For Peoplenomics Subscribers: How a US Bail-In Might Work

A number of people have asked me to weigh in how a US Bail-In might work – and while the short answer is “It’s an extremely low-prob event” some explanation is in order…it’s long and involves a lot of thinking, though, so consider yourself forewarned. And this won’t go well because it’s the Global Bankster Hold-up and even young Millenials are wondering “What to we need Bankers for?” Fine question that is, indeed. And we’ll get to it just as soon as we get through a few late-breaking headlines….

Jobs Data and a Lesson in BTR/STN

OK, Ure, what is this BTR/STN crap in the headline?  It’s too early to make me figure out Ure BS acronymwiticisms…”  Fair enough:  Buy the Rumor, Sell the News.  Imminent new highs (and a chorus or two from the choir here at the East Texas Synod of the Church of the Almighty Dollar, member, FDIC, if you please):  So that TWTR gain happened, alright, but the collateral damage was a Dow drooping a hun-and-a-half and don’t get your hopes up for a huge rally until the other side of options, come this time next week.  (Damn, that was a long sentence!)

Just so, iron butterfly…so we jump next grasshopper to the job data just unleashed…

Total nonfarm payroll employment rose by 204,000 in October, and the unemployment rate was little changed at 7.3 percent, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Employment increased in leisure and hospitality, retail trade, professional and technical services, manufacturing, and health care.

Household Survey Data Both the number of unemployed persons, at 11.3 million, and the unemployment rate, at 7.3 percent, changed little in October. Among the unemployed, however, the number who reported being on temporary layoff increased by 448,000. This figure includes furloughed federal employees who were classified as unemployed on temporary layoff under the definitions used in the household survey. (Estimates of the unemployed by reason, such as temporary layoff and job leavers, do not sum to the official seasonally adjusted measure of total unemployed because they are independently seasonally adjusted.) For more information on the classification of workers affected by the federal government shutdown, see the box note. (See tables A-1 and A-11.)

Among the major worker groups, the unemployment rates for adult men (7.0 percent), adult women (6.4 percent), teenagers (22.2 percent), whites (6.3 percent), blacks (13.1 percent), and Hispanics (9.1 percent) showed little or no change in October. The jobless rate for Asians was 5.2 percent (not seasonally adjusted), little changed from a year earlier.

The Government Shutdown impact was also explained away:

Some agencies of the federal government were shut down or were | | operating at reduced staffing levels from October 1, 2013, | | through October 16, 2013.

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Coping: A Longish Quake Rap

This is going to be a long and winding ramble, so get that warm-up and we begin, as I explained recent to Peoplenomics subscribers, with Mr. Ure’s not-yet-patented “REAL Threat Board” which lives on my desktop.

Oh, sure, the market is going to go up some days, and it will go down some days, but – in the end – most of the stuff in the daily news will not really “reach out and touch” you.  Instead, it will evoke some discussion and so forth, but meaningfully change your life?  No-no…just tension, hype, news channel ratings and revenues.

But there is a list – which maybe I could add to, of things which – if they go wrong – could really, seriously F/U your life.  Not the least of which is earthquakes.  That’s because – if you’re not completely dead – you will be vaguely aware that there’s a continuing nuclear disaster going on in Japan and as David Suzuki, science dude with the CBC and author of many science books, said earlier this week, the West Coast may become untenable with one more major quake.

Presto!  Or, more correctly, Presto #1.  In pops the latest monthly report from reader Tony R who volunteers his time monthly to run earthquake data going back to 1963 and then he runs out the graphics (OK, a macro does, then, picky, picky) which ends up telling us what to expect.

And this month, it ain’t pretty because the Magnitude 7+ quake trend we’ve been yammering about for years is (sit calmly here) really coming to pass – at least so far.

Now, it’s not bad enough that the 7.0 quakes seem to be moving up really close to that 2-per month line, but what’s REALLY worse is that the 3.0 quakes are declining.

You shouldn’t need a four-year edjumacation in the earth sciences to connect the dots on this one, but if you really skated on the science part of school, it’s simple:  Earth’s crust is a bunch of small plates (think of the panels on a soccer ball, but oddly sized) that move about, hither and thither, and as they move they strike one another and sometime slide over or under each other in a process called subsidence (on the sinking side).  And that causes up thrusts on the rising side.  Simple enough.

So now we move on to Presto #2, which came out around 5:30 AM Central from the Solar Influences Data Analysis Center of in Belgium:

An X1.1 flare was detected peaking at 04:26 UT today in the Catania sunspot group 35 (NOAA AR 1890). The SDO/AIA data indicates that the flare was accompanied by coronal dimmings, indicating the eruption of a CME. More information about the CME will be sent around once the SOHO/LASCO data becomes available. Due to the position of the source active region close to the solar central meridian, the arrival of the CME-associated interplanetary disturbance at the Earth is possible.

If you’ve been watching the sun’s activity lately, you will remember that there have been a series of solar “pops” and that we are presently in the period of high risk for large-scale flares (the first half of the decline of the solar cycle) and over the next couple of weeks, that back side activity will rotate toward a planet Ure standing on.  Following this?

OK, now come the really worrisome parts.

First is a pet theory that says Einstein’s movement of matter into energy works (which folks in Hiroshima and Nagasaki, and more recent Fukushima can testify to) but there’ nothing in the formula that says “This is a one-way street.”

My guess is it’s not.

All of which has some profound implications for how the solar system probably works.  Not the least of which is that because the Sun puts out a lot of E, and planets seem to be “condensing” around suns all over the known universe, then would it make sense that a) the Earth used to be a lot smaller (check how everything fits as far as continents go at about half present size, and while you’re at it, that would mean weaker gravity which might encourage giantism (yep, my friend Steve Quayle’s 9-footers) and then there were dinosaurs, which got to be of extraordinary size, which would have been helped by what?  Lower gravity, smaller Earth, yada, yada.

OK, now, here comes the fun part:  The data (above) and the Sun’s rotation, seem to be coming up on a period in the next month, or two, where we could have some real kick-ass earthquakes.

And  – in yesterday’s column – where I told you about how I was of the opinion (and it was just opinion at that point) that I believed the San Juan Island mess Gaye and SursvivalHubby of www.backdoorsurvival.com were enduring was likely due to land shifting about as Vancouver Island and the San Juan (tectonic) Plate are under building stress..

Well, Gaye got connectivity (off island) yesterday, called me (and sent an email which had the simple subject line “You Nailed It!” and held the following map which is  quickly becoming a Big Deal up in the Islands right now:

That’s not a quake which can be found in headlines and splashed all over the Mainstream Media, but I want you to pay close attention to it.  The eastern edge of the “Ring of Fire” is due.  We are liking to get some “energy condensing into matter” over the next couple of weeks from flares, if I’m right.

Then you can toss in the Earth’s rotation, into your thinking.  If you had to just throw a dart and wonder “Gee, where would Big Quakes” be likely to happen?   Around Equinoxes and Solstices would be my pick.  Boxing Day tsunami of 2004, the March 11, 2011 Tohoku (Fukushima) Nightmare… Oh, want me to mention the March 27 Good Friday quake that heavily damaged Anchorage, Alaska, back in 1964?

Something to consider:  Reading the news is seldom done slowly and deeply.  Back in my newsing days we made jokes about “rip & read” newscasts which could be “torn down” from the old Model 19 teletype newswires run by the Associated Press and United Press International back in the day.  Miles of copy have been writing (by writers) about how news should be rewritten, and in a sense, that’s what UrbanSurvival and (though to a lesser extent) Peoplenomics is about. Hell, that’s what Time and The Atlantic do, too:  Rewrite in a sense, but more importantly, we all provide contexting  (do-connecting) which is so missing in the #160 world.

News by itself if…well,…useless.  It’s like the difference in management science between ‘data” and “information.”  The one is great if you’re trying to spy on every American, but if you’re really after “terrorists” it’s the information distilled from that data that is key to operational success.

And so it is with what you put into your head on a daily basis.  My view, which has evolved from being on both the consumer and disseminator side, is that you should really focus on developing your own personal “threat board” and list everything that could go wrong in your life, develop a series of hedges (prepping is a key part of it) and then blow off the “bullshit filler” stories like what Kim or Kanye or Gaga or Lindsay are doing.  They don’t have much (if anything) to do with how the local quality of your life will work out.

A 9.3 earthquake in the Pacific Northwest, when a sister island to Vancouver Island is formed, running from the south end of Puget Sound down to the Kelso-Longview bend in the Columbia River?  Would that have real impact?   Hell yes, that would be a mighty extreme example of news that really matters.

I’m not suggesting that it will happen any time soon, and likely  not this week, or next (knock on wood) but the geological precedents are there, and the broken fiber cable may keep the San Juans offline for another up to three weeks, so I’m of the (not particularly humble) opinion that an aware person pays attention to the really big picture stuff and doesn’t get all mixed up in the head-tripping of the War on Terror or the intimidating efforts of government to become the Guido and Luigi of the healthcare lobby. 

And mornings like this are a fine time to be looking around for the thoughtful news and commentary sites on the web which have at least a clue as to how the world operates and where we really might be going.  For example, The Atlantic’s “A Parable of Disconnectedness” is a worthwhile read.  Focuses on the San Juan Outage which is not on the MSM in a big way – yet.

But on the flip side,  the emails going around the net that claim FEMA is going to take down the net deliberately as part of next week’s big Region III Gird test next week?  No, no way in hell and rankings starved alarmist crap, seems to me.

But, there are some very smart people at FEMA who can read the same tea leaves we can around here, and which The Atlantic also groks. A little paranoia goes a long way, but in cases like this Grid test, maybe it goes too far.

Oh sure: It’s going to happen sometime.  It’s just a matter of the hour and the day.  For now, we’ll keep scanning the geophysical journals looking for someone else to grok the “matter condenses from energy inside planets, which is what keeps them hot…” and from there, a look at the calendar.  Solstice is coming, and equinox, too.  Which one?  Beats me.  But land is moving right now.

And before either of them arrives, care to bet that Gaye doesn’t have her ham radio ticket?

 Tomorrow, the Seattle Mike and Key Amateur Radio Club is holding the first day of a two Saturday class to get your ham ticket.  I’m always shocked that there’s not a line around the block for such grand public service efforts.  But then again, I’m always shocked the the ink and electronics Kim, Kanye, Gaga, and Lindsay get, too.

This morning as the sun begins to brighten the clouds down here at the ranch, it’s this kind of thinking that gets me motivated:  Build a three-seasons room this weekend, prep the plane again, this week.  And service the antennas (which involves taking down the tower for some work) next weekend.  I necessarily will miss Entertainment Tonight.  But I’ll be ready for the entertainment of tomorrow and the beam’s kept pointed out toward the Northwest and Japan until….

Our Kind of Flying, And a Driving Tip

A little hangar-talk:  As you know, I really like short-field landings.  Never been sure why, except that in my young news directing days, I was most intrigued when the late KOMO radio traffic reporter/pilot Ted Garlatz, Sr. put his plane down (safely) on a golf course due to an engine failure. 

(I was running news at KOL and if you read the story at the link, you get three guesses who got stung…in the Great KOMO traffic report “sting.”   

Anyway, Ted Sr.

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# $26, # Greed, #FMTT

I can’t remember there being so much hype around a social media IPO since… was it Facebook?  Nevertheless, this morning I’m besieged with breathless headlines panting “All eyes on NYSE for Twitter IPO…” and other such pap.  Us ‘lil people, not in the club are going to have to buy retail and I would be surprised if the hype doesn’t press the stock up to the $50-$100 buck range in short order. 

Near as I can figure it, the big boyz will make a killing and considering it’s social media, which really means more grist for the government and advertisers to track, the “better to know you with” I’ll be among those not getting rich over the next couple of hours.

Now, a moment of economic reality. 

Let’s look back at the FB IPO on May 18th of 2012. On the Friday the FB IPO hit the S&P closed at 1,295.22.  Yesterday the S&P closed at 1,770.49.

History in hand,  let me ask you a few questions about the economy we’ve experienced between the FB IPO and the the Big Event Hype-fest of today:

  • Is the economic outlook any brighter?  I don’t see it.You may have pink glasses on.
  • Is peace in the Middle East nearer?  Nope. Dangerous as ever.
  • Is the long-term decline of bond yields still going to end?  Surely, but just not today.
  • When it does, will companies be able to boost dividends?  Hardly – that would require growing sales and that sure as hell ain’t there…we’re all buying insurance at gunpoint, instead.
  • Is Twitter “life critical” (like ADM or the food stocks?)  No, not really, now that I mention it.
  • Is CB radio still around?  Not so’s you’d notice.
  • Is government and advertiser surveillance still growing out of control?  Uh-huh…
  • Do people really care about Founding values?  I don’t like this answer any better than you do.

So ya’ll have fun playing the paper chase.  I’ll be “show me” guy with the longer view…which is why I’m not rich, I ‘spose.

Deflation is out there like a mutha-what’er…and the word this morning that the ECB may be a kick in the ass for markets on purely technical grounds, but the real-life economics of this are horrifying.

Look, the fact is that when a central bank cuts its prime to a quarter of one percent, they are in the “free money” business which is probably exactly the wrong policy, for reasons that are too complicated to explain here.

But the reason stocks are going up in simple:  Suppose you have a stock which was worth $10 bucks yesterday because it was paying a dime of dividends.  Own the stock, get a 1% return.  And let’s pretend that this is about what bid deposits in banks are getting.

So before the interest drop this morning, dividend/rate = $10 (or $0.10/0.1 = $10)

After the rate move: dividend/rate = $13.33  (or $0.10/0.0075=$13,.33333333333333…)

Now, when the bank rate goes down, to say 3/4’s of 1%, that means the stock price has to rise in order for the equation to balance.  That’s what will happen this morning at the open and with it, likely a 100 point pop in the Dow.  Crack for stocks.  Not reality, just paper crack.

Is it good news?  Hell no!

It means gold (or other inflation hedges) is going to drop and it means inflation (which had been propping up house prices)is going bye-bye for even longer and the bankster class knows that.

But if you want to get sucked into spending, what’s the banker class to do but pimp out “free money?”  You saw that auto sales were collapsing in the latest report?  Zero down auto loans are on the horizon again – along with a retest of the 2009 lows.

But don’t let that bother you none.  Or, if you do, keep those concerns down to 160-characters, will yah?

Speaking of the Middle East

Madison Avenue Mike’s got us a fine catch from the BBC headline “Saudi nuclear weapons ‘on order’ from Pakistan.”

We’ve been watching this for months and months, ever since the Pakistanis agreed to sell at least one to the Kingdom (KSA, right?).  Now, they’re getting close.

So with the Geneva Talks about to conclude (seems Israel wasn’t even invited) that this weekend might see another in the “last straw” series.  The only question is which of streams of last straws will break the camel’s nukes.

Iran’s demanding the right to expand their nuke program and the Dimona crowd doesn’t want competition in the ‘hood.  Ain’t gonna let it happen, simple-az-zat.

More after this…

GDP

Our self-referential runaway quadratic nightmare from the Land Percentage Police Forget is out:

Real gross domestic product — the output of goods and services produced by labor and property located in the United States — increased at an annual rate of 2.8 percent in the third quarter of 2013 (that is, from the second quarter to the third quarter), according to the “advance” estimate released by the Bureau of Economic Analysis. In the second quarter, real GDP increased 2.5 percent.

The Bureau emphasized that the third-quarter advance estimate released today is based on source data that are incomplete or subject to further revision by the source agency (see the box on page 3 and “Comparisons of Revisions to GDP” on page 4). The “second” estimate for the third quarter, based on more complete data, will be released on December 5, 2013.

The increase in real GDP in the third quarter primarily reflected positive contributions from personal consumption expenditures (PCE), private inventory investment, exports, residential fixed investment, nonresidential fixed investment, and state and local government spending that were partly offset by a negative contribution from federal government spending. Imports, which are a subtraction in the calculation of GDP, increased.

Fine.  But try to choke this one down:

Disposable personal income increased $138.1 billion (4.5 percent) in the third quarter, compared with an increase of $103.2 billion (3.4 percent) in the second. Real disposable personal income increased 2.5 percent, compared with an increase of 3.5 percent.

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Coping: With America, Off the Mark

We begin this morning’s epistle with a fine (and to the point) read from Idaho Bill, to get things rolling.  It’s  a useful discussion of just what is “sin”?

Aho George,

A scholar friend of mine once told me that her knowledge of the word “sin” was not as the Bible thumpers claim some rigid matter of right and wrong, but that the Aramaic word from which that interpretation came…meant “Off the mark.” You are a pilot…it is basic navigation…a degree doesn’t mean much in 10 feet, but means a hell of a lot in 10 miles. Listening to all the ranting and raving, the divisiveness sweeping this broad landscape…and looking back to the Preamble of the United States Constitution…..I see and hear very little about that basic concept stated therein….”insure domestic tranquility”. Seems to me we are way off the the mark… and beings that office holders are sworn to uphold the Constitution…me thinks that perhaps those throwing fuel on the flames of divisiveness may be guilty of malfeasance of their duties.

As the old song goes…”Perhaps it’s time we got back to the basics again.”

Yes, I think we could have a much better country if we erected some playing-field-leveling “handling fees” to give financial incentives to corporations to build plants closer to where goods are consumed.  Why, we could even donate all of Detroit as a sandbox for them, if they would just bring back jobs from India and sweatshop lands. 

What?  You say we don’t have enough low-end workers?  Isn’t that what immigration “reform” is about?

A lot of attention gets paid to the right-left political debate, but it’s always just an UP/DOWN power struggle dressed up in red and blue to keep people distracted. 

America would be a much different (and better) place is we didn’t import software, computer chips, and refrigerators.  And I can give you sound environmental and national security reasons why this should be the case.  You ever wonder why we crash test cars but not computers?

But alas, when American started “working with its law books and regulations” instead of working with the industrial arts folks and excellence in engineering, that’s when things really started down hill in a hurry.  Here, read  6-seconds of management theory from Wikipedia:

Staff and line are names given to different types of functions in organizations. A “line function” is one that directly advances an organization in its core work. This always includes production and sales, and sometimes also marketing.[1] A “staff function” supports the organization with specialized advisory and support functions. For example, human resources, accounting, public relations and the legal department are generally considered to be staff functions.[2] Both terms originated in the military.

Regulation is not an Industry and neither is government. But that’s what happens when the line closes down and the staff people decide to run the company (country) to just make up something for management to do.  Easy to pull off if you have an NSA and an army, really.  

And in such a scenario, new markets can be created by decree:  Healthcare and the War on Terror do come to mind.

Forgive me (if I can write like Pogo fer a minit) but:  ”Here we is:  We’s throw’d out our “core work” and the staff is now set on raisin’ taxes on everyone but but those with the money.” 

Flat-ass amazingly, those employed to watch one another (and us bewildered folks on Main St.) then have the audacity to question the social stress that results.  And the economic issues to come….   Pogo had it right:  “We have met the enemy and he is us…”

But Pogo offered hope, too in that “Traces of nobility, gentleness and courage persist in all people, do what we will to stamp out the trend..”

I don’t expect to run out of topics to write about, any time soon.

Riding With Angels

Reader/rider Kevin picked up on my recent gripe about mispostrophe disease…which, as you know,  strikes its victims without warning…often in mid-sentence…

Nothing ticks me off more than an apostrophe used in the plural form of a word. 

I’ve wondered the same thing as you about the little mark, and always assumed it was a brand holder’s prerogative to use or not use it. A great example is “Hells Angels” who eschew the apostrophe in their club name.

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Collapse of the Internet: San Juan Islands Style

As you may remember, one of the scenarios that I outlined in my book Broken Web The Coming Collapse of the Internet was the notion of rotating outages. While we don’t know if there will be follow-on action, we are quite concerned with conditions up in Washington State’s San Juan Islands where a key underwater cable has “failed” and as a result, most of the whole island group is cut off from the umbilical cord of modern communications. I just got off the phone with Gaye Levy, who publishes the popular www.backdoorsurvival.com web site, and she and SurvivalHubby have been out doing a little “war-driving” looking for bars and she found enough to get a call through down here.

Peoplenomics this morning: Nowhere to Invest?

We tackle housing in times ahead in our first little venture into what lays ahead, and as we start to line up some longer-term investment ideas for younger subscribers and our own kids who are now in their 30’s to high 40’s. And in part two this coming weekend, we venture beyond housing to that world of high tech to see where the smart money might be making long-term plays now. First, however, we take a quick look through the headlines of this morning which includes election results which we can summarize as… More for Subscribers ||| SUBSCRIBE NOW! ||| Subscriber Help Center Over at www.

Psychological Release and Pending Markets

You know what’s interesting…to me, anyway?  The idea that here we are in either a “running (iv) or an ending rising diagonal in the markets and shooters are popping up.  First the one at LAX and now one at the shopping mall in New Jersey.

This latest (suspected “relief of emotional tensions”) event involved a shooter finding 6 or 7 shots inside a mall about 9:20 last night firing shots, but no one was injured/hit.  The purported perp’s body was found several hours later…but again it was a 20-year old male which stories like this one, mention he had a history of of drug abuse.

This will be about the umpteenth time I’ve mentioned “blow of mechanism” for social tensions…damn strange topic to pick on for an ostensibly reasonable (somewhat, anyway) economic-oriented website…

Not only is it election day in New Jersey, but markets are in an area where we would expect to see a break in one direction or the other.  So we ask (innocently, I assure you) is this all entirely coincidental?

Markets: Noise Trading?

No accounting for why the market is looking to open down 50, or so, on the Dow in the early going.  There is some softness in Europe and Japanese futures were weak over here when I looked earlier.

Factory orders were “up following two consecutive monthly decreases, increased $8.1 billion or 1.7 percent to $490.8 billion, the U.S. Census Bureau reported today. This followed a 0.1
percent August decrease. Excluding transportation, new orders decreased 0.2 percent.”

Now, if that was all sell-through, fine, but look at this:

Inventories of manufactured durable goods in
September, up five of the last six months, increased $3.1
billion or 0.8 percent to $382.3 billion, revised from the
previously published 0.9 percent increase.

So we sit back, scratch the head-top solar panel and wonder how much of the gain is real (increased unit volumes) versus how much is price hikes coming down the pike?

Leaving Colorado

While the play-by-play of the New Jersey and Virginia voting is OccupyingDistractifyingNews, we figure there’s more to be learned of the general public mood by studying the report that 11 counties in  Colorado may secede from the state and form their own, 51st state.

Since Texas has provisions (if I recall right) to break into multiple states at some point in the future,  it might be a pretty interesting trend-setter to watch.  Our part of the state here (east Texas oil country) and over in the Permian Basin, why just our oil-depletion taxes could buy everyone happiness…

Oh, Texans would have more sway in the Senate this way, too.

Der Purger in Chief?

Another top military leader is out, says a report over here, which adds to the body count of nine generals and flag officers bounced by the house-cleaning administration.

All of which could be consider more, or less, routine except we have been reading this  headline snagged by reader Madison Avenue Mike:  “‘I’m really good at killing people’: New book claims President Obama joked to aides about using drone strikes.”

All that’s missing is the jackboots, but the modern analog to these is the ubiquitous SWAT uniforms, but that may not be apparent until future generations come along.  Who needs brown shirts when black with the word “tactical” added cam garner the same price bumps?  All about business models, right?

And  related – in some of the most seriously back-asswards hype-ology to complete the public discombobulation – don’t miss kneeler/dealer David Cameron blaming Edward Snowden’s revelations for “eroding fundamental rights and freedoms” in the unemployed kingdom.

WTF, Dave?  That’s like telling a traffic cop that his radar made you drive too fast. 

Is it something in the water our leaders drink? (Can I vote, yet?)

Ginkgo Time for Obama?

Not to beat up on a fellow in mid-purge, mid-insurance roll-out, mid-Middle East mess, mid-climate change dealy, but has el Jefe flipped  because (according to this report) “Obama denies ‘you can keep it’ video taped promises…”

I mean if it was just once, but OMG 29-times

Dude…I take Huperzine and Gingko Biloba to cut back on this kinda thing happ’nin..know what I’m saying?

More after this…

Climate Police/Land Grabs?

I assume you heard about last weekend’s “crash course” to combat climate change?  Yep, training programs to move ahead with the “climate change” cum land grab and Agenda 21, if I am reading this right.

Especially now that the White House has rolled out it’s climate task force.  And along the way, be sure to read the underlying Executive Order on point.

All of which would be fine, except for the one small tiny, itsy-bitsy problem.  Global warming is over, at least for another 15-20 years and the reason is simple:  The Sun which has been through a period of very high sunspot activity is now in chill-down…

The implications of this are pretty simple:

Government seems in a big hurry to “get ‘em while they’re hot” and as part of that will be implementing another socialist-style land grab to try and force people off of privately—owned land.

By doing this, government makes people (humans, free unregistered free-thinkers, in particular) ever more dependent on what? 

You got it!  Corporations which are claiming patent rights to life and are renting the very life God put on earth (by accident or design, we can argue that nit) by claiming that they have a proprietary mix of jellyfish and wheat which does this or that. 

Of course this who area is wildly profitable – and following the health-insurance industry’s using the “Government for Corporate Enforcement of Forced Consumption” model, we should be seriously suspect when we read about genetic pollution.  So file this under GMO rants, but trust me when I tell you, there’s an agenda in play.

While the Washington Post warns about the “:Congress turns a blind eye to global warming” we note that a new study says we may be in “chill mode” for 20 years.

But look at the bright side: Al Gore, (who invented the internet, right?)  will continue to be able to command incredible speaking fees and the Agenda 21 backers have to be licking their chops at the prospect of kicking America’s small farmers off the King’s land.

As it reads in the Book of Carlin:  “It’s all bullshit and it’s all bad for you.” 

If government was serious about pollution, cars would weigh 1/2 what they do, mileage would be 60 MPH +.   We’ll all have 100 HP engines, tops.  And we’d learn that dying in auto accidents is when happens when people don’t pay attention.  Instead, whole industries have been built on safety gear.    Where’s the damn ViceGrips?  More pinches than I can count in this area…

Oh, you didn’t notice?  Corporate agendas are in play here.  And with all the hoopla, since solar cooling is obvious in the data now, government will do the usual grab and grandstand and claim success.

For the Sun’s behavior.

Carbon credits? Pollution credits?   It’s the same thing as wife-beating credits when you think about it:  It’s only a vehicle for the genuinely  corrupt to cash in on society’s ill-thought bad behaviors.  Ain’t that special?

Hell, I’ve been around damn near 65 years and people are working longer and harder today than ever…and jobs are drying up, to boot.  So what exactly is all this “progress” that we’ve built?  Sure and shit ain’t time off, now, is it?

Hand me my blood pressure monitor, would you? 

On my reading list is Rupert Darwall’s The Age of Global Warming: A History (Kindle) which is $10 bucks or the hardcover which is $32 and change. Gee, that shouldn’t be a tough decision, should it?

North Korea’s EMP Plans

From our resident war-gamer who eyes such developments with some suspicion…

Another ‘genie’ slipping out of the bottle.   

http://ph.news.yahoo.com/n-korea-developing-electromagnetic-pulse-weapons-135357782.html

Per U.S. nuclear policy, a high altitude EMP attack is treated the same as a nuclear first strike attack.  Things would “go ugly early.”

Jim Woolsey, CIA director for Bill Clinton, had some interesting observations here:

http://www.centerforsecuritypolicy.org/2013/07/30/jim-woolsey-electromagnetic-pulse-emp-is-existential-threat-to-america/

Among some of the information Woolsey divulged, this snippet is an attention grabber:

“On December 2012, Cooper said, North Korea used its so-called Space Launch Vehicle like a Fractional Orbital Bombardment System – a secret weapon invented by the Russians during the Cold War to deliver a stealthy nuclear attack on the United States by orbiting a nuclear weapon over the south polar region, bypassing U.S. Ballistic Missile Early Warning radars (BMEWs) and missile defenses.  Cooper noted that the U.S. has no BMEWs radars or missile interceptors facing south.  North Korea apparently orbited a satellite over the south polar region on a trajectory and altitude consistent with making a surprise nuclear EMP attack against the United States”.

As far as possible individual actions aside from standard disaster prepping, two words of advice . .

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Coping: Radar Rings and Reality Jumps?

I had a really weird experience Monday mid-morning…and it certain has raised some interesting questions for Ures truly.  Here’s what happened:

About 10 AM, or thereabouts, I decided to call someone I know up in the Pacific Northwest.  I absent-mindedly dialed and got….the wrong number.  But not just any wrong number…wrong number of some else I know.  Prehensile brain apparently has an auto-dialer in it.

So I quickly apologized – “Wrong number, sorry…” and that was that.

Until, that is, I  went back to idly looking at the weather radar at the arriving rain band thanks to the WeatherUnderground website.

There!  Do you see it?  One of those (damn strange) radar glitches…

Stand by for the weird part.  The radar snips on WUnderground go off like clockwork.  Every five minutes. 

Except that after this “ray” appeared, and our place is right above the white cross-hairs indicating Palestine, TX, the updates suddenly stopped for the next 40-minutes.  Hmmm…

Well, now, we had something on our hands that needs to be placed somewhere along the mind’s [coincidence/ponder/mystery] continuum for later processing.  And Ures truly, man of science and all, doesn’t like uncategorized data showing up.  Especially when temporally coincident to me making a “mindless dial” which I rarely do, but had just done.  Which was very strange, indeed.

Things got even murkier when I visited http://radaranomalies.com/ and found that two leading researchers in the field died a few years back, in 2006 and 2008.  Hmmm…coincidence?

Remember our recent discussions about how the Many Worlds Interpretation of quantum mechanics works?

I’d love to simply believe the explanations found over on the MetaBunk.org website, but the explanation of the spike lining up with another radar doesn’t feel useful given the high number of occurrences of these things.

What IF there are certain kinds of “join error” symptoms which are just blithely passed off as “systems bugs?”  Is there some chance that we could find a telltale to how Universe really works?  And speaking of which CERN has sure been quiet lately…but they’re trying to scare up money (so welcome to the club!).

Oh, and the updating stopping for 40 minutes, either.  Yeah, I know – pure coincidence, right?

Since the NEXTRAD radar for the area is located at (airport identifier) KFWS (Fort Worth/Spinks) and since we have all kinds of mapping capability, I did a little extension and it didn’t seem to line up on anything in particular down to the southeast of the airport.

Are there reasonable possibilities?  Oh, sure, you bet.  For example, it could have been (rare) ducted propagation at the radar’s frequency, perhaps a slight “bank shot” to borrow a pool playing term, off the front which was moving through the area.

Still, with the president due to be in the Dallas area on Wednesday afternoon, it just struck me as a bit odd and thought I’d mention it.

Getting the Lead Out

Several comments on the mention in Monday’s column about the lead smelter closures., 

First came a phone call from my last liberal friend who pointed out that although the closure of said smelter was done during president Obama’s term, the actual EPA orders were cut under what he referred to as “those famous gun-grabbers Bush & Cheney…”

Then reader Bill up in Big Sky country sent this:

Here in East Helena Montana there used to be a lead smelter. closed it, sold it to a Mexican outfit and then they went banko. Left a bit of a mess and no more lead and other minerals being smelted. Now someone is looking into processing the left overs to reclaim lead…..maybe going to Peru?

I’m not sure, but maybe this is all part of some ingenious plan to save a little bit of resources for America which we might find useful when the rest of the world consumes itself back into a dark age…

In the meantime, however, reader David connects the dots this way:

Hi; This lead thing. Won’t it effect the price of car/truck, wheel chair, scooter, etc. batteries ?  Didn’t I hear your old truck crank a little slower this morning ?

And since he did ask, the truck runs fine, except for the transmission and that’ll be a topic for future discussions.  I’m being mindful of my blood pressure for now.  Let’s just say that I’m not particularly keen on Dodge transmissions from the early 2000’s era….

National Dream Center

Yes, our www.nationaldreamcenter.com website is still up – however, not too many people go there to post dreams lately…interest in “dream work” seems to have fallen off a bit.  Which is interesting, figured reader Marc, since there’s been a major fundraising success noted by SHADOW: Community of Dreamers over at KickStarter.com here, to build a dream logging app

Tuesday at the WuJo

Yes, we are still getting plenty of reader reports of “time going wrong” from readers…like this one:

Hi George,

Here’s a “time-ly” event that crossed my path one week ago:

Friday Oct 25 was the birthday of my dear departed mom. Decided to celebrate/honor “mom’s day” by traveling to the hometown to visit her sister, who recently moved to assisted living.

My aunt’s recently-vacated house is where I, and her son, take turns staying on our respective trips to the hometown.

I arrived there about 3:30 pm after an uncharacteristically long drive.

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Waiting on Data

Nothing like a slightly off-kilter Monday (Daylight hangover, more in our Coping section) to start things out on one foot, or the other. 

As usual, we see the latest reports about how sticker shock is hitting people all over the place on Obamacare.  And the Wall St. Journal this morning has a fine read about how the new law’s lies about keeping your own doctor are rolling through society.

But wait!  What, exactly, is it about members of congress and the president lying that is so surprising?  Or, were they not lying…just misinformed?

Or, is the agenda in plain site when CBS quotes “Obama: ‘I want to put the Fear of God in all of you.”

We may see some answers on Wednesday morning when the results of the Virginia governor’s race results clarify…but for now, it looks like a real ballot box test for Obamacare.

So that’s one data point to look forward to.

I mean besides the site being offline and users getting other people’s eligibility letters.

The rest of the week’s data is more predictable:  We get a factory orders report this morning, ISM services data tomorrow, blah, blah, Leading Indicators Wednesday. 

Blah, blah, Challenger job cuts Thursday along with another whack at GDP which means we can look forward to decrypting another one of the most self-referential percentage clusters on the planet.

And then Friday we get to see what unemployment is, but since that figure doesn’t count so many people who are out of benefits, we can look at percentage of labor in the workforce.

Of course, being well-schooled in matters economic, we already know where that has been heading in recent years.

What is more telling is when we look at the recent print rate from the Fed, we notice that the three months annualized rate of M1 printing is now running 8.4% and the three-month M2 annualizes out to  8.2%

So for the rest of the week (as long as a lid’s on the Middle East for a few days) why not just kick back and enjoy the illusion some more?

That’s how Wall St. is reading it with the futures up 48 on the Dow and up 6 on the S&P:  Oil is still going down, too…down to $94.19 when I looked earlier. 

Deflation afoot, employment participation cratering and printing like a house on fire? At an earlier time in my life I would have called such discontinuities mindless.  But now, I have another word for them:

Monday.

More After This…

Middle East:  Made It Through the Weekend

I wasn’t the only one looking at the calendar, moon phases, and inspecting red lines in the sand, as last weekend wound up.  Apparently, the Obama administration was looking at the same problem and so, as a stalling tactic, we read this morning how SecState John Kerry is off to Israel.

It’s a kind of article of faith that countries don’t go starting wars with an American Big Cheese coming to visit.  Ostensibly, the trip is to present a WTF? to the Israeli government over plans to add 3,500 more homes in occupied areas.

Ore, if you’re Chinese, it’s to ask Jerusalem how it is they figure to keep building in disputed territories and still have a ghost’s change in hell of keeping the Palestinian peace process going.

What we need to ponder now is how long Kerry can stay in Israel after he arrives tomorrow.  And as our resident war-gamer notes:

The last line of this piece, quoting Bolton, sums up my sentiments rather nicely.  (US military support of an Iran strike isn’t going to happen.)

First Leon Panetta, now Bolton think the Iran-Israel war-timer is rapidly running down to zero! The leaks remain eerily consistent across otherwise divided party lines.

Oh, and Iran’s Revolutionary Guard voted to keep “Death to America” as their official slogan. I think it’s rather nice that the U.S. can still bring people together.

Better living through weaponry, that’s the way the death industries work.  Iran is not too dumb to realize that a good internal defense against change to is to have a huge external enemy, and we are, at some level, trying not to be one of those.  But that’s not how it plays in carpet country fellow infidels.

Supreme Leader:  US Politician threatening to nuke Iran should receive slap in mouth.”

Oh, and from our news analyst fellow up in Winnipeg:

Perhaps you are aware of recent commotions near the Hindu holy centre of Tirupati, India, as a new Islamic womens’ college shrouded in mystery readies for business.

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Coping: With “National Go to Work Early” Day

As we mentioned to Peoplenomics subscribers, Elaine and I tried out of of those “Slow TV shows” and it was wonderful.  For one thing, it was quiet, for another – no commercials.  Just the kind of thing needed to help us adjust to getting up an hour later, going to bed an hour later…

A lot of research has been done on circadian rhythms and I was not exactly surprised this morning to awaken at the same old time, which is now being mislabeled  as 3 AM. Not that I’m really griping too loudly, since part of its my own fault: Of all the clocks around here, I don’t suppose you’d care to guess which one (on whose side of the bed?) I forgot to set?  Wasn’t self-adjusting…

Since conspiracy theories are popular, and because I haven’t run across a c9nspiracy based on the idea that Daylight Savings Time is a plot to prematurely kill people (thus keeping down the “useless eater” count), I looked through the Wikipedia entry for some support.  Check these snips out:

“Health problems can result from a disturbance to the circadian rhythm. These include seasonal affective disorder (SAD), delayed sleep phase syndrome (DSPS) and other circadian rhythm disorders.[56] Circadian rhythms also play a part in the reticular activating system, which is crucial for maintaining a state of consciousness. In addition, a reversal in the sleep–wake cycle may be a sign or complication of uremia,[57] azotemia or acute renal failure.

Studies have also shown that light has a direct effect on human health because of the way it influences the circadian rhythms.[58][59][60][61]

Is there a link between increases in obesity and diabetes down at some low (barely measurable) level?

Shift-work or chronic jet-lag have profound consequences on circadian and metabolic events in our body. Animals that are forced to eat during their resting period show increased body mass and altered expression of clock and metabolic genes.[62] In humans, shift-work which favors irregular eating times, is associated with altered insulin sensitivity and higher body mass. Shift-work also leads to increased metabolic risks for cardio-metabolic syndrome, hypertension, inflammation.[63] It is thus further assumed that this is not only what we eat but when we eat that matters.

And do disruptions in circadian rhythms have other adverse fallout – like airliner crashes?

“Due to the work nature of airline pilots, who often traverse multiple timezones and regions of sunlight and darkness in one day, and spend many hours awake both day and night, they are often unable to maintain sleep patterns that correspond to the natural human circadian rhythm; this situation can easily lead to fatigue. The NTSB cites this situation as a contributing factor to many accidents[68] and has conducted multiple research studies in order to find methods of combating fatigue in pilots.[69][70]

Can people adjust?  Sure, and we’re doing that now….sort of.  But it seems to me that if there’s all this obvious negative impact from circadian disruptions, why mess around with it at all?

Most people don’t realize how many versions of “time” there area.  But you’ve got a circadian clock inside you, you have “royal time” all based off Greenwich, local time (regular and daylight) to go with that UTC and Elaine has a hell of a time remembering the proper offset for the boys in Arizona.  And even there, the Navajos observe it, while the intruders down in the Valley do not.  Go figure.

Also sharing this common sense are people in Hawaii, Puerto Rico, American Samoa, Guam and the Northern Mariana Islands plus the US Virgins.

And a reader of ours in Indiana sent this…

My little family lives in the southern most tip, Evansville, IN.  My husband’s family all reside in Pike County, specifically in the Winslow area.  I hate this change so damned much because it screws with my ability to meet obligations concerning them on time.  Half the time up around there, I don’t know if some of those little towns are on the change or not.  If you look close on a map, you’ll see my area is right around that damned border and not all communities are on it (if they can help it!).  It’s my personal belief that when this damned day comes, it should be referred to Daylight Menopausal Time since it gets people pissed off, hot and cold, and makes a general mess of their state of living, for a short time at least.

Although you’re have to deal with a bunch of popups, or login with a FB account, the National Geographic seems to be on this bandwagon too with an article here which questions this whole time-changing drill.

Somewhere in the dark halls of Washington, there’s got to be a group of psychologists who are laughing there asses off at the joke played on us.  I am imagine their glee…

“I’m not sure ‘Mericans could be made much dumber…we made up “time” for them, pulled on over in the Kennedy case, they believe the moon story, think contaminated vaccines are good for them, and we steal 3.24% of their wealth year-after-year by just printing up more money.  And now we’ve gone just CRAZY with that and they STILL don’t get it, ROFL. 

Yessir, they believe just damn near anything…Hey!  I have it…let’s run another mixed citizenship guy for president in 2016, shall we?”  [ROFL again]

And somewhere in this [once great] Land of Ours, some hapless sonovabitch  (or daughter, for that matter) is going to arrive at work early.  Which ought to set off peels of laughter among the insiders who tell us what to believe, and what not. 

Their joy should peak around sidereal noon.

Monday at the WuJo

Further to our recent chats about how macro-time is getting a bit slippery lately:  Try this reader report on for size…

, I go out for a run every day at lunch when time allots and calendar is clear of meetings. I go with one of my dogs who loves to run too. I usually go for a quick two miler. AS I get out of my front door the mailman was putting mail in my mailbox.

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Peoplenomics: To Bug Out, or Not to Bug Out?

That is the question this morning. When I first wrote UrbanSurvival back in 1996/1997, one thing led to another, and by 2001 what was then the “Inside Report” series was covering all kinds of things “preppy.” This included bug-out bags, bug-out plans, where to get military manuals on CD (a novelty back when) and lots of discussion about which parts of the country would be “good” to survive in, and which would be “bad.” Although it has been a topic hugely imitated by (sleazy marketer/imitators (Google “UrbanSurvival” sometime and find any that have been around as long, lol) we do need to keep our contingency plans tuned-up, so we set off down that road this weekend, having just tasted a very bitter week of bug-out vehicle disaster. But first, the morning bean and some leftovers, starting perhaps with…

Nostracodeus Updated

For those following our watching of word-frequency analysis over at www.nostracodeus.com, there’s a fresh update on how war-like words are popping up. Don’t forget to click on the images to see the enlarged screen captures.. We note that in the summary form, references to Israel have dropped from #3 in nouns Thursday to “disappeared” today.