Hot jobs numbers have just dropped before we get into that.  And sure, a check of some headlines. Humans really are, though, inefficient machines. Especially when comes to investing. Also: our ChartPack is now in a nearly ideal position to rollover, or is that under? Plus we have the Fed rate decision coming this afternoon.  … Read More

Too hot to keep the odds of another Fed hike at zero? NEW YORK, OCTOBER 31, 2023: S&P Dow Jones Indices (S&P DJI) today released the latest results for the S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller Indices, the leading measure of U.S. home prices. Data released today for August 2023 show that 13 of the 20 major metro … Read More

Breaking: Employment Costs Just out from Labor: “Compensation costs for civilian workers increased 1.1 percent, seasonally adjusted, for the 3-month period ending in September 2023, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Wages and salaries increased 1.2 percent and benefit costs increased 0.9 percent from June 2023. Compensation costs for civilian workers increased 4.3 … Read More

As our Peoplenomics readers know, we didn’t carry a short position over the weekend.  There were already too many people last week talking about how a “Crash” might be at hand early this week. That is still possible-to-likely. But as my late mentor Robin Landry schooled me “Markets will always make their waves…” Considering the Dow … Read More

Huge personal insights have been arriving almost daily since I started a course on accessing past lives. Schlepping gear through southeast Africa in overgrown bush like a rail right of way in 1925? A newspaper (like this one) was somehow involved. Me? Safari local laborer?  What the…???  (The George life 1798 story on the Peoplenomics … Read More

We did mention “OEB” means October Ends Badly”?  That was the UrbanSurvival headline Monday of this week. When I wrote that, our (meta) Aggregate Index stood at 36,044.20.  Friday of this week? The close was 35,159.17. Almost a 2-1/2 percent loss.   This doesn’t seem like a lot. Unless you consider that the U.S. economy is … Read More

In a word, maybe.  But maybe not. Takes a bit of explaining.  Follow along here because this is like “financial detective work.” To begin with, the Big Picture as of the 5 AM-ish Futures pricing was running to the upside. The reason is that in our Aggregate Index work – as we showed Thursday – we still needed … Read More

The Murder Cycle is back.  22 dead in Maine and 30 injured. Military firearms instructor shot up a bowling alley and a bar. There is a person of interest and he is still at large. No school in Lewiston, Maine today. The Murder Cycle is “soft” – a range of 130-150 days.  Making this one … Read More

What you learn at the track may be more valuable than  classes in Business School.  No, seriously.  The pony pickers may offer better insights into making money than B-schools because they have disciplined picking skills and personal money management skills often overlooked by academics. Trust me when I tell you the “sheepskin” is more like … Read More

We had a very good day in the market Monday.  While I’ll admit to the error of cowardice (not being short over the weekend) the fact is, the “second bite of the apple in the afternoon into the close was a tasty bite. So good that I let it ride overnight.  Because I figured the … Read More

That small list – three items on today’s agenda – will cover more ground than the evening news will tonight.  The reason has to do with longitudinal versus latitudinal events in the art of “deriving future.”

…would be dandy this time of year, wouldn’t it?  I mean, a glass of hot spiced wine – maybe a hot Apple Jack…fire going to keep the chill off?  Yeah, that’d be the way to spend fall. Portable radio. Football game on… Well, except, there’s one problem: We don’t have a patio. As luck would have … Read More

No, we did not take a short position ahead of expected weakness Monday.  But that in and of itself is a critical discussion every pari-mutuel investor needs to have (in advance) with themselves. To state Friday’s problem, do you take a short position when the market has not – yet – hit it’s likely “ideal … Read More