A Long Wave Look Ahead

The long – and larger – cycles in economics is our focus today.  Sure, a few stories off the wires with our (occasionally) acerbic remark.

But with the buzz of the presents wearing off, and perhaps still smarting a bit from our discussion of the economy’s “elevator to nowhere” problem (mythical growth versus inflation adjusted quality of life metrics, this is a good time to pause and reflect on “What next?”

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17 thoughts on “A Long Wave Look Ahead”

  1. “threatening TikTok ban ”

    Recall early this year when .gov and the parrots were singing TikTok/China is stealing our data… espionage using keystroke logging…

    “TikTok is an urgent threat to national security” – Congress

    Now TikTok is OK. People somehow reconcile the flip/flop in their brains like choosing between butter or margarine.

    Reply
  2. ATL: all is well here, sad to have left, glad to be home (in nearly equal measure). Our 21.25 YO TomCat is pleased to have in/out privileges restored and, when awake, is hanging with Mrs. E (glued to her actually). New old waterfowl flocks include small fast dark hued fellas that sound like an alternator belt ready to blow. That when letting loose for low level murmuration. 50F on 12.28.24. Marvelous!

    Are you ready for some football? Uhm, not really. It’s so nice and quiet here though … I already miss the Little Master. My Grandson was a treat every morning. All the silly sleepies snorked through the best time of the day. Babies are astounding after the overnight rest.

    The first 2-ish hours of our escape drive was in daunting soupy fog. Snowcover melt was feeding an inversion and … nothing like >60mph in a 100-200′ accordion of visibility. To our great surprise, when descending into the Mississippi River Valley the fog snot lifted. I was thrilled. Then round Madison, WI then … the Chicago metro area.

    It _is_ good to be home.
    BR, Egor

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  3. “health drink”

    Here’s a goodie.

    The people over @ loyal think they can make our dogs live longer and by extension us with something coined “LOY-002”. But living longer only ensures dying in the nuclear radiation or being kidnapped and experimented on by space aliens so longevity may not be worth it.

    loyal says:

    “Early next year, Loyal, a US biotech start-up, is confident that it will bring LOY-002, a daily, beef-flavoured pill, to market that could give dogs a minimum of one extra year of healthy life.”

    The story goes one dog year = seven people years.

    From loyal :

    We’re helping dogs like yours live longer and stay healthier as they age.

    Our products focus on preventive care, addressing the underlying causes of a range of age?associated diseases to delay their onset and reduce their impact.

    https://loyal.com/

    Scientists explore longevity drugs for dogs that could also ‘extend human life’

    Researchers say drugs may be able to increase lifespan by extending health and thus shortening the rate of ageing

    https://www.theguardian.com/science/2024/dec/26/scientists-explore-longevity-drugs-for-dogs-that-could-also-extend-human-life

    Reply
  4. (“Change in the Oval will not fix the Housing problem any time soon. Homelessness in the US reaches record high as housing costs bite.”)

    around here the elderly.. a woman sold her home because she couldn’t afford the utilities.. low income renters cannot afford the cost of rent in low income households..
    its the failing of the legislators that don’t live in the real world..

    Reply
    • “its the failing of the legislators that don’t live in the real world”

      Sure they do, thats why they are cranking up the H1B visa issuance as soon as orange jesus takes ofc.

      New New Delhi will be Ure new name of Ure hometown. Drs Gupta, Gupta and Gupta will be handling all Ure medical needs at VA Hosp..all of em. Never mind that the drugs that they will be prescribing shorten Ure lifespan by years. Ure replacements are ready, willing and able. Best part ? These guys & gals cook some awesome meals..https://youtu.be/3e-T2iA7H-w?si=eLBgzDlHwi5GpUUB

      Crackers – OUT!

      MochaLattes – IN!

      VP fraud musk wouldnt have it any other way.

      Reply
    • Watched a bit of Clif’s videos posted by Steevo.
      The compulsion to buy paper towels and toilet paper just washed over me. OMG.
      I did a quick check on the prep supply sites looking for signs of panic buying. Nothing. No shipping delays, and lots of sales on.
      I’ll cruise by the grocery store. 5 PM on a Saturday is a good time to scope out runs on inventory.
      Record rising tension, but no one is buying.
      I miss Clif’s PM forecasts.

      Reply
  5. Hmm… a notice today in the mail.. natural gas rate increase a d a notice for electrical rate increase hmm
    there is a water and sewer increase in January as well..hmm

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  6. Oh, yeah… Sorry… another one I forgot:

    6) If ET is so advanced, why does his tek look only a little past ours? It should look more impressive — or more subtle. But, no; it looks like our own Sci-Fi writers dreamed it up. Very derrivative. Why are there no tricorders buried in ten million year old sediments? Are they so good they never lose or misplace anything? I doubt that, since we we seem to know their ships crash fairly often to hear Boppin’ Bob Lazar tell it. So. they ain’t perfect. No evidence, besides the occasional crashed ship? So are they more or less dangerous than Aeroflot or Garuda?

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    • Really WRR ?

      They traverse clear across the solar system/galaxy/universe – only to Crash over Earth?????????????????????????

      Think that thru again..

      They dont crash…they are shot down with particle beam weapons/radar weapons at direction of bad guys(et).
      I call em the space nazi’s, and the miserable Mimminu (Grays).

      *See congressional record regards testimony about
      Crash Retrieval Program – using Ure tax receipts to pay for damages/injuries for team members. Think they would get radiation suits..hmmm

      Top o pyramid guys are very well endowed Mentally – their unique Gaze enables the illusions” they put in Human minds; painful,paralyzing, and or designed to trick you into seeing god”..robes, old white guy, silvery hair, talks inside Ure Head.

      Tis why I have been harping on Mental Engagement and Meditation for so long..Teach youse what the Pleiades

      Occupants are turned over to BGet’s, some tech is shared back with us…cheap shit like velcro, transistors..

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      • ..and why not? We bought Manhattan Island for $24 in beads and junk jewelry. “A trick or two with lepers, and the whole town’s on its feet!”

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  7. Good slow waking Saturday Morning George.
    While having my first cup I looked at the Chart Pak and the 4th Chart (was supposed to be the oscillator) is a repeat of the Chart Three.
    I consider the oscillator on of the better indicators, and sure others look for it too.
    Would you consider throwing up a Tuesday style add on, or pulling the report back and putting it in?
    Thanks and have a nice weekend.

    Oh, BTW.
    Elon and Vivek have a pretty hostile twitter war going with members of the MAGA world that think H1B reform should be a part of any immigration reform. Very Vulgar tweets flying. Trump and Vance staying silent for now. But is Elon pulls out of the MAGA alliance that could be the Trigger to knock the US market off the cliff.

    Reply
    • Bear in mind Trump is a showman, and has staged pro wrestling matches. Put on a good versus evil battle, and the folks’ attention will be enraptured.

      Reply

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