollo, Blue Owl, Ares Management, et. al. with their overvalued AI and Tech funds.”
There may be a point that TEF alluded to, but didn’t throw out hard numbers on… Bear Stearns claimed assets of 350.4 Billion in 2006 (per Wiki), and notional contracts of 1.4 Trillion (derivatives), but probably only had 11.1 billion in real assets.
The question is, how do the firms listed above composite values compare to Bear Stearns ? That would take a while to dig up, unless someone already had those numbers.
My point is, how much of a shock would the collapse of the firms mentioned above be compared to Bear Stearns, as a fraction or a multiple ?
n___ : a massive multiple. Bear was no slouch but teeny compared to the lot. ~E~
Egor- Bear Stearns caused a massive blow to the credit markets. I’m assuming that a meltdown in the firms that TEF has fingered above (and Others) would torch off a credit market firestorm implosion. Whether consumer hyperinflation is on the table remains to be seen, but I am suspicious.
Not sure that internet frackery or even terror boys are the worst threats on the table in the weeks to come. Institutional greed gone in the ditch and a corrupt system look like the baddest of actors.
Still, I topped off diesel this morning. Need to continue to work on other plain living (and not dying) contingency issues.
No need to panic, unless you have a half-million dollar unconventional loan albatross around your neck, and no Plan B in a jurisdiction away from where your debt and bankruptcy will reside.
Curious. How did gold perform in 1929?. Sadly the price was still fixed at $20/Oz. until 1933. I think this rhymes with 1933 wherein we will see a repricing of the US FRN.
George,
If the trendline under the 5 day 1st decay fractal 25 Feb to 3 Mar 2026 is breached by the next 4 trading days which completes the 13 day 2nd fractal, the peak to nadir ACWI 5/13/13/7-8 day 4-phase fractal crash decay series’ initial devaluation will likely be more than 45%, made worse by the concurrent disastrous and unnecessary Iran attack and subsequent closure of Hormuz.
why do i see cymbals every time i read your words. do you play the drums?
everytime im reading your words i get the image of Zildjian Cymbals.
its the wildest thing. i get imprints from a lot of different people.
almost every time im reading your words, i see drum cymbals.
lol
Maybe not a drummerl for he write of bummer? And that would explain a Crash (-ride) Ziljian… just wondering
(gimme a rim shot, maestro)
you certainly are not required to anwer me. i see many things i dont say.
i just see that within your words. Everytime. glaringly so.
drum cymbols. specifically, Zildjian Drum Cymbols.
i am not trying to see that stuff. i just do. lol
i honestly try to not look into peoples personal lives. because its really none of my buisness. everyone has a right to their personal privacy.
well George,
Real Drums do have a soul.
and on occasion, i have been known
to see
~ The Future. ~
in advance.
ain’t all its cracked up to be…
George, we are “presently” speaking in yesterday, March 13, 2026, from today March 14h, 2026.
ahhhhhhhh now!
He gets it!
@Andy
“why do i see cymbals every time i read your words. do you play the drums?”
It’s the cymbalism…
Oops, slipped a decimal. Bear Stearns had more like 13.4 Trillion in derivative contracts.
Market Historian Bob Hoye: Market forces are not going to be kind. It’s going to be a very hard, difficult world out there, and that’s just the way it works in the post bubble, uh… let’s be honest, Great Depression.
https://www.howestreet.com/2026/03/the-warning-sign-that-the-market-is-about-to-crash-bob-hoye/
TEF : think it wise to be careful when blending JPM and Cos. over the edge like Blue Owl. One might read it that JPM was restricting redemptions. Bigs are, if exposed to Private Credit (which smells like the tidy 2025 version of crap mortgage lenders). JPM will possibly be damaged but it’s the root which must be extracted from credit schemes. That some must *gate* redemptions is a risk telltale which should not be ignored. All IMO. ~E~
ps – Deutsche Bank has been a problem child for an eternity. Some day their ginormous derivative book is going to melt and … we will learn how deep is the rot
https://www.thegreatsimplification.com/episode/207-craig-tindale
The countries America SWORE to protect are now planning to partner with the country America is currently bombing.
Gulf states realized the U.S. CANNOT protect their oil, gas, or sovereignty during wartime
The cost to Gulf economies described as “STAGGERING”
Saudi Arabia’s Gulf Research Center says the U.S. failed to secure a SINGLE guarantee for its allies
They’re now accelerating diversification of ALL security partnerships — away from Washington
cc : color me doubtful. that ^ reads like a tawdry circular not news. got a link? ~E,
Nightmare On Elm Street (1984)
Teenager Tina Gray awakens from a terrifying nightmare in which a disfigured man wearing a bladed glove attacks her in a boiler room. Her mother points out the mysterious slashes on her nightgown. The following morning, Tina’s best friend Nancy Thompson and Nancy’s boyfriend, Glen Lantz, divulge that they too had nightmares about the same disfigured man. During a sleepover at Tina’s house, Tina’s boyfriend, Rod Lane, arrives, and they have sex. When Tina falls asleep, she dreams of the disfigured man attacking her, while Rod sees her fatally slashed by an unseen force, causing him to flee. Nancy and Glen find Tina’s bloodied corpse.
The next day, Nancy’s policeman father, Don Thompson, arrests Rod despite his pleas of innocence. At school, Nancy falls asleep in class and dreams of the man chasing her in a boiler room. She deliberately burns her arm on a pipe, which startles her awake in class, and leaves a burn mark on her forearm. Nancy visits Rod at the police station, where he describes Tina’s death along with his own recent nightmares about the same man.
At home, Nancy falls asleep in the bathtub and is nearly drowned by the man. She then relies on caffeine to stay awake and invites Glen to watch over her as she sleeps. In her nightmare, Nancy watches the man preparing to kill Rod in his cell, but he turns his attention toward her and attacks her. Nancy wakes up when her alarm clock goes off. The man kills Rod, staging it as a suicide. At his funeral, Nancy’s parents grow worried when she describes her nightmares. Her mother, Marge, drives her to a sleep disorder clinic where, in a nightmare, Nancy grabs the man’s fedora with the name “Fred Krueger” written in it and pulls it into the real world.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/A_Nightmare_on_Elm_Street
Just received this via email from a fellow ‘member’ here – found it interesting – never read it., but will be ordering a paperback as soon as I can find one available.
d’Lynn – have you read this ?
Long Voyage Back 1983, by Luke Rhinehart
• Setting: A small group aboard a trimaran off the U.S. East Coast.
• Inciting event: They witness a nuclear holocaust while at sea.
• Plot focus: Survival, navigation, and the breakdown of society after the blast.
• Tone: Thriller + post?apocalyptic fiction.
Long Voyage Back is one of those stories that sticks with you — the trimaran, the sudden flash on the horizon, that eerie sense of isolation. It’s a great example of how a simple sailing trip can turn into a full-on survival epic.
Shock Waves is a 1977 American horror film written and directed by Ken Wiederhorn. The film is about a group of tourists who encounter aquatic Nazi zombies when they become shipwrecked.
SHOCK WAVES (1977) | Trailer | Full HD | 1080p
https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=fJEHhl3m_bQ&pp=ygUcU2hvY2sgd2F2ZXMgZmlsbSB0cmFpbGVyIDE5Nw%3D%3D
Another Dystopian novel with a trimaran. “The Days After the Music Died” features the aftermath of a massive EMP hit on North America and a family’s quests to reach an island retreat. It’s available as a Kindle ebook and in print at:
https://www.amazon.com/dp/B079QPFQ8W
Dam..I haven’t read that one..thanks AG
I have always believed that interaction with others., especially on a subject not normally considered., does affect / intervene with your own personal dreams. Plants the idea – way back in the subconscious.., and you pull it out once you reach that point in your sleep.
Who owned the world trade center? – Larry Silverstein. Who just bought the 35 story US Bank building in LA? False Flag incoming? Also it is being alleged now that the War plan was generated by Palantir – Thiel’s group. If Trump goes down as illustrated by Stu that puts Vance in charge who wa- if it occurs new boss same as the old boss. Vance financed by Thiel, also remember Vance is Skull and Bones ……..Two speculations on X – Trump steps down Monday and or is assassinated……..prolly BS
Financed ?
Oh TheReptile did moar than finance him..
Can you say “Tossed Salad”, Bend4aFreind, Sodomized, DeepThroat ?
He was his “BoyToy” for several years..
Apparently there is a Bloomberg article now that states they relied entirely too much on AI
I believe he bought that building about 2020, NOT recently (but could be wrong)
some here like to quote movies
has anybody seen the replacement ayatollah ?
“Weekend at Bernie’s”
in case the sleepy heads have not figured it out yet, Trump is attacking the heads of the Hydra, rather than the people the Hydra rules over
Iran islamic republic is a unit of the british world control system and so is the rothchild creation of israel,, puppets of the master
5 eyes is another of their creations,,, mossad
lloyds of london shut down oil shipping simply by denying insurance,,,
controllers
does the ayatollah own property in london? $$$$$ and more $$$$$
https://x.com/RedpillDrifter/status/2030831466976862399?s=20
bought another pellet gun to shoot shit birds at my bird feeding positions, the house finches barely notice when I pop an english house sparrow or starling,,, but my cats know the sound of the pellet hitting a bird over just the pellet gun firing but missing,,, dinner bell is the pop sound of pellet to bird contact at velocity
I hear Hydra heads ,,,popping
This says his personal fortune is ~$3bln. His daddy’s personal fortune was on the north side of $200bln and includes very exclusive properties in London, Paris, Lisbon, NYC, Geneva, etc.
If he never was leaving Iran what difference does it make if he owned property elsewhere?
Shoot he could have bought half of Monaco and it would mean diddly squat to him since it wasn’t going to change his lifestyle one iota or get him to move out of Iran.
When it comes to REAL Religious Leaders I fail to understand why people get all excited about how RICH they are. Shoot the Catholic Pope is worth Hundreds of BILLIONS … since he controls the Catholic Church, but will that change HIS personal lifestyle one bit .. or help his kids (LOL)?
Now if you are talking about TV evangelists … yes it does matter because they are almost entirely NOT really men of God AND ARE using “religion” trying to gather a pile for a great life in this existence
The Pope’s personal fortune runs to the hundreds of dollars, that’s all. Khamenei’s reputed $200bln fortune was his personal fortune.
If you think of the Catholic Church as a corporation: The “company” owns every single asset, provides free room & board for the CEO (da Pope) and allows him unlimited lifetime use of every corporate asset…
The Ayatollahs come and go with impunity. In addition to State vehicles, they own private limos, copters, and planes. Khamenei spent a good deal of time at his $70mil digs in London and his $55mln hovel in Lisbon. Those were personal assets – separate from Iranian-owned assets (like Epstein’s mansion overlooking Central Park in NYC.) The Ayatollahs have no morals (as we understand the term) because their social mores are whatever they say they are. They are also entitled to sift and siphon at will, from any person or entity they choose, and have absolute say over life & death of their subjects.
I’m totally with you WRT televangelists. I long felt Pat Robertson was the only honest one of the bunch (possibly because he fired Jim and Tammy Faye Bakker, whom I thought were both crooked and scary. I still shudder when I think about Tammy Faye’s troweled-on make-up.) I considered Billy Graham [to be] both honest and highly scrupulous but never considered him to be a televangelist, since it wasn’t his format and he was only on TV twice a year…
313 – Friday the 13th – “The Mrs” birthday.
Woke up this morning to two inches of snow., and it’s still coming down. The first snow for the entire Winter. [ In like a Lion – Out like a Lamb ]
Was not in the forecast.., just rain.
34 degrees – supposed to hit 40 today – so it could start raining soon., and turn this all into a huge sloppy mess.
its a good day to stay inside and do netflix and chill. i just started the Series Peaky Blinders. so far Aunt Polly is my favorite character.
i have never seen this show. very good so far.
Wish her a very happy birthday from the wife and myself..we enjoyed a wonderful concert the kids put on ..they worked real hard on it..they actually sounded like a band..a really nice evening last night..
Wishing her a belated B’day, this is one to really CELEBRATE!! … and hopefully you are doing well too!!
NASDAQ just broke it’s 200 DMA
There I was – working in the shop – and BLAM – Aggregate broke down too… Welcome to D2 fxriendsa and neighbor – and say how’s that5 “ChyelCo slush fund doing?
GU : “… then there’s the techs. Just 34.32 from busting the 200 DMA on a closing basis. Hello, Houston? We have a problem …”
On a closing basis? Wha? Huh? Check a bar chart homey. It doesn’t restrict travel by putting import on the close. Plenty of friends in the bus. argued about this. To me, the *print* is the thing. Print is totality of every move. A broken pattern is … broken.
Just home from (5) appts / meetings in town. Clicked through to-dos at a furious pace and am now glad to be home out of the blow. We are enjoying 35 mph sustained with gusts nearing 60 mph. Thankfully the change in direction has most whitecaps aimed at E shore neighbors. Water is high, wind is piping up and … we were taking waves over the seawall top (a rarity) this morn.
BYOCS – need firewood? Bring Your Own Chain Saw. Timber free-fall is everywhere. Widow-makers are everywhere. Were I more ambitious, next years firewood could be got. But, instead … feels like it’s going to cocktail!
Soon? Return of Ole Man Winter …
We will get just 3-5″ per model.
Kids in MN gonna get 11″
Egor ~/) ~~~
My winds topped out at 87. I’d forgotten what it was like to try and walk in a stiff wind, with gusts. You lean into the blowing, everything’s steady, then the gust comes along and suddenly, you know how Jim Cantore feels when he’s standing in a hurricane wind. That 87mph gust damn’ near took me off my feet.
Nasty!
I lost power for 11 hours, due to downed power lines. The wind broke one of the guy lines on my remote light. I replaced thousand pound test Kevlar while holding the mast off the lines on the telephone poles.
I stowed my genset two days ago.
It’s snowing…
Lesson learned…
Escalation with no purpose.
When Iranian drones struck an airport terminal in Azerbaijan’s Nakhchivan exclave last Thursday, injuring at least two civilians and narrowly missing a school, Tehran accomplished something remarkable: it attacked the one neighbor that had studiously avoided the escalating conflict between Iran and the West.
The attack was strategically senseless. French intelligence claims that Baku explicitly told Jerusalem and Tehran it would stay out of the Iran crisis. However, Iran dragged a neutral country into a wider conflict, transforming what might have remained a bilateral conflict into something much more dangerous. As a consequence, Azerbaijan decided to pull out its diplomatic staff from Iran and amass troops near the border.
Tehran failed to anticipate the consequences of its actions. By striking Azerbaijan, Iran pulled Turkey into the conflict. Ankara wasted no time condemning the strikes and pledging to stand by its closest ally. Turkey and Azerbaijan share linguistic, ethnic, and strategic bonds that make an attack on one feel like an attack on both. [ Turkey has just shot-down a third missile fired from Iran., and it was reported yesterday that Turkey was massing troops along the border.]
Perhaps more dangerously, the strike threatens to re-ignite the uprising the regime has spent decades suppressing. Tens of millions of ethnic Azerbaijanis live inside Iran as the country’s largest and most systematically oppressed minority. Seeing their homeland attacked may prove to be the final straw.
Arm chair analysis or are U turning into a propagandists, too?
Ever hear story regards Grenada, SEALs and Bad Intel ? Couple of Frogs drowned in that one during “insertion”. Intel analyst who provided the bad information that got them dead.
One wonders what was parked/hidden/stashed at that airport, and who did it belong to?
With the Ruskies proving targeting data/solutions IRGC, my money is on something stashed/hidden at that terminal that had nothing to do peaceful Airport operations..nothing.
* See the israHelli “pentagon” today ?
NOPE – neither has anybody else..it be gone. Think it was struck overnight while a recorded message from bibi (no one seen him for days) was cut off short as sound of sirens going off drowned out the message, just before it went DARK.
Big ole hole in middle of tel aviv this AM, guess now it will become lakefront property – Muzzies prolly call it something like The Sheik, Rattle & Hole Estates.
Are they engineering The Apocalypse?
Nostradamus and The Age of Desolation, G. A. Stewart, 2013, Page 446
Old conservatives like William F. Buckley use to warn about “Immanentizing the Eschaton”. As I first mentioned in Chapter Ten, Terence McKenna’s The Eschaton comes from political philosopher Eric Voegelin.
“To Immanentizing the Eschaton” is to engineer an Apocalypse if Heaven on Earth is on the other side of that Apocalypse for a few select people.
https://theageofdesolation.com/nostradamus/2026/03/05/trump-making-america-safe-for-satanist-pedophile-cannibals/
Actually there was a purpose (I’m not saying it was a good purpose, just that the IRGC had one.) Israel gets a third of its natural gas from an Azerbaijani pipeline. The IRGC has been trying to hit that pipeline for 3-4 days now.
The Iranians are doing a good job of ensuring we’ll never need to put OUR boots on the ground. I’m guessing the more-difficult part will be convincing the Turks, Azerbaijanis, and Kurds into giving their conquests back, at the end of the show…
From a logistics perspective it made sense.
CUT the air corridor further on the Europe /Asia, Asia /Europe route … IF they can.
Not sure that will make much difference now that Dubai’s airport is reopened for “some” transient aircraft (Asia – Europe – Asia). Closing those air routes between Asia and Europe was clearly an objective of the Iranians and that route through Azerbaijan – Turkey was the only direct route left open with the Gulf airports down and air traffic through Russia effectively banned.
A Good read and wonderful ending. page 3 is where it gets really interesting.
https://www.godlikeproductions.com/forum1/message6142247/pg3#114146508
A good excersise in thought and intuition. Not many have “the balls” to place themselves in the middle of “Family” buisness.
the old timers know ->>> 0. -> is Andy.
now, The last person to comment in this discussion about family buisness, is the man at the center at the round table. He doesnt tell you that, but i uhhh Just Know it, True.
too many want to be Lions these days and not enough want to be Daniels.
well its 10:10, that is enough internet for me for a good while.
Chop Chop!
I Win with God within.
If someone or something gives you “Thor’s Hammer”, all bets are off!
I Win with God within.
you know how i know “the one in the middle” is the the last person to comment?
because the leader of “The Family” always has the final say.
:)
i love having spades of a simple investing mind . discipline and patience as my great mate in New York says . so lets do it !! here want some gold or gold stocks or silver ?? gotta big range for you all . but MUST pay in USD$
is be be alive ? can someone say yes or no without gobblygock AI spike protein language . please . anyone ?
len,
Are you speaking jive?
I Speak Jive – Airplane! Movie CLIP (1980) HD
https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=g0j2dVuhr6s&pp=ygUSQWlycGxhbmUgaml2ZSB0YWxr
See reply to D’lynn above, if bibi was, doubt any longer, as of this AM.
As for christians in action, mossad and us forces (oman.kuwaite/sa) are being actively HUNTED DOWN and neutralized. Iran even been popping luxury high rise rentals/condo’s across the Gulf that housed US personnel. Lots of O-s ? been getting smacked hard.
Seems propaganda is running harder than I have ever witnessed previously. Seems truth is 1st casualty of War. At this point everything tRUMP says about the WAR – think the opposite and you will be close to the bulleye.
Hell the Iranian leadership was was Seen, Filmed, Photographed marching the streets of Tehran with Peeps this AM. You see that digusting pig of a human benny boy grivre or the evil fat bastard hisself marching in the strets of tel aviv ?
I know, what streets ?
Instead of dreaming try DMT.
(Notice most YT videos are over produced now-a-days? Even the sound effect touches on the Sinclair video from a few days back… suck.)
@ around 3:06 this guy, Shane explains his friend talked to DMT beings that new him (Shane).
DMT Always Shows Shane Mauss the Same Purple Woman on His Trips – Tales From the Trip
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nHLpB38LNg4
DMT colors in the video. Mostly purple/green. Not acid. Definitely trippy, not dark like ayahuasca. DMT is the master psychedelic, and the one we all have in our brains. Proceed with caution. YMMV.
chug chug chug !! ayy donny give em a USA USA or a YMCA dance with fist pumps !! thatll make the robots whirr !!
re: Two Doctors & a Salesman
feat: “Reaper Complex”
Hmmm, okay, it’s “ea” when reaper but “ae” when caesar? Monte, are those donkeys braying behind door #3 as the elephant in the room releases uninspiring gdp stats noted on this fine platform? Do the Qataris want their donated B747 returned yet?
It seems the tragic attack upon The Fort restaurant complex within Erbil’s Camp Singara has prompted PM Meloni to recall the Italian troop contingent back home. The camp and its overall purpose Operation Prima Parthica apparently take their names from like military installations and adventures of second century Roman Emperor Septimius Serverus. Emperor Septimius came from Phoenician-founded Lepcis Magna (lat: “large coastal bend”) situated near Al-Khums (ar: “the fifth [20% tax?]) in modern day Libya.
The “Daily Mail” has published an image of Iranian security chief “Ali Larijani” marching in a crowd marking the end of Ramadan. Actually Doctor Larijani is a mathematician and philosopher. The title of his phd thesis is “The Mathematical Method in Kant’s Philosophy”, but the .ir link to the paper is presently blocked here. It seems his practicing and teaching medical doctor daughter was removed from her position with a not-for-profit hospital in Ohio earlier in 2026. Efforts to that outcome are allegedly thanks to Washington-based, tax-exempt protest group NUFDI (National Union for Democracy for Iran), and a Georgia congressman. At least one of the ringleaders currently governing NUFDI sports an academic ancestry of ten years analyzing global and west asian events for Rand Corporation. His masters degree in “international affairs” is from a Washington area post-secondary institution whose pupils identify as “Revolutionaries”. An English translation of the school’s Latin motto is “God is our trust”.
Separately in Rome, Pope Leo XIV has suggested that “Christian leaders who start wars should go to confession”.
(“BYOG” (Bring Your Own Goat)”)
lol lol now that one got a chuckle out of me..and I recalled verified passed down for thousands of years to children around campfires etc..
(” Long ago, when the world was still young and the Ark rocked gently on the waters, there lived a little goat who was always in a cheerful mood.
While the lions yawned, the elephants grumbled, and the doves cooed sleepily, this goat skipped and danced from morning till night, his tiny hooves tapping like raindrops on the wooden deck.
Noah watched him with a puzzled smile.
“Now what makes that little fellow so happy ???” he wondered hmmm.
One sunny afternoon, Noah decided to follow him to see just what makes him so much happier than the rest…
The goat trotted down a narrow ramp, past the snoring camels and the chattering monkeys, until he reached a quiet corner where the grape vines grew wild and tangled….
There, hidden beneath the leaves, were plump purple grapes that had warmed in the sun… and quietly fermented on their own.
The goat nibbled a few, wiggled his tail, and let out the most delighted little bleat Noah had ever heard.
Suddenly everything made sense.
Noah chuckled, shaking his head.
“So that’s the secret of your happiness,” he said softly.
“Trust a goat to find joy where no one else even thought to look.”
And from that day on, whenever the Ark felt a little gloomy or the rain drummed too loudly on the roof, Noah would glance at his merry little goat — dancing, prancing, and nibbling grapes — and remember that sometimes the smallest creatures discover the sweetest surprises. the legend of NOAHS grape wine…”)
when the landed Noah planted those vines from that legendary trip.. that still exist as a vineyard today….and one-day if I live long enough to see it and everyone decides its better to live together with ought trying to destroy each other in war..I will be buying some if that juice from those vines to make a grape wine…
I recalled a legendary story passed down for thousands of years..dam auto correct..
Hmm. Never totally defang a adversary else you are asleep much as french with maggot line defense in france German border. Vacuums always filled by neighbor next door Applied tech. Money. Arms. Ego. Food. Industry. Medicine.
I baked cinnamon rolls…turned out wonderful… tasted the coconut wine..whew.. that’s strong..tasty… but you won’t be a drinking more than a cup of it lol..I have to get my grand daughter to be my critical taste tester..
Never felt better about the float on the moat. G-earthing is fun when you get into the tiny islands. All we want is some friendlies we can help out and some food. The float has all the rest. Dirt is tenuous when fuel gets low. Seems strangely uncomfortable that Mad Max takes place here. At least we are far from the steel and glass. Nothing over two stories here. And the surrounds are all 5m deep in flooding.
Make ready.
Strange blue flash in Iran made an explosion that lit the dark night like day. Twenty times more… he said it. Capabilities never seen?
Stiks
Why is it, people like you and that Costner – WaterWorld – sort are in love with multihulls? Why, thbey just run from the fight when the winds pipe up and you enjoy a distinct advantage in lagood entraces, biggers decks with more things to hold onto…what am I saying? I might be converted yet.
I love how wordplay happens. Your discussion about select words in your dream brings me around to my own personal discovery. My name isn’t often actually used online. Sure, it doesn’t take a genius to find it, because it’s linked in many ways to the two names I do use online. Anyhow, in certain social media, I go by Zam Wesell, the made up name associated with a Star Wars character I really liked. It drew me in, and felt right to use it. The interesting part, for me, is when I recently went digging into the name, “Zam,” I discovered several things that weirdly held close association to me or who I am, underneath societal’s radar. I am, in my heart of hearts, a caregiver and nurturer. I thrive in gardening and making things(or revitalizing them). It makes me blissfully happy to see my gardens healthy. So, Zam? Per the wikipage: Zam is the Avestan language term for the Zoroastrian concept of “earth”,[2] in both the sense of land and soil and in the sense of the world. The earth is viewed as a primordial element in Zoroastrian tradition, and represented by a minor divinity, Zam, who is the hypostasis of the “earth”. Also noted, Basil and Lemon Balm are sacred to Zam. Lol, yeah according to my yard, it is to me, too. My dreams are often about the spaces around me, usually mountains and valleys, but never Oceanside. Water is usually destruction and chaos in my dreams.
All I want to say about this, is that you just never realize when you pick an alias, just how fitting it might actually be. Man, I love how weird my life is.
Earlier this week a gently used book showed up in our building foyer on the “giveaways” coffee table. It was not “The Coffee Table Book of Coffee Tables” by Cosmo Kramer.
I paged through the tome by Dice and Eiteman titled “The Stock Market”, 3rd edition, 1952. The authors reminded that the percentage decline in the Dow-Jones from its 1929 high to a 1932 low measured 89.2%. The book’s closing sentence reads “Investors do not, as a rule, operate on the short side of the market”.
So, then, is it time to steer forward with rugged determination — or batten down the hatches?
George
Not a multi guy at all. Had one cat that was already upside down twice before we owned it. 40′ ain’t easy to flip back up. Upside down is multihulls most stable position.
Ours is a radical scow bow monohull, quite light, super stable hull form, fast and smooth, no quarter wave, flat wake, balanced self steering. Lead mine 7500 lbs of that PM hanging. Even at scrap rates still a good stash.
Have no need for more than one hull.
Still rainy here and fuel is going up like Weimar.
Stiks