A note from my friend The Economic Fractalist drew our attention to the overnight (re-) collapse of the South Korean KOSPI index – down almost 7.6 percent.
Japan was down almost 5 percent and Taiwan was nibbling its way toward 4.
As usual – especially with the 1929 Replay potentially closer than even 2008 – is the problem of explaining complex intermarket linkages and fear propagation.
Try this and see if it helps.
Economics RSS
(As in real serious shit now…)
As a natural domain walker, how you view the potential for collapse will depend largely on your own psycho-social demography. In other words:
- If you are “still in school” maybe you need to calculate how much to spend on job skilling if AI can take your paycheck down the road.
- If you’re Young and Married? Remember how housing prices collapsed in 2009? Falling asset prices are a hallmark of Depressions. Money becomes dear.
- If you’re Older Working, then it may be time for a come-to-Jesus about how “retirement wealth” as paper assets may be due for review. For almost 30-years, I have been preaching the Gospel of Debt Reduction.
- And, if you’re trying to be retired, this is a good time to be managing down profile and not sharing so much thinking (or too much Reality) with the heathens of the web.
- And when you see it coming, take up rain catchment and gardening.
This is not to say the shit’s about to hit the fan. (Though TEF and I are, um, “smelling something odd” in here.)
The Wide-Open Future
So, we get:
- A false flag event to spin the public concern toward compliance?
- A new plandemic?
- End of the Fed and return to specie-based currency? Anyone besides me remember Mexico’s Nuevo Peso of the 1980s? Amero’s turn?
- Martial law and “emergency taxing authority” to pump still more?
- A “war lite” maybe involving nuclear weapons to demand total control?
- A “cyclical calamity” – you know, like 2012 wasn’t?
One of my suspicions is that this is the Second Movement of the Ruling the Unruly. In this outline, the Housing collapse took the money from seniors who had tried to leverage their way into a richer retirement via housing.
If you take that as a premise? Where did the “early out money” from real estate go? Why, much went into stocks and bonds! Not everyone was so stupid as to run for the hills, pay off some dirt, and figure out how to lead the field when subsistence existence came knocking.
U.S. stock futures are up with the Dow and Russell but down more with the S&P and techs.
If you’re looking for the consummate sage advice? Yeah, you bet.
Orville Redenbacher.
Please excuse today’s nautical motif. I may not be a “kapok jock” but I do know that our Aggregate Index based on early futures was showing 66276.18.
Our 85-DMA (drop to defensive, consider hiding) level based on Wednesday’s close was 66270.42.
Women and children first. (We really should bounce today…)
Six points of breathing room against a 66,000-point market. And that’s before the world’s other problems come aboard. Kind of feels like a Summer of 2008 time machine, doesn’t it?
The Retail “Life Preserver”
Maybe if consumers would just increase spending… Could that part the skies and rain down (shelf-stable) manna on us?
OK, holed and taking water, maybe, but we still hear the falls.
Also, in the Daily Data Gallery: Didn’t it just rain???
News Compressor: ON
Global SITREP: The OTH Convergence Window Is Opening
October 15, 2026 | BlinkLabNews / Over the Horizon Summary
For months, our Over the Horizon (OTH) forecasting work has been pointing toward a period of unusual global stress centered on late October and extending into November. Again, in January. Not necessarily a single catastrophic event, but something potentially more consequential: the convergence of several independent stress systems into one reinforcing crisis.
The distinction matters.
A stock market decline is one thing. A Middle East war is another. Elections, political instability, energy shortages, inflation, and the AI investment bubble are each manageable under normal circumstances.
But what happens when they begin interacting?
That’s the central question behind OTH. Our methodology looks for the future atoms that may eventually bond into larger molecules of consequence. And this morning’s BlinkLab intelligence sweep suggests several of those atoms are moving into closer proximity.
The October–November Stress Bubble
Try not to obsess on a week from Friday or Monday being the anniversary of the 1929 stock bubble collapse. It could be nothing (we hope!).
Still, our earlier OTH work identified a systemic risk concentration around the end of October, with the period surrounding the November 3 U.S. midterm elections especially important.
That forecast was never a claim that October 31 would produce a specific disaster. Rather, it identified a period when geopolitical, economic, and political stresses might begin reinforcing one another.
The approaching American elections provide one timing mechanism.
Control of Congress is at stake. A change in legislative power could substantially alter the administration’s room to maneuver on spending, foreign policy, investigations, and economic management.
Meanwhile, Israel and the broader Middle East remain central to the geopolitical equation. The possibility of further military escalation, Iranian retaliation, and disruption of Gulf energy supplies creates a second clock running alongside America’s electoral calendar. One nuke could ruin the week.
Neither clock operates independently.
An overseas military escalation can affect fuel prices, inflation, public confidence, and election outcomes. Political uncertainty in Washington can influence how foreign governments assess American willingness to intervene.
That’s convergence: separate systems beginning to share consequences.
The real test of our OTH work isn’t whether bad things happen. Bad things always happen. The test is whether independently forecast stress systems begin interacting inside the predicted time window. That’s what we’re watching now.
The Global Situation This Morning
The October 15 BlinkLabNews.com scan screened 64 distinct news clusters. Four major developments stood out.
First, the Middle East. Reported Houthi attacks on Saudi infrastructure and continued threats to shipping around Hormuz have expanded the conflict’s potential economic footprint. The danger is no longer confined to military targets; aviation, energy production, maritime insurance, and commercial transportation are increasingly exposed.
Second, Russia and Ukraine. The attempted energy ceasefire is deteriorating. Renewed attacks on refineries and infrastructure, alongside Black Sea maritime incidents, threaten to compound the energy disruption already developing around the Gulf.
Third, financial markets. September’s reported 3.7 percent annual U.S. inflation reading, combined with weakness in technology shares and Asian equities, highlights the vulnerability of highly valued financial assets to renewed monetary tightening.
Fourth, artificial intelligence. Semiconductor earnings remain strong, but the AI expansion is encountering regulatory scrutiny, legal challenges, and increasingly difficult financing conditions.
These aren’t four versions of the same story.
They are four separate mechanisms capable of amplifying one another.
The Hidden Transmission Mechanism
Consider the sequence.
- Middle East fighting raises energy costs. Higher energy costs reinforce inflation. Persistent inflation reduces the Federal Reserve’s flexibility. Higher financing costs pressure equity valuations and debt-funded AI infrastructure.
- Falling financial assets then weaken confidence, investment plans, and potentially employment.
- Meanwhile, political leaders approaching consequential elections face incentives to demonstrate strength, avoid appearing weak, or shift public attention toward external threats.
This does not mean governments will necessarily choose escalation. It means their decisions increasingly occur inside the same stressed economic and political environment.
And that’s where OTH’s wave-and-wavelet plus atoms and compounds approach becomes useful.
The major economic wave may be a maturing speculative cycle. The geopolitical wave may be expanding military confrontation. The political wave is the American midterm transition. When those wave trains intersect, their effects can either cancel temporarily or reinforce dramatically.
Which atoms will form the “final compound?” Keep the news handy. The timing of future intersections may matter as much as the individual headlines.
What We’re Watching Next
Our principal window remains late October through the post-election weeks of November, with the possibility of delayed consequences extending into December.
The critical confirmations would be sustained energy disruption, further equity-market deterioration, rising credit stress, widening military engagement, or evidence that election uncertainty is affecting institutional decision-making.
Conversely, durable Gulf de-escalation, stabilizing energy prices, improving financial breadth, and orderly election outcomes would weaken the convergence thesis.
Lots of Other Stories
And some of these could blow up into the world mindset:
Korea and Taiwan: North Korean missile activity, growing Chinese pressure in the region, and Taiwan’s semiconductor importance create a dangerous combination. A military miscalculation could rapidly involve Washington, Tokyo, and Seoul. With the US spread-thin now: North Korea’s latest submarine-launched missile tests add another potential trigger.
Africa’s forgotten flashpoints: Renewed Ethiopia–Eritrea border tensions and insurgent activity in Nigeria remain underappreciated. Either could trigger refugee movements, regional intervention, and fresh pressure on already strained international relief systems.
Europe’s political fracture lines: Economic stagnation, high energy prices, and disputes over Chinese imports threaten European political cohesion. Another energy shock could turn ordinary budget disagreements into government crises.
Climate and food: Indonesian wildfires, Brazilian drought-related fires, and agricultural vulnerability deserve watching. A simultaneous food-production and fertilizer shock could turn regional environmental problems into global price instability.
The overlooked military constraint: Depleted American missile-defense inventories could complicate responses to simultaneous crises in Europe, the Middle East, and Asia.
OTH takeaway: These are potential secondary ignition points. The convergence danger isn’t simply another crisis appearing; it’s a smaller crisis arriving precisely when the world’s capacity to absorb it is already stretched.
Around the Ranch: My Newest Book
Where AI Takes Us – an Answer for Sam
Having it all together would have been too much.
Besides, I’m retired. You were supposed to take the hint about this timeframe when I told you early in the summer about Fed Jobs, UI Filings, and Ure Announces (Semi) Retirement Plans.
Drop by tomorrow when we explain Ure’s Law of Accumulated Intelligence.
Write when you stay rich,
George@IUre.net
P.S. If things get really stupid, our IP address is https://190.92.156.129/. You may get a certificate warning using the numerical address, but if DNS goes down and the Internet is still running, this gives you another way to find us. If the web is down? Our Hour a Day Gardening! – Planting the Future – One Hour a Day site will make a hell of a lot more sense.
“Martial law and “emergency taxing authority” to pump still more?”
Yes, martial law here we come, maybe George can write a new book,
“Martial Law For Dummies.”
Nostradamus and The Third Age of Mars, The Prophecies of World War III,
G. A. Stewart, 2019, Page 567
It is more than coincidental that Nostradamus follows The Butcher of England with The Third Antichrist Quatrain. The United States will be under lock down after President Donald J. Trump declares Martial Law.
Nobody in the Alternative Media is going to publish that, and this is where every reader can see the true intentions of the clickbait circus ring masters and their version of The Doom Hustle. Many of them are in bed with the propaganda. Mainstream Media, Alternative Media, Social Media, it is all the battleground of The PYSOP.
https://theageofdesolation.com/nostradamus/2026/10/13/in-the-end-we-all-die-anyway-so-it-doesnt-matter/
idk dude. from where im sitting reality looks really good. really really good. not the stuff on the internet. the internet tells me one thing. reality tells me another.
i mean we are still in the JASON months. i just trust reality more than the internet. lol
its kinda like at the gym the other day. my gf is wearing leggins shorts and a tank top and im in a baggy XXL hoody and sweat pants. i notice all these men and women looking at her then me with this look of confusion. she is 22 years younger than me and smoking hot. super fit. and i have white beard. lol
we finish stretching and i go over to the inclined bench. a few people are staring like what is she doing with him. then i take off my hoody, grab 2 90lb dumbbells and crank out 10 reps doing shoulder press.
then she hops on my lap and gives me a kiss. and every one staring faces go ohhhhhhh. hes not a fat old dude.
hahaha
perception. ya know?
one is telling the truth and the other is pushing an agenda. reality says one thing. the internet says another.
im going to side with reality.
ten thousand
EBH
Urban Survival situation for real!
Grid down expected for 68 hours is what they are saying, possibly longer! Pacific Gas and Electric shut our power off yesterday at 1730 hrs along with around 80K others due to what they say is a safety shutoff due to extreme high winds. There are no high winds on any weather map that warrants this that I could find. It’s practically dead calm here and the rest of Northern California. Gave us two days notice. PUC and courts say they cannot be sued for theses type of shutoffs. All losses are on us.
We are located in the East Bay section of the San Francisco Bay Area. When we moved here we were paying 7.5 cents/KWH. Now we pay 47 cents/KWH, for what?
We have never had a shutoff scheduled to be this long. Nothing like a real grid down situation to test your resolve to survive and contemplate how long before things turn really bad.
This is why you have to move out of the communist state of califukya. jc can’t blame this on Trump , but he probably will, just saying. The califukya p u c has been screwing the citizens for years. What does your leader newscum have to say?
Case for a real, robust power generation to keep the freezer., and any other essential humming along.
Very much enjoyed “Thinking On The Gallows”. It raised so many questions that I had to start writing them down !
Hopefully “Part Two” will give a few answers. [ ?? ]
“Some questions don’t have answers. They are simply the basis, the stepping-stone for the next, and usually more important question.”
(bows) Honored! (Send the questions!)
I have to answer the questions myself. If any one of them ‘stump’ me., i’ll send them along.
Define – Getting old:
That’s easy. “When you sit down to take a break and then wonder how the hell you’re going to get back up.”
That is why God sent Pamela Pumpkin into the world to assist the elderly.
The Bay Watch type Pamela? Or am I stuck on the wrong branch of the melon concept?
A staggering 84% of S&P 500 stocks are now considered to be in correction territory.
Eighty Four Friggin’ Percent !
A dozen tech stocks are keeping this ship afloat. And with all their massive debt-swaps, rotating loans and capital spending., they are just starting to actually see that the ROI is not there. It never was – not at this level.
Even Blackrock has turned bearish.
.., damn !
“fear propagation.”
Fear is an emotion and that’s what the Socialists were talking about when they said, “So, first of all, let me assert my firm belief that the only thing we have to fear is fear itself — nameless, unreasoning, unjustified terror which paralyzes needed efforts to convert retreat into advance.”
In other words the socialists claimed ‘it’s in your head’..
Somewhere in the Trump bible a passage should read, “a harmful human emotion of anxiety or terror that Christians are told to avoid.”
All Americans benefited from the socialism. Fear was unfounded. That’s the way it works.
Fear is the first step to oppression… i hand lettered a T-shirt and when people read it they get sketched.
Seems that isn’t a widely understood principal.
Stiks
psalm 112,
“He shall not be afraid of evil tidings; his heart is fixed, trusting in the Lord.
His heart is established; he shall not be afraid until he sees his desires upon his enemies.”
We follow the right way….
President Trump has no legal standing to declare Martial Law., or even an emergency situation. If he did, it would be immediately over-ruled by the Senate and the Supreme Court. Possibly even getting himself arrested and forced out of office – immediately.
He simply can’t do it. Not now.
If that is the direction we are headed then what to look for., in my opinion.., is what “he creates” that would allow him to take such drastic measures.
If that is the course, he has set – then he has to get the ball rolling pretty damn soon.
That.., is the scary part.
Hmm…lol lol lol…isn’t this the perfect point to add my 2cents on solar towers and using homes as nodes to a more secure grid..lol lol lol..
Especially since the event wouldn’t necessarily have to be created by the government….. It could be a crisis that someone deliberately provokes, or a genuine emergency that spirals beyond the ability of civilian authorities to control…..oh oh here comes the secure grid …
One reason that could create complete chaos and panic…….A nationwide breakdown of essential services
Imagine a cascading failure involving electricity, communications, banking, and transportation…..Ukraine put this on Russia just a few days ago..
https://youtu.be/OvwOXdbhtbQ?si=SXk7AfQKLVjIcLGp
Now consider….What would it be like without electricity, fuel pumps stop operating, electronic payments fail, refrigeration becomes unreliable, and water systems may struggle….A hurricane in the east coast a few years ago should have been a good example..or the once in a hundred year snow storm in Texas….
If restoration takes weeks rather than days, the problem could evolve from an infrastructure emergency into widespread civil unrest….Studies about just such a scenario have been done..unfortunately they’re longer than fifty words..so I truly doubt anyone read it..
Then there’s what happened in Russia where A severe financial collapse happened …
Imagine banks temporarily restricting withdrawals, electronic payments becoming unreliable, and millions of people suddenly unable to access their money.
Now combine that with unemployment, food shortages, and an inability to pay for basic necessities.
The danger wouldn’t necessarily come from organized political groups. It could come from ordinary families desperately trying to survive.
Economic desperation can become a public-order crisis without anyone initially intending violence….
Then the scary..Tit….for….Tat
you show me yours and I’ll show you mine escalation……
https://youtu.be/W4QGRyXwxN4?si=ImQVonoR0KRgHAL2
using…us supplied arms and intelligence…
Consider living in an area where crime rates are high..people carry protection..just in case……now your a country….we know how the USA responded after the twin towers incident..against a single Rouge element..
then consider your one of the major power countries on the planet.. another major power countries is supporting and essentially helping to plan an attack that threatens the other…
would there be a retaliation in kind..it would have to be carefully planned so as not to cause world wide panic.. but..these things are escalating rapidly..
https://youtu.be/W4QGRyXwxN4?si=ImQVonoR0KRgHAL2
we already have a good estimate that academics our possibility of surviving such an event…and from the statistics in the studies that have the appearance of being totally ignored…hat each of us..has a 3% better chance at winning the Powerball lottery..
“A false flag event to spin the public concern toward compliance?”
This would mean Trump is in on it making Trump one of them and not the only one standing between us and them.
I’ve been reading about the Texas legal tender act, House Bill 1056 that Texas Governor Greg Abbott signed. It’s a cashless system with the Texas Bullion Depository acting as the intermediary.
Republicans demand the next system be cashless.
Hmmm. If you only believe in thermal dynamics and CO2 then no winds in clear air? If you believe in brown dwarf with Ultraviolet light that is invisible to the eye but selectively ionizes areas of air over SF which induces severe winds then it is a mixed bag of outcomes. If you believe folks should be dumb so no run on stores you don’t tell them.
“Carnac the Magnificent” – my – Aggregate Index – has dropped below it’s 21 DMA and yesterday below it’s 45 DMA.
It still well above it’s 85 DMA. .., but for how long?
I have the time – I will wait and see.
Put options are already lining up with the math.
“Stay Frosty !”
master index sell executed today . triple sell gold stocks
You gonna triple sell all your ounces? Or just the bullshit ones?
https://urbansurvival.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/10/20261016toon-1-768×576.png
(“For almost 30-years, I have been preaching the Gospel of Debt Reduction.”)
Great advice! IF you’re fortunate enough to occupy a position in society that allows you a little breathing room beyond the old rob Peter to pay Paul routine.
There’s a tremendous difference between living within your means and having the means to live… then the one two slap of fate…puts you under…
But consider about what happens to those who don’t get fortunate enough to acquire a decent job?
one look to the past… in San Francisco… in every newspaper..people making shy quarter a mil a year living in cars boxes etc. homeless using the sidewalks as a toilet…the food stamp eligibility was over a hundred fifty grand to qualify.. bunk beds renting for two grand a month with a communal toilet… that was on all the news channels and papers.. what wasn’t covered is…what about the guy flipping burgers for ten bucks an hour…..one peak out of the neighborhood and the scenery changes dramatically…
I’ve shared my household budget from 1975 before…. Back then, things were tight, but they were livable…. You could work, pay your bills, put food on the table, and still have a little hope of moving forward…
Now consider an inflation rate averaging roughly 4% annually, while the working stiff might be fortunate enough to receive a 2% wage increase in a good year…. companies got rid of full time employees and replaced them with part time and temp employees without benefits..
When i do the math…. the view I get is every year, that worker falls a little further behind, even while doing everything supposedly right…
toss in a big storm or a medical emergency or catastrophic expense..and your life is destroyed..
Here’s something else I’ve come to realize.
Today, I have more crap than I had back in 1975. But much of that is stuff I’ve accumulated over a lifetime of acquiring crap…. Things I no longer have to purchase just to keep moving forward……
In other words,The things I’ve already paid for are many of the things a younger family is still struggling to acquire….
despite having fewer possessions in 1975, I believe I was financially better off at $2.75 then than I am today at $14.00
What I have always believed is well-being isn’t measured by how much stuff you’ve accumulated or can accumulate . It’s measured by how much freedom remains after you’ve paid for the necessities of living.
You cannot budget your way out of an income that no longer covers the cost of survival…instead you juggle it.. many use plastic to push forward during those crises… like my teeth.. insurance flipped me the bird of paradise and I needed to use care credit at 25% interest..the last visit cost me close to eight grand..
Its really hard to preach debt reduction to someone whose debt is the only thing keeping food on the table and a roof over their head… I take that trillion dollar coin out every once in a while and wish upon a star lol lol…I have always said the problem with the lottery is by the time I win more than two bucks a year..I’ll either be to old to enjoy it or…it will barely cover a McDonald’s happy meal…
Perhaps the question that everyone should to be asking isn’t why people aren’t saving more money…..
Perhaps it’s why working for a living no longer guarantees the ability to make a living….
Huey Lewis And The News – Workin’ For A Livin’
Somedays won’t end ever and somedays pass on by,
I’ll be working here forever, at least until I die.
Dammed if you do, dammed if you don’t
I’m supposed to get a raise next week, you know damn well I won’t.
Workin’ for a livin’ (workin’)
Workin’ for a livin’ (workin’)
Workin’ for a livin’, livin’ and workin’
I’m taking what they giving ’cause I’m working for a livin’.
https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=lcIK3akktLU&list=RDlcIK3akktLU&start_radio=1&pp=ygUoSHVleSBMZXdpcyBhbmQgbmV3cyB3b3JraW5nIGZvciBhIGxpdmluZ6AHAQ%3D%3D
Exactly….the problem happened with a little twist…..I believe they assumed the vast majority of the population become like me..where I worked an average of around a hundred hours a week….
after deregulation mom had to work..essential necessities were open for profit.. industries outsourced to industries in other countries…lowering the income levels..and re.moving the income that was recycled through local economies into other countries…
then the endless wars and printing extra to fill the gap..
instead of the population sacrificing family..the majority instead sought out compensation for the modern business models failing to meet the needs..the people sought out the good Samaritan programs rather than make the sacrifice..
Many… cool things can be found in the hills of Nothern Mexico. Still on the property, I suppose it could be used again if needed.
https://drive.google.com/file/d/1Px_mDlpfVFTSqCnlDlf2Ekp4CaSj3RSx/view?usp=drivesdk
When the hair on the back of your neck is standing up its a good idea to pay attention.
Stay safe everyone.
its only a rort if your not in it !!!! rig on donny and da boyz in the temple of sin . wall street !!!! robots buzzin !!!!
(Can someone translate what a rort might5 be.)
corruption , scam , non bona fide , illegal , dishonest . very donny !!!
ask Jarvis? Looks Klingon to me. _E_
I actually believe the interest charged by CareCredit is considerably higher than that… but I’d hate to say 39.9% without checking first…
And for people in our economic class, financing medical care may be one of the few options available when you need treatment but would rather visit a clinic than end up in an emergency room……
That’s something that is often overlooked…simply because it doesn’t exist on that level…
Change the level of the neighborhood and the landscape changes dramatically with every step down the economic pyramid….
At each level, there are circumstances, hardships, and realities that those living above it seldom see, much less understand…opportunities offered that cannot be acquired or acted on..
I’ve witnessed this and experienced it myself… its just how it is..The life we live..
The conditions experienced by the girls from the Seattle ghetto were considerably worse than those I’ve experienced in my life… And I recognize there are levels of hardship below even theirs…the can man tossed away after the Korean war..lived in a trash dumpster..collected cans to get food…
Levels I cannot fully see or comprehend… that we hear about but it just doesn’t get attention….its out of view..
Because those worlds Simply don’t exist within my everyday experience….
Just as the neighborhood where my older sibling lives represents a different economic reality from mine….got to say I hated to leave to.. wineries all around vineyards even barrel makers..next stop to heaven..
And the differences don’t stop at America’s borders.
I once worked with a woman from Africa and asked her about life in the villages. What she described was quite different from the picture presented on television…(a gentleman here seen it up front and real…)
She explained that much depends upon which level of society you’re born into, the community you belong to, and the opportunities available within that world…those below are not really shown..you hear about it But it doesn’t exist..
Similar distinctions can exist among tribal and social communities in the Middle East.
It made me realize something…
Society tends to judge the world from the level of the pyramid on which they stand, seldom recognizing how dramatically the landscape changes above and below that level….Heck, even my own children cannot fully fathom what we went through while they were growing up. Not because they don’t care or aren’t listening, but because those experiences simply don’t exist within the world they’ve known as adults…..
The next generation inherits the world those people helped build, but not necessarily the experiences that taught them why it needed to be built that way in the first place… the scrolls,,tablets,and carvings written from those teaching for thousands of years..
Over time, the warnings become stories. The stories become distant history… And eventually, the lessons that once seemed so obvious begin to lose their meaning…legends of A fallen civilization..
I believe that’s when society becomes vulnerable to repeating the very mistakes earlier generations struggled to overcome…..Those that lived through and guided pass on but their life experiences have become a history lesson that totally appears unbelievable.. we are way smarter than they were is what we think….
Perhaps history doesn’t repeat itself simply because we fail to study it…
Perhaps it repeats because we gradually lose the generations that understood, through experience, why those lessons mattered….
And perhaps that’s one reason history seems to systematically replay itself, generation after generation…civilization after civilization…
Those who lived through the hardships, witnessed the consequences, learned the lessons, and helped guide society away from those mistakes eventually grow old and pass on…they left the warnings..everywhere..we just can’t understand what they were trying to tell us..
Plato and the allegory of the cave..
And with them goes something that cannot be fully preserved in books, statistics, or historical accounts.
I believe that’s one of our greatest social problems today…
We develop economic policies, preach financial responsibility, and offer solutions based upon circumstances familiar to us, without recognizing that those same circumstances may not exist for someone living just one level below…. one way serves all..
Debt reduction is wonderful advice.
But what does it mean to someone who must borrow money simply to receive medical treatment at high interest rates.. or the guy that has to use plastic for tires?
“This is not to say the shit’s about to hit the fan. (Though TEF and I are, um, “smelling something odd” in here.)”
I am “subscribed” to the Middle East WOO WOO Channel,
by the way. Something to to with having a small percentage
of that Levant DNA I suppose?
They don’t put out info very often (at least not to me)
Sometimes years pass.
But if something arrives in the “mailbox”,
I will post here.
Okay, I’m not understanding this:
Where the heck did all this conspiranut bullshit and blather about “martial law” come from?
If you read the crap the Internet nutjobs spew, you will note that according to them, EVERY President since GHW Bush has been going to declare martial law and skip our election, every two years since 1990.
WE ARE NOT LIKE ANY OTHER NATION.
Our President CAN NOT do this.
Maybe back away from the keyboard and go outside. A little reality never hurt anyone. Or read a good book. I suggest a High School Civics text.
{Sheesh…}
Well said.
Agree! Damned Well Said!
G.A. STEWART: The Trump supporting Alternative Media, such as TheGatewayPundit.com and Wayne Allyn Root, are now suggesting that Donald J. Trump should declare a “national-security emergency”. Others want to initiate Martial Law before the midterm-elections.
This would be treason, and I have a great many problems with that and with the people making such declarations. They simply sound like fanatics.
https://theageofdesolation.com/nostradamus/2026/10/13/in-the-end-we-all-die-anyway-so-it-doesnt-matter/
Amen…dont see it happening.. but I have to declare… my wife wants me to go pick some tomatoes and cover them for frost tonight…
now I see all of that happening.. and quickly before she gives me the… look…
re: “2010 Odyssey Two, Clarke, 1982 – Europa
feat: “Paradise Lost”, Milton, 1667
Today the Ukrainian Entourage arrived at Brussels from London. Their President posted his videoclips from the EU’s Europa Building. A pair of artworks are seen hanging on a meeting room wall behind President Macron of France.
ChatGPT incorrectly credited the works to Belgian artist Georges Meurant whose rectangular piece (“AI figural induction”?) murals appear elsewhere in the building. Gemini chose French artist Carole Benzaken and her panel trilogy titled “(Lost) Paradise Blue”. Panels one and three are pictured side by side on the meeting room wall, but panel two does not appear to be in the room. The AI suggests its absence is due to room size limitations.
The words from Arthur C. Clarke’s Monolith after it lit up Jupiter for the benefit of Europa offered the following directive: “All these worlds are yours except Europa. Attempt no landing there.”
Hi, George,
I am reading your Gallows book, and thank you very much for it. It is brilliant work for sure. Folks in their thirties and forties are engaged in negotiating a very different world from what we experienced. Working in the 1970’s, 1980’s, 1990’s, and the early 2000’s do not compare to 2026. The differences are remarkable.
I wonder if you ever considered the consequences of “sunset technology”. Those two words signify that a very specific item, manufactured by a family business or an individual, becomes scarce or even unobtainable when the family or the individual dies. I have seen this in the faceting world where particular individuals who manufacture machines and laps leave a void when they quit the business or when they die. Just an observation.
George,
The 2026 current fractal model of SPX peak valuation to initial crash nadir and self similar to the Aug to Nov 1929 12/29/27 day :: xy/2-2.5xy/2-2.5xy 1929 3-phase fractal series with a 3 Sept 1929 peak valuation and a 13 Nov 1929 initial crash nadir valuation is a:
SPX 30 March 2026: 17/42/37 day :: xy/2-2.5xy/2-2.5xy with a 1982 13/33 year :: x/2.5x peak valuation on 6 Oct 2026 and crash nadir on 9 December 2026. The 42 day second fractal will end on Monday 19 October 2026.
The 42 day 2nd Fractal is composed of 2 4-phase fractal subseries: a 16 Sept 3/7/7/5 days series ending 1 Oct and a 4/9/8/6 day series ending Monday 19 Oct 2026.
On an hourly and daily fractal time frames, there are two key trend lines that will end the 8 Aug to 19 Oct 2026 42 day second fractal which contains the all time SPX peak valuation on 6 Oct 2026.
The first SPX trend line is that formed by the first 19 days of the 2nd fractal 8 Aug to 16 Sept; that would end at about 7344, a 5.16% drop from today’s 7744 close. The second SPX trendline is formed by the 6 Oct to 8 Oct SPX low valuations and would end at about 7516, a 2.4% drop from today’s SPX close.
The 8 Aug to 16 Sept 19 day 1st subseries fractal of the 41 day 2nd fractal is formed by a 3/7/7/5 days series;
The 12 day 16 Sept to 1 Oct 12 day 2nd subseries is formed by a 3/7/4 day series and the 1 October to 16 Oct 3rd subseries is formed by a 2/5/5/3 day series with 16 Oct day 3 of the 3 day 4th fractal.
A nonlinear gapped lower low heralding the terminal portion of the 40 day second fractal should be evident tomorrow morning at the opening.
The 4o day second fractal
George,
I gave you bad dates:
SPX 29 July 2026 (vice 30 March 2026): 17/42/37 day :: xy/2-2.5xy/2-2.5xy with a 1982 13/33 year :: x/2.5x peak valuation on 6 Oct 2026 and crash nadir on 9 December 2026. The 42 day second fractal will end on Monday 19 October 2026.
The 42 day 2nd Fractal is composed of 2 4-phase fractal subseries: a 20 Aug 2026(vice 16 Sept )3/7/7/5 days series ending 16 Sept 2026 (vice 1 Oct) and a 4/9/8/6 day series ending Monday 19 Oct 2026.