How far will this likely Wave 1’s wave iv take us into rally land before we fall back to Monday lows (next week?)? Our Aggregate Index closed Thursday at 39,230.21…which (at 7 points) is a “close enough” for us: OK, the rally looks like it will continue on up this morning. 39472.6 on the early … Read More
With our Aggregate index long-term top holding (for now) we can project how bad things are likely to become over the rest of the year. Into next, as well. Despite other flaws, the advice about “buying Christmas presents early” from VP Harris does begin to make sense when we go off dot-connecting. Instead of a … Read More
Although I’m not a financial advisor, we do serve up an interesting mix of ideas for dealing with Social Security benefit reductions should they come along. Say, there’s a pretty safe bet, huh? Naturally, the fear porn industry is already offering projections. But they are wildly premature. On the other hand, some of the basic … Read More
Much somber discussion and recall this weekend. But around here, something more. The realization that despite billions, if not trillions spent on the National Security State, America is just loaded with weak underbellies waiting for someone to attack. Perhaps related to the calendar, we’ll cover our new “Exceptional Fear Indicator” based on market action in … Read More
We need to have a talk. We are mighty sensitive to “marks” around here. Everything from Karl to Joe, with German currencies, and sea levels. Above all, though, the 2-thousand year forecast of the “Mark of the Beast” is worth remembering. When Joe Biden gets on the television and makes moves to ensure 100-million people … Read More
With the holiday weekend ahead – and a break in summer weather across the South from hurricane Ida, due to come ashore within the day – time to line up projects and tools for the big important projects this Fall. With this in mind, a quick overview of the first of our Four Shop Operations … Read More
Chicago Fed National Activity Indicator is just out. Led by improvements in production-related indicators, the Chicago Fed National Activity Index (CFNAI) increased to +0.53 in July from –0.01 in June. Three of the four broad categories of indicators used to construct the index made positive contributions in July, and three categories improved from June. The … Read More
Reader Note: We will be moving to a new server farm today. So from noon (CDT) today until I’m done (take it any way you will) the Peoplenomics website may have a few unreachable moments… We’re not leaving. Just rearranging the digital furniture. Report now? A twisted tale of future studies, dream worlds, and computers … Read More
We considered the headline “Hong Kong Woes Slow as Schmoe’s Doze…” but figured it would be too much for this hour. Instead: Hang Seng Sunk is closer to it. If you flip over to the ^HSI chart on Yahoo (here) and click onto the 1-month view, you’ll see why we’re a little nervous: The 29,261 … Read More
Weekend, markets closed. Summertime in the shop. But how does “Prepping” (a category we helped ‘invent’ back in 1997) and being a tool-slut go hand-in-hand? Let’s Big Picture This Let’s pretend you are – oh – 72 years old (like me). You know (by genetics and stressors of Life) the odds of making it to … Read More
Some people gain great peace and tranquility by “living in the moment.” Been there, done that. What you learn by the early 70’s (besides the patience of Job) is that it’s always better to live a little ways into the future. Avoids crowds. As I started mentioning to you a week or two back, the odds of … Read More
Although initial reports had pegged the overnight California earthquake at 6.7, the reviewed event still came in at 6.0 up along the Nevada border region: Also called the Antelope Valley area, this is well east of Elk Grove, Napa, and the other towns east of the Bay area. Still, it is a useful reminder that … Read More
The Ugly Patterns First Highest Level Pattern first: I began work on the Aggregate Index in 2001 when it became apparent (in the wake of the 9/11 event) that terrorism “seemed to appear” just in time to swing the public’s attention away from $5 to $8-trillion in losses in the Internet Bubble from March 2000 … Read More