In a word, maybe.  But maybe not. Takes a bit of explaining.  Follow along here because this is like “financial detective work.” To begin with, the Big Picture as of the 5 AM-ish Futures pricing was running to the upside. The reason is that in our Aggregate Index work – as we showed Thursday – we still needed … Read More

The Murder Cycle is back.  22 dead in Maine and 30 injured. Military firearms instructor shot up a bowling alley and a bar. There is a person of interest and he is still at large. No school in Lewiston, Maine today. The Murder Cycle is “soft” – a range of 130-150 days.  Making this one … Read More

What you learn at the track may be more valuable than  classes in Business School.  No, seriously.  The pony pickers may offer better insights into making money than B-schools because they have disciplined picking skills and personal money management skills often overlooked by academics. Trust me when I tell you the “sheepskin” is more like … Read More

We had a very good day in the market Monday.  While I’ll admit to the error of cowardice (not being short over the weekend) the fact is, the “second bite of the apple in the afternoon into the close was a tasty bite. So good that I let it ride overnight.  Because I figured the … Read More

That small list – three items on today’s agenda – will cover more ground than the evening news will tonight.  The reason has to do with longitudinal versus latitudinal events in the art of “deriving future.”

…would be dandy this time of year, wouldn’t it?  I mean, a glass of hot spiced wine – maybe a hot Apple Jack…fire going to keep the chill off?  Yeah, that’d be the way to spend fall. Portable radio. Football game on… Well, except, there’s one problem: We don’t have a patio. As luck would have … Read More

No, we did not take a short position ahead of expected weakness Monday.  But that in and of itself is a critical discussion every pari-mutuel investor needs to have (in advance) with themselves. To state Friday’s problem, do you take a short position when the market has not – yet – hit it’s likely “ideal … Read More

After Joe Biden’s well-delivered but wholly insufficient speech last night, the markets are poised to drop early today, and should there be a rally into the close, we might be among those buying short positions.

“Buster” will be on the Cyclops (the one-eyed monster called big screen) tonight at 8 PM.  However, we will be fading the happy talk going into the weekend. Why the irreverence (“Buster”)?  Because his trip to the Middle East was really a BUST. If anything, it made it clear to the Arab-Islamic side that the U.S. … Read More

On break in another lifetime today. We have written many times of our interest in doing a past life regression.  Now, being enrolled in an online mixed media program, not only have I actually had one.  But I also wrote a detailed account of events which runs just north of 5,000 words.  That’s book chapter-length. … Read More

Busy agenda today: Fed-influencing data in the form of retail sales.  A president shuttle ride?  And we have an odd feeling about a lower-latitude tropical depression.  In short? Another Tuesday in a string 000of 3,900, or so, such days in life. Retail: Details and Entrails The details just out from Census: Advance estimates of U.S. … Read More

Our spider sense about not being short this (pig of a) market over the weekend will apparently pay off this morning.  As the early futures were showing the market ready to pop a bit higher at the open. Biden as Eastwood? Farfetched?  But go with me on this, because sometime the clearest views of the future … Read More

This week a further discussion of using drones around our tree farm. You will remember last week; I was having an issue with a tree that got in the way of my (out of practice) drone flying skills.  So, I dropped the tree, right between a power pole and the greenhouse at the dirt garden. … Read More