As usual, the “Old Newsman” in me isn’t worried about the stories passing in the headlines right now. No, instead we are more focused at looking at longer-term implications of ongoing events; specifically Hurricane Florence.
Keep in mind, my consigliere has a similar mindset, having worked part of his way through law school as a reporter/photographer…so he’s of the same bent. To wit:
“The good news is that the new US Weather Service Model is still in the “beta test” phase.
The bad news is that so far it has been exceptionally accurate with Florence.
The further bad news is that most reliable European model also has Florence going back out to sea and back onto land 4 times also.
IF the high that sits to the North does not move sideways, or north, Florence is going to be trapped between two side by side highs North of it with nowhere to go, except in circles, for 7 to 11 days … hitting land, back out to sea, coming back to hit land, back out to sea, etc. etc..
Florence is shaping up to potentially be a storm for the history books if things play out as the models are currently indicating … the rain event will be immense, with historic rainfall more than filling all the dam impounded lakes throughout the mid to near western portions of both S. and N. Carolina (and into Virginia – but no nuke plants at risk in VA, just in the Carolinas)
We should know more by Wed late … but it could be an upcoming week to remember.”
This leads to two easily-followed “news prediction” efforts. The first would be to look at the projected rainfall (since that can be problematic for nuke plants, especially if we get once-in-a-thousand YEARS worth of rain… The second is to look at the models and begin thinking about where the nuke plants are located and what impacts could be of….oh, you know…
So here’s the rain outlook: We’re let you fill in the wind part with the frantic flow of repetitious reporters hyping hysteria as Media Money-Making-Madness… (FFRRHHMMMM for short).
Duke Energy’s 1,870-megawatt Brunswick Plant could be one of the closest to landfall. According to the Duke website:
“The two-unit, 1,870-megawatt Brunswick Nuclear Plant is located approximately two miles north of Southport, N.C., and houses two boiling water nuclear reactors. This was the first nuclear power plant built in North Carolina, beginning operation in 1975. An additional unit became operational in 1977, and 244 megawatts of electrical generation was added to the plant’s output from 2002 to 2005 as part of an extended power update program that upgraded much of the plant’s equipment.”
Well-run company and well-maintained plant. The problem, however is the rain. As we read the weather projections, the rainfall in that area could be between one and two FEET.
We expect there will be a fair bit of nail-biting at NRC Region II which is responsible for regulation of the plants in and surround the landfall area.
Brunswick is the most coastal of the plants in the landfall area, but another – the 928-megawatt Harris plant in Wake County, southwest of Raleigh-Durham, could also get a serious soaking.
While we have faith in the nuclear power industry, we’re also aware that if this is a “once-in-a-thousand years” event that engineering assumptions may be swamped.
All of which adds another dimension too the mandatory evacuation of over a million people that accompanies the storm’s arrival now estimated for early Friday morning.
Not just the nukes, either: “Hurricane Risks Include Toxic Sludge and Lagoons of Pig Manure.”
In Trump’s Defense
Congressman Mark Meadows has sent a letter demanding more information in a story being headlined “FBI officials discussed ‘media leak strategy’ ahead of major Trump=Russia revelation” – which is looking more made-up than ever…
Meantime, Maxine Waters apparently didn’t get the democrat’s memo on not talking about impeachment because that would get more republicans out to vote for GOP candidates as a “blocker.” Instead, Real Clear Politics shows “Maxine Waters: “Impeachment! Impeachment! Impeachment! Impeachment!” “I’m Gonna Get Him“.
New NFIB small business optimism index is an upper:
The NFIB Small Business Optimism Index soared to 108.8 in August, a new record in the survey’s 45-year history, topping the July 1983 highwater mark of 108. The record-breaking figure is driven by small business owners executing on the plans they’ve put in place due to dramatic changes in the nation’s economic policy.
The August survey showed:
- Job creation plans and unfilled job openings both set new records.
- The percentage of small business owners saying it is a good time to expand tied the May 2018 all-time high.
- Inventory investment plans were the strongest since 2005 and capital spending plans the highest since 2007.
The market is not so sure. Dow futures, a little over an hour before the open, pointed to a 131-point downside…so we shall see. This does some very interesting things to our charts – which will be available to www.peoplenomics.com subscribers tomorrow morning 8 AM..
Regardless of the market, CoreLogic Loan Performance Insights Find Overall U.S. Mortgage Delinquency and Foreclosure Rates Lowest for June in 12 Years. This as republicans are talking about making tax cuts permanent…
Musk says Tesla to drop some color options for cars to simplify production. Rhymes with Henry Fords “Any color, so long as it’s black” approach to mass manufacturing.
The long arm of Soros: EU parliament to debate possible sanctions against Hungary. Why? Oh, think back to May, right? “George Soros foundation leaves Hungary amid government crackdown…” Payback’s a bitch when you’ve got billions and want to own global opinion and control Hungary…following this?
From our “But we like lopsided trade deals” file: China seeks WTO backing for sanctions on U.S. over dumping duties.
Old Newsman’s Woo-Woo
As you know, I have odd dreams – enough to fuel my next book Psychocartography: Mapping the Human Dream set for release on Amazon October 1.
Last night’s adventure into The Realms (of dreams) was most poignant and possibly based on the news story “The Trump Administration Is Shutting Down the Palestinian Office in Washington.” Day residue in the dream-states is not uncommon.
In the dream, in extremely vivid UHD, a cruise ship is in a non-US port and a number of passengers are getting on and off the ship. Across the dock there was a freighter of some kind. \
On the dock, a young Middle Easterner was beckoning tourists to “Come Ride the Cargo Slings! You’ll be able to take incredible pictures from up there. No charge…free for you. Step over this way…”
People from the ship were fascinated with the idea. Some groups of them (this is a dream, remember) were stepping into green nets (like the nylon dirty clothes net bags we had on our sailboat back when we lived aboard. A dozen or two took the ride.
Small groups – four to six at a time – were hoisted up and then lowered onto the deck of this freighter. But, just as they were about to get out of the slings onto the deck of the ship, they rose again and were deposited instead into a hold deep and out of sight. There, gunmen took them to a series of cages where they were locked up. They would be held for ransom.
One or two got out, and managed to spread an alarm, but the freighter had already cast off and made for sea before officials figured out that terrorists had just taken a “boatload of hostages.”
Waking – from this rather odd dream – it was tossed off as a bunch of “noise from the waking-side” of Life. This is an anniversary of 9/11 so my subconscious was likely working the permutations of there being an elevated terrorism risk.
At the same time, since the Palestinians are being kicked out in Washington, the “old newsman’s mind” was figuring out what the “payback” would be.
Wanted to mention the story, though. As I point out in the new book, some people live one life only – the one of the waking states. With practice and discipline, though, you can live a second life as well -as rich and textured as the waking state as you polish lucid dreaming skills.
Tomorrow on the Peoplenomics side, we have “weaponizing everything” on the table. But next Wednesday, a special article on some “new technology” that came back via last night’s dream. An important adjunct to our Light Crown Project.
Ah..,.time for chow…moron the ‘morrow, then!