Disaster Season Opens?

“How do we sunset?  Let me count the ways…” Despite all the hype, Climate Change doesn’t even move our meter in today’s cold, hard viewing of Reality. The smell of Depression is in the air.  For example, Public pessimism on the economy hits a new high, CNBC survey shows.  And about the leaders of the … Read More

Trading Box Victory?

Some time back – perhaps a month or two – we mentioned a slight chance of a major rally based on use of “trading boxes.”  In our unconventional way of looking at markets, drawing of rectangles on charts offers some occasionally useful insights. This weekend, a drill down a bit into the “trading boxes” which … Read More

Tomorrow’s Best Investments

Consumer prices are just out and we’ll hit that first. But then some perspective on the future impacts of Inflation and how it will change our world. Mighty useful when making strategic life decisions. Because you can increase your odds of “making good financial calls” by picking the right assets to be heavy in, well … Read More

Race to Armageddon

China has been building relationships while the U.S. relies on “positional power.”  Which, in an age of changing resources, amounts to resting on our laurels while a challenger moves ahead. At once, we have three (or more) potential war fronts along with a fall from grace for the U.S. dollar. In our effort to handicap … Read More

A “Step on the Dragon’s Tail”

Another adventure in our (partially) fictional Directorate 153 series of “fictionalized governmental speculations.”  We began to use this metaphorical framework when it became apparent to many “sources” that it could be personally hazardous to come right out publicly and explain what’s really going on in background.  Things most people are not aware of. Subscribers are … Read More

American Weimar?

Was Friday’s run up into the close the end of a blow-off top?  Or, only the beginning of a mass hyperinflation?  Because signs are pointing in both directions. If it happens, we will have to blame the Powell Expedient Fed.  Because an odd thing happens in America:  Squeakiest wheels get the most “grease.”  And we … Read More

Our Next “Mad Scientist” Project

Old Man Labs here is planning another project. This one gets into the realms of the really weird.  But trust me, it will sound like fun (interesting?) when I walk you through it. For those who haven’t been around as long as this site – which will be 25-years in September (basis UrbanSurvival.com web domain) … Read More

Rethink: Time vs. Price

No question, Price is the big factor in day trading.  But when comes to Futuring, prepping, and staying the hell out of harm’s way, time signals in the market are where it’s at. Paradoxically, higher price prediction confidence rises, the lower time confidence drops.  This incestuous relationship buggers up everything from military intelligence assessments to … Read More

Immortality: The Investment Problem

Life Extension has a hard limit defined by personal income over time. Wife Elaine nailed it at breakfast Monday when she said “You can’t have one without the Other.” Life extension mainly costs money and investments usually cost time. Today, we’ll look at this balancing problem.  And begin to draw an odd kind of outlook … Read More

Nervous Weekend, Anyone?

Between Banking (and “special treatment for the rich”) along with one war hot, one brewing, a former president facing a possible perp-walk, and rampant inflation in hard assets, it’s a hard weekend not to have the jitters. Sorry to say:  We can’t alleviate too many.  But, our steely-eyed view of things will remind you that … Read More

The Gamer’s Guide to the Afterlife

I was wrong when I thought my book Packing to Die: Suitcase between your ears” was done.  It turns out that upon reflection, there is still a chapter missing. Maybe even a missing “next book.” Which we will rectify today with an additional chapter that will be added to the book (on Kindle) in the … Read More

Replaying 1929: The Bank Run Marker’s In

Silicon Valley Bank is likely not to be the only bank in this period to go down. Because in our work in long wave economics, for more than 20-years, the severity of economic recessions (and “depressions”) the number of failing banks in a period is a good (early) indicator as to severity. For example, in … Read More

Panic Next Week: Special Update

I wrote in this morning’s column thusly: “What we MIGHT infer from such tea leaves is a decline today (to the lower trend level) and then a half-assed rally Monday. “ Bingo! What we see evolving now with about 90-minutes to the close sure looks like we have punctured the lower side of BOTH the … Read More