Coping: When Bad Times Get Worse

(Albuquerque, NM)  You may notice that we didn’t make it to Amarillo on our return trip to Texas.  The simple reason is plain tired and swamped.  And when that happens, there’s nothing like 7-8 hours of sleep and a good meal.

Therefore, we abandoned our “casino highway” plans (we’ve been to the ones from west of hear eastwards in recent years, anyway.

So today we will make Amarillo, for sure, and with any luck even score an early check-in so I can get to work on Peoplenomics.

The topic this week is sizing up how global collapse will look as all the “sand in the gears” tries to grind the machinery of humans to junk.

The question posed on Monday as to when markets would come down with Ebola is a critical one.  A grand inflection point may be nearing…of the sort that will be in history books, that is, if anyone is left with time to read and write within just five short years.

The latest communiqué from my consigliore is cause for concern because the projected numbers which we had put on Peoplenomics recently for subscribers to consider planning around as “worst case” are quickly turning into “most likely” case.

The Ebola news is NOT getting better, just getting worse by the day as the CDC finally pulls it’s head out of the sand and starts looking at the problem realistically:
CDC doubles the number of estimated current cases … which moves the case projection of infections forward by one month to about 1 million by the end of January (would indicate 500,000 by end of Dec, NOT January).

“DC scientists conclude there may be as many as 21,000 reported and unreported cases in just those two countries as soon as the end of this month, according to a draft version of the report obtained by The Associated Press. They also predict that the two countries could have a staggering 550,000 to 1.4 million cases by late January.”

Nominally, the decline in markets Monday was blamed on the Chinese who are standing back from additional economic stimulus at this time. By doing so, they will perhaps a bit of inflation downstream, but China’s not the core problem.  We have bigger and other fish to fry.

The biggest zoom-out we can offer in short, summary form is a press release out from the Gallup Organization that deals with “Purpose Well-Being” which is quickly evaporating not just on Monday mornings in America, but also globally.  The more detailed report (that you can read over here) says in the Americas, the Purpose Well-Being index is at 37% which isn’t that high and globally it has dropped to just 18%.

If you think of the Gallup Purpose Well-Being index as the “Happy to get up and go to work” index, that’d about be the spirit of it.

The reason we will get into come coincident indicators in the Peoplenomics report is that we have a huge battle going on that is just above the perception levels of common, average, everyday folks.

While most people seem content to have no savings (renting their lives) and haven’t put any particular emphasis on invention, accumulation of a sustainable baseline home, the answer for the highly aware is to skim the best-of-class options available now and get them into place while there is still time and infrastructure to support the basic investments.

What are the basics?  More deep discussion tomorrow, but it really comes down to water, food, and shelter.

What follows if that if you have been working on an “FU” plan, so that you don’t depend on anyone else to the greatest degree possible, then you have failed to apprehend the grandeur of what likely is coming down the path.

Consider that robotics is continuing to “eat jobs.”  Even the menial jobs flipping burgers are being automated as powerfully demonstrated by Momentum Machines.  Or the automated hotel bellman presented by Savioke.

The task before us is to assemble the last-minute “Oh-oh/….What to do?” plans for families.

The world is on a knife-edge without even realizing it:  On the one hand the promise of blended humans with technology after Kurzweil’s Singularity is a massively appealing concept to some.  But Kurzweil didn’t look deeply into the numbers; in the technical utopia, someone owns the machines and will exact a heavy price.

How heavy?  If you’ve never seen the movie Soylent Green perhaps it’s about time.

Just as we suggested to subscribers back in 2002 that we would be splitting our wealth three ways (into a sustainable ag homestead, into bonds, and into gold) so too we are now contemplating the rebalancing of personal assets to structure our families for the future.

No, this is not rampant paranoia; just a rational management response to a world where if the banking class doesn’t kill you, then maybe Ebola will.

If banks and Ebola are fended off, then the robots will be coming to get your job.  And even if you make it through all that, there’s compelling reason to think that “Clean War
(which is what first strike EMP attack might be considered) lingers just off-stage.

We may begin with that, but the main take-away from this morning’s ramble is simply this:

People don’t work unless well-rewarded…and this morning’s Gallup data says the Purpose/Well-Being rewards are down to just 18% globally and 37% here.

Regrettably, Joseph Tainter’s works (including his monumental Collapse of Complex Societies) doesn’t lay out historical data for when the Anasazi, the Chacoans, and other cultures simply “gave up.”

Assembling a projection of when such a collapse might overtaken an entire planet may seem like a pointless task to “modern” man (especially with an iPhone 6+).  But I respectfully suggest that a long line of previous high cultures including Egyptians and Incans would argue that it’s the fundamental business assessment that drives everything else.

Weird Dream Time

I’m going to be looking for helicopter/platform/elevator in the news headlines over the next couple of days.

Had another one of my odd dreams.  I know, I should post it over at the site, but here’s the summary:

A “guiding figure” comes along in this urban area (but not real high buildings) and a bell rings (the kind like in a school at class change time).

At this point, the figure indicates that 6-12 people are hurt/injured/dead in a “falling” incident.  What was murky was whether it was a helicopter in a crowded city (first impression) or an elevator/moving platform (second impression).

This is such a low probability event that a “hit” on it would be very unlikely within the next week to 10-days.  Thought I’d mention it.

Meantime, I can’t help but notice that WoWW reports have about dried up.  Either people have stopped having them, or they are of a nature that doesn’t lend itself to sharing…

Time to scan headline and then book…Write when you get rich…