We begin this morning’s epistle with a note about children in newsrooms. For, when a big story with significant historical echoes (;like the tanker attacks story) is breaking around them, the young ones, lacking experience and context, often miss the point.
And, so it is, we rely on the US Naval Institute (here) to provide the necessary remedial education for the “chilluns.”
To distill their excellent recap down into something edible in secons, this is NOT the first time tankers have been “popped” as part of ongoing warfare in the region.
Roll-back to the period beginning in 1980 and by year, here’s the tanker attacks that grew out of the Iran-Iraq war:
- 1981: 5 Attacks total
- 1982 22 attacks
- 1993 16 attacks
- 1984 74 attacks
- 1985 47 attacks
- 1986 111 attacks
- 1987 179 attacks
That is a total of 451 tanker attacks in a seven-year period. And, we note, not one whiff of a conspiracy-minded press that has turned fifth column when it comes to manipulations.
My consigliere and I talked long and deeply on this point last night. His view is that everyone in OPEC, and for that matter in US fracking, would love to see oil prices high. He notes that the Israel’s (and Saudi’s?) would love to see war with Iran and what better than for America to do it?
On the other hand, I’m holding to the notion that it’s part of regional warfare and that the Iranians. In my corner, US SecState Mike Pompeo who made the NY Times Thursday with “Pompeo Says Intelligence Points to Iran in Tanker Attack in Gulf of Oman.”
The “fake news” and anti-Semitic crowd loves a good anti-Israel angle and, thanks to the co-opted left-leaning press, (and ultra-lib social media) it’s easy for stories spouting events as a “false flag” to get traction. Helped-along by auto-repost features of social media; themselves a form of mass deception.
My consigliere and I agree to disagree. Officially, from the US government/intel perspective the Iranians had a hand…As president Trump tweeted Thursday “”It is the assessment of the U.S. government that Iran is responsible for today’s attacks in the Gulf of Oman….“.”
And, in the NY Times biz section: How Tanker Attacks in the Strait of Hormuz Could Affect Oil Prices.
That said, we are quick to point out that “false flag stories” while convincing, don’t change what goes into the history books which aren’t written based on a vote or poll of public opinion.
Skeptics of this being “Tanker War II” are referred to the exceptional work of Ronald O’Rourke in the May 1988 U.S. Naval Institute Proceedings,Vol. 114/5/1,023 for further details.
Moreover, while it remains hugely popular to cite “mini-nukes” and particle-beam weapons as the tools of the 9/11 attacks, the old reporter reminds that “officialdom writes the history.” This may be seen clearly in the Wikipedia write-up of the investigations into the Twin Towers.
Sorting Digital Delusions
We live in times of almost pervasive Digital Delusion. Half-truth’s are easily welded-up into misleading thought-structures and narratives which then become “lies oft re-posted.” Like the libtards with their Open Borders crap.
Like the big lies about “Hillary should be president” we won’t burden your reading time with unsupported rubbish. In the news business, facts – not innuendo – should be kept foreground.
Thus, to an old reporter, beating the dead “Russia conspiracy” and “Tankers attacks are a false flag” keep an insufficiently deep-thinking class of rumor pandering montetizers, masquerading as journalists, clogging our mental inputs with link-bait and lies.
(Note to self: Web domain name “LinkBaitAndLies” might be a refreshingly accurate pseudo-news reposting site…).
If you’re a cub reporter (anyone under 40!) don’t stay up past Ure bedtime fact-checking us. Tomorrow will be another tough day of being someone’s tool..
Historical Cycle Discussion
These are some important cyclic implications of this being “Tanker War II.”
The timing of the present-day attacks comes 38-days from the last set (in which Iran was [also] a participant). This would be just over a half-cycle from the 72-year War Cycle (71.9-yearsd) that we have spoken of before.
Lately, most of the press is focused on this weekend’s World Cup of cricket to be played between India and Pakistan this weekend. (We are biting nails on the terror side of that; the outcome is pointless since sports if a distraction).
The pressures continue to move India and Pakistan toward war (or change of government on one side) before the year is out, however. We see a couple of headlines supporting this.
First, there is the story about how Pakistan is largely not complying with an agreement with India on terror funding and money laundering…Also, for a third time Pakistan extends airspace ban along its eastern border with India.. If you were planning a sight-seeing flight over the Line of Control (LoC) it’s on hold until after June 28 – if ever.
By the way, while the US is experiencing a mild summer in the food belt, India is in some hurt with 36 dead in one of India’s longest heatwaves.
Just out from Census:
In the details:
“Advance Estimates of U.S. Retail and Food Services Advance estimates of U.S. retail and food services sales for May 2019, adjusted for seasonal variation and holiday and trading-day differences, but not for price changes, were $519.0 billion, an increase of 0.5 percent (±0.5 percent)* from the previous month, and 3.2 percent (±0.7 percent) above May 2018. Total sales for the March 2019 through May 2019 period were up 3.6 percent (±0.5 percent) from the same period a year ago. The March 2019 to April 2019 percent change was revised from down 0.2 percent (±0.5 percent)* to up 0.3 percent (±0.1 percent).
Retail trade sales were up 0.5 percent (±0.5 percent)* from April 2019, and 3.1 percent (±0.7 percent) above last year. Nonstore retailers were up 11.4 percent (±1.4 percent) from May 2018, while sporting goods, hobby, musical instrument, and book stores were down 4.2 percent (±2.5 percent) from last year.”
In the details, unadjusted Food and Retail is up 3.2% year to date! Yikes. We must be the only one to actual read ther whole press release, though:
Dow futures down only 26 points. Pass the KoolAid, please?
Fed Industrial Production and Utilization 45-minutes after the open so that could push things around…
Keep an Eye On…
Commies and Cannabis? A Change in Russia’s Draconian Drug Laws Could Be on the Horizon.
Trump’s real battle with the Fed? How an Obama Fed appointee is scuttling Wall Street’s bid to ease rules.
President Kim? I told you a long time back that the “new magic” in America is how we can transmute “fame” into “political power”. Specifically, I wrote a good bit about all the Kardashian hype. Well, today we read two articles on point. First being Kim Kardashian West thanks Ivanka Trump for support on criminal justice reform. The other being Kim Kardashian behind the presidential seal over here… (Again, who told you this was coming, what, two or three years ago?) Kim is 38 and the min-age for Prez is 35…
Leaking now freaking dept: WikiLeaks Founder Julian Assange Faces U.S. Extradition Hearing.
Attention Dr. Pete! (expert in VR in L.A. area and long-time reader): “Awake at the wheel: Automakers tap VR to banish boredom in autonomous cars.” Maybe like, oh, play a movie on the back of that semi-trailer in front of you? Like the Mueller frenzy wasn’t “mixed reality”: enough for us?
Actual Freedom vs. Public Health: New York ends religious exemption to vaccine mandates.
And, although we loathe sports – in general – as a resource wasting time-sink with sides of gambling, steroids and over-paid players: Canada Clinches Its First NBA Title as Toronto Raptors Defeat the Golden State Warriors.
As the games went on, Record number of South Sudanese face critical lack of food. But, that’s the world for you.
Moron the morrow…